raytheonInvestor Conference Presentation - Morning Session
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Transcript of raytheonInvestor Conference Presentation - Morning Session
Missile Defense Center Woburn, MA
Dec. 1, 2005
11/30/2005 Page 2
Agenda – Investor ConferenceDecember 1st, 2005
6:30–7:30 a.m. Buffet Breakfast Boston Harbor Hotel, Wharf Room7:30–8:30 Transport to Woburn8:30–8:45 Welcome and Agenda Overview - Greg Smith, Vice President, Investor Relations 8:45–9:15 Business Overview - Bill Swanson, Chairman and CEO9:15–9:45 Raytheon Aircraft - Jim Schuster, Chairman and CEO, Raytheon Aircraft Company9:45–10:00 Break10:00–12:00 p.m. Core Technology Demonstrations – Breakout Rotations
C4I TechnologiesMike Keebaugh, President, Intelligence and Information SystemsJon Jones, President, Space and Airborne SystemsJack Kelble, Vice President, Raytheon Company Constitution Room
Missile Technologies Quincy Market RoomLouise Francesconi, President, Missile Systems
RF Technologies Visualization CenterDan Smith, President, Integrated Defense Systems
EO/IR Technologies Woburn RoomColin Schottlaender, President, Network Centric Systems
12:00–1:00 Lunch Buffet1:00–3:00 Core Technology Demonstrations – Breakout Rotations3:00–3:15 Financial Outlook/2006 Guidance - Biggs Porter, Acting CFO Visualization Center3:15–3:45 Summary - Bill Swanson, Chairman and CEO3:45–4:15 Q&A - Bill Swanson/Biggs Porter4:30 p.m. Conference Ends
Missile Defense Center Woburn, MA
Dec. 1, 2005
Bill SwansonChairman & Chief Executive Officer
Raytheon Overview
11/30/2005 Page 5
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and projections. The Company cautions readers that such forward-looking statements are based on assumptions that the Company believes are reasonable, but are subject to a wide range of risks, and actual results may differ materially. The Company expressly disclaims any current intention to provide updates to forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, after the date of this presentation. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to: the ability to obtain or the timing of obtaining future government awards; the availability of government funding; changes in government or customer priorities due to program reviews or revisions to strategic objectives; difficulties in developing and producing operationally advanced products and technology systems; termination of government contracts; program performance, including resolution of claims; timing of contract payments; the performance of critical subcontractors; government import and export policies and other government regulations; the ultimate resolution of contingencies and legal matters, including government investigations; the effect of regulatory actions and market conditions, particularly in relation to the general aviation, commuter and fractional aircraft businesses; cost growth risks inherent with large long-term fixed price contracts; conflicts with other investors and business risks in joint ventures and less than wholly-owned businesses; and risks associated with our former engineering and construction business related to outstanding letters of credit, surety bonds, guarantees and similar agreements and the resolution of claims and litigation. Further information regarding the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the projected results can be found in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004 and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, copies of which may be obtained at the Company's website www.raytheon.com.
11/30/2005 Page 6
Customer Focus
Performance – Meet our commitments to our Customers, partners and each other, driving Customer Success.
Relationships – Build positive, solid relationships with our Customers, partners and each other. Listen, anticipate, respond, follow-through.
Solutions – Develop and provide superior Customer solutions, working as One Company.
