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June 5, 2014

SEE PAGE 13 FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS

Regional Materials Gems, Picks & Shovels Material Headlines Markets take dim view of China’s manufacturing gauge despite

hitting four-month high as it falls just below consensus (BBG). We take another view and are encouraged by signs of recovery.

Newmont idles copper output at Batu Hijau as storage facilities fill while awaiting relaxation of Indonesia export rules (AMM). Even a temporary closure of Grasberg would lift copper prices.

China lifts railway spending for the third time in 2014 to USD129b, 2nd highest budget ever (5% below 2010) (CCM). Marginal solace to railway steel companies in a weak market.

Qingdao Port blocks materials shipments, investigates alleged fraud in use of multiple warehouse receipts for financing purposes (MB). We see further downside for iron ore prices.

Russia pivots east, forms partnership with China on oil, natural gas, coal, power, transportation (FT). We think China may find Russia as tough as Africa, and Europe may reconsider fracking.

Coal-to-gas conversion plants missing growth targets. Shanxi government supporting coal industry, yet again (CCM). We see moderate coal price upside ahead, prefer Shenhua (1088 HK; HKD21.50; BUY) over China Coal (1898 HK; HKD4.37; SELL).

Impact on Share Recommendations Improving Chinese manufacturing is good for copper. Our top

recommendations are MMG (1208 HK; HKD1.93; BUY; TP HKD2.45) with volume growth from Las Bambas, and high-beta play Jiangxi Copper (358 HK; HKD12.80; BUY; TP HKD15).

Higher railway spending should benefit Maanshan Steel (323 HK; HKD1.60; Not Rated). Steel prices have fallen in line with our forecast and should stabilize near term. We remain sellers of flat steelmaker Angang (347 HK; HKD4.59; SELL; TPHKD4.00).

Nickel prices are down 8% since mid-May, but up 40% YTD. Buy on further dips before deficit pushes prices higher in 2015. Buy VALE Indonesia (INCO IJ; IDR3,900; BUY; TP IDR4,600).

Market sentiment in India continues to rise on positive expectations for the pro-reform agenda of the BJP-led NDA party. Buy Sesa Sterlite (SSLT IN; INR295.30; BUY; TP INR252).

Recent reports Atlas Mining - Full effect of improvements coming (23/5/14)

Indonesia Basic Materials - marketing takeaways(12/5/14)

Sarine Technologies - Another glittering quarter (12/5/14)

Chalco - Pressure rises for more changes, EPS slashed (12/5/14)

Nickel Asia - Contract prices close to peak; d/g HOLD (9/5/14)

Sesa Sterlite - 4Q in line, FY15 outlook strong (30/4/14)

Contributing analysts HK/CHINA Alexander Latzer (metals, coal, steel) Regional Sector Head INDIA Anubhav Gupta (metals, steel) INDONESIA Isnaputra Iskandar, CFA (metals, coal, cement) PHILIPPINES Ramon Adviento (metals, coal) (Full materials team details on page 2) Nickel price pauses after run (LME basis)

Source:Bloomberg.

Copper price recovery pauses (LME basis)

Source:Bloomberg.

China HRC prices staring down at iron ore price

Source:Bloomberg.Steelhome.

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June 5, 2014 2

Regional Materials Sector

Our View of Material News Qingdao Port blocks some materials shipments, investigates alleged

fraud in use of warehouse receipts for financing purposes (MB).

Authorities in Qingdao, a seaport in Shandong Province that holds large inventories of aluminium, copper, alumina and iron ore, have blocked shipments as they investigate the alleged fraudulent use of warehouse receipts multiple times to raise financing (MB).

The Qingdao port is significant for commodities trade globally and in China as a centre of the finance trade and collateral management. The existence of the trade is not new, but what is news is the partial closure of the port by the Chinese authorities who are investigating possible criminal wrong doing. Apparently, some aluminium and copper inventories pledged for bank loans may be missing after having been pledged multiple times. The authorities are trying to unravel the mystery, determine the parties involved, and find out if the problem is more widespread.

What’s our View?

Market sentiment has been adversely impacted over concerns that Chinese metals demand has been overstated due to its use in the finance trade. Concerns are that future demand growth will be depressed by inventory destocking, restrictions on trade finance, and in a worst-case scenario, the liquidation of inventory following bankruptcies. The Qingdao Port investigation could also shed light on the extent to which inventory may be overstated by being pledged on loans multiple times.

The finance trade has been going on for years, and peaked late last/early this year as credit was tightened. A meaningful portion of the copper demand in China from 4Q13 through 1Q14 was finance trade and China government SRB strategic reserve buying. We believe the SRB program involved up to 300,000t of copper and over 500,000t were purchased by traders where they are held in bonded warehouses.

Inventory restocking/destocking has been a feature of Chinese consumption for some time. A more rational allocation of capital should support less volatile demand growth long-term (Figure 1). We have assumed sustainable demand growth of 5-6% per year, with restocking last year increasing it to 10% and de-stocking this year decreasing it to 5%. Copper consumption is being supported by growth in electrical grid upgrades/expansion, consumer appliances and autos.

Figure 1: Copper consumption in China historically volatile Figure 2: Global copper supply/demand and price forecast

Source: WMS, Wood Mackenzie. Maybank Kim Eng estimates. Source: Bloomberg, WMS, Wood Mackenzie. Maybank Kim Eng estimates.

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Regional Materials Team HK/CHINA Alexander Latzer (metals, coal, steel) (852) 2268 0647 alexanderlatzer@kimeng.com.hk INDIA Jigar Shah (cement, oil/gas) (91) 22 6623 2601 jigar@maybank-ke.co.in Anubhav Gupta (metals, steel) (91) 22 6623 2605 anubhav@maybank-ke.co.in INDONESIA Isnaputra Iskandar, CFA (metals, coal, cement) (62) 21 2557 1129 isnaputra.iskandar@maybank-ke.co.id MALAYSIA Lee Yen Ling (steel, building materials) (603) 2297 8691 lee.yl@maybank-ib.com PHILIPPINES Ramon Adviento (metals, coal) (63) 2 849 8845 Ramon_Adviento@maybank-atrke.com Lovell Sarreal (cement, consumer, media) (63) 2 849 8841 lovell_sarreal@maybank-atrke.com SINGAPORE Yeak Chee Keong, CFA (oil/gas services, gem technology) (65) 6432 1460 yeakcheekeong@maybank-ke.com.sg THAILAND Sutthichai Kumworachai (coal, energy, oil/gas, petrochemical) (66) 2658 6300 x 1400 sutthichai.k@maybank-ke.co.th Surachai Pramualcharoenkit (steel, construction, contractors, automotive) (66) 2658 6300 x 1470 surachai.p@maybank-ke.co.th VIETNAM Trung Thai (construction, materials, property) (84) 444 55 58 88 x 8180 trung.thai@maybank-kimeng.com.vn

June 5, 2014 3

Regional Materials Sector

Russia pivots to the east, forms strategic partnership with China on oil, natural gas, coal, power and transportation (FT).

