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Remember this?. Will R&D make a difference? What will be different? What is the challenge? Is it big...
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Transcript of Remember this?. Will R&D make a difference? What will be different? What is the challenge? Is it big...
Remember this?
• Will R&D make a difference?
• What will be different?
What is the challenge?
• Is it big enough?• What is the pathway
to impact?
Impact?• Test your
assumptions.• Who is at the table?
Describe the challenge.
How do we get there?Imagine
the future
Harness diversity
Is it big?
Is it possible?
Think hard
Snakes and
Ladders
Harness Diversity
Ensure diversity of experience, perspective, supply chain, culture, gender is involved from the start.
Especially involve end-users (those most likely to be highly impacted).
Do not “cross that bridge when you get to it”, because you might be heading in the wrong direction!
Common mistakes: Lack of a social license because science/societal issues not included; Established infrastructure or systems mean change will be very slow; Policy or regulation issues put off or not considered at all; Impact of competition significantly underestimated; True “pinch points” not identified.
Cone of plausibility.
Andy Hines , Peter C. Bishop Futures, Volume 51, 2013, 31 - 49 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.05.002
Some form of future casting
You are planning to make a big impact five to fifty years from now.
(Former) CSIRO Prioritisation scheme
Economic, social and environmental benefits
Scientific and technological opportunities
Research and technology potential
Potential to absorb economic and social benefits
Criterion 1
Criterion 2
Criterion 3
Criterion 4
Attractiveness
Feasibility
Tech
nolo
gy a
ssessed
Ranking of technology
Attractiveness – feasibility matrix
Feasibility
Att
racti
ven
ess
Almost impossible
Almost certain
Technologies
critical (key)
less important
High
Very low
„wild card“
Limited support
Selective emphasis
Strong emphasis
Is it possible?
Diff
ere
nce it
will
make
Seven years and $100 million
Payoff needs to be big.
TechnicalEconomicEthically
LegalCultural
Is it both possible and high
potential?
Identify pinch points, barriers and accelerators
Skills in the sector Regulatory change
Proceed with caution
How do we get there?Imagine
the future
Harness diversity
Is it big?
Is it possible?
Think hard
Snakes and
Ladders