Customer Success Is Our Mission
11/30/2005 Page 7
Performance: Processes, Metrics, and Oversight
ProgramA
OversightOversight
ProcessesProcesses
MetricsMetrics
Integrated Product Development SystemEarned Value Management SystemCapability Maturity Model Integration
Award FeesFinancial metricsCPI / SPI CRAD awardsHR metricsEH&S
Bookings and Win ratesNew business assessment Customer satisfactionQualitySupplier performance
Focused On Performance In Our Processes, Metrics, And Oversight
ProgramB
ProgramC
ProgramN
Raytheon Six SigmaRisk & Opportunity Assessments
…
Process Architecture
Operating ReviewsAOP ReviewsGate reviewsInternal Audit
Raytheon Company Evaluation Team HR reviewsStrategic Dialogs
11/30/2005 Page 8
Diverse Program Portfolio
Raytheon G&D Program Portfolio:
Over 8,000 active programs
Raytheon has submitted > 5,300 proposals year to date – averaging 17 per day
Raytheon has been awarded > 3,200 new contracts year to date – averaging 10 per day
In Q3-2005, excluding 3 bookings of greater than $100M (all classified), the average Booking was under $5M
Breadth And Depth Of Program Portfolio Requires World-class Performance Processes
11/30/2005 Page 9
Operating Review Process
Effective Controls And Performance Focus Drive Shareholder ValueCharts Contain Notional Data
11/30/2005 Page 10
R6σ® Performance
Six Sigma continues to have significant impact – 62% of population are qualified specialists– More than 1,200 are trained experts
Recently held R6σ Celebration with over 450 attendees including 50 customers
Projects up 19%, customer projects up 39%, year-over-year
Engagements with suppliers up 34% year-over-year
Joint Stand-off Weapon (JSOW) Block II Six Sigma project cut cost by 34% while upgrading performance; recipient of 2005 Department ofDefense Packard Award
NetJets Six Sigma project yielded extra 135 days of availability and improved scheduled maintenance delivery by 30%.
Six Sigma Continues To Drive Performance
11/30/2005 Page 11
Performance Focus Is Paying Off
0
5
10
15
1999 2005*
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2003 2004 2005* 2006*
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2003 2004 2005* 2006*
Decreasing Net Debt
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2003 2004 2005* 2006*
Strong Sales Growth
Growing Operating Income
Solid Bookings
* Guidance as of Q3 2005
$ Billions
Performance Culture … Providing Customer Solutions … Driving Value
11/30/2005 Page 12
Relationships: Speed & Agility
Acting As A Partner, Meeting Customers’ Urgent Requirements
Program Time to Field
Persistent Surveillance & Dissemination System of Systems (PSDS2)
6 Months
Rapid Aerostat Initial Deployment (RAID)
36 Days
Multispectral Targeting System Ball (MTS)
4 Months
Explosive Ordnance Disposal Robots (EODBOTs)
3 Months
11/30/2005 Page 13
Customer Reaction
DD(X): “The Navy and [DD(X)] National Team have accomplished the most thorough ship design and integration process in the history of Navy shipbuilding. I am proud of their achievement and believe their accomplishment sets a new standard in acquisition.” - Rear Admiral Charles Hamilton, USN
Active Denial: “Raytheon’s Active Denial System (ADS)…shows great potential as a transformational technology… I appreciate the Raytheon ADS Team’s efforts to design and develop the advanced technologies necessary for the protection of our fleet.” - Rear Admiral A.M. Macy, USN
GBS: “Global Broadcast System is the best program in SMC’s [AF Space & Missile Systems Center] portfolio and a critical pathfinder for future Milsatcom advancements.” - Brigadier General Ellen Pawlikowski, USAF
Providing Our Customers With Capabilities To Get The Job Done
11/30/2005 Page 14
Solutions: Leveraging Core Defense Domain Knowledge
Represents Over 2/3 Of Our Total Business
Technology/Market Capabilities - examples
RFRadarMissile Seekers
CommunicationsElectronic WarfareDirected Energy Weapons
EO / IRSeeing the extended battlespace (Space, Airborne, Surface)
Enabling Night Vision and Precision Strike Missions
Lethal and Non-lethal Applications
Battle Management/C2Sensors and PayloadsIntelligence & AnalysisIntegrated Ground Solutions
Missiles
Missile as a Node in the NetUrban Warfare
C4I
Situational AwarenessPersistent SurveillanceCommunicationsMission Planning
11/30/2005 Page 15
Raytheon Strategy
Grow our position in core defense markets through a focus on key strategic pursuits, mission support, technology and Mission Assurance.