The agreement, cemented during Putin’s visit to China during late May, aims to boost annual bilateral trade from USD89b in 2014 to USD100b in 2015, and to USD200b by 2020. Chinese companies will be allowed to invest in transport facilities, mines and affordable housing in Russia. Technological cooperation will be strengthened in nuclear, power, civil aviation and space technologies, and in domestic industries.

Russia will supply a maximum of 38b cubic m/yr of gas from Eastern Siberia to China via the eastern pipeline over 30 years with the first delivery in 2018. This equates to nearly one quarter of China’s gas consumption during 2013. The pact includes JV partnerships on petrochemical plants between the major energy groups of both countries.

Also included is mutual cooperation in the development of coal resources within Russia. Russian mining/energy company En+ Group agreed with Shenhua to develop the Zashulanskoye coal mine in eastern Russia, and another project involves China investing in the Elga mine with Mechel, Russia’s largest coking coal producer. The deals also include joint exploration expenditures of about USD1b.

What’s our View?

After a decade of negotiations, the timing was right for a deal given the alignment of economic and strategic interests at a time of worsening relations with the West. Simply put, China has capital and infrastructure development capabilities, and Russia significant energy resources. Unfortunately, the economic pact is likely to strengthen the quid pro quo between Russia and China to block Western influence in the Middle East and Asia, thus leaving trouble spots to fester.

This might be a near-term positive to counter US influence, negative for gold, but longer-term we see the potential for more instability as regional tensions mount. With Russia’s energy shifting eastwards, this puts pressure on Europe to consider its energy future more carefully as the high costs have already hurt industrial growth. The US has low energy costs but rising environmental costs, particularly with new EPS rules penalizing carbon emissions. The shift of heavy industry eastwards is likely to continue.

China lifts railway spending for the third time in 2014 to USD129b, 2nd highest budget ever (5% below 2010) (CCM).

China Railway Corp. lifted its budget for the third time this year on April 30 by 21% to CNY800b (USD130b). The new target is the second highest only to the level in 2010 (CNY843b) before high speed train accidents and restructuring at the Ministry of Railways led to a slowdown in construction.

What’s our View?

With the housing sector cooling, the government has stepped up railway spending to partially offset the adverse impact. (Our May 16, 2014 GPS report discussed the increase in electrical grid spending.) According to CCM, 64 new railway lines will be constructed, up from 44 in the initial plan, and above the 47 lines installed last year. Nearly 80% of the new lines will be in the central and western parts of China. In total, about 7,000km of new railway lines are planned for this year, up from 5,492km last year, and

The transportation sector accounts for only 11% of total Chinese steel consumption and within that category the railway sector is only about 1.5%, with automotive the largest at 7%. Being a niche market, the overall macro impact is low, but beneficial to targeted steel producers, such as Maanshan Iron & Steel.

The partnership is wide-ranging from business investment in energy to technological co-operation in nuclear power, aviation, space and communications. After a decade of negotiations, the timing was right for a deal given the alignment of economic and strategic interests at a time of worsening relations with the West. Unfortunately, the economic pact is likely to strengthen the quid pro quo between Russia and China to block Western influence in the Middle East and Asia, thus leaving trouble spots to fester. This might be a near-term positive to counter US influence, negative for gold, but longer-term we see the potential for more instability as regional tensions mount.

June 5, 2014 4

Regional Materials Sector

6,366km in 2012. The total investment in railway equipment is budged at USD23.2b from USD19.5b previously.

The graphs below show the planned spending and the breakdown of steel consumption by end-use market. The transportation sector accounts for only 11% of total Chinese steel consumption and within that category the railway sector is only about 1.5%, with automotive the largest at 7%. Being a niche market, the overall macro impact is low, but beneficial to targeted steel producers, such as Maanshan Iron & Steel.

Figure 3: China’s spending on railways (CNY billions) Figure 4: 2013 China steel consumption by end-use market

Source: CCM Source: CISA, Steelhome, Custeel, Maybank Kim Eng estimates.

Coal-conversion plants missing growth targets. Shanxi government supporting the coal industry, yet again (CCM).

A combination of immature technology, tightening of pollution-control regulations, rising operational and financial costs, and limited water availability is slowing the development of coal-conversion plants. Datang temporarily suspended its 1.33b cubic m/yr plant in Inner Mongolia after low-quality lignite damaged gasification boilers, something other plants have faced. Shenhua has shelved is coal-to-oil plan in Yulin, China after the development costs for the 3.5mt/yr plant surged to USD20b after Dow Chemical exited the JV last year.

Shanxi Province released another plan in late May comprising 17 measures, including 11 carried over from last year. Shanxi will continue not to collect a mine environmental tax, and local government taxes will be cancelled in full, while the coal trading service fee paid to the Taiyuan Coal Trading Center will be cut in half. In aggregate, the measures will lower unit coal costs by about USD3.00/t.

What’s our View?

Our view has been that the coal-to-gas conversion plants are not viable longer-term given the resource constraints and the high operating and capex costs. After an initial rush by businesses to enter the field, approvals were halted as Beijing reconsidered the initiative and tried to limit the number of applicants. Yet the latest energy plan from Beijing still envisions coal-based gas output nearly quadrupling by 2017 to 32bn cubic metres/yr, while coal-to-oil production will be 10mt/yr. The average energy efficiency of coal conversion has been targeted at 50% in the plan.

Year Spending Change % chg.

2007 255.2 46.4 22%

2008 414.5 159.3 62%

2009 701.3 286.8 69%

2010 842.7 141.3 20%

2011 590.6 (252.0) -30%

2012 630.9 40.3 7%

2013 663.8 32.9 5%

2014 (budgeted) 800.0 136.2 21%

Construction 55%

Machinery 21%

Transportation 11%

Energy 5%

Appliances 1%

Others 7%

Our view has been that the coal to gas conversion plants are not viable longer-term given the resource constraints and the high operating and CAPEX costs. After an initial rush by businesses to enter the field, approvals were halted as Beijing reconsidered the initiative and tried to limit the field of applicants. Yet the latest energy plan from Beijing still envisions coal based gas output nearly quadrupling by 2017

June 5, 2014 5

Regional Materials Sector

The slowdown in coal demand and prices is exacting a heavy toll on the once high-flying coal city of Taiyuan. Our frequent visits there found it nearly impossible to cross the mountains at dusk when coal trucks filled the roadways. With coal mine closures and lower prices, economic growth and traffic have slowed to a standstill. Quite a bit of cash was also flowing out of China from overnight coal millionaires into art and luxury goods, which have also taken a hit from the slowdown.

