Renewable Energy After COP21: Nine Issues for Climate Leaders to Think About on the Journey Home
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Transcript of Renewable Energy After COP21: Nine Issues for Climate Leaders to Think About on the Journey Home
7/23/2019 Renewable Energy After COP21: Nine Issues for Climate Leaders to Think About on the Journey Home
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/renewable-energy-after-cop21-nine-issues-for-climate-leaders-to-think-about 1/22
X`iobrd Ol`fhlrj
F`fl `ssuls ger
ic`kbtl clbdlrs
te to`fa bheut
ef tol meurfly
oekl
Xlflwbhcl lflrjy
bgtlr IE^82
7/23/2019 Renewable Energy After COP21: Nine Issues for Climate Leaders to Think About on the Journey Home
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 2
IE^82 `f ^br`s
`s evlr.Few `t‐s hbia te tol obrd wera eg
g`jot`fj ger, bfd `kpclklft`fj,
tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef.
Zl bcc afew tobt tol trbfs`t`ef bwby grek gess`c gulcs `s aly te kb`ftb`f`fj b c`vbhcl
pcbflt. Ylvlrbc erjbf`zbt`efs obvl gerkucbtld prepesbcs ger trbfs`t`ef`fj te 2>> plrilft
rlflwbhcl lflrjy1 sekl eg toesl prepesbcs geius ef tol fbt`efbc clvlc, sekl tol stbtl
clvlc, wo`cl b glw ceea bt tol jcehbc iobcclfjl.
Dbv`d Gr`dcly (stbgg si`lft`st eg tol lflrjy bfbcys`s prejrbk bt Cbwrlfil Hlralcly
Fbt`efbc Cbherbtery) bfd @ obvl hllf wera`fj ger tol pbst glw keftos te bfbcyzl bfd
bsslss kbfy eg toesl prepesbcs, bfd te d`j dllplr `fte lflrjy trbfs`t`ef `ssuls—
pbrt`iucbrcy oew eur usl eg lflrjy w`cc flld te bdbpt `f b ~2>> plrilft rlflwbhcl guturl.
Zl obvl b heea `f tol weras, t`tcld Eur Xlflwbhcl Guturl, tobt lxbk`fls tol
bdmustklfts sei`lty w`cc obvl te kbal `f tol trbfs`t`ef te flw lflrjy seurils. Zl
stbrtld to`s premlit w`to sekl jlflrbc ufdlrstbfd`fj eg tol c`alcy iefstrb`fts bfd
eppertuf`t`ls f to`s trbfs`t`ef1 flvlrtolclss, rlslbrio`fj bfd wr`t`fj Eur XlflwbhclGuturl obs hllf b meurfly eg d`sievlry. Bcefj tol wby, wl `dlft`g`ld fet efcy tliof`ibc
`ssuls rlqu`r`fj kerl bttlft`ef, hut bcse `kpertbft `kpc`ibt`efs ger bdveibiy bfd pec`iy.
Zobt geccews `s b soert sukkbry—tb`cerld kestcy te tol \f`tld Ytbtls—eg wobt wl‐vl
clbrfld, bcefj w`to sekl rliekklfdbt`efs.
7/23/2019 Renewable Energy After COP21: Nine Issues for Climate Leaders to Think About on the Journey Home
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 8
2. Zl rlbccy flld b pcbf1 fe, cets eg tolk
Jlrkbfy obs brjubhcy biiekpc`sold kerl tewbrd tol trbfs`t`ef tobf bfy etolr fbt`ef
cbrjlcy hlibusl `t obs b pcbf—tol Lflrj`lwlfdl. To`s pcbf tbrjlts b 7> plrilft rlduit`ef
`f bcc gess`c gulc usl (fet must `f tol lclitr`i`ty sliter) hy 8><>, bio`lv`fj b <> plrilft iut
`f evlrbcc lflrjy usl toreujo lgg`i`lfiy `f pewlr jlflrbt`ef (gess`c gulcld pewlr pcbfts
lftb`c oujl cessls), hu`cd`fjs, bfd trbfspert. @t‐s fet b plrglit pcbf, `f tobt `t rlbccy
soeucd b`k o`jolr tobf 7> plrilft. Hut `t‐s hlttlr tobf feto`fj, bfd tol lggert `s egg te b
jeed stbrt. Bctoeujo tol \f`tld Ytbtls obs b stbtld jebc eg jlflrbt`fj 8> plrilft eg `ts
lclitr`i`ty grek rlflwbhcl seurils hy 8>9>, `t dels fet obvl bf lqu`vbclft egg`i`bc pcbf.
Z`toeut `t, wl brl bt b s`jf`g`ibft d`sbdvbftbjl.
Zobt weucd b pcbf de5 @t weucd `dlft`gy tol cew-obfj`fj gru`t, soew oew rlseurils flld
te hl bcceibtld, bfd `dlft`gy flldld pec`i`ls. Zl weucd eg ieursl flld te rlv`sl tol pcbfgrlqulftcy bs wl jb`fld prbit`ibc lxplr`lfil (bs Jlrkbfy `s de`fj).
Zobt geccews brl sekl iekpeflfts eg b pess`hcl pcbf, hbsld ef wera bcrlbdy defl hy
kbfy rlslbriolrs `f tol \f`tld Ytbtls bfd lcslwolrl1 gbr kerl dltb`c (w`to t`klc`fls,
iest siolducls, bfd pec`i`ls) weucd hl rlqu`rld ger b gclsold-eut vlrs`ef. @t jreups tbsas
`fte clvlcs eg d`gg`iucty1 wera weucd flld te iekklfil r`jot bwby ef tbsas bt bcc clvlcs eg
d`gg`iucty, hut ger pcbff`fj purpesls `t‐s uslguc te afew wobt ibf hl bio`lvld rlcbt`vlcy
qu`iacy bfd iolbpcy, bfd wobt w`cc tbal cefj, lxplfs`vl, sustb`fld lggert.
Clvlc Efl= Tol –lbsy‛ stugg
Flbrcy lvlryefl bjrlls tobt tol lbs`lst wby te a`ia-stbrt tol trbfs`t`ef weucd hl te
rlpcbil iebc w`to secbr bfd w`fd pewlr ger lclitr`i`ty jlflrbt`ef. Tobt weucd rlqu`rl
hu`cd`fj cets eg pbflcs bfd turh`fls wo`cl rljucbt`fj iebc eut eg lx`stlfil. D`str`hutld
jlflrbt`ef bfd sterbjl (reegtep secbr pbflcs w`to oekl- er hus`flss-sibcl hbttlry pbias)
w`cc olcp. Xlpcbi`fj fbturbc jbs w`cc hl obrdlr, hlibusl jbs-g`rld –plba`fj‛ pcbfts brl
egtlf usld te hugglr tol `ftlrk`ttlfiy eg `fdustr`bc-sibcl w`fd bfd secbr `fputs te tol
jr`d (sll Clvlc Twe).
7/23/2019 Renewable Energy After COP21: Nine Issues for Climate Leaders to Think About on the Journey Home
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 9
Yeuril= @ftlrfbt`efbc Lflrjy Bjlfiy1 \.Y. Lflrjy @fgerkbt`ef Bdk`f`strbt`ef.
Lclitr`i`ty biieufts ger clss tobf b qubrtlr eg bcc g`fbc lflrjy usld `f tol \.Y. Zobt bheut
tol rlst eg tol lflrjy wl dlplfd ef5 Y`fil secbr, w`fd, oydre, bfd jletolrkbc preduil
lclitr`i`ty, `t kbals slfsl te lclitr`gy bs kuio eg eur lflrjy usbjl bs wl ibf. Ger
lxbkpcl, wl ieucd olbt bfd ieec kest hu`cd`fjs w`to lclitr`i b`r-seuril olbt pukps(rlpcbi`fj fbturbc jbs- er e`c-gulcld gurfbils). Zl ieucd bcse hlj`f sw`tio`fj eut bcc eur
jbs ieea`fj stevls w`to lclitr`i stevls.
Trbfspertbt`ef rlprlslfts b cbrjl swbto eg lflrjy iefsukpt`ef, bfd plrsefbc
butekeh`cls biieuft ger kest eg tobt. Zl ieucd rlduil e`c iefsukpt`ef suhstbft`bccy `g
wl bcc drevl lclitr`i ibrs (rlpcbi`fj 8<> k`cc`ef jbsec`fl-gulcld butekeh`cls w`cc tbal
t`kl bfd kefly, hut w`cc lvlftubccy rlsuct `f lflrjy bfd g`fbfi`bc sbv`fjs). Hut
preket`fj wbca`fj, h`iyic`fj, bfd puhc`i trbfs`t w`cc tbal kuio clss t`kl bfd
`fvlstklft, bfd hl gbr kerl sustb`fbhcl `f tol cefj-tlrk.
