REGIONAL TURBOPROP ·...

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PT Regio Aviasi Industri, Indonesia November 2015 The Regioprop R80 New Genera3on Turboprop REGIONAL TURBOPROP

Transcript of REGIONAL TURBOPROP ·...

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PT  Regio  Aviasi  Industri,  Indonesia  November  2015  

The  Regioprop  R-­‐80    New  Genera3on  Turboprop  

 

REGIONAL TURBOPROP  

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Background  

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 PT  Regio  Aviasi  Industri  (RAI)  was  founded  by  HE  BJ  Habibie  in  2012  to  design,  develop,   and   manufacture   a   type-­‐cer3fied,   twin   engine   80   -­‐90   pax   regional  turboprop,  the  R80.      The   R80   is   designed   for   low   opera3ng   economics,   high   reliability   &  maintainability,   excellent   passenger   comfort,   advanced   avionics,   low   pilot  workload   and   comply   to   the   world   airworthiness   standards,   to   serve      Indonesian  as  well  as  Interna3onal  markets.    The  R80  will  be  designed  to  enter  the  market  in  2021.            

PT  REGIO  AVIASI  INDUSTRI  (RAI)  

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The  People  That  Will  Make  It  Happen  

Board  of  Commissioners  

 BJ  Habibie  Chairman  

 

 Ilham  A.  Habibie  Vice  Chairman  2  

 

 Ery  Firmansyah  Vice  Chairman  1  

 

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The  People  That  Will  Make  It  Happen  

 Agung  B.  Ismadi  

Director  of  Business    and  Administra3on  

 

 Agung  Nugroho  President  Director  

   

 Rahayu  S  Arifin  Corp  Secretary  

   

 Harry  Wiguna  

Director  of  Finance      

 Tjahjo  karUko  Director  of  Technology  

 

Board  of  Directors  

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Vision  &  Mission    

• To  become  a  leading  global  aircraW  OEM  with  a  porZolio  of  aircraW  and  related  services;  

• To  achieve  sustainable  growth  through  mee3ng  market  and  customer  requirements,  and  to  see  these  concepts  through  to  flight;  

• To  contribute  to  the  development  of  na3onal  and  interna3onal  aerospace  business,  and  thereby  s3mula3ng  domes3c  GDP  growth  in  Indonesia.    

Vision  

• Firstly,  to  develop  a  sustainable  and  profitable  aircraW  manufacturing  business,  which  upholds  good  governance  principles;  

• Secondly,  to  develop  compe33ve  regional  aircraW  products  in  its  target  market  segments  both  in  terms  of  technology  and  economics;  

• Lastly  the  purpose  of  RAI  is  to  develop  na3onal,  regional  and  interna3onal  partnerships  in  the  aerospace  sector.  

Mission  

Vision,  Mission,  and  Strategy  

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Ø  To  fill  a  gap  in  the  market  with  regards  to  customer  needs  that  are  not  currently  being  met  by  the  compe33on.  

Ø  To  maximize  the  lessons  learned  from  previous  experience  to  develop  a  new  product,  while  implemen3ng  the  state-­‐of-­‐the-­‐art  technology  brings  compe33ve  values  to  the  product.  

Ø  To  build  the  right  ecosystem  around  the  aircraW  plaZorm  to  make  it  successful  and  to  increase  value  of  the  program.  

Ø  To  use  Indonesia  as  the  launch  plaZorm  for  the  program  but  quickly  going  to  the  interna3onal  markets  aWer.  

RAI’s  strategy  is………  

 Vision,  Mission,  and  Strategy  

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Market  Opportunity  Assessment,  World  Market  

Source:  RAI  and  Frost  &  Sullivan  

60-­‐89  seat  demand  is  expected  to  be  aaract  a  total  of  1715  aircraW.    90-­‐120  seat  market  is  expected  to  open  up  in  the  next  decade  with  current  players  developing  market.  

404  

1715  

1147  

30-­‐59  Seats   60-­‐89  Seats   90-­‐120  Seats  

Turboprop  deliveries  by  Seats  2013-­‐2032  

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Indonesia’  GDP  growth  rate  coupled  with  a  large  popula3on  with  an  increasing  disposable  income  is  and  will  drive  the  requirement  for  avia3on.  

Source:  The  Worldbank  

•  Indonesia’s  GDP  has  grown  consistently  over  5%  in  the  last  20  years  

•  Indonesia  shows  tremendous  poten3al  for  avia3on  –  one  of  the  largest  avia3on  growth,  and  yet  only  6%  of  its  250  million  popula3on  have  ever  flown!  