Taiyuan, with a population of 4.3m, reported 0.1% GDP growth in 1Q14 from a year earlier, compared with 11.9% in the same period in 2013 and 8.1% for the full year. The city’s industrial production fell 9.3% in the January-March period, while fixed-asset investment rose 25.5%, a sign of efforts to revive expansion.

Throwing a life line to the industry only keeps marginal coal production active in our opinion. Given our forecast for continue weak coal-price volatility (figure 5), the upside to GDP in Shanxi Province would most likely come from stimulus spending on a low economic base.

Coal inventory is down from high levels during 2012, but remains ample at 21 days supply at power plants in May from a low of 18 days in March due to moderate restocking for the summer high season (figure 6). We continue to recommend more defensive exposure given our coal price forecast, preferring Shenhua over Shanxi-based China Coal.

Figure 5: Thermal coal prices in China and Australia* Figure 6: China Coal inventory power plants and total (days)

Source: Bloomberg, McCloskey, Maybank Kim Eng estimates. *China coal price includes 17% VAT basis 5,800 kcal. Australia price is FOC basis 6,000 kcal.

Source: Bloomberg, McCloskey, Maybank Kim Eng estimates.

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June 5, 2014 6

Regional Materials Sector

Share price performance: materials, coal and steel (YTD, 3 months)

Figure 1: Asia region materials stocks YTD Figure 2: Asia region materials stocks past three months

Source: Bloomberg. Source: Bloomberg.

Figure 3: Asia region coal stocks YTD Figure 4: Asia region coal stocks past three months

Source: Bloomberg. Source: Bloomberg.

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June 5, 2014 7

Regional Materials Sector

Figure 5: Asia region steel stocks YTD Figure 6: Asia region steel stocks past three months

Source: Bloomberg. Source: Bloomberg.

Metals prices and inventory Figure 7: Copper exchange prices and inventories Figure 8 Aluminium exchange prices and inventories

Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg

Figure 9: Nickel exchange prices and inventories Figure 10: Zinc exchange prices and inventories

Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg

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June 5, 2014 8

Regional Materials Sector

Figure 12: Gold exchange prices Figure 32: Silver exchange prices

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Figure 43: Platinum exchange prices Figure 54: Palladium exchange prices

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04Ju

l-04

Jan-

05Ju

l-05

Jan-

06Ju

l-06

Jan-

07Ju

l-07

Jan-

08Ju

l-08

Jan-

09Ju

l-09

Jan-

10Ju

l-10

Jan-

11Ju

l-11

Jan-

12Ju

l-12

Jan-

13Ju

l-13

Jan-

14

Pric

e (R

mb

per

gram

)

Pric

e (U

S$ p

er o

z)

LME Spot Price (LHS)Shanghai Spot Price (RHS)

2,200

4,200

6,200

8,200

10,200

12,200

0

20

40

60

80

100

Jan-

00Ju

l-00

Jan-

01Ju

l-01

Jan-

02Ju

l-02

Jan-

03Ju

l-03

Jan-

04Ju

l-04

Jan-

05Ju

l-05

Jan-

06Ju

l-06

Jan-

07Ju

l-07

Jan-

08Ju

l-08

Jan-

09Ju

l-09

Jan-

10Ju

l-10

Jan-

11Ju

l-11

Jan-

12Ju

l-12

Jan-

13Ju

l-13

Jan-

14

Pric

e (R

mb

per

gram

)

Pric

e (U

S$ p

er o

unce

)

LME Spot Price (LHS)Shanghai Spot Price (RHS)

-

80

160

240

320

400

200

600

1,000

1,400

1,800

2,200

Jan-

00Ju

l-00

Jan-

01Ju

l-01

Jan-

02Ju

l-02

Jan-

03Ju

l-03

Jan-

04Ju

l-04

Jan-

05Ju

l-05

Jan-

06Ju

l-06

Jan-

07Ju

l-07

Jan-

08Ju

l-08

Jan-

09Ju

l-09

Jan-

10Ju

l-10

Jan-

11Ju

l-11

Jan-

12Ju

l-12

Jan-

13Ju

l-13

Jan-

14

Pric

e (R

mb

per

gram

)

Pric

e (U

S$ p

er o

z)

LME Spot Price (LHS)Shanghai Spot Price (RHS)

0

40

80

120

160

200

240

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Jan-

00Ju

l-00

Jan-

01Ju

l-01

Jan-

02Ju

l-02

Jan-

03Ju

l-03

Jan-

04Ju

l-04

Jan-

05Ju

l-05

Jan-

06Ju

l-06

Jan-

07Ju

l-07

Jan-

08Ju

l-08

Jan-

09Ju

l-09

Jan-

10Ju

l-10

Jan-

11Ju

l-11

Jan-

12Ju

l-12

Jan-

13Ju

l-13

Jan-

14

Pric

e (R

mb

per

gram

)

Pric

e (U

S$ p

er o

unce

) LME Palladium Price (LHS)Shanghai Spot Price (RHS)

June 5, 2014 9

Regional Materials Sector

China coal inventory and prices, and power data

Figure 65 Thermal coal price Qinhuangdao vs. Newcastle* Figure 76: Thermal coal prices in China and Australia*

Source: Bloomberg, McCloskey, Maybank Kim Eng estimates.*Prices are adjusted for coal calorific content and estimated transportation cost for delivery to southern China for comparison purposes.

Source: Bloomberg, McCloskey, Maybank Kim Eng estimates. *China coal price includes 17% VAT basis 5,800 kcal. Australia price is FOC basis 6,000 kcal.

Figure 87: China Coal inventory power plants and total (days) Fig 98: China total raw coal production and YoY growth trend

Source: Bloomberg, McCloskey, Maybank Kim Eng estimates. Source: CCTD, McCloskey.

Figure 109: Monthly power generation and pct. change Figure 20 Power generation by source and pct. change

Source: China NBS. Source: China NBS.