Hu`cd`fjs w`cc rlqu`rl suhstbft`bc rltreg`tt`fj ger lflrjy lgg`i`lfiy (to`s w`cc bjb`f tbal
t`kl bfd `fvlstklft, hut w`cc egglr st`cc kerl eppertuf`t`ls ger sbv`fjs). Hu`cd`fj iedls
soeucd hl strlfjtolfld te rlqu`rl flt-zlre lflrjy er flbr-flt-zlre-lflrjy plrgerkbfil
ger flw iefstruit`ef. Kerl lflrjy-lgg`i`lft bppc`bfils w`cc bcse olcp.
7/23/2019 Renewable Energy After COP21: Nine Issues for Climate Leaders to Think About on the Journey Home
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 4
Tol geed systlk `s b h`j lflrjy iefsuklr, w`to gess`c gulcs usld `f tol kbfugbitur`fj eg
glrt`c`zlrs, `f geed preilss`fj, bfd trbfspertbt`ef. Zl ieucd rlduil b cet eg tobt gulc
iefsukpt`ef hy `firlbs`fj tol kbralt sobrl eg erjbf`i, ceibc geeds. Zo`cl wl‐rl bt `t, wl
ieucd hlj`f slqulstlr`fj lferkeus bkeufts eg btkespolr`i ibrhef `f tepse`c hy
preket`fj gbrk`fj prbit`ils tobt hu`cd se`c rbtolr tobf dlpcltl `t.
@g wl jet b jeed stbrt `f bcc tolsl brlbs, wl ieucd bio`lvl bt clbst b 4> plrilft rlduit`ef
`f ibrhef lk`ss`efs `f tlf te twlfty ylbrs.
Clvlc Twe= Tol obrdlr stugg
Yecbr bfd w`fd tliofecej`ls obvl b drbwhbia= toly prev`dl lflrjy `ftlrk`ttlftcy. Zolf
toly hliekl dek`fbft w`to`f eur evlrbcc lflrjy k`x, wl w`cc obvl te biiekkedbtl tobt
`ftlrk`ttlfiy `f vbr`eus wbys. Zl‐cc flld suhstbft`bc bkeufts eg jr`d-clvlc lflrjy
sterbjl bs wlcc bs b kbmer jr`d evlrobuc te jlt tol lclitr`i`ty sliter te ?> plrilft
rlflwbhcls (tolrlhy rlpcbi`fj fbturbc jbs `f lclitr`i`ty jlflrbt`ef). Zl‐cc bcse flld te
stbrt t`k`fj eur lflrjy usbjl te hlttlr ie`fi`dl w`to tol bvb`cbh`c`ty eg sufc`jot bfd
w`fd lflrjy. Tobt `f `tslcg w`cc prlslft heto tliofecej`ibc bfd hlobv`erbc ourdcls.
Lclitr`i ibrs bs`dl, tol trbfspert sliter w`cc rlqu`rl cefjlr-tlrk bfd seklt`kls kerl
lxplfs`vl suhst`tut`efs. Zl ieucd rlduil eur flld ger ibrs (wo`io rlqu`rl b cet eg lflrjy
ger tol`r kbfugbiturl bfd dl-iekk`ss`ef`fj) hy dlfs`gy`fj eur i`t`ls bfd suhurhs bfd
rler`lft`fj tolk te puhc`i trbfs`t, h`iyic`fj, bfd wbca`fj. Zl ieucd lclitr`gy bccketer`zld oukbf trbfspert hy hu`cd`fj kerl lclitr`g`ld puhc`i trbfs`t bfd `ftlri`ty
pbsslfjlr rb`c c`fas. Olbvy truias ieucd ruf ef gulc ilccs, hut `t weucd hl hlttlr te
k`f`k`zl truia`fj hy lxpbfd`fj grl`jot rb`c. Trbfspert hy so`p ieucd lkpcey kedlrf
sb`cs te `firlbsl gulc lgg`i`lfiy (to`s `s bcrlbdy hl`fj defl ef b t`fy sibcl2), hut rl-
ceibc`zbt`ef er dl-jcehbc`zbt`ef eg kbfugbitur`fj weucd hl b flilssbry ie-strbtljy te
rlduil tol flld ger so`pp`fj.
Kuio eg tol kbfugbitur`fj sliter bcrlbdy rufs ef lclitr`i`ty, hut tolrl brl lxilpt`efs—
bfd sekl eg tolsl w`cc egglr s`jf`g`ibft iobcclfjls.
2 Yll ger lxbkpcl YayYb`cs, ottp=//www.saysb`cs.`fge.
7/23/2019 Renewable Energy After COP21: Nine Issues for Climate Leaders to Think About on the Journey Home
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 <
Yeuril= Fur` I`obt Efbt, Kurbt Auiuavbr, bfd Eklr Tbtbr`, –Iefvlft`efbc, oyhr`d, pcuj-`f oyhr`d erlclitr`i vlo`icls5 Ytbtl-hbsld iekpbrbt`vl ibrhef bfd lflrjy geetpr`ft bfbcys`s `f tol \f`tld Ytbtls,‛Bppc`ld Lflrjy 2<>, 2< Mucy 8>2<, 97-401 de`=2>.2>27/m.bplflrjy.8>2<.>4.>>2.
Kbfy rbw kbtlr`bcs ger kbfugbitur`fj preilssls l`tolr brl gess`c gulcs (glldsteias ger
pcbst`is bfd etolr pltreiolk`ibc-hbsld kbtlr`bcs `ficud`fj cuhr`ibfts, pb`fts, dyls,
pobrkbilut`ibcs, lti.) er iurrlftcy rlqu`rl gess`c gulcs ger k`f`fj bfd/er trbfsgerkbt`ef
(l.j., kest kltbcs). Iefs`dlrbhcl lggert w`cc hl flldld te rlpcbil gess`c gulc-hbsld
kbtlr`bcs bfd te rliyicl fef-rlflwbhcl kbtlr`bcs kerl iekpcltlcy, s`jf`g`ibftcy
rldui`fj tol flld ger k`f`fj.
@g wl d`d bcc tolsl to`fjs, wo`cl bcse hu`cd`fj gbr, gbr kerl secbr pbflcs bfd w`fd
turh`fls, wl ieucd bio`lvl reujocy bf ?> plrilft rlduit`ef `f lk`ss`efs iekpbrld te
eur iurrlft clvlc.
Clvlc Torll= Tol rlbccy obrd stugg
De`fj bwby w`to tol cbst 8> plrilft eg eur iurrlft gess`c gulc iefsukpt`ef `s je`fj te
tbal st`cc kerl t`kl, rlslbrio, bfd `fvlstklft—bs wlcc bs kuio kerl hlobv`erbc
bdbptbt`ef. Must efl lxbkpcl= wl iurrlftcy usl lferkeus bkeufts eg ilklft ger bcc
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 7
a`fds eg iefstruit`ef bit`v`t`ls. Ilklft kba`fj rlqu`rls o`jo olbt, wo`io ieucd
tolerlt`ibccy hl suppc`ld hy sufc`jot, lclitr`i`ty, er oydrejlf—hut tobt w`cc lftb`c b
flbrcy iekpcltl rldls`jf eg tol preilss.
Zo`cl w`to Clvlc Efl wl hljbf b so`gt `f geed systlks hy preket`fj ceibc erjbf`i geed,
dr`v`fj ibrhef lk`ss`efs dewf gurtolr w`cc rlqu`rl g`f`so`fj tobt meh hy kba`fj bcc geed
preduit`ef erjbf`i, bfd rlqu`r`fj bcc bjr`iucturl te slqulstlr ibrhef toreujo hu`cd`fj
tepse`c. Lc`k`fbt`fj bcc gess`c gulcs `f geed systlks w`cc bcse lftb`c b suhstbft`bc rl-dls`jf
eg toesl systlks te k`f`k`zl preilss`fj, pbiabj`fj, bfd trbfspert.
Tol iekkuf`ibt`efs sliter—wo`io usls k`f`fj bfd o`jo olbt preilssls ger tol
preduit`ef eg poefls, iekputlrs, slrvlrs, w`rls, poete-ept`i ibhcls, ilcc tewlrs, bfd
kerl—prlslfts sekl rlbccy afetty prehclks. Tol efcy jeed cefj-tlrk secut`ef `f to`s
sliter `s te kbal dlv`ils tobt brl hu`ct te cbst b vlry cefj t`kl bfd tolf te rlpb`r tolkbfd guccy rliyicl bfd rl-kbfugbiturl tolk wolf bhsecutlcy flldld. Tol @ftlrflt ieucd
hl kb`ftb`fld v`b tol a`fds eg cew-tlio, bsyfiorefeus fltweras few hl`fj p`efllrld `f
peer fbt`efs, us`fj rlcbt`vlcy c`ttcl pewlr.
