Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2020 › usda-esmis › files › rj430453… · Released December...

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

ISSN: 1949-1921

Released December 23, 2020, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States

Department of Agriculture (USDA).

United States Hog Inventory Down 1 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2020 was 77.5 million head. This was down 1 percent from

December 1, 2019, and down 1 percent from September 1, 2020.

Breeding inventory, at 6.28 million head, was down 3 percent from last year, and down 1 percent from the previous

quarter.

Market hog inventory, at 71.2 million head, was down 1 percent from last year, and down 1 percent from last quarter.

The September-November 2020 pig crop, at 35.0 million head, was down 1 percent from 2019. Sows farrowing during

this period totaled 3.16 million head, down 1 percent from 2019. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented

50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 11.05 for the September-November period,

compared to 11.09 last year.

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Million Head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory - United States: December 1

2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2020) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

United States hog producers intend to have 3.12 million sows farrow during the December 2020-February 2021 quarter,

up 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period one year earlier, and up 1 percent from the same period

two years earlier. Intended farrowings for March-May 2021, at 3.12 million sows, are down 1 percent from the same

period one year earlier, and down slightly from the same period two years earlier.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted

for 48 percent of the total United States hog inventory, unchanged from the previous year.

Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2019 through September 2020 were reviewed using final pig crop, official

slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The revision made to the September 2020 all hogs and pigs

inventory was 0.8 percent. A revision of 2.7 percent was made to the June-August 2020 pig crop. The net revision made to

the June 2020 all hogs and pigs inventory was 2.9 percent. A net revision of 0.8 percent was made to the March-May

2020 pig crop. The net revision made to the March 2020 all hogs and pigs inventory was 1.9 percent. A net revision of

2.8 percent was made to the December 2019-February 2020 pig crop. The net revision made to the December 2019 all

hogs and pigs inventory was 1.2 percent. A net revision of 1.0 percent was made to the September-November 2019 pig

crop.

Records Record highs for all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop and pigs per litter, by quarter, can be found on page 15.

This report was approved on December 23, 2020.

Secretary of Agriculture

Designate

Robert Johansson

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Joseph L. Parsons

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2020) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2019 and 2020 ......................................... 4

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2019-2021 .......................................................................... 5

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2019 and 2020 ................. 5

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2019 and 2020 ......................................... 6

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2019 and 2020 .............................................. 7

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 ............................................... 8

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 .................................................... 8

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2019 and 2020 .................................................. 9

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2019 and 2020 ....................................................... 9

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2019 and 2020 ...................................... 10

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2019 and 2020 ........................................... 10

Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

December-November 2019 and 2020 ................................................................................................................................... 11

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2019-2021 ..................... 12

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2019-2021 .................................. 12

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2019 and 2020 ........................... 13

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

September-November 2019 and 2020 ................................................................................................................................... 13

Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 14

Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates ................................................................................................................................. 14

Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present ........................................................................................................... 15

Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 15


Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

Item 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

March 1 inventory .................................................................................... All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory ....................................................................................... All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory ............................................................................. All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory .............................................................................. All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................

74,661 6,349

68,313

21,373 19,168 15,001 12,771

75,725 6,410

69,316

22,210 19,693 14,396 13,017

78,583 6,431

72,153

23,376 21,224 14,654 12,899

78,228 6,471

71,757

22,048 20,636 15,256 13,816

76,179 6,375

69,804

21,571 19,353 15,086 13,793

77,364 6,326

71,038

22,110 19,890 15,240 13,797

78,434 6,333

72,101

23,144 21,020 14,867 13,069

77,502 6,276

71,226

21,739 20,260 15,246 13,980

102 100 102

101 101 101 108

102 99

102

100 101 106 106

100 98

100

99 99

101 101

99 97 99

99 98

100 101


Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2019-2021 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Item 2019 2020 2021 2020 as percent of 2019

2021 percent of 2020

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent)

Sows farrowing ........................................ December-February 2 .......................... March-May 2 ........................................ December-May 1 .................................. June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November 1 ................................. Pig crop ................................................... December-February ............................. March-May ........................................... December-May 1 .................................. June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November 1 .................................

3,098 3,132 6,231

3,274 3,197 6,471

33,164 34,455 67,619

36,370 35,459 71,829

3,068 3,149 6,217

3,260 3,164 6,424

33,745 34,644 68,389

36,056 34,973 71,030

3,118 3,123 6,241

99

101 100

100 99 99

102 101 101

99 99 99

102 99

100

(number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent)

Pigs per litter ........................................... December-February ............................. March-May ........................................... December-May .................................... June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November ...................................

10.70 11.00 10.85

11.11 11.09 11.10

11.00 11.00 11.00

11.06 11.05 11.06

103 100 101

100 100 100

1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Intentions for 2021.

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2019 and 2020 [December preceding year]

Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

December ........................ January ........................... February .......................... March .............................. April ................................. May ................................. June ................................ July .................................. August ............................. September ....................... October ........................... November ........................ Total ................................

