RAISE2012 - Brian Wernham - 11 October 2012 - Agile Adoption in the US and UK Governments - A...
Transcript of RAISE2012 - Brian Wernham - 11 October 2012 - Agile Adoption in the US and UK Governments - A...
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Talk given at the Researching Agile development of
Information Systems (RAISE2012) conference
11th October 2012
held at the Inmarsat Centre, London
Agile Project Management for GovernmentAgile Project Management for GovernmentAgile Project Management for GovernmentAgile Project Management for Government::::
Agile adoption in the US and UKAgile adoption in the US and UKAgile adoption in the US and UKAgile adoption in the US and UKGovernments:Governments:Governments:Governments: aaaa briefbriefbriefbrief comparative reviewcomparative reviewcomparative reviewcomparative review
Brian WernhamBrian WernhamBrian WernhamBrian Wernham
Brian Wernham 2012 CC BY-NC-ND
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Introduction
Good morning to you all!
After many decades of run-away technology
projects, where delivery has failed and
benefits have not been achieved, both the US
and the UK governments have said that they
want to move to a more flexible approach to
IT.
Ten years on from the signing of the Agile
Manifesto,1 we are seeing more than just an
interest in Agile from leaders in Government,
we have had clear statements of intent.
Agile is no longer the ugly duckling spurned
by the mainstream. Governments on both
sides of the Atlantic wish to use it - and use it
on large, critical projects.
One of the objectives of this conference is to
kick-off the "Agile Research Network" (ARN)
which will initiate research projects under a
jointly agreed research agenda.2
What I will suggest today is a stream of work
for the ARN to consider - a medium term
goal, over the next 3-5 years, to assess how
the switch to Agile in government is
progressing, and whether it is delivering to
the citizen and reducing the cost of project
failures. This research will be helpful in
identifying where the roll-out of Agile is
faltering and why. We need to understand
what barriers there are to the use of Agile ingovernment, and how to overcome those
barriers.
There have only been incomplete attempts to
survey the progress of the adoption of Agile in
government. A torrent of reports have been
issued in the last two years, and their
conclusions have been tentative and in each
case they have noted that more research is
needed. The general consensus is thatalthough targets for a move to Agile are
broadly set, more robust measurement,
monitoring and analysis is needed.
So - here is the structure of this paper - both
for the US and then for the UK we will
explore:
Firstly - some background: what is
driving the need for new approaches?
Secondly - What do these new IT
strategies promise?
Thirdly - What actions are underway?
And Fourthly - I will assess the current
status of Agile adoption - both for the US
and the UK governments.
The US Experience
BackgroundBackgroundBackgroundBackground
The US government has had its fair share of
IT technology disasters. For example, the
failure of a huge project that tried to
integrate the personnel systems for the USArmy, Air force and Navy. In 2010, the project
was cancelled, after 10 years and 850 million
dollars thrown away.
One of the problems is that so many
regulations have built up over the years.
These try to improve technical development
in diverse government bodies, but often they
have just ended up stifling effectiveness.
A good example of how regulation has not
improved project management is the series of
regulations created over the years by the US
Department of Defense. For example, to try
and improve project management the DoD
published the infamous 2167 standard. This
was widely interpreted as mandating a
waterfall approach. The department then
tried to stress that modular development and
incremental delivery was the preferredapproach - they issued the 2167A standard.
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But waterfall projects continued unabated.
Efforts were made to sweep up all the
regulations under one all-encompassing
umbrella standard, DOD498.3
IT disasters continued to plague the
department, so-Congress got involved. The
Clinger-Cohen Act of 1996 begat the 5000
series of regulations. These tried to reinforce
the need for evolutionary development.
Unfortunately an inflexible approach to
project management continued.
The story is broadly similar in technology
projects across all US public bodies. Each
major project failure results in more
regulations - more audit - and more
centralised standards. These create a mirage
of apparent control over projects by
increasing the amount of detail in the
management apparatus surrounding the
development teams.
The 25The 25The 25The 25----Point PlanPoint PlanPoint PlanPoint Plan
In 2008, when Barack Obama put togetherhis team to prepare for his transition into
office, he appointed a 34 year-old geek as his
technology advisor. Vivek Kundra proposed a
very different approach to running
technology projects. Previously, there was
little central oversight of IT - there was an
"AdministratorforE-Government", but the
position was little more than a placeholder.