4,78   5,03  5,69   5,50  

6,35   6,01  

4,63  

6,22   6,17   6,03  5,58  

0  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  

2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013  

GDP  Grow

th  (%

)  

Year  

GDP  Growth  of  Indonesia  2003  -­‐  2013  

0  10.000.000  20.000.000  30.000.000  40.000.000  50.000.000  60.000.000  70.000.000  80.000.000  

2003   2005   2007   2009   2011   2013  

Passen

ger  T

raffic  

Year  

Air  Traffic  Passenger  Growth  Indonesia  (2003  -­‐  2013)  

Average  growth  15%  per  annum  for  10  years      

Source:  Ministry  of  Transporta?on,  Indonesia  

Market  Opportunity  Assessment  

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30  [SERIES  NAME]  [VALUE]  

New  Deliveries  

270   298  

2013  Fleet   2013-­‐2032   2013-­‐2032   2032  Fleet  

Indonesia  Fleet  ProjecUons,  60-­‐120  Seats    (2012-­‐2031)  

Fleet  CAGR  12.2%  

• The   current   turboprop   fleet   is   very  small.   However   as   the   economy   has  bloomed   in   the   last   decade,   the  requirement   for   air   travel   has   been  growing;  

• Air   travel   is   the   only   feasible   travel  op3on   for   many   islands   in   the  archipelago  country;  

• Routes   are   short   enough   to   be  covered  economically  by  a  turboprop.  

The  demand  for  turboprops  in  Indonesia  is  270  aircraWs  in  20  years.  RAI  is  in  an  ideal  posi3on  to  serve  this  market.  

Market  Opportunity  Assessment  

Source:  Frost  &  Sullivan,  2013  

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CompeUUve  Analysis  

Q400  flies  at  a  cruise  speed  of  360  knots  which  is  90  knots  faster  than  ATR.  It  also  boasts  of  a  noise  reduc3on  technology  and  increased  passenger  comfort  

611  

439  

80  

221  

36  

210  

 $11,2      $11,9    

 $1,0      $-­‐        

 $2,0    

 $4,0    

 $6,0    

 $8,0    

 $10,0    

 $12,0    

 $14,0    

0  

100  

200  

300  

400  

500  

600  

700  

ATR  72   Q400   MA60*  

Deliveries   Orders   Sales  Value  ($  Billion)#  

ATR  and  Q400  deliveries  and  orders,  2013  

•  ATR  has  a  significant  backlog  of  orders  occupying  their  produc3on  capacity  for  3  years;  

•  The  average  DOC  of  Q400  is  slightly  higher  than  that  of  ATR  (ATR  has  the  least  fuel  cost,  however  due  to  older  fleet  has  higher  maintenance  cost.  The  total  cost  is  marginally  in  favour  of  ATR);  

•  MA60  is  known  to  have  safety  concerns.  

*  -­‐  order  announcements  of  MA60  are  unreliable  as  most  airlines  which  allegedly  have  ordered  are  from  China  

*  -­‐  Average  price  of  ATR72,  Q400  and  MA60  is  $18.25,  $27  and  $12.5  million  respec3vely  

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CompeUUve  Analysis  

Bombardier  and  especially  ATR  are  the  main  compe3tors  for  this  program  though  other  countries  such  as  India  and  Korea  have  poten3al  programs  

50 70 90 110 130 150

ARJ 21-700 ARJ 21-900

MRJ 70 MRJ 90

Superjet 100/75 Superjet 100/95

ERJ 145 EMB 170

EMB 175

EMB 190

EMB 195

CRJ 700 CRJ 900 CRJ 200 CRJ 1000 C Series

In Service

Turboprops

Under Development

Seat Capacity

F&S Analysis

ATR 42 ATR 72

Q400

Ilyushin Il-114

Segment  of  interest  to  RAI  

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R80  Concept  High  Payloads  

Low  Direct  OperaUng  Cost  

Quick  Turn  Around  Time  

Efficient  Engine  

Op3mum  Structure  design    

Easy  Maintenance    &  High  Dispatch  Reliability  

 Excellent  Passenger  Comfort  

Fly  by  Wire    Flight  Control  System  

 Modern  Cockpit  Design    

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R-­‐80  SpecificaUons  and  PosiUoning  

The  R-­‐80  has  been  designed  for  easy  maintenance,  high  dispatch  reliability  and  a  longer  interval  for  AC  checks,  and  will  use  latest/  up-­‐coming  technologies  

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The  R-­‐80  is  posi3oned  closer  to  the  ATR  72,  but  with  more  capacity,  and  retains  some  of  the  flexibility  that  a  Dash  8-­‐Q400  has  in  terms  of  speed,  but  not  range  

R-­‐80  SpecificaUons  and  PosiUoning  

ATR[Y  VALUE]  

Q400  

Q400  High  Density  

R[Y  VALUE]  -­‐  80  Pax  

R80  -­‐  92  Pax  

CRJ  700  

MRJ  90  

ERJ  170  

ERJ  175  CRJ  900  

SSJ100  

70  

75  

80  

85  

90  

95  

250   300   350   400   450   500   550  

Seat  Capacity

 

Speed  (Knot)  

Regional  Turboprop  &  Turbojet  Seat  Capacity  Vs  Speed  

Regional  Turboprop   Regional  Jet  

ATR[Y  VALUE]  

Q400  

Q400  High  Density  

R[Y  VALUE]  -­‐  80  Pax  

R80  -­‐  92  Pax  

CRJ  700  

CRJ  900  

ERJ  170  

ERJ  175  

MRJ  70  

MRJ  90   SSJ100  

70  

75  

80  

85  

90  

95  

250   750   1250   1750  

Seat  Capacity

 