1,041 1,036 1,021 1,074 1,027 1,031 1,115 1,086 1,073 1,097 1,064 1,036

12,701

1,049 1,026

993 1,085 1,039 1,025 1,100 1,086 1,074 1,085 1,044 1,034

12,641

10.72 10.68 10.71 10.86 11.02 11.13 11.03 11.10 11.21 11.00 11.10 11.18

10.98

10.98 10.95 11.07 10.72 11.13 11.17 10.94 11.05 11.19 10.89 11.07 11.21

11.03

11,153 11,071 10,939 11,662 11,310 11,482 12,294 12,048 12,027 12,075 11,806 11,577

139,449

11,517 11,235 10,994 11,636 11,556 11,452 12,038 11,999 12,020 11,820 11,561 11,592

139,418

1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.


Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

Breeding Market Total

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Alabama ................. Alaska ..................... Arizona ................... Arkansas ................. California ................ Colorado ................. Connecticut ............. Delaware ................ Florida ..................... Georgia ................... Hawaii ..................... Idaho ....................... Illinois ...................... Indiana .................... Iowa ........................ Kansas .................... Kentucky ................. Louisiana ................ Maine ...................... Maryland ................. Massachusetts ........ Michigan ................. Minnesota ............... Mississippi .............. Missouri .................. Montana .................. Nebraska ................ Nevada ................... New Hampshire ...... New Jersey ............. New Mexico ............ New York ................ North Carolina ......... North Dakota ........... Ohio ........................ Oklahoma ............... Oregon .................... Pennsylvania .......... Rhode Island ........... South Carolina ........ South Dakota .......... Tennessee .............. Texas ...................... Utah ........................ Vermont .................. Virginia .................... Washington ............. West Virginia ........... Wisconsin ............... Wyoming ................. United States ..........