Kundra convinced the president elect that apowerful executive role was needed - and that
he was the man for the job.
When Obama took office in 2009, Kundra was
appointed as Chief Information Officer with
the power to review and cancel any project in
the Federal government.
Kundra inherited a legacy of 27 billion dollars
of failing IT projects.
Vivek Kundra - the first Federal CIO
In the previous decade, IT spending had
nearly doubled, growing at an annual rate of
7 per cent. So Kundra immediately capped
the IT Budget - saving over 25 billion dollars
a year.
He forced change to the running of
technology projects by holding deep-dive
project reviews. These reviews, Kundra called
Technical Status, or TechStat reviews.
Each TechStat review entailed a long,
detailed, face-to-face meeting to inspect each
yellow or red status project. These reviews
were intended to delve deep into each project
with a relentless pursuit of oversight to
reshape projects, or to halt and terminate
them.
To kick off the initiative, Kundra attended
more than three of these meetings a week,
publically issuing memos to agencies where
problems were found. At the Environmental
Protection Agency, for example, one IT
project was found to be one year late and 30
million dollars over budget, so Kundra gave
them a month to put a recovery strategy in
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place for the project. He was rolling up his
shirt-sleeves and meeting each agency CIO in
long and detailed meetings. If a project could
not come up with a realistic improvement
plan, it would be cancelled.
Kundra reviewed 38 projects. He saved three
billion dollars by cancelling four and
drastically reducing the scope of 11 other. In
12 cases he found ways to cut the time for
delivery by more than half, from two to three
years down to an average of 8 months by
adopting a more agile approach.
In 2010 he published a "25 Point Plan"
intended to shock the system.4 It shook up
the counterproductive processes that had led
to so many project failures. Major initiatives
were kicked off to put in place technologies to
complement agile approaches. For example:
Upgrading project management skills
to include agile training
Breaking down barriers to agile by
requiring integrated project teams
Making sure that procurement
professionals took agile approaches
Influencing Congress to change
legislative frameworks such as the
Clinger-Cohen Act that were anti-
patterns to agile development.
The current status in the USThe current status in the USThe current status in the USThe current status in the US
So, what is the current status in the US?
Yesterday at the Agile Business Conference I
talked about the failure of the FBI Virtual
Case File project, and how the subsequent
Sentinel project initially faltered. It started
with a massive Project Management Office
(PMO). This goliath superstructure tried to
control the supplier - over 100 million dollars
was spent on management 1/4 of the whole
budget - completely wasted until an Agile
approach was adopted and the PMO was
disbanded.
The introduction of Agile at the FBI was
initiated by Chad Fulgham, who came in
from the private sector, reorganised the
Sentinel project to use Agile and led the
project to success. Fulgham left earlier this
year to return to the private sector. And, last
year, Vivek Kundra left his post as Federal
CIO for a research position at Harvard.
Whether the US government can maintain
the momentum behind incremental,
accelerated delivery and implement Agile
remains to be seen.
The Government Accountability Office (GAO),
is the US equivalent to the UK National Audit
Office (NAO). The GAO released a report in
July charting progress in the adoption of
Agile in the US government. They found
pockets of excellence at various agencies:5
The Department of Defense had a 190
million dollar project developing a
Combat Support System using Scrum
A new 150 million dollar project to
improve the management of the
registration of Patents at the
Department of Commerce was also
using Scrum
A 44 million dollar Agile project to
create a system to manage tax
payments on Branded Prescription
Drugs
However, despite the GAO's enthusiasm for
Agile, the CIO Council, now without Vivek
Kundra, has yet to supply any leadership with
regard to the take-up of Agile specifically. The
Council has released guidance on modular
procurement and modular development but
has not specifically addressed Agile practices.
Vivek Kundra is a tough act to follow. We
will have to wait to see whether the new
Federal CIO, Steven Van Roekel, can keep up
the pressure for reform.
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The UK Experience
BackgroundBackgroundBackgroundBackground
We are all familiar, I think, of waking up the
news that yet another IT technology project
has ended in disaster.
Surely the most egregious example of project
failure in the last few years was the
Firecontrol project.