Hbia `f tol trbfspert sliter= wl‐vl bcrlbdy kbdl so`pp`fj kerl lgg`i`lft w`to sb`cs `f
Clvlc Twe, hut de`fj bwby w`to pltrecluk bctejltolr w`cc rlqu`rl iestcy suhst`tutls (gulc
ilccs er h`egulcs). Efl wby er bfetolr, jcehbc trbdl w`cc obvl te sor`fa. Tolrl `s fe jeed
drep-`f suhst`tutl ger bv`bt`ef gulcs1 wl kby obvl te wr`tl egg bv`bt`ef bs bfyto`fj hut b
spli`bcty trbfspert kedl. ^cbfls ruff`fj ef oydrejlf er h`egulcs brl bf lxplfs`vl
pess`h`c`ty, bs brl d`r`j`hcls g`ccld w`to (fef-rlflwbhcl) olc`uk, bfy eg wo`io ieucd olcp
us kb`ftb`f vlst`jls eg b`r trbvlc. ^bv`fj bfd rlpb`r`fj rebds w`toeut e`c-hbsld bspobct `s
pess`hcl, hut w`cc rlqu`rl bf bckest iekpcltl rldls`jf eg preilssls bfd lqu`pklft.
Tol jeed flws `s tobt `g wl de bcc tolsl to`fjs, wl ibf jlt te hlyefd zlre ibrhef
lk`ss`efs1 tobt `s, w`to slqulstrbt`ef eg ibrhef `f se`cs bfd gerlsts, wl ieucd bitubccy
rlduil btkespolr`i ibrhef w`to lbio pbss`fj ylbr.
^cbfs w`cc ceea d`gglrlft `f lbio ieuftry, se lbio ieuftry (bfd lbio stbtl) fllds efl.
8. @t‐s fet bcc bheut secbr bfd w`fd
Tolsl twe lflrjy rlseurils obvl hllf tol suhmlits eg kest eg tol d`siuss`ef
surreufd`fj tol rlflwbhcl lflrjy trbfs`t`ef. ^r`ils brl gbcc`fj, rbtls eg `fstbccbt`ef brl
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 :
o`jo, bfd tolrl `s b cbrjl petlft`bc ger gurtolr jrewto. Hut, w`to b skbcc fukhlr eg
lxilpt`efs, oydrepewlr ieft`fuls te slrvl bs tol cbrjlst seuril eg rlflwbhcl lclitr`i`ty.
Yeuril= M. Dbv`d Oujols, Jcehbc Yustb`fbh`c`ty Xlslbrio, @fi., (dbtb grek H^ Ytbt`st`ibc Xlv`lw, 8>2<).
Tol `folrlft `ftlrk`ttlfiy eg w`fd bfd secbr pewlr w`cc pesl `firlbs`fj iobcclfjls bs
plrilftbjl clvlcs eg plfltrbt`ef `fte evlrbcc lflrjy kbralts `firlbsl. Etolr rlflwbhcl
lflrjy seurils—oydrepewlr, jletolrkbc, bfd h`ekbss—ibf kerl rlbd`cy suppcy
ieftreccbhcl hbslcebd pewlr, hut toly obvl kuio clss eppertuf`ty ger jrewto.
Oepls ger o`jo clvlcs eg w`fd bfd secbr brl tolrlgerl cbrjlcy dr`vlf hy tol bssukpt`ef
tobt `fdustr`bc sei`lt`ls ibf bfd soeucd kb`ftb`f vlry o`jo clvlcs eg lflrjy usl. @g lflrjy
usbjl `f tol \f`tld Ytbtls ieucd hl sibcld hbia s`jf`g`ibftcy (:> te 0> plrilft) tolf b
rlc`bhcl bcc-rlflwbhcl lflrjy rlj`kl hliekls kuio lbs`lr te lfv`s`ef bfd iolbplr telfj`fllr—hut tol systlk weucd flld te ceea vlry d`gglrlft. Yecbr bfd w`fd weucd slrvl
bs s`jf`g`ibft seurils eg lclitr`i`ty bfd w`to usbjl t`kld te `ts bvb`cbh`c`ty, hut oydre,
jletolrkbc, bfd sekl h`ekbss (wolf lfv`refklftbccy bpprepr`btl) weucd slrvl bs
hbslcebd pewlr.
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 ?
9. Zl kust hlj`f prl-bdbpt`fj te clss lflrjy
@t `s uficlbr oew kuio lflrjy w`cc hl bvb`cbhcl te sei`lty bt tol lfd eg tol trbfs`t`ef=
tolrl brl kbfy vbr`bhcls (`ficud`fj rbtls eg `fvlstklft bfd tol ibpbh`c`t`ls eg rlflwbhcl
lflrjy tliofecejy w`toeut gess`c gulcs te hbia tolk up bfd te pewlr tol`r kbfugbiturl,
bt clbst `f tol lbrcy stbjls). Flvlrtolclss, j`vlf bcc tol iobcclfjls `fvecvld, `t weucd hl
prudlft te bssukl tobt plepcl `f wlbctoy `fdustr`bc`zld ieuftr`ls w`cc obvl clss lflrjy
(lvlf tba`fj `fte biieuft lgg`i`lfi`ls `f pewlr jlflrbt`ef bfd lflrjy usbjl) tobf toly
weucd etolrw`sl obvl, bssuk`fj b ieft`fubt`ef eg o`ster`i jrewto trlfds.
To`s ieficus`ef `s obrd te bve`d wolf iefs`dlr`fj tol splld bfd sibcl eg rlduit`ef `f
lk`ss`efs bitubccy rlqu`rld te bvlrt ic`kbtl ibtbstrepol. Bs ic`kbtl si`lft`st Alv`f
Bfdlrsef pe`fts eut `f b rlilft Fbturl Jlesi`lfil pbplr=
–Biierd`fj te tol @^II‐s Yyftols`s Xlpert, fe kerl tobf 2,>>> h`cc`efteffls (2,>>> Jt) eg IE8 ibf hl lk`ttld hltwllf 8>22 bfd 82>> ger b77% iobfil (er hlttlr) eg rlkb`f`fj hlcew 8 ¾I eg wbrk`fj (evlrprl`fdustr`bc t`kls)… Oewlvlr, hltwllf 8>22 bfd 8>24 IE8 lk`ss`efsgrek lflrjy preduit`ef bcefl bkeuftld te bheut 24> Jt eg IE8…QYuhtrbit`fj rlbc`st`i lk`ss`efs hudjlts ger dlgerlstbt`ef bfd ilklftpreduit`ef,[ –…tol rlkb`f`fj hudjlt ger lflrjy-efcy lk`ss`efs evlr tolplr`ed 8>2<’82>>, ger b ‟c`alcy‐ iobfil eg stby`fj hlcew 8 ¾I, `s bheut7<> Jt eg IE8.‛8
Tobt 7<> j`jbtefs eg ibrhef bkeufts te clss tobf 20 ylbrs eg ieft`fuld hus`flss-bs-
usubc lk`ss`efs grek jcehbc gess`c lflrjy usl. Tol fet`ef tobt tol wercd ieucd kbal b
iekpcltl trbfs`t`ef te bctlrfbt`vl lflrjy seurils, us`fj efcy tobt s`x-ylbr gess`c lflrjy
hudjlt, bfd w`toeut s`jf`g`ibft rlduit`ef `f evlrbcc lflrjy usl, k`jot hl iobrbitlr`zld
bs ept`k`sk ef b sibcl tobt strltiols irlduc`ty.
Tol –oew kuio w`cc wl obvl5‛ qulst`ef rlgclits bf ufdlrstbfdbhcl iefilrf te kb`ftb`f
iurrlft clvlcs eg iekgert bfd iefvlf`lfil bs wl sw`tio lflrjy seurils. Hut `f to`s
rljbrd `t `s jeed te allp liecej`ibc geetpr`ft bfbcys`s `f k`fd.
8 Alv`f Bfdlrsef, "Dubc`ty f ic`kbtl si`lfil," Fbturl Jlesi`lfil ? (8>2<), ?0?’0>>=ottp=//www.fbturl.iek/fjle/meurfbc/v?/f28/gucc/fjle8<<0.otkc
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 0
Yeuril= ZZG, C`v`fj ^cbflt Xlpert 8>24 (Jcbfd, Yw`tzlrcbfd, 8>24).
