Reinventing Energy Futures

8/3/2019 Reinventing Energy Futures

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G R O W T H

a r is ing t ide

INFRASTRUCTURE

QUALITY OF LIFE

ENVIRONMENT

C O L L A P S E

shut down

GOVERNANCE

QUALITY OF LIFE

ENVIRONMENT

four v is ions o f energy futuresC O N S T R A I N T

shar ing the load

ECONOMY

QUALITY OF LIFE

T R A N S F O R M A T I O N

a new dawn

GOVERNANCE

ECONOMICS

QUALITY OF LIFE


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six action domainscritical components of a successful energy future

R E S O U R C E S

I N F R A S T R U C T U R E


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G O V E R N A N C E

E C O N O M Y

Q U A L I T Y O F L I F E

E N V I R O NM E NT


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shut downThe technlgical breakthrgh neer came, cnseratin ailed,

and reactie gernment plicy was t little t late. Alternatie

energies cld nt scale ast engh thrgh market rces. The

wrld strggled t salage the nce rbst and reliable energy

inrastrctre. Energy prices hae becme exrbitant and getting

el t ital machines is a cnstant battle. ot this almst ttal

energy cllapse, hweer, a new energy tre is emerging. The u.S.,

haing let its energy inrastrctre crmble, is nw a leaprg natin,

and distribted, renewable energy systems are being deelped.

Lcal micrgrids hld great prmise t take hld in the emerging

regeneratie ecnmy.

a new dawnThere was neer any energy shrtage n Earth, nly a shrtage

in the amnt energy hmans were able t harness and pt t

wrk. Tapping int this abndance energy is leading the wrld

tward a ttal transrmatin hman sciety and marks a csmic

ciilizatinal shit. Led by technlgical adances in slar pwer,

inclding widespread sccess the articial lea, the imprement

in slar eciency and csts, and the deplyment space-based

slar arrays, hmans hae begn t se that giant nclear reactr, the

Sn, mre eectiely and eciently than eer bere. I the pace

technlgical adancement cntines, sme think we will reach the

174 petawatt mark by 2033, jst eight years rm nw.

shar ing the loadIn 2025, il spills, nclear meltdwns, bscene prts r el

prdcers, and accelerating climate disrptins hae nally catalyzed

the plitical will r mre direct and heay-handed gernment cntrl

er eery aspect the energy indstry. The u.S. gernment did nt

wait r renewables t catch p and replace ssil els and nclear

pwer. Instead, it implemented a series mandatry eciency and

cnseratin erts t strictly reglate demand, and sstainably

generate spplies. utilities were highly reglated, as were priate

hmes. While energy is nt the biqits resrce it nce was, i

managed prperly, there is engh r eeryne t meet their needs,

witht destrying the enirnment r leading t energy wars.

a r i s ing t ideAbndant and reliable energy are necessary t maintain ecnmic

and scial stability. By 2025, bth pblic and priate sectr strategies

hae created massie resrce inestment and incentie strctres t

encrage mre rapid grwth in the energy sectr. Energy prdcers

sing ssil els, nclear, wind, slar, and ther renewables hae all

seen signicant retrn n their inestments. unprecedented energy

innatin in bth prdctin and distribtin inrastrctres, as well

as serices and applicatins assciated with the smart grid, hae

prdced recrd prts and jb grwth. Carbn emissins and climate

change hae nt slwed, bt climate disrptins hae led t innatie

adaptatins, inclding sme small-scale geengineering prjects

yielding lcally psitie reslts.

