raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved...

79
The Incredible Analysis of W.D.Gann Alan Oliver raoufx.com

Transcript of raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved...

Page 1: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

The Incredible Analysisof W.D.Gann

Alan Oliverraoufx.com

Page 2: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

W.D.Gann• An incredible analyst

in the 1900’s• Created several

innovative tools and techniques

• Was the discovererWas the discoverer of Time cycles in marketsa ets

raoufx.com

Page 3: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

G ’ dGann’s record

• Gann attracted a lot of attention with his tradingtrading

• In front of a newspaper editor, he made:286 d• 286 trades

• 264 wins• 22 Losses for a total of 92% accuracy

raoufx.com

Page 4: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• He is reported to have made $50 million US by his death in 1955.by his death in 1955.

• Even more remarkable as he traded through the Great depression in 1920 when his brokerthe Great depression in 1920 when his broker and then his bank went bust and he had to start all over againstart all over again.

raoufx.com

Page 5: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• In this presentation we will review just some of his workof his work

• To completely understand this man’s legacy can take years of applied researchcan take years of applied research.

raoufx.com

Page 6: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

The Gann swing chartg

raoufx.com

Page 7: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 8: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

A swing chart will only moveh h i h fwhen the High or Low of

Previous bar is passed.

Definition of a trendraoufx.com

Page 9: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

S&P 500 Sep 2010

raoufx.com

Page 10: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

The safest place to BUY isthe first Higher topthe first Higher top

raoufx.com

Page 11: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

OOr

Then place a Stopbelow the last swing lowbelow the last swing low

raoufx.com

Page 12: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

NEVER buy lower topsNEVER buy lower topsand/or lower lowsraoufx.com

Page 13: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

HOLD higher swing highsHOLD higher swing highsand swing lowsraoufx.com

Page 14: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

S&P 500 Sep 2010

Entry

Stop

raoufx.com

Page 15: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• Gann would pyramid on every trade.• Maximising your position then move stop up• Maximising your position then move stop up

behind each swing low.

raoufx.com

Page 16: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

S&P 500 Sep 2010

Buy more

Entry

Stop

raoufx.com

Page 17: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

The Square of 9q

raoufx.com

Page 18: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• Gann‘s relentless approach to research allowed him to discover an astrological approach tohim to discover an astrological approach to trading.

• H n p nt 3 r t d in 7 d k• He once spent 3 years studying 7 days a week in England reviewing the price movement of Wh t r 1000 rsWheat over 1000 years.

• The end result was a much better way to Ti h d d l dmeasure Time than our standard calendar

raoufx.com

Page 19: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

The Ephemeris

raoufx.com

Page 20: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 21: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

TimeTime

Nov 7Feb 4

Aug 8May 6

raoufx.com

Page 22: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade:

• Time ( several ways to measure time)P i• Price

• Pattern

raoufx.com

Page 23: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

S&P 500D il bDaily bars

June 21June

raoufx.com

Page 24: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

TimeTime

Nov 7Feb 4

Aug 8May 6

raoufx.com

Page 25: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Price• Gann had an important rule for Price:• Always look half way between a high and a• Always look half way between a high and a

low for a potential reversal.

raoufx.com

Page 26: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 27: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Pattern – The Outside ReversalPattern – The Outside Reversal

Close is belowClose is belowYesterdays low

raoufx.com

Page 28: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Time Price and Pattern on June 21

raoufx.com

Page 29: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 30: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 31: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Trade Result:Short 1105E i 1036Exit 1036Profit 69 pointsUSD $250 per point$17,250 USD per contract

raoufx.com

Page 32: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

The Gann Fan• Gann confirmed that Time and Price can

‘balance out’ and this leads to a potential trade.balance out and this leads to a potential trade.• To do this, he created what we call The Gann

fanfan.

raoufx.com

Page 33: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

1 x 1

StartStart

+10 days+10 Points

+20 days+20 points

+ 76 days+76 points

raoufx.com

Page 34: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• How I traded the September 11 2001 market crash using Gann strategiescrash using Gann strategies

raoufx.com

Page 35: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 36: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 37: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 38: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Mon Sep 24

raoufx.com

Page 39: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 40: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

D GFC L M h 09Dow GFC Low March 09raoufx.com

Page 41: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Dow daily raoufx.com

Page 42: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Nikkei Weekly

raoufx.com

Page 43: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 44: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 45: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• Gann’s timing factor is based in several parts, based on Geometry and sometimes illogicalbased on Geometry and sometimes illogical yet powerful human observation.

raoufx.com

Page 46: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• What is the most important number in humanity and why?humanity and why?

raoufx.com

Page 47: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• At one stage in his trading research Gann called 144 his most important discovery.144 his most important discovery.

• Page 1 of the Bible: God created all things in 6 days and rested on the 7th daydays and rested on the 7t day

• Ezekiel temple 1440 sq miles: City 144 sq miles• 144000 redeemed people

raoufx.com

Page 48: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

GBPUSD Dailyraoufx.com

Page 49: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Rio Weeklyraoufx.com

Page 50: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 51: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 52: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

TimeTime

Nov 7Feb 4

Aug 8May 6

raoufx.com

Page 53: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 54: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 55: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• What do these basic shapes have in common?

raoufx.com

Page 56: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

90• In numerology, 90 means:• Change• Change• Obstacle• Redirection

raoufx.com

Page 57: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

FTSE Monthlyyraoufx.com

Page 58: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 59: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 60: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

TimeTime

Nov 7Feb 4

Aug 8May 6

raoufx.com

Page 61: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Gann stunned the Trading world• Here is a classic example of how Gann created

a huge following with incredible marketa huge following with incredible market predictions….

• Australian stock MQG• Australian stock MQG

raoufx.com

Page 62: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

MQG DailyQ y

“MQG will go no higher untilMQG will go no higher untilit has a decent break(pullback)”

raoufx.com

Page 63: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 64: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 65: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 66: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

TimeTime

Nov 7Feb 4

Aug 8May 6

raoufx.com

Page 67: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 68: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Who is this?raoufx.com

Page 69: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 70: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 71: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Si ifi hi h d l ??Significant high and low??

raoufx.com

Page 72: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 73: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 74: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

raoufx.com

Page 75: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

A Dire warning• When was the last great Depression?• 1929• 1929• When was the prior depression?

raoufx.com

Page 76: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

1837

1837 to 1929 = 90 years1929 + 90 years = 2019

raoufx.com

Page 77: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Nov 07Major all time highraoufx.com

Page 78: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

• 2007 to 2019 = 12 years2007 to 2019 12 years

C bi i• Combining:• 1837 to 2019 = 90 years and• 2007 to 2019 = 12 years/144 months

• We now have two major cycles expiring together for a real threattogether for a real threat

raoufx.com

Page 79: raoufx Incredible Analysis.pdf · The Square of 9 raoufx.com ... • Gann’s method involved several requirements to a trade:to a trade: • Time ( several ways to measure time)

Th I dibl l i fThe Incredible analysis of W.D.Gann

www.tradingwithgods.com

raoufx.com