Biierd`fj te ZZG bfd tol Jcehbc Geetpr`ft Fltwera, tol bkeuft eg preduit`vl cbfd
bfd slb bvb`cbhcl te lbio plrsef ef Lbrto `f erdlr te c`vl `f b wby tobt‐s liecej`ibccy
sustb`fbhcl `s 2.: jcehbc olitbrls.9 Tol iurrlft plr ibp`tb liecej`ibc geetpr`ft `f tol
\f`tld Ytbtls `s 7.? jcehbc olitbrls. Bsa`fj woltolr rlflwbhcl lflrjy ieucd lfbhcl
Bklr`ibfs te kb`ftb`f tol r iurrlft c`glstycl `s tolrlgerl lqu`vbclft te bsa`fj woltolr
rlflwbhcl lflrjy ibf allp us c`v`fj ufsustb`fbhcy. Tol iclbr bfswlr `s= efcy tlkperbr`cy,
`g bt bcc . . . se woy bttlkpt tol `kpess`hcl5 Zl soeucd b`k ger b sustb`fbhcl clvlc eg
lflrjy bfd kbtlr`bc iefsukpt`ef, wo`io ef bvlrbjl `s s`jf`g`ibftcy cewlr tobf bt
prlslft.
Lggerts te prl-bdbpt te sor`fa`fj lflrjy suppc`ls obvl ufdlrstbfdbhcy jettlf b cet clss
bttlft`ef grek bit`v`sts tobf ibkpb`jfs te clbvl gess`c gulcs `f tol jreufd, er te
preketl rlflwbhcl lflrjy premlits. Hut `g wl def‐t j`vl lqubc toeujot te to`s hufdcl eg
prehclks, wl w`cc lvlftubccy hl ibujot soert bfd tolrl w`cc hl s`jf`g`ibft liefek`i bfdpec`t`ibc gbcceut.
9 ZZG, C`v`fj ^cbflt Xlpert 8>24 (Jcbfd, Yw`tzlrcbfd, 8>24)1ottp=//www.geetpr`ftfltwera.erj/lf/`fdlx.pop/JGF/pbjl/c`v`fjUpcbfltUrlpertU8>24Ugbits.
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 2>
Ye wobt soeucd wl de te prlpbrl ger lflrjy rlduit`ef5 Ceea te Ibc`gerf`b= `ts liefeky
obs jrewf ger tol pbst slvlrbc dlibdls wo`cl `ts plr ibp`tb lclitr`i`ty dlkbfd obs fet.
Tol stbtl lfieurbjld ieeplrbt`ef hltwllf rlslbrio fst`tut`efs, kbfugbiturlrs,
ut`c`t`ls, bfd rljucbters te g`jurl eut oew te allp dlkbfd grek jrew`fj hy iobfj`fj tol
wby lclitr`i`ty `s usld. To`s `s fet b iekpcltl secut`ef, hut `t kby hl efl eg tol tepsuiilss ster`ls `f tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef se gbr, r`vbc`fj tobt eg Jlrkbfy‐s Lflrj`lwlfdl. @t
soeucd hl iep`ld `f lvlry stbtl bfd ieuftry.
4. Iefsuklr`sk `s b prehclk, fet b secut`ef
Iurrlft pec`iy kbalrs sll `firlbsld huy`fj bfd d`sibrd`fj eg `fdustr`bc preduits bs b
secut`ef te tol prehclk eg stbjfbt`fj liefek`ls. Z`to flbrcy :> plrilft eg tol \f`tld
Ytbtls liefeky t`ld te iefsuklr splfd`fj,4 `t `s lbsy te sll woy iefsukpt`ef `s
lfieurbjld. O`ster`ibccy, tol gerk eg sei`bc bfd liefek`i erdlr afewf bs iefsuklr`sk
cbrjlcy lklrjld bs b rlspefsl te `fdustr`bc evlrpreduit`ef—efl eg tol ibusls eg tol
Jrlbt Dlprlss`ef—wo`io `f turf rlsuctld grek bf bhufdbft bvb`cbh`c`ty eg iolbp gess`c
lflrjy.< Hlgerl bfd lspli`bccy bgtlr tol Dlprlss`ef bfd Zercd Zbr @@, tol bdvlrt`s`fj
bfd iefsuklr irld`t `fdustr`ls jrlw drbkbt`ibccy bs b klbfs eg stea`fj preduit
puriobsls, bfd pec`t`i`bfs eg bcc pec`t`ibc plrsubs`efs me`fld tol ioerus urj`fj i`t`zlfs te
to`fa eg tolkslcvls bs –iefsuklrs,‛ bfd te tbal tol`r flw meh dlsir`pt`ef te olbrt.
@g tol trbfs`t`ef te rlflwbhcl lflrjy `kpc`ls b rlduit`ef `f evlrbcc lflrjy bvb`cbh`c`ty, `gkeh`c`ty `s d`k`f`sold, bfd `g kbfy `fdustr`bc preilssls `fvecv`fj o`jo olbt bfd tol usl
eg gess`c gulcs bs glldsteias hliekl kerl lxplfs`vl er brl iurtb`cld, tolf iefslrvbt`ef
kust bssukl b kuio o`jolr pr`er`ty tobf iefsukpt`ef `f tol dbwf`fj pest-gess`c-gulc
lrb. @g `t hliekls kerl d`gg`iuct bfd iestcy te preduil bfd d`str`hutl jeeds suio bs
iceto`fj, iekputlrs, bfd poefls, tolf plepcl w`cc obvl te usl tolsl kbfugbiturld jeeds
cefjlr, bfd rlpurpesl, rlkbfugbiturl, bfd rliyicl tolk wolrlvlr pess`hcl. Xbtolr tobf
b iefsuklr liefeky, to`s w`cc hl b iefslrvlr liefeky.
Tol sw`tio grek efl slt eg pr`er`t`ls bfd `filft`vls (iefsuklr`sk) te tol etolr
(iefslrvbt`ef) `kpc`ls fet must b kbmer iobfjl `f Bklr`ibf iucturl hut bcse b vbst so`gt
4 \.Y. Hurlbu eg Liefek`i Bfbcys`s, "Tbhcl 2.2.<. Jress Deklst`i reduit," biilssld Ylptlkhlr 4, 8>2<,ottp=//www.hlb.jev/`Tbhcl/`Tbhcl.igk5Xlq@D;0&stlp;2#rlq`d;0&stlp;9&`sur`;2&0>9;<.< X`iobrd Ol`fhlrj, "Tol Hr`lg, Trbj`i Xl`jf eg Iefsuklr`sk," Jrllf Yei`bc Toeujot= B Kbjbz`fl eg Yyftols`s & Xljlflrbt`ef 74(Ypr`fj 8>24)= 2?-8>.
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 22
`f heto tol liefeky bfd `f jevlrfklft pec`iy, w`to `kpc`ibt`efs ger flbrcy lvlry
`fdustry. @g to`s so`gt `s te eiiur w`to b k`f`kuk eg strlss, `t soeucd hl toeujot eut
bolbd eg t`kl bfd ju`dld w`to pec`iy. Zl sll c`ttcl lv`dlfil eg suio pcbff`fj iurrlftcy,
bfd `t `s fet iclbr wobt jevlrfklftbc hedy weucd obvl tol butoer`ty bfd ibpbi`ty te
ufdlrtbal `t. Fer de wl ylt sll b iucturl so`gt pewlrguc bfd hrebd-hbsld lfeujo tepreplc pec`iy iobfjl.
Tol rlflwbhcl liefeky w`cc c`alcy hl scewlr bfd kerl ceibc. Liefek`i jrewto kby
rlvlrsl `tslcg bs plr ibp`tb iefsukpt`ef sor`fas1 `g wl brl te bvlrt b g`fbfi`bc irbso (bfd
plrobps b rlvecut`ef bs wlcc) wl kby flld b d`gglrlft liefek`i erjbf`z`fj pr`fi`pcl. @f
olr rlilft heea ef ic`kbtl iobfjl, To`s Iobfjls Lvlryto`fj , Fbek` Acl`f bsas woltolr
ibp`tbc`sk hl prlslrvld `f tol lrb eg ic`kbtl iobfjl1 wo`cl `t prehbhcy ibf (ibp`tbc`sk
fllds preg`t kerl tobf jrewto), tobt kby fet hl b jeed `dlb hlibusl, `f tol bhslfil eg
evlrbcc jrewto, preg`ts ger sekl w`cc obvl te iekl bt b iest te lvlryefl lcsl. Bfd to`s `slxbitcy wobt wl obvl hllf sll`fj `f tol ylbrs s`fil tol g`fbfi`bc irbso eg 8>>?.
Yeuril= Lkkbfulc Yblz bfd Jbhr`lc ]uikbf, "Zlbcto @flqubc`ty `f tol \f`tld Ytbtls s`fil 2029= Lv`dlfilgrek Ibp`tbc`zld @fiekl Tbx Dbtb," Eitehlr 8>2<, gertoiek`fj `f Rubrtlrcy Meurfbc eg Liefek`is 1ottp=//lkc.hlralcly.ldu/~sblz/#`fiekl.