Use the Strategic Business Areas to leverage domain knowledge ofcore defense markets — across the company — to achieve growth and to expand our Mission Systems Integration opportunities.
Return Beechcraft® and Hawker® brands to a preeminent position.
Be a Customer Focused company based on:
– Performance – Promises made, promises kept
– Relationships – Listen, anticipate, respond and follow through with our Customers, partners and each other
– Solutions – Develop and provide superior Customer solutions working as One Company
Disciplined Growth Through Customer Focus
11/30/2005 Page 16
Potential Shifting Budgetary Priorities
DecreasingDecreasingLarge platform impacts?Large platform impacts?
Decommission Decommission carrier(scarrier(s)? )?
Quantities or delivery Quantities or delivery schedules could changeschedules could change
StandStand--alone C2 systems alone C2 systems could come under pressurecould come under pressure
IncreasingIncreasingGround ForcesGround Forces
Special Operations ForcesSpecial Operations Forces
Command & Control (C2)Command & Control (C2)
Intelligence, Surveillance, Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance (ISR)Reconnaissance (ISR)
Unmanned SystemsUnmanned Systems
Knowledge ManagementKnowledge Management
Mission SupportMission Support
NonNon--lethal Systemslethal Systems
Precision EngagementPrecision Engagement
Raytheon’s Portfolio Is Aligned With Priority Areas
11/30/2005 Page 17
Mission Systems Integration (MSI) is the integration of multiple systems (sensors, C4I, weapons) to deliver a solution to accomplish a specific mission for a customerMSI requires a thorough understanding of the mission, the systems being integrated, and the concept of operations
Emerging Program Structure
Growing Mission Systems Integration
Platform
Customer
Traditional Program Structure
Moving up from Systems provider
to a Mission Systems Integrator
(MSI) role
Core Defense (Systems,
Subsystems, Components)
Platform MSI
LSI
Customer
Growing To 22% Of G&D Business Over The Next 5 Years
Core Defense (Systems,
Subsystems, Components)
11/30/2005 Page 18
MSI Opportunities: Family of Ships
Family of ShipsFamily of Ships
“DD(X) is the technology development engine for the
navy’s future ship platforms”- John J. Young Jr., ASN (RDA), Nov. 3, 2005
“DD(X) is the technology development engine for the
navy’s future ship platforms”- John J. Young Jr., ASN (RDA), Nov. 3, 2005
MSIMSI
VA ClassVA Class
LPD-17
LA ClassLA Class
CV/CVNCV/CVN
AEGISAEGIS
• Standard C2• Common Applications• Advanced Radar• Open Architecture
• Standard C2• Common Applications• Advanced Radar• Open Architecture
Forward FitForward Fit
VA ClassVA Class SSGNSSGN
DD(X)DD(X)
CVN 21CVN 21
MMDShipMMDShip
CJR
LHA(R)LHA(R)
BackfitBackfitLPD-17
CV/CVNCV/CVN
LA ClassLA Class
AEGISAEGIS
11/30/2005 Page 19
MSI Opportunities: Horizontal Integration
Getting To HI Is An Evolutionary Process
11/30/2005 Page 20
Returning Beechcraft® and Hawker® to Preeminence
Focus Area Progress
Service & Support
Make exceptional customer service and support RAC’s number one business priority
Quality Clearly establish the Beechcraft and Hawker brands as the industry standard for maximum value and highest quality
Products Fund and execute product derivative and modernization strategies for all existing products
Costs Drive cost reduction and productivity to improve competitiveness and financial performance
People Make RAC a place where talented and diverse people are proud to work
RAC Focus Paying Off In Growth And Profitability
Missile Defense Center Woburn, MA
Dec. 1, 2005
Jim SchusterChairman and CEO
Raytheon Aircraft Company
