Real Estate Market Activity

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  • 8/8/2019 Real Estate Market Activity

    1/8

    . . . . . . . . . 2

    Publish Date: December 6, 2010Weekly Activity

    Pending Sales . . . . . . . . . 3

    We're rapidly approaching the time of year where we see the most

    dramatic seasonal slow-down in the Washington D.C. housing market.

    Remember that it's strictly temporary theatrics; demand will respawn and

    regenerate as the spring market heats up.

    New Listings

    . . . . . . . . . 4For the week ending November 27, Pending Sales maintained their 10.3percent lead in the race against last year's numbers, with 1,429 contracts

    written. This is the fourth consecutive week of double-digit gains over year-

    ago levels. Seller activity continued to mimic last year's levels. New Listings

    were down 8.4 percent from 2009 levels, with sellers adding 1,768 homes

    to the marketplace.

    With less new product and more sales activity, inventory continued its year-

    over-year and week-to-week descent. The number of Active Listings fell by3.6 percent from last year to arrive at 58,908.

    Although Months Supply of Inventory was up 1.3 percent compared to last

    year, the 12-month average is at 6.8 months which is 16.8 percent lower

    than the average for last year. The current 7.3 months of supply indicates a

    fairly balanced market.

    . . . . . . . . . 7

    . . . . . . . . . 6

    Active Listings

    Days on Market Until Sale

    Most Recent Month

    . . . . . . . . . 8

    Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale

    . . . . . . . . . 5

    Months Supply of Inventory

    Housing Affordability Index

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 12/6/2010. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 1

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    New ListingsAs of December 6, 2010

    Last Three Months Weekly New Listings

    3,755 4,076 - 7.9%

    3,816 3,853 - 1.0%

    3,816 3,995 - 4.5%

    3,838 3,857 - 0.5%

    3,667 3,975 - 7.7%

    3,744 3,973 - 5.8%3,273 3,512 - 6.8%

    3,178 3,633 - 12.5%

    3,246 3,245 + 0.0%

    3,164 3,324 - 4.8%

    3,161 3,274 - 3.5%

    2,867 3,020 - 5.1%

    1,768 1,931 - 8.4%

    43,293 45,668 - 5.2%

    9/11/2010

    9/18/2010

    9/25/2010

    For the week

    ending:

    9/4/2010

    One Year

    Ago

    One Year

    Change

    Current

    Activity

    3-Month Total:

    11/27/2010

    11/20/2010

    10/2/2010

    10/9/201010/16/2010

    10/23/2010

    10/30/2010

    11/6/2010

    11/13/2010

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    Current Activity

    One Year Ago

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    9/4/10 9/11/10 9/18/10 9/25/10 10/2/10 10/9/10 10/16/10 10/23/10 10/30/10 11/6/10 11/13/10 11/20/10 11/27/10

    Current Activity

    One Year Ago

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    1/4/03 5/4/03 9/1/03 12/30/03 4/28/04 8/26/04 12/24/04 4/23/05 8/21/05 12/19/05 4/18/06 8/16/06 12/14/06 4/13/07 8/11/07 12/9/07 4/7/08 8/5/08 12/3/08 4/2/09 7/31/09 11/28/09 3/28/10 7/26/10 11/23/

    Historical New Listings

    Compared to Last Year: Down (-)

    Compared to 2003: Down (-)

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    Pending SalesAs of December 6, 2010

    Last Three Months Weekly Pending Sales

    1,979 2,505 - 21.0%

    1,613 2,108 - 23.5%

    2,074 2,414 - 14.1%

    2,001 2,299 - 13.0%

    2,187 2,461 - 11.1%

    2,013 2,390 - 15.8%

    1,983 2,197 - 9.7%

    2,023 2,145 - 5.7%

    2,028 2,167 - 6.4%

    2,223 1,866 + 19.1%

    2,194 1,802 + 21.8%

    2,279 1,833 + 24.3%

    1,429 1,296 + 10.3%

    26,026 27,483 - 5.3%3-Month Total:

    9/11/2010

    11/27/2010

    11/20/2010

    10/2/2010

    10/9/2010

    9/18/2010

    9/25/2010

    10/16/2010

    10/23/2010

    10/30/2010

    9/4/2010

    11/6/2010

    11/13/2010

    For the week

    ending:

