Rainwater, Inc ET CitySmart Smart Irrigation for the Future
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Transcript of Rainwater, Inc ET CitySmart Smart Irrigation for the Future
Rainwater, Inc ET CitySmart
Smart Irrigation for the Future[Karen Cheng] [Eddy Fong] [Paras Gandhi] [Julia Pashin]
Background – Water Conservation
Austin Key Measures Total Usage/Peak Day Outdoor summer water use
Water Conservation Task force Conservation initiatives
Goal: 1% water use reduction Grant
$500,000 Solution for outdoor water use
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SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
RISK
BOTTOM LINE
BACKGROUND
Background - Rainwater, Inc
4th: irrigation industry Products: sprinkler/drip irrigation systems, basic
controllers Develops, manufactures and markets
Goal: product differentiation Pursue enhanced technology Utilize strategic conservation strategy
Grant competition as launching pad
Assume Existing research/production facilities
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SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
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Strategy
The Genesis Way
Current Technology
Competitive Environment
SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
RISK
BOTTOM LINE
BACKGROUND
STRATEGY
Overall Strategy – The Genesis Way
Grant &
Partnership
Util
ity
Sav
ings
Rebates
SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
RISK
BOTTOM LINE
BACKGROUND
STRATEGY
Overall Strategy: Current Tech
Basic controllers – timer feature ET ‘smart’ controllers:
Calculate optimal water need creates watering schedule
Methods to adjust original schedules Solar/rain/soil moisture sensors Real-time weather data
Proven successful SWAT testing Experimentation
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TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
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BOTTOM LINE
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Overall Strategy – Competitive Environment
SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
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Our Solution
The ET CitySmart
Competitive Environment
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Our Solution – The ET CitySmart
Expand into the smart controller market Best available technology
Differentiate: Utilize LCRA water usage data Emphasize low cost to customers
Bigger rebates Using phone line Using minimal sensors
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TECHNOLOGY
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Our Solution – Competitive Environment
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Technology
ET
Healthy Range
How It Works
Database
NRE Costs
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BACKGROUND
Current ET algorithms combine Sensors Weather forecasts Landscape information
Calculates optimal level of water needed
Technology - ET
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Customize your Water Zone
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TECHNOLOGY
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Solar Sensor Homeowner Profile
Rainwater Servers
City Water Data
Weather Forecast
1. Data is collected at home1. Data is collected at home
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TECHNOLOGY
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1. Data is collected at home1. Data is collected at home
2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers
STRATEGY
SOLUTION
IMPLEMENTATION
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BACKGROUND
TECHNOLOGY
Solar Sensor Homeowner Profile
Rainwater Servers
City Water Data
Weather Forecast
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1. Data is collected at home1. Data is collected at home
2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers
3. Rainwater servers are updated hourly3. Rainwater servers are updated hourly
STRATEGY
SOLUTION
IMPLEMENTATION
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BOTTOM LINE
BACKGROUND
TECHNOLOGY
Solar Sensor Homeowner Profile
Rainwater Servers
City Water Data
Weather Forecast
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1. Data is collected at home1. Data is collected at home
2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers
3. Rainwater servers are updated hourly3. Rainwater servers are updated hourly4. Rainwater sends customized water schedule to household4. Rainwater sends customized water schedule to household
STRATEGY
SOLUTION
IMPLEMENTATION
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BACKGROUND
TECHNOLOGY
Solar Sensor Homeowner Profile
Rainwater Servers
City Water Data
Weather Forecast
Technology: Database
tblCustomer
PK CustomerID
FK1 ZipCode LocationID Username Password Subscription Algorithm
tblSensor
PK SensorID
Sensor Time RadiationIndex
tblZone
PK ZoneID