Tol `dlb eg b iefslrvlr liefeky obs hllf breufd bt clbst s`fil tol 20:>s, bfd heto tol
Lureplbf dljrewto kevlklft bfd tol clbdlrs eg tol rlcbt`vlcy flw d`si`pc`fl eg
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 28
liecej`ibc liefek`is obvl j`vlf `t b cet eg toeujot. Tol`r `fs`jots dlslrvl te hl bt tol
ilftlr eg lflrjy trbfs`t`ef d`siuss`efs.
<. ^epucbt`ef jrewto kbals lvlryto`fj obrdlr
B d`siuss`ef eg pepucbt`ef k`jot sllk egg-tep`i. Hut `g lflrjy bfd kbtlr`bcs (wo`io
rlprlslft lkhed`ld lflrjy) brl c`alcy te hl kerl sibril `f tol dlibdls bolbd eg us,
pepucbt`ef jrewto w`cc klbf lvlf clss iefsukpt`ef plr ibp`tb. Bfd jcehbc pepucbt`ef `s
`fdlld jrew`fj= ef b flt hbs`s (h`rtos k`fus dlbtos) wl brl iurrlftcy bdd`fj ?8 k`cc`ef
oukbfs te tol reccs lbio ylbr,7 b cbrjlr fukhlr tobf bt bfy t`kl `f tol pbst, lvlf `g tol
rbtl eg jrewto `s scew`fj.
^epucbt`ef jrewto eg tol pbst ilftury wbs lfbhcld hy gbiters—kbfy eg wo`io trbil
hbia te tol bvb`cbh`c`ty eg bhufdbft, iolbp lflrjy bfd tol bhufdbft, iolbp geed tobt `t
lfbhcld—tobt kby hl rlbio`fj b pe`ft eg d`k`f`so`fj rlturfs. ^ec`iy kbalrs gbil tol
dli`s`ef few eg woltolr te oukbflcy rlduil pepucbt`ef hy preket`fj gbk`cy pcbff`fj
bfd hy puhc`i plrsubs`ef—hy rb`s`fj tol lduibt`efbc clvlc eg peer weklf breufd tol
wercd bfd j`v`fj weklf gucc ieftrec evlr tol`r rlpreduit`vl r`jots—er te clt fbturl dlbc
w`to evlrpepucbt`ef `f ufflilssbr`cy hrutbc wbys. Ger dltb`cld rliekklfdbt`efs
rljbrd`fj pepucbt`ef kbttlrs, iefsuct pepucbt`ef erjbf`zbt`efs suio bs epucbt`ef
@fst`tutl: bfd ^epucbt`ef Kld`b Ilftlr?. ^epucbt`ef `s b ic`kbtl `ssul.
7. Gess`c gulcs brl tee vbcubhcl te bcceibtl seclcy
hy tol kbralt
Eur bfbcys`s sujjlsts tobt lvlf `g wl suiilld `f keh`c`z`fj tol pec`t`ibc w`cc bfd tol
g`fbfi`bc wolrlw`tobc te kevl bwby grek gess`c gulcs bctejltolr, `fdustr`bc sei`lt`ls w`cc
flld te allp us`fj gess`c gulcs ger sekl bppc`ibt`efs uft`c tol vlry g`fbc stbjls eg tol
lflrjy trbfs`t`ef—bfd pess`hcy hlyefd, ger fef-lflrjy purpesls. Irui`bccy, wl w`cc
flld te usl gess`c gulcs (ger tol t`kl hl`fj, bfywby) ger `fdustr`bc preilssls bfd
7 \f`tld Fbt`efs, Dlpbrtklft eg Liefek`i bfd Yei`bc Bggb`rs, Tol Zercd ^epucbt`ef Y`tubt`ef `f 8>24, (Flw Pera= \f`tldFbt`efs, 8>24).: ottp=//pepucbt ef`fst`tutl.erj/.? ottp=//pepucbt`efkld`b.erj/.
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 29
trbfspertbt`ef flldld te hu`cd bfd `fstbcc rlflwbhcl lflrjy systlks.0 Zl w`cc bcse flld
te ieft`ful us`fj gess`c gulcs `f bjr`iucturl, kbfugbitur`fj, bfd jlflrbc trbfspertbt`ef,
uft`c rehust rlflwbhcl lflrjy-hbsld tliofecej`ls brl bvb`cbhcl. To`s `kpc`ls slvlrbc
prehclks.
Bs tol hlst eg eur rlkb`f`fj gess`c gulcs brl dlpcltld, sei`lty w`cc hy flilss`ty hl
lxtrbit`fj bfd hurf`fj lvlr cewlr-jrbdl iebc, e`c, bfd fbturbc jbs. Zl sll to`s trlfd
bcrlbdy gbr bdvbfild `f tol pltrecluk `fdustry, wolrl v`rtubccy bcc flw preduit`ef
presplits `fvecvl t`jot e`c, tbr sbfds, uctrb-olbvy e`c, dllpwbtlr e`c, er Brit`i e`c—bcc eg
wo`io lftb`c o`jo preduit`ef iests bfd o`jo lfv`refklftbc r`sa bs iekpbrld te
iefvlft`efbc e`c geufd bfd preduild dur`fj tol 8>to ilftury. Hurf`fj tolsl olbv`lr,
d`rt`lr gulcs w`cc irlbtl lvlr kerl ie-peccutbfts tobt obvl b d`sprepert`efbtl olbcto
`kpbit bfd hurdlf ef cew-`fiekl iekkuf`t`ls. Tol gbit tobt tol gess`c gulc `fdustry
w`cc rlqu`rl lvlr-`firlbs`fj clvlcs eg `fvlstklft plr uf`t eg lflrjy y`lcdld obs b jceeky`kpc`ibt`ef ger tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef= sei`lty‐s bvb`cbhcl ibp`tbc w`cc obvl te hl d`rlitld
tewbrd tol dltlr`erbt`fj gess`c gulc sliter te kb`ftb`f iurrlft slrv`ils, must bs kuio
kerl ibp`tbc `s bcse flldld te gufd tol hu`cd-eut eg rlflwbhcls. Yllk`fjcy tol efcy wby
te bve`d to`s trbp weucd hl te puso tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef bs qu`iacy bs pess`hcl, se tobt
wl brlf‐t stuia twe er torll dlibdls grek few st`cc dlplfdlft ef gess`c gulcs tobt, hy
tolf, w`cc hl rlqu`r`fj se kuio `fvlstklft te g`fd bfd lxtrbit tobt sei`lty kby fet hl
bhcl te bggerd tol trbfs`t`ef premlit.
Hut tolrl‐s bcse b prehclk w`to biilclrbt`fj tol trbfs`t`ef tee kuio. Y`fil wl usl gess`c
gulcs te hu`cd tol `fgrbstruiturl ger rlflwbhcls, splld`fj up tol trbfs`t`ef ieucd klbf
bf evlrbcc `firlbsl `f lk`ss`efs—ufclss wl rlduil etolr iurrlft usls eg gess`c gulcs. @f
etolr werds, wl kby obvl te dlpr`vl sekl sliters eg tol liefeky eg gess`c gulcs hlgerl
bdlqubtl rlflwbhcl suhst`tutls brl bvb`cbhcl, `f erdlr te gulc tol trbfs`t`ef w`toeut
`firlbs`fj evlrbcc jrllfoeusl jbs lk`ss`efs. To`s weucd trbfscbtl te b rlduit`ef `f
evlrbcc lflrjy iefsukpt`ef bfd `f tol liefek`i hlflg`ts eg lflrjy usl (toeujo kefly
sbvld grek iefslrvbt`ef bfd lgg`i`lfiy weucd oeplguccy rlduil tol `kpbit), bfd to`s
weucd obvl te hl defl w`toeut predui`fj b rljrlss`vl `kpbit ef bcrlbdy vucflrbhcl bfd
liefek`ibccy d`sbdvbftbjld iekkuf`t`ls.
0 Ger b jc`kpsl bt wobt a`fd eg lflrjy obs te hl lxplfdld te trbfspert bfd bsslkhcl b s`fjcl w`fd turh`fl, t‐s werto wbtio`fjto`s v`dle= ottp=//h`t.cy/trbfspert-bsslkhcl-w`fd-turh`fl.
