Real-time seasonal hydrologic forecasting for the Western U.S.: Recent Progress Andrew Wood...

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Overview: Background Previously, demonstrated an approach for combining seasonal climate model forecasts with hydrologic simulation to create hydrologic forecasts Climate Model: NCEP Global Spectral Model (GSM), for Hydrology Model: VIC (at 1/8 or 1/4 degree resolution) Real-time experimental applications: East Coast (Spring/Summer 2000, November 1997) (paper: Wood et al. (2001), JGR) Columbia R. basin (Spring/Summer 2001) Alternate applications: DOE Parallel Climate Model (PCM) climate change analyses for CRB, California and Colorado; as well as a downscaling method comparison (papers: Wood et al. (2003) and 3 others, Climatic Change) Currently, supported by several funding sources to implement seasonal forecast approach for the Western U.S., in real-time, “pseudo-operationally”. Support: NASA NSIPP IRI/ARCS NOAA GCIP/GAPP

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