PlantType GrassType SoilType LandSlope SunnyTypeFK1 CustomerID
tblLocation
PK,FK1 ZipCode
City State
tblForecast
PK Forecast ID
Temperature Humidity Wind UV Radiation
tbWaterLevel
PK LakeID
LakeTravis LakeAustin LakeBuchanan
tblAlgorithm
PK PenmanID
FK4 CustomerIDFK2 Forecast IDFK1 SensorID Air Density Irradiance Heat capacity Conductance Vapor Pressure Latent HeatFK3 LakeID
tblZipMaster
PK ZipCode
City State
STRATEGY
SOLUTION
IMPLEMENTATION
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TECHNOLOGY
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TECHNOLOGY
Software engineering: Algorithm revisions $115,000 Web interface $65,000
Mechanical engineering: Engineering/Circuit Development $85,000 Prototype Development $35,000
Testing: $37,500 IBM Server: $17,500 LCRA Link: $25,000 Training: $112,500
Technology - NRE Costs
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TECHNOLOGY
Total NRE: $492,500
Implementation
Timeline
Partnerships
Marketing/Distribution
Sustainability
Scalability
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Implementation - Timeline
Partner with LCRA/Austin
R&D: Design, Build and Test Prototype
Manufacture Controllers
Sell Controllers
Target High-Water Users
Widespread Advertising
2 4 6 8 10 20 25 30 3515Months
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
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Implementation – Partnerships
Partner with the City of Austin City provides:
$200 rebates Utilities bill mailings Access to usage database Rainwater provides: Water consumption decrease of over 1% by 2011
Partner with Home Builders/Landscapers/Irrigators Target new homes
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IMPLEMENTATION
Implementation - Marketing
Marketing High vs. General users
High users consume over 25,000 gallons a month Target High users initially Extend advertising to general public after 2 years
Pricing Controller: $249 After rebate: $49 Annual subscription fee: $36
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IMPLEMENTATION
Implementation - Distribution
Sales Channels Hardware stores Website Landscapers Irrigation
Installers
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Implementation - Sustainability
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IMPLEMENTATION
Short-Term Low price Quickly and aggressively penetrate market
Long-Term New Homes: Maintain home builders partnership Communication: Include broadband/wireless
Implementation - Scalability
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IMPLEMENTATION
Expand into other cities Las Virgenes, CA (76.2% outdoor) Scottsdale/Tempe, AZ (66.5%) Walnut, CA (63.9%) San Diego, CA (62.8%) Denver, CO (59.7%) Phoenix, AZ (58.7%)
Risk Analysis
City of Austin Partnership
LCRA Partnership
Price Match
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Risk Analysis
No City of Austin Partnership Unlikely because Rainwater saves water
and money for Austin Marketing Rebates
Contingency (No Partnership) Higher Prices = Lower Market Share
(3%) 2008: 151% ROI 2011: 254% ROI
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Risk Analysis
No LCRA Partnership - minimal risk LCRA statistics are a core component Publicly available
Competitors Price-Match Low price is competitive advantage City Partnership: Cost below Manufacture No Partnership: Cost still below
Manufacture
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Bottom Line
Rainwater
City of Austin
Consumers
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Net Income 2011: $2,000,000Cash Flows 2011: $1,300,000
Bottom Line: Rainwater
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Year ROI2008 271%
2009 306%
2010 351%
2011 410%
Bottom Line: City of Austin
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YearTotal Water
Saved2008 0.78%2009 0.86%2010 0.97%2011 1.11%
BOTTOM LINE
Bottom Line: Consumers
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Consumer Years to Break Even
High 1.01General 1.55
BOTTOM LINE
The Genesis Result
Rainwater
City of Austin
Consumers
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SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
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BOTTOM LINE
BACKGROUND
The Genesis Result
Grant &
Partnership
Util
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Sav
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Rebates
STRATEGY
SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
RISK
BACKGROUND
BOTTOM LINE
The Genesis Result
Util
ity
Sav
ings
Rebates
STRATEGY
SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
RISK
BACKGROUND
Grant &
Partnership
BOTTOM LINE
The Genesis Result
Util
ity
Sav
ings
Rebates
STRATEGY
SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
RISK
BACKGROUND
Grant &
Partnership
BOTTOM LINE
The Genesis Result
Util
ity
Sav
ings
Rebates
STRATEGY
SOLUTION
TECHNOLOGY
IMPLEMENTATION
RISK
BACKGROUND
Grant &
Partnership
BOTTOM LINE
Thank you.