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 24
Zl kby hl lftlr`fj b plr`ed eg gess`c gulc tr`bjl. Xbtolr tobf bcceibt`fj gess`c gulcs
s`kpcy ef b kbralt hbs`s (toesl woe pby ger tolk jlt tolk), `t kby hl gb`rlr, lspli`bccy
te cewlr-`fiekl i`t`zlfs, ger jevlrfklft (w`to wbrt`kl pewlrs) te bcceibtl gulcs
purpeslguccy hbsld ef tol strbtlj`i `kpertbfil eg tol sei`ltbc sliters tobt dlplfd ef
tolk, bfd ef tol rlcbt`vl lbsl bfd t`klc`flss eg trbfs`t`ef`fj toesl sliters te rlflwbhclsuhst`tutls. Bjr`iucturl, ger lxbkpcl, k`jot hl dllkld tol o`jolst pr`er`ty ger
ieft`fuld gess`c gulc bcceibt`efs, w`to iekklri`bc b`r trbvlc bssuk`fj b gbr cewlr
pr`er`ty. ^lrobps wl flld fet must b pr`il ef ibrhef, hut d`gglrlft pr`ils ger d`gglrlft
usls. Zl sll vlry c`ttcl d`siuss`ef eg to`s presplit `f tol iurrlft lflrjy pec`iy c`tlrbturl.
Gurtolr, glw jevlrfklfts lvlf iurrlftcy biafewcldjl tol flld ger b ibrhef hudjlt. Tol
pec`t`ibc ilftlr eg jrbv`ty, pbrt`iucbrcy `f tol \f`tld Ytbtls, w`cc obvl te so`gt
s`jf`g`ibftcy hlgerl dli`s`ef kbalrs ibf puhc`icy biafewcldjl tol flld ger gess`c gulc
tr`bjl.
Bs gess`c gulcs jrew kerl iestcy te lxtrbit, tolrl kby hl lvlr-jrlbtlr tlkptbt`ef te usl
eur bvb`cbhcl lflrjy bfd `fvlstklft ibp`tbc klrlcy te kb`ftb`f lx`st`fj iefsukpt`ef
pbttlrfs (c`alcy ger tol r`io bhevl bcc), bfd te put egg tol lggert tobt tol trbfs`t`ef
`kpc`ls. @g wl de tobt, wl w`cc lvlftubccy rlbp tol werst eg bcc pess`hcl eutiekls—
ic`kbtl iobes, b juttld liefeky, bfd fe ieft`fu`fj wolrlw`tobc te hu`cd b hr`djl te b
rlflwbhcl lflrjy guturl.
:. Lqu`ty w`to`f bfd hltwllf fbt`efs obs tehl bddrlssld
Tol bh`c`ty te obrflss lflrjy irlbtls wlbcto bfd iefglrs sei`bc pewlr. Z`to tol bdvlft eg
gess`c gulcs ibkl b ruso eg wlbcto bfd pewlr suio bs tol wercd obd flvlr hlgerl sllf.
Fbturbccy, oukbf`tbr`bfs sbw to`s bs bf eppertuf`ty te sprlbd wlbcto bfd pewlr breufd
se bs te c`gt bcc eg oukbf`ty bhevl drudjlry, lc`k`fbtl oufjlr, bfd lvlf put bf lfd te
wbr. Bfd te b cbrjl dljrll tobt eppertuf`ty obs hllf sl`zld= evlrbcc, io`cd kertbc`ty rbtls
brl dewf, c`gl lxplitbfiy `s up, `fglit`eus d`slbsls brl ef tol dlic`fl, oufjlr obs hllfrlduild (lvlf bs pepucbt`ef obs drbkbt`ibccy jrewf), bfd kertbc`ty grek v`eclfil obs
dlic`fld s`fil tol lfd eg Zercd Zbr @@.2>
2> \f`tld Fbt`efs, Dlpbrtklft eg Liefek`i bfd Yei`bc Bggb`rs, Tol Zercd Kertbc`ty Xlpert 8>29, (Flw Pera= \f`tld Fbt`efs,8>29). Zercd Olbcto Erjbf`zbt`ef, Zercd Olbcto Ytbt`st`is 8>2<, (Jlflvb= ZOE rlss, 8>2<). @GBD GBE, bfd ZG^, "Tol Ytbtleg Geed @fsliur`ty f tol Zercd 8>2<= Kllt`fj tol 8>2< @ftlrfbt efbc Oufjlr Tbrjlts= Tba`fj Yteia eg \flvlf rejrlss,"
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 2<
Plt jcehbccy, wlbctoy `fdustr`bc fbt`efs obvl d sprepert`efbtlcy hlflg`ttld grek tol
gess`c gulc rlvecut`ef wo`cl peerlr fbt`efs obvl d`sprepert`efbtlcy herfl tol iests. Bfd
b s`k`cbr d`spbr`ty bcse lx`sts w`to`f fbt`efs, heto r`io bfd peer efls. Gurtolr, tol
`fmust`il eg lflrjy wlbcto vs. lflrjy pevlrty `s `firlbs`fjcy kbjf`g`ld hy ic`kbtl
`kpbits, wo`io gbcc d`sprepert`efbtlcy upef lflrjy peer sei`lt`ls—heto hlibusl egjlejrbpo`ibc obpplfstbfil bfd hlibusl toly de fet obvl tol sbkl clvlc eg rlseurils te
dlvetl tewbrd bdbptbt`ef.
Few wl brr`vl bt b iressrebds, wolrl tol wlbcto-jlflrbt`fj lflrjy seurils eg tol pbst
twe ilftur`ls (gess`c gulcs) kust j`vl wby te d`gglrlft lflrjy seurils. Zo`cl tol dlibdls
bolbd kby sll dlic`f`fj plr ibp`tb lflrjy iefsukpt`ef `f tol `fdustr`bc`zld wercd, tol
trbfs`t`ef te rlflwbhcl lflrjy dels fet butekbt`ibccy olrbcd b kerl ljbc`tbr`bf guturl.
Lftrlfiold liefek`i `ftlrlsts tobt hlflg`tld d`sprepert`efbtlcy dur`fj tol gess`c gulc
lrb kby slla te kb`ftb`f tol`r bdvbftbjls bs lvlryefl lcsl bdmusts te cewlriefsukpt`ef clvlcs, bttlkpt`fj te lfsurl tobt tol`r sc`il eg b d`k`f`so`fj p`l `s clgt
ufteuiold. @t `s bcse pess`hcl tobt fbt`efs, bfd wlbctoy iekkuf`t`ls w`to`f fbt`efs, w`cc
hu`cd rehust, cbrjlcy slcg-ieftb`fld rlflwbhcl lflrjy systlks wo`cl lvlryefl lcsl
ieft`fuls te dlplfd upef `firlbs`fjcy dysgufit`efbc bfd lxplfs`vl lclitr`i`ty jr`ds tobt
brl `firlbs`fjcy stbrvld eg gulc. @f l`tolr ibsl, iurrlft clvlcs eg liefek`i `flqubc`ty
ieucd plrs`st er werslf.
^ursu`fj tol rlflwbhcl lflrjy trbfs`t`ef w`toeut lqu`ty `f k`fd weucd c`alcy deek tol
lft`rl premlit. \fclss tol `ftlrlsts eg plepcl bt cewlr liefek`i clvlcs brl tbalf `fte
biieuft bfd lx`st`fj `flqubc`t`ls brl rlduild, tol `flv`tbhcl strlssls biiekpbfy`fj to`s
bcc-lfiekpbss`fj sei`ltbc trbfsgerkbt`ef ieucd rlsuct `f lvlr-dllplr d`v`s`efs heto
hltwllf bfd w`to`f fbt`efs, bfd clbd te eplf iefgc`it. Ef tol etolr obfd, `g lvlryefl `s
drbwf `fte b v`s`efbry premlit tobt lftb`cs sobrld lggert bs wlcc bs sobrld jb`fs, tol
rlsuct ieucd hl evlrwolck`fjcy hlflg`i`bc ger bcc eg oukbf`ty. To`s `s trul, eg ieursl, fet
efcy ger tol rlflwbhcl lflrjy trbfs`t`ef hut bcse ger eur rlspefsl te `kpbits eg ic`kbtl
iobfjl tobt brl hy few ufbve`dbhcl.
(Xekl= GBE, 8>2<). Y`kef Grbslr \f`vlrs`ty Yioeec ger @ftlrfbt`efbc Ytud`ls, Oukbf Yliur`ty Xlslbrio Jreup, Oukbf
Yliur`ty Xlpert 8>29, (Wbfieuvlr= Oukbf Yliur`ty Xlslbrio Jreup, 8>29).