The main contract to supply the Firecontrol
system started late and took two years longerthan expected to sign. The relationships in
the project between the IT supplier, EADS,
and the government were painful to say the
least. The Government and EADS failed to
provide timely information to each other.
A lack of interim milestones undermined the
Departments ability to hold EADS to account
for delivery and conversely the delays to
delivery led to cash flow difficulties for EADS
which created further strains in an alreadytense relationship.
Both sides were locked into the deadly
embrace of a non-agile contract. The
Government took legal advice and found out
that it was unable to terminate its contract
with EADS without incurring substantial
compensation payments provided for under
the contract. And EADS in turn was unable to
deliver against a final key milestone for mid-2011. In the end, the contract was terminated
and the government received a settlement of
22.5m from EADS little cheer considering
that 469m was eventually written off.6
Whereas the US government tried to regulate
and legislate tighter control in an attempt to
make Waterfall project management work,
the UK tried 'softer' techniques based on
best-practice guidance issued by the Office forGovernment Commerce such as PRINCE2,
MSP (Managing Successful Programmes and
the use of 'Gateway' peer-reviews. In the
time available I will just focus on the latter:
'Gateway peer-reviews.
These short, sharp reviews produced reports
at each Waterfall gate between stages of
projects. These reviews pre-supposed a
Waterfall approach with clear 'Gates' between
each cataract of the Waterfall.
This approach depended on a review of
detailed BDUF documentation, with an
assessment of likely success based on
paperwork and interviews with project staff.
No expectation existed of an iterative
approach. There was no encouragement for
the delivery of increments of working
software or for real life deliveries of that
software to users.
These Gateway reports mirrored the
assumption that Waterfall project
management was necessary for large projects.
They were confidential between the reviewing
team and the project sponsor. Because of
their secrecy they could not be even
requested under the UK Freedom of
Information (FOI) legislation.7.
The original objective of this secrecy was to
encourage robust criticism that might have
been stifled if embarrassing facts were made
public. However, the contents of each report
were often widely distributed within the
government, so the conclusions were often
not clear and were usually overoptimistic.
One report stated that the reports were
ineffective because of this lack of robustness,
and that they were considered unimportant
by Senior Responsible Owners.8
The findings of these Gateway reviews were
invariably optimistic, and often had not
impact on the likelihood of success.
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The new IT StrategyThe new IT StrategyThe new IT StrategyThe new IT Strategy
The UK Institute for Government (IfG) has
been pressing for a change of approach for
several years. The IfG issued a report last
March called, System Error - the sub-titlewas "Fixing the flaws in government IT". It
recommended two major changes:9
First, the need for a new IT Strategy to
drive down costs and increase flexibility.
Second, the rollout of agile project
management throughout government.
In the same month, influenced by both theIfG's lobbying and also the US 25-point Plan,
Francis Maude published a new UK IT
Strategy.10
Francis Maude specifically declared a drive for
the adoption of Agile project management.
Five out of the 14 points in the UK IT
Strategy specifically relate to the adoption of
agile approaches.11
The plan was for 19 separate strands of
technological change, one of which was the
adoption of an agile approach. For example,
the use of flexible framework contracts. These
would be used rather than large fixed price
contracts that had so often ended up as
anything but fixed in price and length.
One influential paper from Emergn, put the
suppliers point of view as a response to theUK Government IT Strategy - it stressed the
need for agility could only be supported by
more involvement of Small/Medium sized
Enterprises (SMEs). Large project
procurements often fail, the paper argues,
because of inflexible use of standard forms
and contracts which slow the agility of both
suppliers and customers. Experts in the
buying and negotiation of large contracts are
too distant from the technology experts thepaper argues, and experts are so intimate
with the detailed in contract specifications
that they overlook the importance of
flexibility.12
Francis Maude - Minister for the Cabinet
Office
One important strand in the new
Government IT Strategy to support the move
to Agile, was to be major drive to end the use
of massive contracts that were seen to favor
the existence of an oligopoly of large
suppliers.