Appendices
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BACKGROUND
Appendix: Rainwater Projected Financials
ValuationDiscounted Cash Flows 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total
Low 472,623 1,152,927 1,200,326 1,272,406 1,374,164 52,253,961Mid 464,030 1,111,383 1,136,037 1,182,361 1,253,701 40,156,522High 455,743 1,072,045 1,076,258 1,100,142 1,145,691 32,995,775
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012ROI: Average (525.31%) 205.06% 438.29% 494.28% 567.08% 661.75% 785.37%
Net Income 625,432 1,336,774 1,507,566 1,729,594 2,018,348 2,395,369Investment Capital 305,000 305,000 305,000 305,000 305,000 305,000
Income Statement 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Operating Revenue
Total Revenue 4,258,199 7,622,657 8,582,640 9,837,635 11,475,705 13,619,329Controller Sales 3,720,321 3,720,321 6,659,795 7,498,517 8,594,987 10,026,142Subscription Sales 537,878 537,878 962,862 1,084,123 1,242,649 1,449,563
Total Operational Expenses 2,612,193 4,676,121 5,265,023 6,034,900 7,039,775 8,354,781Cost of Goods Sold 2,477,724 2,477,724 4,993,992 5,724,238 6,677,384 7,924,697Maintenance 134,469 134,469 271,031 310,662 362,391 430,084
Net Income 625,432 1,336,774 1,507,566 1,729,594 2,018,348 2,395,369Free Cash Flow 510,432 1,344,774 1,512,066 1,731,094 2,019,098 2,395,619
Appendix: Water Conservation and Costs
Govt Costs 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012New Buyers 14,941 4,017 4,071 4,126 4,181 4,237Cost to Govt 2,988,210 803,410 814,210 825,189 836,249 847,490
Existing Govt Budget 6,200,000 6,200,000 6,200,000 6,200,000 6,200,000 6,200,000Watered Saved by RW 208,616,295 378,193,307 426,039,510 488,585,695 570,229,810 677,089,762H20 Cost Saving for Govt 36,813 66,736 75,179 86,216 100,623 119,480Water Facility Savings 62,688 111,611 123,481 139,075 159,410 185,896
Net Costs to Govt 2,888,709 625,063 615,550 599,898 576,215 542,114% of Budget 46.59% 10.08% 9.93% 9.68% 9.29% 8.74%
Total Saved 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Water Saved 208,616,295 378,193,307 426,039,510 488,585,695 570,229,810 677,089,762Austin Muncipal Water Demand Projections 47,588,476,467 48,455,586,097 49,338,495,331 50,237,492,055 51,152,869,398 52,084,925,831
% of Total Austin Water Saved 0.44% 0.78% 0.86% 0.97% 1.11% 1.30%
Appendix: Consumer Costs and Savings
Consumer CostsInitial Costs 249
Rebates 200Cost to Consumer 49
Net Savings Monthly YearlyHigh 4.04 48.50Regular 2.63 31.60
Consumer Breakeven TimeMonths YearsHigh 12 1.01Regular 19 1.55
Appendix – Water Assumptions -Percent Households – High Water vs. General:
normalized distribution graph of water use by frequency (16,000 household sample); sample from Austin Green Building Program Database March 2001-2003
- Average Water Use –180 gallons per day (TWDB Water Use Survey X 3 ppl per household (US Census data) X % High Use/General water use growth rate equal to household
growth rate -58% Outdoor Water Use – given in case -12% Outdoor Water Saved - Study
Appendix – Market Assumptions Number of Austin households: City of Austin data
for 2005 and 2010, annualized for growth rate) Market penetration estimates
General: 5%, 9, 10, 11, 12; growth rate in teens High: 5%, 9, 10, 11, 12, 15; growth rate in teens
Appendix – Product Cost/Price Assumptions
Product cost: $165 cost comparison of competitor products (based on
80% mark-ups) closest product from ET Water
save about $30 from using only a phone line (no broadband) for internet access
Selling price: $249; 50% markup of cost
Appendix – City Cost Assumptions Amount of rebate: $200: existing rebate is
$100 for replacing residential controllers with smart controller equivalents Justification: cost analysis to city of Austin: percent
of water conservation budget that will go toward rebates net of savings in water bought (under 10% after 2007)
cost of gallon by acre-foot: $57.50 (LCRA website – rate for pre-bought water) 1 acre foot ~ 281K gallons
Austin water conservation budget: Austin Statesman article: With conservation, city
could delay $330 million water plant, 2/12/2007
Appendix: Rainwater Assumptions
Rainwater has existing, and the new product will make use of: Research facilities Production facilities Labor Website
Sources Irrigation Controller Report for Orange County
US Department of the Interior – Bureau of Reclamation Water Conservation Task Force – City of Austin
2007 Water Conservation Strategies Summary, rebate info. http://www.ci.austin.tx.us/watercon/taskforce.htm
Texas Water Development Board Water Use Survey 2004, Water for Texas 2007 http://www.twdb.state.tx.us/home/index.asp
Smart controller company websites: http://www.accuwater.com/app http://www.weathertrak.com/ http://www.irritrol.com/ http://www.etwater.com/public/index.html
Irrigation Association – conservation and SWAT industry info
http://www.irrigation.org/SWAT/Industry/