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 27
?. Lvlryto`fj `s iefflitld
Toreujoeut tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef, jrlbt bttlft`ef w`cc obvl te hl j`vlf te tol
`ftlrdlplfdlft c`fabjls bfd suppcy iob`fs iefflit`fj vbr`eus sliters (iekkuf`ibt`efs,
k`f`fj, bfd trbfspert af`t tejltolr kest eg wobt wl de `f `fdustr`bc sei`lt`ls). Yekl
c`fas `f suppcy iob`fs w`cc hl obrd te suhst`tutl, bfd iob`fs ibf hl hr`ttcl= b prehclk w`to
lvlf efl c`fa ibf `kplr`c tol lft`rl iob`f. To`s `s tol kedlrf kbf`glstbt`ef eg tol ecd
furslry roykl, –ger tol wbft eg b fb`c…tol a`fjdek wbs cest.‛
Iefs`dlr, ger lxbkpcl, tol suppcy iob`f bfbcys`s ger w`fd turh`fls.
Yeuril= T`cc ]`kklrkbff, Kbx Xlohlrjlr, bfd Ytlgbf J÷Õc`fj-Xl`slkbff, –Kbtlr`bc Gcews Xlsuct`fj grekCbrjl Yibcl Dlpceyklft eg Z`fd Lflrjy `f Jlrkbfy,‛ Xlseurils 8>29, 8(9), 9>9-9941de`=2>.990>/rlseurils8>9>9>9.
Tol jrbpo`i bhevl soews tol vbr`eus iekpeflfts, lbio w`to `ts ewf kbfugbitur`fj
sliter seklwolrl `f tol wercd.
^cbff`fj w`cc flld te tbal suio `ftlrdlplfdlfi`ls `fte biieuft. Bs lvlry liecej`st
afews, yeu ibf‐t de must efl to`fj.
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 2:
0. To`s `s fet pcuj-bfd-pcby1 `t `s i`v`c`zbt`ef
rlheet
Lflrjy trbfs`t`efs iobfjl lvlryto`fj. Grek b puhc`i rlcbt`efs stbfdpe`ft, `t kby hl
olcpguc te j`vl pec`t`i`bfs er tol jlflrbc puhc`i tol `kprlss`ef tobt c`gl w`cc je ef bshlgerl wo`cl wl ufpcuj iebc pewlr pcbfts bfd pcuj `f secbr pbflcs, hut tol rlbc`ty w`cc
prehbhcy hl qu`tl d`gglrlft. Dur`fj o`ster`i lflrjy trbfs`t`efs, liefek`ls bfd pec`t`ibc
systlks ufdlrwlft pregeufd kltbkerpoesls. Tolrl `s fe rlbsef te suppesl tobt `t w`cc
hl d`gglrlft to`s t`kl breufd. @g to`s `s defl r`jot, tol iobfjls tobt kust tbal pcbil w`cc
hr`fj w`to tolk eppertuf`t`ls ger sei`ltbc `kprevlklft bfd tol jrlbtlr wlcchl`fj eg
lvlryefl—`ficud`fj tol rlst eg tol h`espolrl.
* * *
Ger lvlry bfswlr Dbv`d Gr`dcly bfd @ `dlft`g`ld te tol prehclk eg oew te pewlr b
kedlrf `fdustr`bc sei`lty w`to 2>> plrilft rlflwbhcl lflrjy, `t sllkld tobt efl er
kerl qulst`efs peppld up. Ger lxbkpcl, b kbss`vl dlpceyklft eg lclitr`i ibrs weucd
drbst`ibccy rlduil eur dlplfdlfil ef e`c—hut oew w`cc wl kbal lclitr`i ibrs w`toeut
gess`c gulcs ger pcbst`is bfd t`rls5 Tol o`jo tlkplrbturls ger `fdustr`bc preilssls usld te
kbal jcbss bfd stllc ger toesl ibrs ieucd hl suppc`ld hy rlflwbhcl lclitr`i`ty, hut bt
wobt pr`il5 Bfd oew w`cc wl hu`cd bfd rlpb`r rebds5
Ytud`ls soew`fj bf lbsy bfd bggerdbhcl pbto te 2>> plrilft rlflwbhcl lflrjy typ`ibccy
obvl bf bjlfdb w`to wo`io wl lft`rlcy iefiur= tol trbfs`t`ef bwby grek gess`c gulcs bfd
tewbrd rlflwbhcl lflrjy kust eiiur, wobtlvlr tol rebdhceias. Yekl eg toesl
rebdhceias tbal tol gerk eg s`kpcl `flrt`b= iekpbf`ls—`fdlld, woecl sei`lt`ls—w`cc
`fvlst `f gufdbklftbc iobfjls te tol`r wbys eg de`fj hus`flss efcy wolf toly obvl te,
bfd kest brl qu`tl iekgertbhcl w`to tol`r iurrlft gess`c-gulc-dlplfdlft preilssls,
suppcy iob`fs, bfd eg ieursl sufa iests.
Ytud`ls icb`k`fj tobt b trbfs`t`ef te rlflwbhcl lflrjy w`cc hl lbsy bfd iest-grll kby
bccby glbrs bfd tous olcp splld tol trbfs`t`ef. Oewlvlr, swllp`fj bitubc d`gg`iuct`ls
ufdlr tol ibrplt bcse dlcbys iefgreft`fj tolk. Zl flld te stbrt few te bddrlss tol
prehclks eg lflrjy dlkbfd bdbptbt`ef, eg hbcbfi`fj `ftlrk`ttlfiy `f lflrjy suppcy
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 2?
grek secbr bfd w`fd, bfd eg lflrjy suhst`tut`ef `f toeusbfds eg `fdustr`bc preilssls.
Toesl brl h`j mehs, bfd `jfer`fj tolk wef‐t kbal tolk je bwby.
@g kbfy eg tol ufafewfs `f tol rlflwbhcl lflrjy trbfs`t`ef `kpcy rebdhceias bfd splld
hukps, sekl ieucd turf eut te hl eppertuf`t`ls, bfd wl iollrguccy biafewcldjl tobt
kbfy iefufdruks kby hl kuio kerl lbs`cy secvld tobf iurrlftcy bpplbrs c`alcy. Ger
lxbkpcl, `t `s iefil`vbhcl tobt flw tliof`ibc bdvbfils ieucd rlsuct `f b zlre-ibrhef
ilklft tobt `s iolbplr te kbal tobf tol iurrlft ibrhef-`ftlfs`vl vbr`lty.22 Hut tobt‐s
lxtrlklcy ufc`alcy te obpplf uft`c slr`eus bttlft`ef `s j`vlf te tol prehclk.
Bt tol lfd eg tol rlflwbhcl lflrjy trbfs`t`ef, `g `t `s suiilssguc, wl w`cc bio`lvl sbv`fjs
`f efje`fj lflrjy lxplfd`turls flldld ger lbio `firlklft eg liefek`i preduit`ef, bfd
wl kby hl rlwbrdld w`to b qubc`ty eg c`gl tobt `s biilptbhcl bfd plrobps prlglrbhcl evlr
eur iurrlft efl (lvlf toeujo, ger kest Bklr`ibfs, kbtlr`bc iefsukpt`ef w`cc hl sibcldhbia grek `ts iurrlft ufsustb`fbhcl clvlc). Zl w`cc jlt b kuio kerl stbhcl ic`kbtl tobf
weucd etolrw`sl hl tol ibsl, bcefj w`to jrlbtcy rlduild olbcto bfd lfv`refklftbc
`kpbits grek lflrjy preduit`ef bit`v`t`ls.
Hut tol trbfs`t`ef w`cc lftb`c iests—`f tlrks eg kefly, rljucbt`ef, bfd tol rlqu`rlklft
te iobfjl eur hlobv`er bfd lxplitbt`efs. Bfd dlcby weucd hl gbtbc.
Xliekklfdbt`efs
Hlcew brl sekl sujjlst`efs jlbrld spli`g`ibccy te lfv`refklftbc fefpreg`ts bfd
gufdlrs.
Lfv`refklftbc erjbf`zbt`efs
• Irlbtl sei`bc keklftuk te suppert b jcehbc pewlrdewf, olcp`fj prlpbrl sei`lty
ger bf lggert bfd b so`gt bs oujl bs tol @fdustr`bc Xlvecut`ef. Zo`cl tol iefilrf
bheut prev`d`fj eppeflfts w`to bkkuf`t`ef s ufdlrstbfdbhcl, dewfpcby`fj er
`jfer`fj tol rlbc `kpc`ibt`efs eg tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef kby fet efcy lfjlfdlr
22 Yusbf Arblklr, "]lre Ibrhef Ilklft reduit`ef w`to Yecbr Tolrkbc," Iclbf Tliof`ib, Bpr`c 2>, 8>28,ottp=//iclbftliof`ib.iek/8>28/>4/2>/zlre-ibrhef-ilklft-preduit`ef-w`to-secbr-tolrkbc/. To`s brt`icl s bf lxbkpcl, hut tol–iolbplr te kbal‛ dlplfds ef tol sbcl eg tol rlsuctbft ibrhef kefex`dl, tol pr`il eg wo`io toly i`tl s iurrlft. @g tol kbraltwlrl lxpbfdld w`to ilklft IE, tolf tol pr`il weucd drep drbkbt`ibccy s`fil tolrl weucd hl evlr b h`cc`ef teffls eg IE te slcc.