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%

0255075

100125150175200

Jan-

01M

ay-0

1Se

p-01

Jan-

02M

ay-0

2Se

p-02

Jan-

03M

ay-0

3Se

p-03

Jan-

04M

ay-0

4Se

p-04

Jan-

05M

ay-0

5Se

p-05

Jan-

06M

ay-0

6Se

p-06

Jan-

07M

ay-0

7Se

p-07

Jan-

08M

ay-0

8Se

p-08

Jan-

09M

ay-0

9Se

p-09

Jan-

10M

ay-1

0Se

p-10

Jan-

11M

ay-1

1Se

p-11

Jan-

12M

ay-1

2Se

p-12

Jan-

13M

ay-1

3Se

p-13

Jan-

14M

ay-1

4

Premium (discount)

(USD/t)

Qinhuangdao coal price (LHS)Newcastle coal price (LHS)Qinhuangdao premium (discount)

0255075

100125150175200

Jan-

07

Oct

-07

Jul-

08

Apr-

09

Jan-

10

Oct

-10

Jul-

11

Apr-

12

Jan-

13

Oct

-13

Jul-

14

Apr-

15

Jan-

16

(USD/t) Qinhuangdao coal price Newcastle coal price

Est. 2014/15

Current prices: Qinhuangdao 5,800 kcal USD91/t (incl. 17% VAT); Newcastle 6,000 kcal USD73/t.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Jan

05Ju

n 05

Nov

05

Apr

06Se

p 06

Feb

07Ju

l 07

Dec

07

May

08

Oct

08

Mar

09

Aug

09Ja

n 10

Jun

10N

ov 1

0Ap

r 11

Sep

11Fe

b 12

Jul 1

2D

ec 1

2M

ay 1

3O

ct 1

3M

ar 1

4

Power plants TotalDays

(30%)(20%)(10%)0%10%20%30%40%50%

050

100150200250300350400

Jan-

03Ju

n-03

Nov

-03

Apr-

04Se

p-04

Feb-

05Ju

l-05

Dec

-05

May

-06

Oct

-06

Mar

-07

Aug-

07Ja

n-08

Jun-

08N

ov-0

8Ap

r-09

Sep-

09Fe

b-10

Jul-

10D

ec-1

0M

ay-1

1O

ct-1

1M

ar-1

2Au

g-12

Jan-

13Ju

n-13

Nov

-13

Apr-

14

mt Production (LHS)YoY Chg. (RHS) YoY Chg.

-14-707142128

0100200300400500600

Jan&

Feb-

07M

ay-0

7Au

g-07

Nov

-07

Mar

-08

Jun-

08Se

p-08

Dec

-08

Apr-

09Ju

l-09

Oct

-09

Jan&

Feb-

10M

ay-1

0Au

g-10

Nov

-10

Mar

-11

Jun-

11Se

p-11

Dec

-11

Apr-

12Ju

l-12

Oct

-12

Jan&

Feb-

13M

ay-1

3Au

g-13

Nov

-13

Mar

-14

(YoY %) (bn kWh) Monthly power generation (LHS)% YoY (RHS)% MoM (RHS)

(40)(30)(20)(10)

0102030405060

Jan&

Feb-

07M

ay-0

7Au

g-07

Nov

-07

Mar

-08

Jun-

08Se

p-08

Dec

-08

Apr-

09Ju

l-09

Oct

-09

Jan&

Feb-

10M

ay-1

0Au

g-10

Nov

-10

Mar

-11

Jun-

11Se

p-11

Dec

-11

Apr-

12Ju

l-12

Oct

-12

Jan&

Feb-

13M

ay-1

3Au

g-13

Nov

-13

Mar

-14

YoY % Chg. Thermal Hydro Nuclear

June 5, 2014 10

Regional Materials Sector

China steel inventory and prices

Figure 211: Steel market prices in eastern China Figure 22: China company list prices vs. market prices

Source: Steelhome. Source: Steelhome.

Figure 23: Coking coal prices China and the region Figure 24: Comparison: imported iron ore vs. domestic HRC

Source: Steelhome. Source: Steelhome.

Figure 125: China crude steel production and YoY growth Figure 136: Long-term view of steel prices and input costs

Source: Steelhome, Maybank Kim Eng forecasts. Source: Steelhome, Maybank Kim Eng forecasts.

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

Jan

04M

ay 0

4Se

p 04

Jan

05M

ay 0

5Se

p 05

Jan

06M

ay 0

6Se

p 06

Jan

07M

ay 0

7Se

p 07

Jan

08M

ay 0

8Se

p 08

Jan

09M

ay 0

9Se

p 09

Jan

10M

ay 1

0Se

p 10

Jan

11M

ay 1

1Se

p 11

Jan

12M

ay 1

2Se

p 12

Jan

13M

ay 1

3Se

p 13

Jan

14M

ay 1

4

Rebar ψ12 Plate 20mm HRC 2.75mmCR sheet 1mm HDG 0.5mmRmb/t

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

Jan

04Ju

n 04

Nov

04

Apr

05Se

p 05

Feb

06Ju

l 06

Dec

06

May

07

Oct

07

Mar

08

Aug

08Ja

n 09

Jun

09N

ov 0

9Ap

r 10

Sep

10Fe

b 11

Jul 1

1D

ec 1

1M

ay 1

2O

ct 1

2M

ar 1

3Au

g 13

Jan

14Ju

n 14

Co. avg. HRC price (VAT excl.)Market price (2.75mm, VAT excl.)Rmb/t

050

100150200250300350400

Jan

07M

ay 0

7Se

p 07

Jan

08M

ay 0

8Se

p 08

Jan

09M

ay 0

9Se

p 09

Jan

10M

ay 1

0Se

p 10

Jan

11M

ay 1

1Se

p 11

Jan

12M

ay 1

2Se

p 12

Jan

13M

ay 1

3Se

p 13

Jan

14M

ay 1

4

Shanxi coking coal (ex-VAT)Newcastle Premium HCC (FOB Australia)

USD

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

Jan

07M

ay 0

7Se

p 07

Jan

08M

ay 0

8Se

p 08

Jan

09M

ay 0

9Se

p 09

Jan

10M

ay 1

0Se

p 10

Jan

11M

ay 1

1Se

p 11

Jan

12M

ay 1

2Se

p 12

Jan

13M

ay 1

3Se

p 13

Jan

14M

ay 1

4

Iron ore (CIF China 62% grade, CNY/t, Left axis)

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Jan

06M

ay 0

6Se

p 06

Jan

07M

ay 0

7Se

p 07

Jan

08M

ay 0

8Se

p 08

Jan

09M

ay 0

9Se

p 09

Jan

10M

ay 1

0Se

p 10

Jan

11M

ay 1

1Se

p 11

Jan

12M

ay 1

2Se

p 12

Jan

13M

ay 1

3Se

p 13

Jan

14

Monthly crude production (LHS)YoY growth (RHS)