Range  (Nm)  

Regional  Turboprop  &  Turbojet  Seat  Capacity  Vs  Range  

Regional  Turboprop   Regional  Jet  

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 8,780  kg  

 7,600  kg  

0  

1.000  

2.000  

3.000  

4.000  

5.000  

6.000  

7.000  

8.000  

9.000  

10.000  

0   200   400   600   800   1.000   1.200   1.400   1.600   1.800   2.000  

Payloa

d  (kg)  

Range  (nm)  

MA60   DASH8  

R80  

ATR72  

Payload  Range  Comparison  

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Worldwide  Partnership  

R80  is  a  b2b  program,  partnering  with  Indonesian  Strategic  Industry,  PT  Dirgantara  Indonesia  (Indonesian  Aerospace).  Government  support  will  be  in  the  industrial  infrastructure  aspect  and  regula3ons.  

Indonesian  &  Interna3onal  Suppliers  

Indonesian  &  Interna3onal  Suppliers  

PTDI  +  other  industrial  partners  

MRO  

Strategic  Industries  

Parts  Manufacturing  

AircraW  Manufacturing  

Programme  Stake  Holders  

Govt/  Ins3tu3ons  

Leasing  

Interna3onal  &  Tier  1,  2,  3  Suppliers  

Vendor  Items  

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Forecasted  Sales  and  Launch  Customers    

Signing  Leaer  Of  Intent  145  units  R80.  

NAM  Air    orders  100  Aircraes  

Kalstar  AviaUon  orders  25  Aircraes  

Trigana  Air  Service  orders  20  Aircraes  

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PotenUal  Launch  Customers    

RAI  is  currently  in  discussions  with  poten3al  launch  partners  in  Indonesia  showing  posi3ve  response,  and  there  may  newcomers  on  the  block.  

First  Step  :  Target  Local    Indonesian  Market  

Indonesian  Market   Interna3onal  Market  

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Aerospace  Ecosystems  

20  

Angkutan  Udara  

Air  Naviga3on   AircraW  Maintenance  

Educa3on  and  Training  

Airports  

RegulaUon  and  Policies  •  Safety  •  Industry  •  Educa3on  •  Finance  

AircraW  Manufacturing  

Airspace  

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Aircra&  Industry  Value  Chain      

21  

Research  Ins3tu3ons  Cer3fica3on  

bodies  

Universi3es  

Vendor/  Supplier  

Customer  Financing  

Engine  

Sistem  kendali  

Avionics  industrie  

Electrical  power  

industries  

Mechanical  SYstem  

Cockpit  

Airframe  AircraW  material  

Indon.  Partner  

Indon.  Partner  

Indon.  Partner  

Indon.  Partner  

Human  Capital  Enabler  

AircraW  industries  value  chain  

AircraW  Development  Program  

Industry  enabler  

Airport  

Economic  Growth  

High  End  workforces  opportun3i

es    

Connec3vity  

Air  transport  

Indon.  Partner  

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R80  Program  &    New  Airport  of  West  Java  

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ExecuUon  plan  

RAI’s  execuUon  plan  will  take  it  about  4  years  from  now  to  see  first  flight  

O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D

O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D

2022

REGIOPROP R80 Program Master Phasing Plan

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20212014 2015

20222014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Fase 2.4 CERTIFICATIONFase 2.1 PREPARATION Fase 2.3 PRODUCTIONFase 2.2 DETAIL DESIGN

Fase 3.1 COMMRSL

Fase 2.2 JOINTDEV. PROG

ROLL OUTP#1

FIRST FLIGHTP #1

FIRST FLIGHTP #2

T/C Granted

Raw Material Major ComponentLong lead Items

Serial Production Aircraft

S/N 001Start Del.

Ground TestWind Tunnel Test

DOA Application

TC Application

T/C GrantedExperimental

C of A

Fase 1. Feasibility Stdy & Design

AircraftSales

Contract

Vendor / Sub Con Contract

Start

1st

Aircraft Delivery

2nd

Aircraft Delivery

3r d

Aircraft Delivery

Flight Test

IPO

Tools and Jigs DPM

Flight Simulator and Iron Bird

PDR 2

FAL Facility

CDR

FLIGHT TEST Facility

PDR 1

ENGINEERING (Structure & System Design)

MATERIAL PROCUREMENT

FACILITY (Hangar)

PRODUCTION

CERTIFICATION

BUSINESS & MARKET

Conseptual Design Prep. for detail design Detail DesignJoint Dev. Prog.

FAL

Pre FAL Prototype #1&2TA 3 Static Test TA 4 Full scale Fatigue Test

TEST

Page 24: REGIONAL TURBOPROP · PT$Regio$Aviasi$Industri$(RAI)$was$founded$by$HE$BJ$Habibie$in$2012$to$design,$ develop,$and$manufacture$atype+cer3fied,$twin$engine$80$+90$ pax$regional$

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