11/30/2005 Page 23
NBAA Announcements
4000
11/30/2005 Page 24
NBAA Announcements
850XP
11/30/2005 Page 25
NBAA Announcements
onanza G36 - Garmin Avionics
From This To This
11/30/2005 Page 26
…The G.A. Market Looks Good Heading Into 2006
Market Indicators …No Matter How You Look At It
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Jet A
ircra
ft U
nits
Del
iver
ed N
ew
TRBJan ‘05
TRBJan ‘05
ActualActual ForecastForecast
HoneywellSep ’05
HoneywellSep ’05
Teal – May ‘05Teal – May ‘05
Forecast Int’lJul ’05
Forecast Int’lJul ’05
’04Actual
’04Actual
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Jet A
ircra
ft U
nits
Del
iver
ed N
ew
TRBJan ‘05
TRBJan ‘05
ActualActual ForecastForecast
HoneywellSep ’05
HoneywellSep ’05
Teal – May ‘05Teal – May ‘05
Forecast Int’lJul ’05
Forecast Int’lJul ’05
’04Actual
’04Actual
Jet Aircraft Forecast Comparison
Jet A
ircra
ft U
nits
Del
iver
ed N
ew
-2.00%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
Q1
00Q
2 00
Q3
00Q
4 00
Q10
1Q
2 01
Q3
01Q
4 01
Q1
02Q
2 02
Q3
02Q
4 02
Q1
03Q
2 03
Q3
03Q
4 03
Q1
04Q
2 04
Q3
04Q
4 04
Q1
05Q
2 05
Q3
05Q
4 05
Q1
06Q
2 06
Q3
06Q
4 06
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20062000 = 3.7%2001 = 0.8%2002 = 1.6%2003 = 2.7%2004 = 4.2%2005 = 3.5%2006 = 3.4%
Order IntakeDroughts
Minimum Requirement forHealthy Bizjet Order Intake
Real U.S. GDP (Baseline Scenario 9/05)
Reuters, October 10th…• Top forecasters … are convinced the
impact of hurricanes should be short lived… the economy is unlikely to dip much below its trend rate over the next 5 quarters
-2.00%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
Q1
00Q
2 00
Q3
00Q
4 00
Q10
1Q
2 01
Q3
01Q
4 01
Q1
02Q
2 02
Q3
02Q
4 02
Q1
03Q
2 03
Q3
03Q
4 03
Q1
04Q
2 04
Q3
04Q
4 04
Q1
05Q
2 05
Q3
05Q
4 05
Q1
06Q
2 06
Q3
06Q
4 06
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20062000 = 3.7%2001 = 0.8%2002 = 1.6%2003 = 2.7%2004 = 4.2%2005 = 3.5%2006 = 3.4%
Order IntakeDroughts
Minimum Requirement forHealthy Bizjet Order Intake
Real U.S. GDP (Baseline Scenario 9/05)
Reuters, October 10th…• Top forecasters … are convinced the
impact of hurricanes should be short lived… the economy is unlikely to dip much below its trend rate over the next 5 quarters
Real U.S. GDP (Baseline Scenario 9/05)
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Per
cent
of F
leet
for S
ale
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Jets 9.78%
Turboprops 8.26%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Per
cent
of F
leet
for S
ale
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Jets 9.78%
Turboprops 8.26%Percent of Used Fleet for Sale
Perc
ent O
f Fle
et F
or S
ale
Percent of Used Fleet for SaleSummary Market Indicators
Qua
ntity
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Prospect V isits
Demos
Perf . Analysis
Financial Analysis
Fabric Boards
Inquiries
12 Month Average
2001 2002 2003
12 monthmoving average
2004 2005
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Prospect V isits
Demos
Perf . Analysis
Financial Analysis
Fabric Boards
Inquiries
12 Month Average
2001 2002 2003
12 monthmoving average
2004 2005
11/30/2005 Page 27
2006 Aircraft Deliveries
’05 vs.‘062003A 2004A 2005F 2006E Delta
4000 - - - 10* 10
800XP/850XP 47 50 58 63 5
400XP 24 28 59 48 (11)
Premier 29 37 33 40 7
King Airs 86 104 116 137 21
Pistons 82 93 109 126 17
Total Commercial 268 312 375 424 49T6 68 67 60 60 -Total 336 379 435 484 49
*excludes 1 leased aircraft
2006 – 3rd Straight Year Of Double Digit Growth
11/30/2005 Page 28
Margin Expansion …
. . . Derivative Products, Completion Of Lot Programs And Productivity Are Driving Margins . . .