Most saliently, the IT Strategy set what
seemed like a concrete target for half of all
large IT developments in Government to be
using Agile within two years - by April 2013 -
next year.13
The CThe CThe CThe Current Status in the UKurrent Status in the UKurrent Status in the UKurrent Status in the UK
Later in 2011, the NAO investigated the
activities that had been spawned in the first
six months of the IT Strategy. Their report
was optimistic, but found that there were no
clear measurable targets in the strategy and
no system to measure its impact. They
warned that because there was no overall
plan to support the strategy, progress could
be hindered through lack of resources.14
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When the Government produced a statement
on progress towards the IT Strategy in June
2012, the only agile project cited as a success
was the successful, but small-scale, e-
Petitions project which, although it had
collated 16,000 petitions successfully, was not
really a large-scale delivery project.15
However, one year later there was still little
evidence of the promised increase in use of
agile approaches. A Cabinet Office report
admitted that 10 departments had not yet
started any significant agile projects, and in
those that had, agile adoption was patchy.
Significant progress was reported in only
three areas:16
The massive Universal Credit project was
underway using some agile techniques
The Government Digital Service had
released alpha.gov and beta.gov websites
A lot of money had been spent on
training staff in agile techniques at the
Maritime and Coastguard Agency.
The IFG published a report from their
research into progress. They interviewed all
significant Government CIOs and their
procurements staff, and representatives of IT
suppliers both large and small. They found
that progress towards using agile approaches
had been slow.17
They noted that the US has effective directintervention from a strong Government Chief
Information Officer (CIO). In the UK they
found that the implementation of agile and
the strategy overall was poorly coordinated,
incoherent and still without clear objectives
or success criteria, despite the warnings in
the NAO report of the previous year. The IFG
noted that although senior leaders in
government and in technology suppliers
supported the concepts proposed in the 19
strands of the strategy, they were not
convinced about the approach to
implementing it:
The IT strategy did not adopt the
(previous IFG) recommendation that
platform and agile should be driven by a
strong, independent CIO instead (it relies on
a) CIO delivery board. CIOs should question
whether they are genuinely improving the
ways that they are working in areas such as
agile, or whether they are just attaching a
label to projects to get a tick in the box. 18
The IFG found that there were concerns that
the agile projects that were underway were
often very minor projects running on the
fringe of the departments and that in some
areas projects may be being labeled as agile
without having really changed the way in
which they were run. 19
Two weeks ago, the NAO has issued a report
surveying the use of Agile Project
Management in the 17 central UK
Government departments. The report was
expressly NOT intended to analyse the
economy, efficiency and effectiveness of these
efforts such Value for Money (VFM)
reports from the NAO are larger, usually
focusing on one department or project. This
recent report aims to identify elements of
agile practices that are being used in central
government departments, rather than analyse
VFM. Although this report is just a warm-up
for analytical VFM reports on Government
technology projects, it does identify the
problem that there is still no specific plan for
tracking the adoption of Agile throughout
Government, and it is unclear how many
Agile projects are actually underway.
Conclusions
To conclude:
What I have found fascinating in my researchare the similarities and the differences
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between the US and the UK.
Both the Obama and the Cameron
administrations have similar aims with
regard to flexible IT development, but they
have taken different approaches towards
making the changes.
On the one hand the US IT Strategy has
measurable targets, but they mainly relate to
deadlines for the production of
yet more guidance material on modular
development
running training courses
setting up clear project management
career paths.
On the other hand the UK IT Strategy has a
vaguely defined target of half of major ICT-
enabled change programmes being Agile by
April next year - a great intent, but one that is
difficult to measure.
Certainly, even though both governments
have the aim of moving away from Waterfall,the approach in each case is different. Vivek
Kundra in the US used a hands-on approach
to re-shape failing projects for faster, more
incremental delivery. In the UK a consensual
approach of management by committee has
been adopted.
This is a great area for potential research: the
best estimates are that governments are
responsible for about half of IT spend in boththe US and UK.
One private sector Agilist that I spoke to in
my researches thought that Agile in
Government was an interesting niche for
research.
Well, half of all IT spend is a pretty big niche!
There has been a spate of reports in the lasttwo years from the IfG, the GAO, the NAO
and industry commentators, such as Ovum.
DISA started GCSS-J in 1997 as a prototype.
The system is being developed incrementally
using Agile software development
specifically, the Scrum methodology.20
These reports have recognized that a move to
Agile is a major policy shift, but that more
research is needed into progress.
For example: What is a 'major' programme?
