Ready or Not
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READY OR NOT
THE 20 YEAR CHALLENGE
Jamais CascioResearch Fellow, Institute for the Future
November 30, 2011
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WHY FUTURISM?
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WHAT WILL THE NEXT 20 YEARS LOOK LIKE?
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WARNING:TURBULENCE
AHEAD
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CLIMATE: STRESS AND RESPONSE
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RESOURCES: DEPLETION AND COLLAPSE
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TRANSPARENCY: THE INVISIBLE BECOMES VISIBLE
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CONNECTIONS: GLOBALLY LOCAL
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ECONOMIES: THE NEED FOR RESILIENCE
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MAKING: ATOMS AND BITS
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HUMAN AUGMENTATION: HUMANITY AND MORE
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SCENARIOS
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REPERCUSSION
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REINVENTION
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REVOLUTION
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FORESIGHT:the capacity of a system to anticipate the consequences of present-day actions; to understand the implications of past choices; and to spot weak signals of change.
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RESILIENCE: the capacity of a system to tolerate disturbance without collapse, to withstand shocks, to rebuild itself when necessary, and to improve itself when possible.
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PLAY: Embracing Turbulence.