Volume/Derivative Products
-3
0
3
6
9
(3.1%)
0.1%
2.6%
4.8%5.0 - 5.5%
9 - 10%
Premier/HorizonLot Completions
R6S/Productivity
(1.9%)
2001 2002 2003 2005F 2006E 2009E2004
OP
MARGI
N
% ~ ~
11/30/2005 Page 29
Productivity…
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005F 2006E
$237K
$276K
$325K
$360K
$227K$214K$191K$K
Sales Per Employee
… Productivity Gains Continue –Sales Per Employee Nearly Doubled Since 2000
11/30/2005 Page 30
New Products and Derivatives Drive Revenues…
‘06‘95 ‘01 ‘03‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 ‘02 ‘04
4000
G36
G58
HW 350
H 800 XPI
H 850 XP
C90-GT
Premier 1A
350 ER
T6 B
‘05
800XP 400XPPremier I
800 XP-PL21KA-PL21
T6
Premier ER
B200 GT
1995-2004 Six Product Introductions
To Be Announced
To Be Announced
… 12 New Products / Derivatives Introduced 2005/06 –Twice As Many As The Prior 10 Years Combined
11/30/2005 Page 31
4000
11/30/2005 Page 32
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
2001 2004 2005F 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E
Major Areas Of Focus
Asset Reduction – On Track
Inventory ≈ $225M– Used aircraft – sell off 1000’s– Outsourcing– Factory design – cycle time reduction
across all operations– Expand vendor managed inventory
programs
Financing ≈ $200M– Further development of 3rd party
financing sources– Get RAC completely out of the
financing business
Fixed Assets ≈ $200M– Disposition of asset intensive
operations – restructuring– Continued “Micromanagement” of
capital expenditures≈ $800M (26%) Reduction 2001-2005 … Another $600M
Planned Through 2009
Gross Assets $B
$B
3.1
2.3
Inventory & Financing PP&E Other
1.7
($800M)
($600M)
11/30/2005 Page 33
Customer Service and Support
11/30/2005 Page 34
RAC – Right On Track …2006 – 2009
Sales – Compound growth of ≈ 10% through 2009
Margins – Continued margin expansion –high single digit margins by 2009
Gross Assets – Another $600M reduction through 2009
Cash Flow – Continued positive cash flow and conversion rate
Productivity – Clearly establish Raytheon Aircraft as a lean, flexible, cost competitive general aviation company
Customer Service & Support –Finishing the job – True Mission Assurance
Products – Introduction of 3 to 5 new product upgrades every year
… Continued Execution – Reliable Performance
Strategies Paying Off
Sales – 3 straight years of double digit growth
Margins – nearly 800 basis points improvement since 2001
Gross Assets – Reduced by $800M since 2001
Cash Flow – Positive cash flow / >100% cash conversion for all of the last 4 years
Productivity – Lowest hours per aircraft on record. Sales per employee nearly doubled since 2000
Customer Service & Support – Highest ratings on record
Products – 12 New Products / upgrades introduced 2005 / 06
11/28/2005 Page 13
Missile Defense Center Woburn, MA
Dec. 1, 2005