Ramez Naam. A Book in Progress I Want Your Stories, Examples, Feedback [email protected]...

271
Ramez Naam

Transcript of Ramez Naam. A Book in Progress I Want Your Stories, Examples, Feedback [email protected]...

Page 1: Ramez Naam. A Book in Progress I Want Your Stories, Examples, Feedback mez@morethanhuman.org twitter: @ramez.

Ramez Naam

Page 2: Ramez Naam. A Book in Progress I Want Your Stories, Examples, Feedback mez@morethanhuman.org twitter: @ramez.

A Book in Progress

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I Want Your Stories,Examples, Feedback

[email protected]: @ramez

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BoingBoing?

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How to Sabotage the Enemy

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Munitions

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Factories

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Communications

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Organizations

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Sounds a Lot Like…

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Life in a Big Business

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For Example

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Sabotage Technique #1

Insist on doing everything through “channels.” Never permit short-cuts to be taken in order to expedite decisions.

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Follow the Process

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Sabotage Technique #3

When possible, refer all matters to committees, for “further study and consideration.” Attempt to make the committees as large as possible — never less than five.

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Committees

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Virtual Teams

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Shared Accountability

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as Sabotage

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Sabotage Technique #7

Advocate “caution.” Be “reasonable” and urge your fellow conferees to be “reasonable” and avoid haste which might result in embarrassments or difficulties later on.

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CYA

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Sabotage Technique #8

Be worried about the propriety of any decision — raise the question of whether such action as is contemplated lies within the jurisdiction of the group or whether it might conflict with the policy of some higher echelon.

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Mind Your Business

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Follow Orders from Above

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Reminds Me of…

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Why is this funny?

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Stereotype

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Committees, Process, Big Companies

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Slow

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Cumbersome

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Dumb

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Does it Have to Be that Way?

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Our Heroes

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A Conundrum

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Is There Room?

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In a Big Organization?

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Lone Ranger

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Maverick

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Change Maker

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Is it even a good idea?

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What I think:

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Yes and Yes

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Sometimes

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Today

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Structure an Organization

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Encourage Change and Innovation

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Be an Effective Change Maker

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From the Bottoms Up

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Story

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Evolution

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of Ideas

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Distributed Computing

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Using Humans…

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Wisdom of the Crowds

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Inside an Organization

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Descends from History

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Twentieth Century

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Distributed Systems

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Beat Top-Down Systems

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Economics

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Markets outperformed

Command Economies

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Governance

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Democracycreated more happiness than

Authoritarianism

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The Wisdom of Crowds Beat

Wisdom of the Party, King, or Committee

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Smarter Than

+

+

+

+

+

+

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Why Do Western Businesses Look Like Communist States from the 70s?

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Three Problems with Top Down

1. Slow

2. Information Gets Distorted

3. Lost Brainpower

How Do We Get Out of This?

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Three Pillars

1. Distributed Autonomy & Bias for Action

2. Darwinian Evolution of Ideas

3. Sliding Scale of Self-Determination

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1. DISTRIBUTED AUTONOMY & BIAS FOR ACTION

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Organization: A Network of Brains

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Mainframe Model

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Distributed Computing Model

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Tight Information / Action Loop

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Rapid Cycle Time

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Logic Embedded at the Edge

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Bias for Action

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Three Ingredients for Local Autonomy

1. Goals are Clear to Everyone

2. People are Empowered

3. Clear, Simple Decision Making

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CLEAR GOALS

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If the People on the Edge

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Know Where You’re Going

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They Can Row in that Direction

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On Their Own

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If they Don’t

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Good Luck

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Value of the Top

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(CEOs, VPs, Managers, etc..)

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Clearly Articulate a Direction

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and

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Reasons Behind It

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SIMPLE LINES OF DECISION MAKING

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Question

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How Many People Can Say “Yes?”

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How Many Can Say “No?”