What is, and what is not an 'IT-enabled'
programme? How can we be sure that a
project really is using an Agile approach?
A follow-up survey by the NAO, published justlast month, found it impossible to identify a
consistent list of the Agile projects that are
underway.
There is a window of opportunity here, I
suggest, to assess how the switch to Agile in
the US and UK governments is progressing.
To realise this goal of proving the benefits of
Agile to government, we need research overthe next 3-5 years to show:
How many projects are actually using
Agile?
Which strategies for making the switch
have really worked?
What evidence is there that a switch to
Agile has brought an economic benefit?
This is a fertile area in need of more research- perhaps some collaborative, trans-Atlantic
work.
Will the US resolve and clarify how 'modular'
approaches relate to Agile approaches - are
these terms synonymous? Is the new US
guidance really any more than a new set of
regulations - how can the culture change that
is needed be enacted? And can the vigorous
and decisive leadership during VivekKundra's term as Federal CIO be sustained
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now that he has moved on to fresh pastures?
Finally - a unique opportunity for
comparative research is offered by the
existence of two similar Agile strategies,
being enacted in two different countries in
similar timeframes.
It's up to us to take up this research
opportunity, and run with it!
Thank you!
Brian Wernham's new book, "Agile Project Management for Government" was published thisBrian Wernham's new book, "Agile Project Management for Government" was published thisBrian Wernham's new book, "Agile Project Management for Government" was published thisBrian Wernham's new book, "Agile Project Management for Government" was published this
summer by Maitland and Strong.summer by Maitland and Strong.summer by Maitland and Strong.summer by Maitland and Strong.
1 See http://agilemanifesto.org
2 See http://www.agileconference.org/academic-conference
3 Brian Wernham, Agile Project Management for Government: Leadership Skills for Implementation of Large-
scale Public Sector Projects in Months, Not Years. (New York, London: Maitland and Strong, 2012), 24856
4 Vivek Kundra, 25 point implementation plan to reform federal information technology management
(Washington [D.C.]: The White House, 2010)
5 Michael Azoff, Agile in the UK public sector (Ovum, 2012) unpublished manuscript, .
6
UK NAO, The failure of the FiReControl project, 2011,http://www.nao.org.uk/publications/1012/failure_of_firecontrol.aspx
7 Agile for Universal Credit a good choice says report, Campaign for Change, 2011,
http://ukcampaign4change.com/2011/10/05/agile-for-universal-credit-a-good-choice-says-report
8 Tony Collins, Gateway reviews, Campaign for Change, 2012,
http://ukcampaign4change.com/category/gateway-reviews/
9 Justine Stephen et al., System Error: Fixing the flaws in government IT, Institute for Government UK,
2011, http://bit.ly/PWNjCC
10 UK Cabinet Office, Government ICT Strategy, 2011,
http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/sites/default/files/resources/uk-government-government-ict-strategy_0.pdf
11
UK Cabinet Office, Government ICT Strategy, 2011 and UK Cabinet Office, Government ICT Strategy,2011, http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/sites/default/files/resources/uk-government-government-ict-
strategy_0.pdf
12 Emergn, Sourcing for Agile, 2012, 6, http://www.emergn.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/TP-Sourcing-
for-Agile.pdf
13 UK Cabinet Office, One Year On: Implementing the Government ICT Strategy, 2012, 9
14 Implementing the Government ICT Strategy: six-month review of progress: NAO Report (HC 1594 2010-
2012), UK NAO, 2011
15 UK Cabinet Office, One Year On: Implementing the Government ICT Strategy, 2012, 9
16 ibid
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17 Justine Stephen et al., System Error: Fixing the flaws in government IT, Institute for Government UK,
2011, 14, 30, http://bit.ly/PWNjCC See Figure 1 for a diagram which illustrates the lack of clarity over co-
ordination of the implementation of the strategy.
18 ibid.
19 Government Technology Opportunity in the 21st Century (GTO-21), TechAmerica Foundation, 2010, 18,
http://www.techamerica.org/Docs/gwd4r5.pdf
20 See also US GAO, GAO-12-7 Information Technology: Critical Factors Underlying Successful Major
Acquisitions, 2011, 13, http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d127.pdfand Azoff, M, Agile in the UK public sector,
Ovum, 2012