YoY chg. mt

100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550

400 500 600 700 800 900

1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300

1Q'0

63Q

'06

1Q'0

73Q

'07

1Q'0

83Q

'08

1Q'0

93Q

'09

1Q'1

03Q

'10

1Q'1

13Q

'11

1Q'1

23Q

'12

1Q'1

33Q

'13

1Q'1

43Q

'14E

1Q'1

5E3Q

'15E

Raw materials cost ex-freight (RHS)China HRC 2.75mm, VAT excl. (LHS)US HRC price (LHS)

USD/t USD/t

June 5, 2014 11

Regional Materials Sector

China metals trade data (imports/exports in ‘000 t)

Figure 147: Refined copper trade (net imports remain high) Figure 158: Copper concentrate trade (no pullback here)

Source: China Customs Data. Source: China Customs Data.

Figure 169: Alumina trade (rising once again) Figure30: Bauxite trade (large falloff post Indonesia ban)

Source: China Customs Data. Source: China Customs Data.

Figure31: Refined nickel trade (not much change) Figure32: Nickel ore trade (a large fall, but still flowing)

Source: China Customs Data. Source: China Customs Data.

(400)(350)(300)(250)(200)(150)(100)(50)050

(400) (350) (300) (250) (200) (150) (100) (50) - 50

Jan-

10M

ar-1

0M

ay-1

0Ju

l-10

Sep-

10N

ov-1

0Ja

n-11

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-

11Se

p-11

Nov

-11

Jan-

12M

ar-1

2M

ay-1

2Ju

l-12

Sep-

12N

ov-1

2Ja

n-13

Mar

-13

May

-13

Jul-

13Se

p-13

Nov

-13

Jan-

14M

ar-1

4

import export net export

(450)(400)(350)(300)(250)(200)(150)(100)(50)050

(450) (400) (350) (300) (250) (200) (150) (100) (50) - 50

Jan-

10M

ar-1

0M

ay-1

0Ju

l-10

Sep-

10N

ov-1

0Ja

n-11

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-

11Se

p-11

Nov

-11

Jan-

12M

ar-1

2M

ay-1

2Ju

l-12

Sep-

12N

ov-1

2Ja

n-13

Mar

-13

May

-13

Jul-

13Se

p-13

Nov

-13

Jan-

14M

ar-1

4

import export net export

(800)

(600)

(400)

(200)

0

200

(800)

(600)

(400)

(200)

-

200

Jan-

10M

ar-1

0M

ay-1

0Ju

l-10

Sep-

10N

ov-1

0Ja

n-11

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-

11Se

p-11

Nov

-11

Jan-

12M

ar-1

2M

ay-1

2Ju

l-12

Sep-

12N

ov-1

2Ja

n-13

Mar

-13

May

-13

Jul-

13Se

p-13

Nov

-13

Jan-

14M

ar-1

4

import export net export

(8,400)

(7,000)

(5,600)

(4,200)

(2,800)

(1,400)

0

(8,400)

(7,000)

(5,600)

(4,200)

(2,800)

(1,400)

-Ja

n-10

Jun-

10N

ov-1

0Ap

r-11

Sep-

11Fe

b-12

Jul-

12D

ec-1

2M

ay-1

3O

ct-1

3M

ar-1

4Au

g-14

Jan-

15Ju

n-15

Nov

-15

Apr-

16Se

p-16

Feb-

17Ju

l-17

Dec

-17

May

-18

Oct

-18

Mar

-19

import export net export

(30)

(20)

(10)

0

10

(30)

(20)

(10)

-

10

Jan-

10M

ar-1

0M

ay-1

0Ju

l-10

Sep-

10N

ov-1

0Ja

n-11

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-

11Se

p-11

Nov

-11

Jan-

12M

ar-1

2M

ay-1

2Ju

l-12

Sep-

12N

ov-1

2Ja

n-13

Mar

-13

May

-13

Jul-

13Se

p-13

Nov

-13

Jan-

14M

ar-1

4

import export net export

(8,000)

(6,400)

(4,800)

(3,200)

(1,600)

0

(8,000)

(6,400)

(4,800)

(3,200)

(1,600)

-

Jan-

10Ju

n-10

Nov

-10

Apr-

11Se

p-11

Feb-

12Ju

l-12

Dec

-12

May

-13

Oct

-13

Mar

-14

Aug-

14Ja

n-15

Jun-

15N

ov-1

5Ap

r-16

Sep-

16Fe

b-17

Jul-

17D

ec-1

7M

ay-1

8O

ct-1

8M

ar-1

9

import export net export

June 5, 2014 12

Regional Materials Sector

Research Offices

REGIONAL

WONG Chew Hann, CA Regional Head of Institutional Research (603) 2297 8686 wchewh@maybank-ib.com

ONG Seng Yeow Regional Head of Retail Research (65) 6432 1453 ongsengyeow@maybank-ke.com.sg

Alexander GARTHOFF Institutional Product Manager (852) 2268 0638 alexgarthoff@kimeng.com.hk

ECONOMICS

Suhaimi ILIAS Chief Economist Singapore | Malaysia (603) 2297 8682 suhaimi_ilias@maybank-ib.com

Luz LORENZO Philippines (63) 2 849 8836 luz_lorenzo@maybank-atrke.com

Tim LEELAHAPHAN Thailand (662) 658 1420 tim.l@maybank-ke.co.th

JUNIMAN Chief Economist, BII Indonesia (62) 21 29228888 ext 29682 Juniman@bankbii.com

Josua PARDEDE Economist / Industry Analyst, BII Indonesia (62) 21 29228888 ext 29695 JPardede@bankbii.com

MALAYSIA

WONG Chew Hann, CA Head of Research (603) 2297 8686 wchewh@maybank-ib.com • Strategy • Construction & Infrastructure

Desmond CH’NG, ACA (603) 2297 8680 desmond.chng@maybank-ib.com • Banking & Finance

LIAW Thong Jung (603) 2297 8688 tjliaw@maybank-ib.com • Oil & Gas - Regional • Shipping

ONG Chee Ting, CA (603) 2297 8678 ct.ong@maybank-ib.com • Plantations - Regional

Mohshin AZIZ (603) 2297 8692 mohshin.aziz@maybank-ib.com • Aviation - Regional • Petrochem

YIN Shao Yang, CPA (603) 2297 8916 samuel.y@maybank-ib.com • Gaming – Regional • Media