    Current

    Activity

    One Year

    Ago

    One Year

    Change

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2,200

    2,400

    2,600

    Current Activity

    One Year Ago

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2,200

    2,400

    2,600

    9/4/10 9/11/10 9/18/10 9/25/10 10/2/10 10/9/10 10/16/10 10/23/10 10/30/10 11/6/10 11/13/10 11/20/10 11/27/10

    Current Activity

    One Year Ago

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    1/4/03 5/4/03 9/1/03 12/30/03 4/28/04 8/26/04 12/24/04 4/23/05 8/21/05 12/19/05 4/18/06 8/16/06 12/14/06 4/13/07 8/11/07 12/9/07 4/7/08 8/5/08 12/3/08 4/2/09 7/31/09 11/28/09 3/28/10 7/26/10 11/23

    Historical Pending Sales

    Down (-)

    Down (-)

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 12/6/2010. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 3

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    Active Listings for SaleAs of December 6, 2010

    Last Three Months Weekly Inventory for Sale

    68,311 65,720 + 3.9%

    67,652 65,516 + 3.3%

    67,990 65,848 + 3.3%

    67,913 65,890 + 3.1%

    67,993 65,999 + 3.0%

    66,620 64,915 + 2.6%66,461 64,826 + 2.5%

    65,864 64,600 + 2.0%

    65,208 64,567 + 1.0%

    63,428 63,157 + 0.4%

    62,558 63,067 - 0.8%

    61,465 62,746 - 2.0%

    60,027 62,325 - 3.7%

    58,908 61,105 - 3.6%

    9/4/2010

    Inventory as of:Current

    Inventory

    One Year

    Ago

    8/28/2010

    10/23/2010

    10/30/2010

    9/25/2010

    11/20/2010

    11/6/2010

    11/27/2010

    10/2/2010

    9/18/2010

    One Year

    Change

    10/16/2010

    11/13/2010

    9/11/2010

    10/9/2010

    58,000

    60,000

    62,000

    64,000

    66,000

    68,000

    70,000

    Current Inventory

    One Year Ago

    64,776 64,197 + 0.9%3-Month Avg:58,000

    60,000

    62,000

    64,000

    66,000

    68,000

    70,000

    8/28/10 9/4/10 9/11/10 9/18/10 9/25/10 10/2/10 10/9/10 10/16/10 10/23/10 10/30/10 11/6/10 11/13/10 11/20/10 11/27/10

    Current Inventory

    One Year Ago

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000

    1/11/03 5/11/03 9/8/03 1/6/04 5/5/04 9/2/04 12/31/04 4/30/05 8/28/05 12/26/05 4/25/06 8/23/06 12/21/06 4/20/07 8/18/07 12/16/07 4/14/08 8/12/08 12/10/08 4/9/09 8/7/09 12/5/09 4/4/10 8/2/10

    Historical Weekly Inventory for Sale

    Even

    Down (-)

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 12/6/2010. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 4

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    Days on Market Until Sale

    84 111 - 24.2%

    85 112 - 23.9%

    86 124 - 31.0%

    86 123 - 29.7%

    85 119 - 28.5%

    78 110 - 29.2%74 108 - 31.0%

    73 100 - 27.4%

    71 95 - 24.6%

    77 92 - 16.9%

    82 91 - 9.8%

    84 90 - 6.4%

    81 106 - 24.2%

    3-2010

    4-2010

    12-Month Avg:

    10-2010

    6-2010

    7-2010

    8-2010

    9-2010

    5-2010

    12-2009

    2-2010

    1-2010

    11-2009

    Current

    Year

    One Year

    Previous

    One Year

    ChangeMonth

    115

    9084

    10-2008 10-2009 10-2010

    October 2010 84

    - 6.4%- 21.8%

    Down -Com ared to Last Year:

    115

    9084

    10-2008 10-2009 10-2010

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010

    October 2010 84

    - 6.4%- 21.8%

    Historical Days on Market Until Sale

    Down (-)

    Up (+)

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 12/6/2010. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 5

