Question of Derivatives

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    Path independent OptionAnoptionwhose payoff depends solely on the events specified to take place upon

    expiration, rather than the path taken by the underlying variable (price, rate, index, etc). A

    prime example is aEuropean optionwhere the price for the buyer depends exclusively onthe terminal price. If an investor buys a call option with a strike price of USD 50, he would

    benefit if the underlying rises above 50 upon expiration. If not, he would not exercise and

    the premium paid to buy the option is lost. It is irrelevant which route the underlying price

    (the sport price of the option's underlying asset) takes within time to expiration.

    This option, opposite ofpath-dependent option,is also referred to asnon-path-

    dependent option.

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    'Path Dependent Option'

    The right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an

    underlying asset at a predetermined price duringa specified time period, where the price is based

    on the fluctuations in the underlying's value

    during all or part of the contract term. A path

    dependent option's payoff is determined by the

    path of the underlying asset's price.

    A basic American option is one type of path dependent

    option. Because it can be exercised at any time prior to

    expiration, its value will change as the underlying asset's

    value changes. An Asian option, also called an average

    option, is another type of path dependent option, because

    its payoff is based on the average price of the underlying

    asset during the contract term. Similarly, a barrier option

    would be considered a path dependent option because its

    value changes if the underlying asset reaches or surpasses a

    specified price. The lookback option and Russian option are

    also path-dependent options.

    The cost of carry or carrying chargeis the cost of storing a physicalcommodity,such

    asgrainormetals,over a period of time. The carrying charge includes insurance,storage andintereston

    theinvestedfunds as well as other incidental costs. In interest ratefutures markets,it refers to the

    differential between the yield on acashinstrument and the cost of the funds necessary to buy the

    instrument.[1][2]

    If long, the cost of carry is the cost of interest paid on a margin account. Conversely, if short, the cost of

    carry is the cost of paying dividends, or rather the opportunity cost;the cost of purchasing a

    particularsecurityrather than an alternative. For most investments, the cost of carry generally refers to

    the risk-free interest rate that could be earned by investing currency in a theoretically safe investment

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    vehicle such as amoney market accountminus any future cash-flows that are expected from holding an

    equivalent instrument with the same risk (generally expressed in percentage terms and called

    theconvenience yield). Storage costs (generally expressed as a percentage of the spot price)should be

    added to the cost of carry for physical commodities such as corn, wheat, or gold.

    The cost of carry model expresses theforward price(or, as an approximation, thefutures price)as a

    function of thespot priceand the cost of carry.

    where

    is theforward price,

    is thespot price,

    is the base of thenatural logarithms,

    is therisk-free interest rate,

    is the storage cost,

    is theconvenience yield,and

    is the time to delivery of theforward contract(expressed as a fraction of 1 year).

    The same model in currency markets is known asinterest rate parity.

    For example, a US investor buying a Standard and Poor's 500 e-

    minifutures contracton theChicago Mercantile Exchangecould

    expect the cost of carry to be the prevailing risk-free interest rate

    (around 5% as of November, 2007) minus the expected dividends that

    one could earn from buying each of thestocksin theS&P 500and

    receiving anydividendsthat they might pay, since thee-minifuturescontract is a proxy for the underlying stocks in the S&P 500. Since the

    contract is a futures contract and settles at some forward date, the

    actual values of the dividends may not yet be known so the cost of

    carry must be estimated.

    Cross hedgingis when you hedge a position by investing in two

    positivelycorrelatedsecurities or securities that have similar price movements.

    The investor takes opposing positions in each investment in an attempt to

    reduce the risk of holding just one of the securities. The success of cross-

    hedging depends completely on how strongly correlated the instrument being

    hedged is with the instrument underlying the derivatives contract. When cross

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    hedging, thematurityof the two securities has to be equal. In other words, you

    cannot hedge a long-term instrument with a short-term security. Both financial

    instruments have to have the same maturity.

    Hedging is a form of investment insurance that is meant to reduce risk. Hedging

    does not eliminate the amount of risk involved in an investment; it just softens

    the negative effect on the hedger. Typically, hedging involves investing in two

    securities that have a negative correlation. A negative correlation means that

    the two securities move in opposite directions. When one security looses value,

    the other gains value.

    For example, you could have a long position in a gold company then take a

    short position in a goldETF.Because the price of the gold company's stock

    would move in tandem with the price of gold, it would create a cross hedge.

    There wouldn't be a perfect correlation, so this example would not provide aperfect hedge.

    Definition of 'Hedge Ratio'

    1. A ratio comparing the value of a position protected via a hedge with the size

    of the entire position itself.

    2. A ratio comparing the value of futures contracts purchased or sold to the

    value of the cash commodity being hedged.

    1. Say you are holding $10,000 in foreign equity, which exposes you to

    currency risk. If you hedge $5,000 worth of the equity with a currency position,

    your hedge ratio is 0.5 (50 / 100). This means that 50% of your equity position

    is sheltered from exchange rate risk.

    2. The hedge ratio is important for investors in futures contracts, as it will help

    to identify and minimize basis risk

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    Optimal hedge ratio

    In hedging, you can hedge your whole portfolio or some portion of it. The hedge ratio is

    the size of the futures contract relative to the cash transaction. In a previous example involving a

    trader with oil en route from the Gulf, the hedge ratio was one, since she sold a futures contract

    representing each barrel of oil. When using turnips to hedge, the ratio was still 1, since the value

    of the crude was hedged with an equal value of turnips. If the hedger had sold _ barrel for each

    barrel in transit, the hedge ratio would have been _. It turns out that it is not always optimal to

    hedge your whole product and Hull (2000) works out what the optimal hedge ratio is to minimize

    risk. In his exposition, he defines

    S = ST - St = the change in the spot price over the life of the contract,

    F = FT - Ft = the change in the futures price over the life of the contract,

    S = the standard deviation of S,

    F = the standard deviation of F,

    = SF/(SF) = the correlation coefficient between S and F, which is the covariance

    of S and F divided by the standard deviations of S and F, and

    h = the hedge ratio.

    If the hedger owns the products and sells the future, his portfolio value is (S - hF). The change in

    value of the portfolio is

    S - hF.

    Alternatively, if the hedger buys the future and is short the product, his portfolio value is hF - S.

    The change in value of the portfolio is

    hF - S.

    The variance (2

    ) for the above two portfolios is

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    2

    =

    S

    2

    + h2

    F

    2

    - 2hSF =

    S

    2

    + h2

    F

    2

    - 2hSF.

    To find the optimal hedge ratio, which minimizes risk or variance, minimize the above expression

    with respect to h.

    2

    /h = 2h

    F

    2

    - 2SF = 0.

    Checking second order conditions

    2

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    2

    /h2

    = 2

    F

    2

    > 0.

    So h is a minimum. Solving for h, we get

    h = S/F.Now if S and F are for the same products it is likely that S and F are close to the same value

    and

    is close to 1. Then the optimal hedge ratio is near 1. Where this becomes more interesting is

    where you are hedging one product with a diffe