TAN Chi Wei, CFA (603) 2297 8690 chiwei.t@maybank-ib.com • Power • Telcos

WONG Wei Sum, CFA (603) 2297 8679 weisum@maybank-ib.com • Property & REITs

LEE Yen Ling (603) 2297 8691 lee.yl@maybank-ib.com • Building Materials • Glove Producers

CHAI Li Shin (603) 2297 8684 lishin.c@maybank-ib.com • Plantation • Construction & Infrastructure

Ivan YAP (603) 2297 8612 ivan.yap@maybank-ib.com • Automotive

LEE Cheng Hooi Regional Chartist (603) 2297 8694 chenghooi.lee@maybank-ib.com

Tee Sze Chiah Head of Retail Research (603) 2297 6858 szechiah.t@maybank-ib.com

HONG KONG / CHINA

Howard WONG Head of Research (852) 2268 0648 howardwong@kimeng.com.hk • Oil & Gas - Regional

Alexander LATZER (852) 2268 0647 alexanderlatzer@kimeng.com.hk • Metals & Mining - Regional

Jacqueline KO, CFA (852) 2268 0633 jacquelineko@kimeng.com.hk • Consumer

Karen KWAN (852) 2268 0640 karenkwan@kimeng.com.hk • Property & REITs

Osbert TK TANG, CFA (86) 21 5096 8370 osberttang@kimeng.com.hk • Transport & Industrials

Ricky WK NG, CFA (852) 2268 0689 rickyng@kimeng.com.hk • Utilities & Renewable Energy

Simon QIAN, CFA (852) 2268 0634 simonqian@kimeng.com.hk • Telecom & Internet

Steven ST CHAN (852) 2268 0645 stevenchan@kimeng.com.hk • Banking & Financials - Regional

Warren LAU (852) 2268 0644 warrenlau@kimeng.com.hk • Technology – Regional

William YANG (852) 2268 0675 williamyang@kimeng.com.hk • Technology – Regional

INDIA

Jigar SHAH Head of Research (91) 22 6623 2601 jigar@maybank-ke.co.in • Oil & Gas • Automobile • Cement

Anubhav GUPTA (91) 22 6623 2605 anubhav@maybank-ke.co.in • Metal & Mining • Capital Goods • Property

Urmil SHAH (91) 22 6623 2606 urmil@maybank-ke.co.in • Technology • Media

SINGAPORE

NG Wee Siang Head of Research (65) 6432 1467 ngweesiang@maybank-ke.com.sg • Banking & Finance

Gregory YAP (65) 6432 1450 gyap@maybank-ke.com.sg • SMID Caps – Regional • Technology & Manufacturing • Telcos • Consumer

Wilson LIEW (65) 6432 1454 wilsonliew@maybank-ke.com.sg • Property Developers

ONG Kian Lin (65) 6432 1470 ongkianlin@maybank-ke.com.sg • S-REITs

YEAK Chee Keong, CFA (65) 6432 1460 yeakcheekeong@maybank-ke.com.sg • Offshore & Marine

Derrick HENG (65) 6432 1446 derrickheng@maybank-ke.com.sg • Transport (Land, Shipping & Aviation)

WEI Bin (65) 6432 1455 weibin@maybank-ke.com.sg • Commodity • Logistics • S-chips

John CHEONG (65) 6432 1461 johncheong@maybank-ke.com.sg • Small & Mid Caps • Healthcare

TRUONG Thanh Hang (65) 6432 1451 hang.truong@maybank-ke.com.sg • Small & Mid Caps

INDONESIA

Wilianto IE Head of Research (62) 21 2557 1125 wilianto.ie@maybank-ke.co.id • Strategy

Rahmi MARINA (62) 21 2557 1128 rahmi.marina@maybank-ke.co.id • Banking & Finance

Aurellia SETIABUDI (62) 21 2953 0785 aurellia.setiabudi@maybank-ke.co.id • Property

Anthony YUNUS (62) 21 2557 1136 anthony.yunus@maybank-ke.co.id • Consumer • Poultry

Isnaputra ISKANDAR (62) 21 2557 1129 isnaputra.iskandar@maybank-ke.co.id • Metals & Mining • Cement

Pandu ANUGRAH (62) 21 2557 1137 pandu.anugrah@maybank-ke.co.id • Infrastructure • Construction • Transport

Janni ASMAN (62) 21 2953 0784 janni.asman@maybank-ke.co.id • Cigarette • Healthcare • Retail

PHILIPPINES

Luz LORENZO Head of Research (63) 2 849 8836 luz_lorenzo@maybank-atrke.com • Strategy

Laura DY-LIACCO (63) 2 849 8840 laura_dyliacco@maybank-atrke.com • Utilities • Conglomerates • Telcos

Lovell SARREAL (63) 2 849 8841 lovell_sarreal@maybank-atrke.com • Consumer • Media • Cement

Rommel RODRIGO (63) 2 849 8839 rommel_rodrigo@maybank-atrke.com • Conglomerates • Property • Gaming • Ports/ Logistics

Katherine TAN (63) 2 849 8843 kat_tan@maybank-atrke.com • Banks • Construction

Ramon ADVIENTO (63) 2 849 8845 ramon_adviento@maybank-atrke.com • Mining

THAILAND

Maria LAPIZ Head of Institutional Research Dir (66) 2257 0250 | (66) 2658 6300 ext 1399 Maria.L@maybank-ke.co.th • Consumer / Materials

Jesada TECHAHUSDIN, CFA (66) 2658 6300 ext 1394 Jesada.T@maybank-ke.co.th • Financial Services

Kittisorn PRUITIPAT, CFA, FRM (66) 2658 6300 ext 1395 Kittisorn.P@maybank-ke.co.th • Real Estate

Sittichai DUANGRATTANACHAYA (66) 2658 6300 ext 1393 Sittichai.D@maybank-ke.co.th • Services Sector

Sukit UDOMSIRIKUL Head of Retail Research (66) 2658 6300 ext 5090 Sukit.u@maybank-ke.co.th

Mayuree CHOWVIKRAN (66) 2658 6300 ext 1440 mayuree.c@maybank-ke.co.th • Strategy

Padon VANNARAT (66) 2658 6300 ext 1450 Padon.v@maybank-ke.co.th • Strategy

Surachai PRAMUALCHAROENKIT (66) 2658 6300 ext 1470 Surachai.p@maybank-ke.co.th • Auto • Conmat • Contractor • Steel

Suttatip PEERASUB (66) 2658 6300 ext 1430 suttatip.p@maybank-ke.co.th • Media • Commerce