  • 8/8/2019 Real Estate Market Activity

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    Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale

    94.4% 91.0% + 3.7%

    93.9% 90.9% + 3.3%

    93.6% 90.2% + 3.8%

    93.9% 90.0% + 4.3%

    94.1% 90.4% + 4.1%

    94.6% 91.3% + 3.7%

    94.8% 92.2% + 2.9%

    94.7% 92.9% + 2.0%

    94.3% 93.4% + 0.9%

    93.5% 93.8% - 0.3%

    92.9% 94.1% - 1.3%

    92.7% 94.1% - 1.5%

    94.0% 92.0% + 2.1%

    12-2009

    2-2010

    1-2010

    11-2009

    Current

    Year

    One Year

    Previous

    One Year

    ChangeMonth

    3-2010

    4-2010

    12-Month Avg:

    10-2010

    6-2010

    7-2010

    8-2010

    9-2010

    5-2010

    91.9%

    94.1%

    92.7%

    80%

    82%

    84%

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    10-2008 10-2009 10-2010

    October 2010 92.7%

    - 1.5%+ 2.5%

    Does not account for list prices from any previouslisting contracts or seller concessions.

    Historical Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale

    91.9%

    94.1%

    92.7%

    80%

    82%

    84%

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    10-2008 10-2009 10-2010

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    102%

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010

    October 2010 92.7%

    - 1.5%+ 2.5%

    Down (-)

    Down (-)

    Does not account for list prices from any previouslisting contracts or seller concessions.

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 12/6/2010. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 6

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    Housing Affordability Index

    147 143 + 3.1%

    144 146 - 1.4%

    152 152 + 0.2%

    149 155 - 4.4%

    149 146 + 2.2%

    144 146 - 1.6%

    139 136 + 2.0%

    132 131 + 1.3%

    131 131 + 0.4%

    135 134 + 0.5%

    143 141 + 1.4%

    142 144 - 1.3%

    142 142 + 0.1%

    12-2009

    2-2010

    1-2010

    11-2009

    Current

    Year

    One Year

    Previous

    One Year

    ChangeMonth

    3-2010

    4-2010

    12-Month Avg:

    10-2010

    6-2010

    7-2010

    8-2010

    9-2010

    5-2010

    128

    144 142

    10-2008 10-2009 10-2010

    October 2010 142

    - 1.3%+ 19.3%

    The Housin Affordabilit Index measureshousin affordabilit for the MRIS service

    Historical Housing Affordability Index

    128

    144 142

    10-2008 10-2009 10-2010

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    160

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010

    October 2010 142

    - 1.3%+ 19.3%

    Even

    Up (+)

    The Housing Affordability Index measures housing affordability for the MRIS serviceregion. The higher the number, the more affordable our housing is.

    An HAI of 120 would mean that the median household income was 120% of thenecessary income to qualify for the median priced home under prevailing interest rates.

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 12/6/2010. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 7

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    Months Supply of Inventory

    6.8 9.5 - 28.3%

    6.5 9.1 - 28.3%

    6.0 8.3 - 26.8%

    6.1 8.2 - 25.0%

    6.2 8.2 - 24.3%

    6.5 8.1 - 19.8%

    6.6 8.1 - 18.6%

    7.0 8.0 - 12.3%

    7.2 7.7 - 7.2%

    7.4 7.6 - 2.5%

    7.3 7.3 - 0.5%

    7.3 7.2 + 1.3%

    6.8 8.1 - 16.8%

    3-2010

    4-2010

    12-Month Avg:

    10-2010

    6-2010

    7-2010

    8-2010

    9-2010

    5-2010

    12-2009

    2-2010

    11-2009

    Current

    Year

    One Year

    Previous

    One Year

    Change

    1-2010

    Month

    9.8

    7.2 7.3

    10-2008 10-2009 10-2010

    October 2010 7.3 Months

    + 1.3%- 26.6%

    Historical Months Supply of Inventory

    9.8

    7.2 7.3

    10-2008 10-2009 10-2010

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010

    October 2010 7.3 Months

    + 1.3%- 26.6%

    Even

    Up (+)

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 12/6/2010. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 8