Quick, But Not Risky Ken Nickolai. START HERE Much of your discussion will be about money. Think...
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Transcript of Quick, But Not Risky Ken Nickolai. START HERE Much of your discussion will be about money. Think...
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Quick, But Not Risky
Ken Nickolai
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START HERE
• Much of your discussion will be about money.
• Think both about money that will be spent…
• And money that doesn’t need to be spent in the future if energy is used more efficiently.
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• Money spent on efficiency is generally a wise investment.
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Economic gains can be significant
• According to the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) investments in electric efficiency come at a cost of .03 cents a kwh.
• In 1973 a refrigerator used 1725 kwh/year and by 2000 that use was down to 685 kwh per year.
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• So why does the Commission need a program at all?
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Ask yourself……
• Why haven’t I installed high efficiency light bulbs at home?
• Why don’t I buy a more efficient air conditioner?
• Why do I keep my old refrigerator running and in the basement?
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• Why doesn’t the owner of the office building install efficient lighting for tenants?
• Why aren’t all buildings more insulated and tight?
• Why don’t farmers switch to high efficiency equipment?
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Because….
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• Our lives are busy with many priorities.
• Our personal economic choices don’t always align with the least cost path for our economy.
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• An efficiency program can help get people through the barriers to more efficient energy use.
• That’s where the Commission needs to keep its focus.
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Step One
• Since efficiency improvements are generally cost-effective.
• The Commission can make a substantial quick step without it being a risky one.
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Start with what has worked
Kansas is not California
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But….
• There is a wealth of experience with cost effective programs in the country ranging from Vermont to Minnesota to Texas.
• They can provide a safe way to take a significant step.
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• MN Legislative Auditor Report –
-Conservation Improvement Program (CIP) “societal benefits were two or three times greater than its costs in 2003.”
-Concluded that utilities understated the benefits of the program in their analysis.
January 2005.
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`
• Best Practices /Benchmarking
• Take a look at the Best Practices Website and some of their links detailing programs from around the country.
• http:// www. eebestpractices.com
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Still Worried?
• You can do a Kansas “sensitivity analysis” with a quick review of results elsewhere ….then thinking how Kansas degree days and price differences might impact results.
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Step Two
• Quick, but not risky.
There are many good models out there to use.
• But, when the program proposal comes in the door….
• The details count.
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• Carefully review proposed tariff language for what the conditions tell customers.
• For example, if residential load control programs require that the customer be both a heating and cooling customer – tells customers who use just one or the other that you want them to use more electricity by signing on, not to use less.
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Quick, but not risky
• Rebate programs need to insure that the inefficient appliance is not just plugged into the grid at another location.
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Quick, but not risky
• Review market rules for SPP.
• Demand response can be an excellent way to lower the peak.
• But, for example, MISO rules for cost sharing resulted in costs being shifted to customers in states where demand response programs had reduced demand.
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Quick, not risky
• Who will you include?:
• Commercial and Industrial programs usually provide the greatest return.
• But, residential and low income programs help stress the need for broad based changes.
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Quick, not risky
• Check the proposed budgets:
Are the administration costs a reasonable portion of the overall costs?
Are evaluation costs included?
Marketing costs are needed to let the public know of opportunity to participate.
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Quick, but not risky
• Be clear about cost recovery.
• Utilities need to keep their shareholders/owners satisfied as well as their customers and public constituents.
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Step Three
• How do you talk about the program?
• Give a consistent message focused on the customer and their use of energy.
• Efficiency incentives give customers more ability to control their bills and to lower future cost increases.
• Demand response/load control gives customers a direct ability to lower their bills.
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Focus: Customer Behavior
Is your goal to slow the need for new generating capacity?
Are you thinking broadly about all the social benefits – including future restrictions on carbon?
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Focus: Customer Behavior
• The Commission has a wide audience.
• Utility executives to legislators and the general public will be watching and listening.
• Keeping the discussion focused on helping customers control their bills and lower future costs helps broaden program support.
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Step Four
• Establish a definite time and plan for evaluation and adjustments.
• Why needed?
• Utilities make money from sales volumes. These programs run against the culture by giving customers the ability to lower their usage.
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Evaluation / Fine Tuning
• Don’t focus evaluation just on the total dollars spent or the number of rebate checks issued.
• Look for evidence of changes in energy usage.
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Evaluation / Fine Tuning
• Two to three years needed to get results.
• Annual “updates” are reasonable.
• Establish evaluation criteria.
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In the End
• It’s still about money.
• Money spent and recovered by utilities.
• Money not spent by customers to pay for future capacity or fuel.
• Money that Kansas residents did not have to spend on energy use and its externalities.
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Quick, but not risky
• The potential monetary benefit allows for quick Commission action.
• Take away the risk by:• Using well proven model programs and
evaluation methods. • Reviewing the tariff and market rules. • Focusing on customer behavior.