Sutthichai KUMWORACHAI (66) 2658 6300 ext 1400 sutthichai.k@maybank-ke.co.th • Energy • Petrochem

Termporn TANTIVIVAT (66) 2658 6300 ext 1520 termporn.t@maybank-ke.co.th • Property

Woraphon WIROONSRI (66) 2658 6300 ext 1560 woraphon.w@maybank-ke.co.th • Banking & Finance

Jaroonpan WATTANAWONG (66) 2658 6300 ext 1404 jaroonpan.w@maybank-ke.co.th • Transportation • Small cap

Chatchai JINDARAT (66) 2658 6300 ext 1401 chatchai.j@maybank-ke.co.th • Electronics VIETNAM LE Hong Lien, ACCA Head of Institutional Research (84) 844 55 58 88 x 8181 lien.le@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Strategy • Consumer • Diversified • Utilities

THAI Quang Trung, CFA, Deputy Manager, Institutional Research (84) 844 55 58 88 x 8180 trung.thai@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Real Estate • Construction • Materials

Le Nguyen Nhat Chuyen (84) 844 55 58 88 x 8082 chuyen.le@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Oil & Gas NGUYEN Thi Ngan Tuyen, Head of Retail Research (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8081 tuyen.nguyen@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Food & Beverage • Oil&Gas • Banking

NGUYEN Trung Hoa, Dy Head of Retail Research (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8088 hoa.nguyen@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Macro • Steel • Real estate

TRINH Thi Ngoc Diep (84) 4 44 555 888 x 8208 diep.trinh@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Technology • Utilities • Construction

TRUONG Quang Binh (84) 4 44 555 888 x 8087 binh.truong@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Rubber plantation • Tyres and Tubes • Oil&Gas

PHAM Nhat Bich (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8083 bich.pham@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Consumer • Manufacturing • Fishery

NGUYEN Thi Sony Tra Mi (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8084 mi.nguyen@maybank-kimeng.com.vn • Port operation • Pharmaceutical • Food & Beverage

June 5, 2014 13

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APPENDIX I: TERMS FOR PROVISION OF REPORT, DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES

DISCLAIMERS

This research report is prepared for general circulation and for information purposes only and under no circumstances should it be considered or intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities referred to herein. Investors should note that values of such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security’s price or value may rise or fall. Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings. Technical ratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and volume-related information extracted from the relevant jurisdiction’s stock exchange in the equity analysis. Accordingly, investors’ returns may be less than the original sum invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, the financial situation and the particular needs of persons who may receive or read this report. Investors should therefore seek financial, legal and other advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or the investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report.

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but such sources have not been independently verified by Maybank Investment Bank Berhad, its subsidiary and affiliates (collectively, “MKE”) and consequently no representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness of this report by MKE and it should not be relied upon as such. Accordingly, MKE and its officers, directors, associates, connected parties and/or employees (collectively, “Representatives”) shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses or damages that may arise from the use or reliance of this report. Any information, opinions or recommendations contained herein are subject to change at any time, without prior notice.

This report may contain forward looking statements which are often but not always identified by the use of words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “intend”, “plan”, “expect”, “forecast”, “predict” and “project” and statements that an event or result “may”, “will”, “can”, “should”, “could” or “might” occur or be achieved and other similar expressions. Such forward looking statements are based on assumptions made and information currently available to us and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue relevance on these forward-looking statements. MKE expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any such forward looking statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

MKE and its officers, directors and employees, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this report, may, to the extent permitted by law, from time to time participate or invest in financing transactions with the issuer(s) of the securities mentioned in this report, perform services for or solicit business from such issuers, and/or have a position or holding, or other material interest, or effect transactions, in such securities or options thereon, or other investments related thereto. In addition, it may make markets in the securities mentioned in the material presented in this report. MKE may, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the information presented herein, or the research or analysis on which they are based, before the material is published. One or more directors, officers and/or employees of MKE may be a director of the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report.

This report is prepared for the use of MKE’s clients and may not be reproduced, altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party in whole or in part in any form or manner without the prior express written consent of MKE and MKE and its Representatives accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.

This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. This report is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The securities described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. Without prejudice to the foregoing, the reader is to note that additional disclaimers, warnings or qualifications may apply based on geographical location of the person or entity receiving this report.

Malaysia

Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in the form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings. Technical ratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and volume-related information extracted from Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad in the equity analysis.

Singapore

This report has been produced as of the date hereof and the information herein may be subject to change. Maybank Kim Eng Research Pte. Ltd. (“Maybank KERPL”) in Singapore has no obligation to update such information for any recipient. For distribution in Singapore, recipients of this report are to contact Maybank KERPL in Singapore in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, this report. If the recipient of this report is not an accredited investor, expert investor or institutional investor (as defined under Section 4A of the Singapore Securities and Futures Act), Maybank KERPL shall be legally liable for the contents of this report, with such liability being limited to the extent (if any) as permitted by law.

Thailand

The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association (“IOD”) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to the policy of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the market for Alternative Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a general public investor. The result, therefore, is from the perspective of a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on inside information. The survey result is as of the date appearing in the Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the survey may be changed after that date. Maybank Kim Eng Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited (“MBKET”) does not confirm nor certify the accuracy of such survey result.

Except as specifically permitted, no part of this presentation may be reproduced or distributed in any manner without the prior written permission of MBKET. MBKET accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.

US

This research report prepared by MKE is distributed in the United States (“US”) to Major US Institutional Investors (as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) only by Maybank Kim Eng Securities USA Inc (“Maybank KESUSA”), a broker-dealer registered in the US (registered under Section 15 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). All responsibility for the distribution of this report by Maybank KESUSA in the US shall be borne by Maybank KESUSA. All resulting transactions by a US person or entity should be effected through a registered broker-dealer in the US. This report is not directed at you if MKE is prohibited or restricted by any legislation or regulation in any jurisdiction from making it available to you. You should satisfy yourself before reading it that Maybank KESUSA is permitted to provide research material concerning investments to you under relevant legislation and regulations.

UK

This document is being distributed by Maybank Kim Eng Securities (London) Ltd (“Maybank KESL”) which is authorized and regulated, by the Financial Services Authority and is for Informational Purposes only. This document is not intended for distribution to anyone defined as a Retail Client under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 within the UK. Any inclusion of a third party link is for the recipients convenience only, and that the firm does not take any responsibility for its comments or accuracy, and that access to such links is at the individuals own risk. Nothing in this report should be considered as constituting legal, accounting or tax advice, and that for accurate guidance recipients should consult with their own independent tax advisers.

