Redist_Present by Andrew Beveridge
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Transcript of Redist_Present by Andrew Beveridge
8/6/2019 Redist_Present by Andrew Beveridge
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Statement by Andrew A. Beveridge, Ph.D.,
Professor of Sociology, Queens College and
Graduate Center CUNY Demographic
Consultant
June 7, 2011
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2012 Just Like 2002 ?
� The 2012 round of redistricting promises
to be much like that in 2002.
� A similar shift of population from far upstate to downstate
� Two Congressional seats were to be lost.
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Results� A judge declared an impasse and a set of Congressional
lines were proposed by two masters. At the point a dealwas cut and the present Congressional lines wereapproved.
� All plans considered for the State Senate were 61 seats.
At the 11th hour, a new plan was proposed, that did thefollowing:
± Moved one seat down state.
± Carefully allocated the population so that everydistrict downstate was overpopulated and every
district upstate was under populated. ± Maintained the Velella racial ³gerrymander,´ andcracked and packed minorities in Long Island.
� The Assembly plan in some ways was the mirror imageof the Senate plan. Most districts upstate were over populated, many downstate were under populated.
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Congress
� All Congressional Districts are under populated.Congressional seats are required to beeffectively equal.
� Two seats will be lost. One from districts from 1
to 14 or 15. The other seat will come fromupstate from districts 16 through 29.
� Districts 10, 6 and 11 have a majority of votingage citizens, who are African Americans.
� District 16 has a majority of Hispanic voting agecitizens.
� Two additional districts have a majority of Hispanic and African Americans of Voting Age
combined. Two more are near such a majority.
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State Senate
� 13 Districts are under populated (based upon adeviation of 5 percent from the ideal), while eightare over populated.
� Most under populated districts are upstate.
� Six districts have a majority of African Americancitizens of voting age.
� Two districts have a majority of Hispanic citizensof voting age.
� Four districts have a majority of Hispanics and African Americans of citizen of voting agecombined.
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The Assembly
� 26 districts are under populated and 22 are over
populated based upon a 5 percent deviation.
� Fifteen districts have a majority of Africans
American citizens of voting age.
� Twelve districts have a majority of Hispanic
citizens of voting age.
� Eight additional districts have a majority of Hispanics and African American citizens of
voting age combined.
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Conclusions
� The complex and contentious process in
New York State should this year be doneusing a commission
� New York should avoid the chaos that
could be caused once again by a short
sighted redistricting process.