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Committees Bias Towards “No”

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Mythical Man Month

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Communications Overhead

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Grows with the Square of the Number of People Involved

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2 People – 1 Connection

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3 People – 3 Connections

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4 People – 6 Connections

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5 People – 10 Connections

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10 People – 55 Connections

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N2 – N2

N = Number of Nodes or People

Overhead =

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Applies to Decisions

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Difficulty of Decision Making

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Is N2 with Number of People

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As Number of Stakeholders Increases

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Odds Any One Person Can Say “Yes” Decrease

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Number of People Who Can Say “No” Increases

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Large Decision Bodies

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(mostly ) Inherently Conservative

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If You Want Nothing Done

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Create a Committee

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Or Spread Ownership

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If You Want Things to Happen

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Empower Individuals

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or Self-Organizing Groups

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of Like Minded Individuals

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How do you Prevent Mistakes?

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Hire Great People

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Trust Them

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Create Sandboxes

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Where Failure is Okay

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From Which You Can Learn

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Use Science!

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Use Data, Metrics, Experiments

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Empower

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Objective

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Transparent

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Example: Live Search Relevance

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http://www.live.com

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Engineers Create & Submit Experiments

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Experiments are Evaluated on Metrics

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Like

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Comparison to a “Truth Set”

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User Click Rates on Results

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All Automated

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Anyone Can Run an Experiment(within reason)

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If an Experiment Improves on the Key Metrics, It Ships

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Very Little Opinion Involved

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Result

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Everyone on the Team

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Knows What to Expect

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Is Empowered to Improve the Site

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Regardless of Level, Title, Rank

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Rapid Problem Solution Cycle

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Find a Problem?

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Or an Opportunity?

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No Need for This

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Just Fix It

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Fast

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Efficient

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Empowered

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Uses that Distributed Brainpower

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2. DARWINIAN EVOLUTION

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Ideas

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Information

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Patterns

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Most Valuable Thing

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In the World

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Layout of that Page

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Can Double Revenue

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Or Cut it In Half

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Just a Bit of Pattern

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No Extra Cost or Resources

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Huge Impact on Success

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Other Patterns

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Assembly Line

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Germ Theory of Disease

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Graphical User Interface

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HTML & HTTP

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Information and Ideas

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Primary Source of Growth

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Modern Company

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Among Other Things

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Idea Creation Machine

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Pattern Creation Machine

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To Get the Best Ideas

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Harness All Your Available IQ

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Create Lots and Lots of Ideas

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(Most of them Bad)

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Test Them

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Scientific Method

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Darwinian Method

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Capitalist Method

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Rule of Thumb

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Highest Paid Person in the Room

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Will Usually Be Wrong

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Compared to Experiment

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Trust Data

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Trust Customers

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Trust Results

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More Than Management

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More than Your Own Ideas

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Layout Picked by Darwin

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Thousands of Experiments

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A Word of Caution

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Pick the Right Metrics

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Short Term Success

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Can Reduce

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Long Term

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Revenuevs.

Customer Satisfaction

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If You Need To

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Mix of Metrics

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A Word of Pragmatism

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No Metric is Perfect

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Keep Improving Them

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Don’t Get Paralyzed

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Right Direction

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Good

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Keep Making it Better

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Invest

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Ability to Experiment

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Good Metrics

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Rapid Innovation

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Sandboxes

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3. LIMITED SELF-GOVERNANCE

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Embrace Democracy

Give Employees a Vote in:– Peer Evaluation– Immediate Management

Why?– They Know Things

Management Doesn’t!– It Will Make them Happy

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Embrace Democracy

Requires Right Incentives– Employee Compensation

tied to Team Performance

– Can’t Just Vote for Boss Who Will Let You Slack!

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WHAT YOU CAN DO

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Shift the Conversation

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Away from “How”

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Towards “Why”

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How?Implementation Details

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“move this line of code here”

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What?Deliverables

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“add fault tolerance to our checkout system”

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Why?Motivation

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“lost items from shopping cart is our #2 customer complaint”

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Why?Metric for Success

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“Lost item complaints drop by 80%”

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Shift the Conversation Up

How

What

Why

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“What’s the goal?”

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“What problem are we trying to solve?”

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“How important is this problem?”

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“How do we measure success?”

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Build a Shield

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How

What

Why

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Clarify

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Why?

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Organize

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How

What

Why

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Lead

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Page 271: Ramez Naam. A Book in Progress I Want Your Stories, Examples, Feedback mez@morethanhuman.org twitter: @ramez.

Ramez [email protected]

twitter: @ramez