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 20
d`strust, `t k`jot bcse wbstl bf eppertuf`ty te prev`dl plepcl w`to b slfsl eg
bjlfiy.
• Zolrl aly usls eg gess`c gulcs brl lspli`bccy obrd te suhst`tutl (bv`bt`ef gulc, ger
lxbkpcl), brjul ger wera-breufds (suio bs rb`c) er ger tol kbfbjld, jrbdubc
sibc`fj dewf eg toesl usls.
• Lxpcerl oew tol trbfs`t`ef ieucd prev`dl sbt`sgy`fj c`vlc`oeeds bfd suppert
tor`v`fj ceibc`zld, stlbdy stbtl, i`riucbr liefek`ls. Tol Trbfs`t`ef Fltwera obs
bcrlbdy j`vlf iefs`dlrbhcl toeujot te to`s.28 Erjbf`zbt`efs eg yeufj erjbf`i
gbrklrs bfd gbrklr trb`f`fj slrv`ils efcy sirbtio tol surgbil eg wobt `s flldld.29
Tol Hus`flss Bcc`bfil ger Ceibc C`v`fj Liefek`ls (HBCCL) `s prev`d`fj
fltwera`fj slrv`ils ger sustb`fbhcl lftlrpr`sls, hut ieucd plrobps prev`dl kerl
eg b trb`f`fj gufit`ef `g `t wlrl suppertld te de se.
• Tbal b clbdlrso`p recl `f `f`t`bt`fj v`s`efbry premlits te gurtolr tol lflrjy
trbfs`t`ef, tolf lfc`st iekkuf`t`ls te tbal toesl premlits ef, bfd te hlflg`t grek
tolk. Tolsl ieucd hl rlflwbhcl lflrjy, ceibc geed, trbfspert, `kpert
suhst`tut`ef, rliyic`fj, er lflrjy lgg`i`lfiy premlits—tol pess`h`c`t`ls brl flbrcy
lfdclss.
• @f bdd`t`ef te rls`st`fj tol dek`fbfil eg gess`c gulcs, lfjbjl w`to iekkuf`t`ls te
irlbtl plrsubs`vl kedlcs eg oew plepcl ibf c`vl bfd tor`vl w`to kuio-rlduild
rlc`bfil ef gess`c gulcs.
• Bdveibtl ger b must trbfs`t`ef te rlflwbhcl lflrjy tobt hlflg ts bcc plepcl bfd
iekkuf`t`ls. @g tol FJE wercd delsf‐t de to`s, woe w`cc5 Bfd w`toeut suio
bdveibiy, tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef ieucd bitubccy lxbilrhbtl lx`st`fj `flqu`ty.
^o`cbftorepy
Tol po`cbftorep`i sliter `flv`tbhcy lxlrts b vlry cbrjl `fgculfil evlr tol pr`er`t`ls eg
fefpreg`t erjbf`zbt`efs tobt t gufds. Gufdlrs soeucd firlbs`fjcy suppert=
28 Yll ger lxbkpcl tol XLiefeky premlit, ottp=//www.rliefeky.erj.29 Yll ger lxbkpcl tol Jrllfoerfs, ottp=//www.toljrllfoerfs.flt1 tol Bjr`iucturl bfd Cbfd-Hbsld Trb`f`fj Bssei`bt`ef,ottp=//www.bchbgbrklrs.erj1 Xejul Gbrk Ierps, ottp=//www.rejulgbrkierps.erj1 bfd Jrllfhbfa Gbrk,ottp=//jrllfhbfagbrk.h`z/egs/.
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Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^ 82 8>
• Lggerts te lduibtl bfd `fsp`rl i`t`zlfs bheut tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef.
• ^remlits tobt `fvecvl dlvlcepklft eg flw liefek`i kedlcs tobt lfbhcl plepcl te
c`vl w`to clss lflrjy, hut `f wbys tobt hr`fj jrlbtlr c`gl sbt`sgbit`ef.
•
Xlpc`ibhcl kedlcs eg iekkuf`ty dlvlcepklft tobt `ficudl tba`fj iobrjl eg ceibc
lflrjy preduit`ef bfd rldui`fj gess`c gulc dlkbfd biress kbfy sliters.
Gufdlrs ieucd bcse olcp tol fefpreg`t iekkuf`ty v`lw tol lflrjy trbfs`t`ef bs b
systlk`i trbfsgerkbt`ef, efl tobt efcy hlj`fs w`to soutt`fj dewf iebc pewlr pcbfts.
Tol tliof`ibc ieerd`fbt`ef eg tol rlflwbhcl trbfs`t`ef `s `tslcg bf lferkeus tbsa, bfd
iurrlftcy fehedy `s obfdc`fj `t. @t w`cc c`alcy rlqu`rl b jcehbc butoer`ty te dltlrk`fl oew
te d`rlit tol usl eg tol wercd‐s rlkb`f`fj hurfbhcl gess`c gulcs—woltolr tewbrd tol
gurtolr jrewto eg iefvlft`efbc kbfugbitur`fj bfd trbfspertbt`ef, er tewbrd tol hu`cd-
eut eg rlflwbhcl lflrjy-hbsld jlflrbt`ef bfd iefsukpt`ef `fgrbstruiturl. Efcy suio bf
butoer`ty ieucd jcehbccy pr`er`t`zl bfd ieerd`fbtl sliterbc so`gts (`f bjr`iucturl,
trbfspert, kbfugbitur`fj, bfd hu`cd`fjs) te rlduil gess`c gulc iefsukpt`ef bs qu`iacy bs
pess`hcl w`toeut rldui`fj liefek`i hlflg`ts `f ufbiilptbhcl wbys.
Hut `f tol bhslfil eg suio bf `ftlrfbt`efbc butoer`ty, tol efus eg to`s wera w`cc gbcc
cbrjlcy upef fefpreg`t lfv`refklftbc erjbf`zbt`efs bfd tol`r gufdlrs, bcefj w`to
fbt`efbc bfd ceibc jevlrfklfts.
Efl wby er bfetolr, `t‐s t`kl te kbal b pcbf—bs iekprlolfs`vl bfd dltb`cld bs wl ibf
kbfbjl—bfd ruf w`to `t, rlv`s`fj `t bs wl je. Bfd te –slcc‛ tobt pcbf, oeflstcy hut
sa`ccguccy, te pec`iy kbalrs bfd eur glccew i`t`zlfs.
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Bheut tol Butoer
X`iobrd Ol`fhlrj `s Ylf`er Glccew-`f-Xls`dlfil bt ^est Ibrhef @fst`tutl bfd w`dlcy
rljbrdld bs efl eg tol wercd‐s gerlkest lduibters ef tol flld te trbfs`t`ef bwby
grek gess`c gulcs. Ol `s tol bwbrd-w`ff`fj butoer eg twlcvl heeas, `ficud`fj sekl eg
tol slk`fbc weras ef sei`lty‐s iurrlft lflrjy bfd lfv`refklftbc sustb`fbh`c`ty
ir`s`s suio bs Tol ^brty‐s Evlr= E`c, Zbr & tol Gbtl eg @fdustr`bc Yei`lt`ls (8>>9)
bfd Tol Lfd eg Jrewto= Bdbpt`fj tol Eur Flw Liefek`i Xlbc`ty (8>22).
Ol`fhlrj obs butoerld sierls eg lssbys bfd brt`icls tobt obvl bpplbrld `f suio
meurfbcs bs Fbturl , Bklr`ibf ^resplit , ^uhc`i ec`iy Xlslbrio , Tol Liecej`st ,
Lureplbf Hus`flss Xlv`lw , Lbrto @scbfd Meurfbc , bfd tol Ior`st`bf Yi`lfil Kef`ter .
Ol obs hllf quetld bfd `ftlrv`lwld ieuftclss t`kls ger pr`ft, tlclv`s`ef, bfd rbd`e.
Ol `s b rli`p`lft eg tol K. A`fj Ouhhlrt Bwbrd ger Lxilcclfil `f Lflrjy Lduibt`ef,
bfd `f 8>28 wbs bppe`ftld te O`s Kbmlsty tol A`fj eg Houtbf‐s @ftlrfbt`efbc LxplrtZera`fj Jreup ger tol Flw Dlvlcepklft ^brbd`jk `f`t`bt`vl.
Xlflwbhcl lflrjy bgtlr IE^82=
F`fl `ssuls ger ic`kbtl clbdlrs te to`fa bheut ef tol meurfly oekl
Hy X`iobrd Ol`fhlrj
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