June 5, 2014 14

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Disclosure of Interest Malaysia: MKE and its Representatives may from time to time have positions or be materially interested in the securities referred to herein and may further act as market maker or may have assumed an underwriting commitment or deal with such securities and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking services, advisory and other services for or relating to those companies.

Singapore: As of 5 June 2014, Maybank KERPL and the covering analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.

Thailand: MBKET may have a business relationship with or may possibly be an issuer of derivative warrants on the securities /companies mentioned in the research report. Therefore, Investors should exercise their own judgment before making any investment decisions. MBKET, its associates, directors, connected parties and/or employees may from time to time have interests and/or underwriting commitments in the securities mentioned in this report.

Hong Kong: KESHK may have financial interests in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant referred to as defined by the requirements under Paragraph 16.5(a) of the Hong Kong Code of Conduct for Persons Licensed by or Registered with the Securities and Futures Commission.

As of 5 June 2014, KESHK and the authoring analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.

MKE may have, within the last three years, served as manager or co-manager of a public offering of securities for, or currently may make a primary market in issues of, any or all of the entities mentioned in this report or may be providing, or have provided within the previous 12 months, significant advice or investment services in relation to the investment concerned or a related investment and may receive compensation for the services provided from the companies covered in this report.

OTHERS Analyst Certification of Independence The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst’s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of the research analyst’s compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

Reminder Structured securities are complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved. The market value of any structured security may be affected by changes in economic, financial and political factors (including, but not limited to, spot and forward interest and exchange rates), time to maturity, market conditions and volatility and the credit quality of any issuer or reference issuer. Any investor interested in purchasing a structured product should conduct its own analysis of the product and consult with its own professional advisers as to the risks involved in making such a purchase.

No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior consent of MKE.

Definition of Ratings

Maybank Kim Eng Research uses the following rating system BUY Return is expected to be above 10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends) HOLD Return is expected to be between - 10% to +10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends) SELL Return is expected to be below -10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)

Applicability of Ratings

The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are only applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not carry investment ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies.

DISCLOSURES Legal Entities Disclosures Malaysia: This report is issued and distributed in Malaysia by Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (15938-H) which is a Participating Organization of Bursa Malaysia Berhad and a holder of Capital Markets and Services License issued by the Securities Commission in Malaysia. Singapore: This material is issued and distributed in Singapore by Maybank KERPL (Co. Reg No 197201256N) which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Indonesia: PT Kim Eng Securities (“PTKES”) (Reg. No. KEP-251/PM/1992) is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the BAPEPAM LK. Thailand: MBKET (Reg. No.0107545000314) is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and is regulated by the Ministry of Finance and the Securities and Exchange Commission. Philippines: Maybank ATRKES (Reg. No.01-2004-00019) is a member of the Philippines Stock Exchange and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Vietnam: Maybank Kim Eng Securities JSC (License Number: 71/UBCK-GP) is licensed under the State Securities Commission of Vietnam.Hong Kong: KESHK (Central Entity No AAD284) is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission. India: Kim Eng Securities India Private Limited (“KESI”) is a participant of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (Reg No: INF/INB 231452435) and the Bombay Stock Exchange (Reg. No. INF/INB 011452431) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. KESI is also registered with SEBI as Category 1 Merchant Banker (Reg. No. INM 000011708) US: Maybank KESUSA is a member of/ and is authorized and regulated by the FINRA – Broker ID 27861. UK: Maybank KESL (Reg No 2377538) is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

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Malaysia Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) 33rd Floor, Menara Maybank, 100 Jalan Tun Perak, 50050 Kuala Lumpur Tel: (603) 2059 1888; Fax: (603) 2078 4194

Singapore Maybank Kim Eng Securities Pte Ltd Maybank Kim Eng Research Pte Ltd 9 Temasek Boulevard #39-00 Suntec Tower 2 Singapore 038989 Tel: (65) 6336 9090 Fax: (65) 6339 6003

London Maybank Kim Eng Securities (London) Ltd 5th Floor, Aldermary House 10-15 Queen Street London EC4N 1TX, UK Tel: (44) 20 7332 0221 Fax: (44) 20 7332 0302

New York Maybank Kim Eng Securities USA Inc 777 Third Avenue, 21st Floor New York, NY 10017, U.S.A. Tel: (212) 688 8886 Fax: (212) 688 3500

Stockbroking Business: Level 8, Tower C, Dataran Maybank, No.1, Jalan Maarof 59000 Kuala Lumpur Tel: (603) 2297 8888 Fax: (603) 2282 5136

Hong Kong Kim Eng Securities (HK) Ltd Level 30, Three Pacific Place, 1 Queen’s Road East, Hong Kong Tel: (852) 2268 0800 Fax: (852) 2877 0104

Indonesia PT Maybank Kim Eng Securities Plaza Bapindo Citibank Tower 17th Floor Jl Jend. Sudirman Kav. 54-55 Jakarta 12190, Indonesia Tel: (62) 21 2557 1188 Fax: (62) 21 2557 1189

India Kim Eng Securities India Pvt Ltd 2nd Floor, The International 16, Maharishi Karve Road, Churchgate Station, Mumbai City - 400 020, India Tel: (91).22.6623.2600 Fax: (91).22.6623.2604

Philippines Maybank ATR Kim Eng Securities Inc. 17/F, Tower One & Exchange Plaza Ayala Triangle, Ayala Avenue Makati City, Philippines 1200 Tel: (63) 2 849 8888 Fax: (63) 2 848 5738

Thailand Maybank Kim Eng Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited 999/9 The Offices at Central World, 20th - 21st Floor, Rama 1 Road Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330, Thailand Tel: (66) 2 658 6817 (sales) Tel: (66) 2 658 6801 (research)

Vietnam Maybank Kim Eng Securities Limited 4A-15+16 Floor Vincom Center Dong Khoi, 72 Le Thanh Ton St. District 1 Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam Tel : (84) 844 555 888 Fax : (84) 8 38 271 030

Saudi Arabia In association with Anfaal Capital Villa 47, Tujjar Jeddah Prince Mohammed bin Abdulaziz Street P.O. Box 126575 Jeddah 21352 Tel: (966) 2 6068686 Fax: (966) 26068787

South Asia Sales Trading Kevin FOY kevinfoy@maybank-ke.com.sg Tel: (65) 6336-5157 US Toll Free: 1-866-406-7447

North Asia Sales Trading Alex TSUN alextsun@kimeng.com.hk Tel: (852) 2268 0228 US Toll Free: 1 877 837 7635

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