c o n s t R a i n t

G R o W t H c o l l a p s e

t R a n s f o R M a t i o n

Regional, not national,

resilience

Struggles over energy

mandates

Personhood rights for Earth

New resources = new power

brokers

Locally owned energy

Rise of disaster economics

Renewables reach the

tipping point

Extended producer

responsibility: cradle-to-

cradle

Motivating high-tech

workers with a new mission

Peak energy use at the

global level

Religious organizations take

on power

Personal data systems

become more vulnerable

Persuasive technology

drives behavior change

Purchasing access, not

ownership

New energy retail

Garbage in, energy out

Wind, water, and solar for

the win

Recycling heat

Costly nukes

Solar Moores Law

Smart buildings

Energy islanding

Plugged-in mobility

Apps for energy

Energy data in the cloud

Energy conscious food

Growing scrutiny of water

for energy production

Temperatures on the rise

Energy locavores

Geo-engineering

the climate

FORECASTS

FORECASTS

FORECASTS

FORECASTS

FORECASTS

FORECASTS e c o n o M y

Hw will we innatestrng jbs, serices, and

prdcts based n the

energy ecnmy?

Q U a l i t y o f l i f e

Hw will we bild anew relatinship t energy t

spprt better liestyles?

R e s o U R c e s

Hw will weredene els and waste?

i n f R a s t R U c t U R e

Hw will we

interact with new xed,

mbile, and irtal

inrastrctres?

e n v i R o n M e n t

Hw will we reinentr respnses t accelerating

enirnmental latility?

G o v e R n a n c e

Hw will we re-allcatecntrl er energy in a wrld

new pwer plitics?

Stepsin identifyingandcalculatingGHGemmisions

Identifysources

Selectcalculation approach

Collectdataand chooseemission factors

Applycalculation tools

Roll-updatato corporatelevel

Grwth fll-cstMetricsRobust accounting systemssuch as the GreenhouseGas Protocol are enablingcompanies to developcomprehensive and reliableinventories of their GHGemissions.

Agile Energy PrdctsFenix InternationalsReadySet is a safe,

rechargeable battery systemfor charging small devices

when the grid is down ornonexistent.

Source:bloomington.in.gov/p

eakoil

Source:ghgprotocol.org

Source:vatican.va

Source:BloomEnergy

Source:WikimediaCommons

Source:fenixintl.com

Source:MeterRead

Source:Enerkem

PlgShareThis mobile app providesinformation on chargingstations for electric vehicles,and indicates homes andbusinesses that volunteer toshare outlets for recharging.

Distribtin Wind RseNew professions and tools,such as graphs to plot thedistribution of wind resources,are helping reframe land useat the local level.

Mitsbishi Energy BeamMitsubishi Electric Corp. and

IHI Corporation have partneredin a 2 trillion yen ($21 billion)

Japanese project to beamsolar energy to earth within the

next three decades.

vanishing WrldsThis documentary tells the

story of three families inAlaska, India, and China,

whose lives are alreadybeing affected by changing

climates.

Source:PlugShare

Source:vistadatavision.com

Source:hebgadgets.b

logspot.com

Source:indiegogo.com/VANISHING_

WORLDS

BlmEnergys felCell SerersBloomEnergys fuel cellservers, deployed in 2010 forcustomers including Google,eBay, and Walmart, are anearly signal of reemergingcommercial interest in fuel celltechnologies.

Rethinking WasteEnerkem will operate a plant

slated to open in 2012 forindustrial scale production of

biofuels from municipal waste.

Energy St LandingsBloomington, Indiana has

joined the Transition Townsmovement, creating an energydescent action plan for apostpeak world.

New Legal CategriesNations like Bolivia are partof a burgeoning movement

to declare personhood forplanet Earth, granting it therights of any human citizen.

vatican Highlights GHGThe Pontical Academy ofSciences is one of a growingnumber of religious authoritiesbringing issues of climatechange and environmentalfutures to worshippers aroundthe world.

MeterReadMobile apps make behaviorchange easier. You can setup multiple meters to track

your home, solar panels,or car, or to make personalprojections of future usage

patterns.


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HOW TO USE THIS MAP

explore the present, envision the future

ENGAGE the Action Domains

EXPLORE the Alternative Future Scenarios

SCAN the Signals

Acknowledgements

FOR MORE INFORMTION:

I N F R A S T R U C T U R E

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Reinventing Energy Futures

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