10.0 0.3

16.0 39.0 12.0

155.0 0.7 2.5 4.0

20.0

3.0 7.0

590.0 250.0

1,010.0 180.0 50.0 2.0 1.1 3.5

2.0

120.0 570.0 53.0

490.0 37.0

440.0 0.2 0.8 1.0

0.7 5.0

900.0 35.0

210.0 450.0

2.0 140.0

0.3 10.0

280.0 26.0

155.0 80.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 1.0

60.0 37.0

6,471.1

4.0 0.4

15.0 43.0 9.0

155.0 0.5 2.5 4.0

10.0

3.0 7.0

570.0 250.0 980.0 170.0 45.0 2.0 1.2 3.0

2.0

120.0 540.0 49.0

450.0 41.0

430.0 0.1 0.6 1.0

0.4 8.0

840.0 36.0

210.0 465.0

2.0 150.0

0.2 8.0

285.0 25.0

140.0 90.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 1.0

58.0 41.0

6,275.9

40 133 94

110 75

100 71

100 100 50

100 100 97

100 97 94 90

100 109 86

100 100 95 92 92

111 98 50 75

100

57 160 93

103 100 103 100 107 67 80

102 96 90

113 100 80

100 100 97

111

97

26.0 1.6

145.0 78.0 94.0

605.0 3.3 4.5 6.0

42.0

8.0 28.0

4,860.0 4,150.0

23,890.0 1,980.0

385.0 4.0 3.5

16.5

6.0 1,120.0 8,830.0

137.0 2,860.0

173.0 3,360.0

4.8 2.6 6.5

1.3

48.0 8,500.0

107.0 2,540.0 1,820.0

9.0 1,190.0

1.3 185.0

1,720.0

224.0 985.0 880.0

2.6 335.0 14.0 2.0

305.0 57.0

71,756.5

8.0 1.5

126.0 83.0 90.0

475.0 3.5 4.5 9.0

28.0

7.0 25.0

4,880.0 4,200.0

23,820.0 1,870.0

415.0 4.0 3.8

15.5

7.0 1,180.0 8,860.0

61.0 3,300.0

164.0 3,220.0

2.4 3.2 6.5

0.9

61.0 8,160.0

107.0 2,440.0 1,615.0

7.0 1,240.0

1.3 180.0

1,735.0

235.0 940.0 910.0

3.0 306.0 14.0 2.0

342.0 54.0

71,226.1

31 94 87

106 96 79

106 100 150 67

88 89

100 101 100 94

108 100 109 94

117 105 100 45

115 95 96 50

123 100

69

127 96

100 96 89 78

104 100 97

101 105 95

103 115 91

100 100 112 95

99

36.0 1.9

161.0 117.0 106.0 760.0

4.0 7.0

10.0 62.0

11.0 35.0

5,450.0 4,400.0

24,900.0 2,160.0

435.0 6.0 4.6

20.0

8.0 1,240.0 9,400.0

190.0 3,350.0

210.0 3,800.0

5.0 3.4 7.5

2.0

53.0 9,400.0

142.0 2,750.0 2,270.0

11.0 1,330.0

1.6 195.0

2,000.0

250.0 1,140.0

960.0 3.6

340.0 17.0 3.0

365.0 94.0

78,227.6

12.0 1.9

141.0 126.0 99.0

630.0 4.0 7.0

13.0 38.0

10.0 32.0

5,450.0 4,450.0

24,800.0 2,040.0

460.0 6.0 5.0

18.5

9.0 1,300.0 9,400.0

110.0 3,750.0

205.0 3,650.0

2.5 3.8 7.5

1.3

69.0 9,000.0

143.0 2,650.0 2,080.0

9.0 1,390.0

1.5 188.0

2,020.0

260.0 1,080.0 1,000.0

4.0 310.0 17.0 3.0

400.0 95.0

77,502.0

33 100 88

108 93 83

100 100 130 61

91 91

100 101 100 94

106 100 109 93

113 105 100 58

112 98 96 50

112 100

65

130 96

101 96 92 82

105 94 96

101 104 95

104 111 91

100 100 110 101

99


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2019 and 2020 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Alabama ..................... Alaska ........................ Arizona ....................... Arkansas .................... California .................... Colorado ..................... Connecticut ................ Delaware .................... Florida ........................ Georgia ...................... Hawaii ........................ Idaho .......................... Illinois ......................... Indiana ....................... Iowa ............................ Kansas ....................... Kentucky ..................... Louisiana .................... Maine ......................... Maryland ..................... Massachusetts ............ Michigan ..................... Minnesota ................... Mississippi .................. Missouri ...................... Montana ..................... Nebraska .................... Nevada ....................... New Hampshire .......... New Jersey ................. New Mexico ................ New York .................... North Carolina ............ North Dakota .............. Ohio ............................ Oklahoma ................... Oregon ....................... Pennsylvania .............. Rhode Island .............. South Carolina ............ South Dakota .............. Tennessee .................. Texas ......................... Utah ............................ Vermont ...................... Virginia ....................... Washington ................ West Virginia .............. Wisconsin ................... Wyoming .................... United States ..............

15.0 0.5

49.0 63.0 26.0

280.0 1.5 3.0 3.0

27.0

3.0 16.0

1,455.0 1,100.0 5,840.0

475.0 119.0

1.0 1.4 4.5

2.0

340.0 2,750.0

116.0 1,250.0

82.0 1,180.0

0.2 0.4 1.3

0.4

11.0 3,350.0

56.0 690.0 780.0

2.5 305.0

0.3 24.0

680.0 78.0

300.0 320.0

0.7 79.0 4.0 0.5

110.0 52.0

22,048.2

1.0 0.5

37.0 66.0 24.0

255.0 1.5 3.0 5.0

12.0

2.5 14.0

1,440.0 1,030.0 5,800.0

435.0 123.0

1.0 1.4 4.0

2.5

360.0 2,840.0

43.0 1,540.0

83.0 1,100.0

0.1 0.4 1.4

0.2

23.0 2,985.0

54.0 750.0 740.0

2.0 335.0

0.3 21.0

690.0 48.0

280.0 350.0

0.8 56.0 5.0 0.5

122.0 50.0

21,739.1

2.0 0.5

32.0 8.0

22.0 130.0

0.4 0.5 1.0 5.0

2.0 5.0

1,630.0 1,170.0 7,720.0

475.0 106.0

1.0 0.8 4.0

1.4

310.0 2,770.0

6.0 620.0 34.0

875.0 1.7 0.8 1.9

0.5

10.5 2,030.0

23.0 710.0 470.0

2.5 340.0

0.4 54.0

400.0 39.0

275.0 185.0

0.7 84.0 4.0 0.5

68.0 3.0

20,636.1

1.0 0.4

29.0 9.0

23.0 100.0

0.5 0.5 2.0 5.0

1.5 4.0

1,550.0 1,260.0 7,620.0

485.0 115.0

1.0 0.9 4.0

2.0

330.0 2,760.0

7.0 640.0 34.0

860.0 0.9 1.0 1.5

0.2

12.0 1,915.0

23.0 660.0 350.0

2.0 360.0

0.5 52.0

400.0 66.0

225.0 185.0

0.9 83.0 4.0 0.5

72.0 1.0

20,260.3

5.0 0.3

32.0 3.0

24.0 100.0

0.3 0.5 1.0 6.0

2.0 4.0

965.0 920.0

5,750.0 420.0 77.0 1.0 0.7 4.0

0.8

220.0 1,860.0

5.0 520.0 27.0

640.0 1.6 0.7 1.5

0.1

12.5 1,610.0

15.0 550.0 255.0

1.5 275.0

0.2 54.0

320.0 55.0

170.0 185.0

0.6 83.0 3.0 0.5

72.0 1.0

15,255.8

1.0 0.3

29.0 2.0

20.0 50.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 4.0

1.5 4.0

1,040.0 860.0

5,790.0 360.0 75.0 1.0 0.8 3.5

1.1

245.0 1,840.0

7.0 640.0 23.0

710.0 0.8 0.8 1.3

0.2

16.0 1,570.0

15.0 480.0 205.0

1.0 275.0

0.2 54.0

325.0 54.0

185.0 185.0

0.6 81.0 2.0 0.5

83.0 1.0

15,246.4

4.0 0.3

32.0 4.0

22.0 95.0 1.1 0.5 1.0 4.0

1.0 3.0

810.0 960.0

4,580.0 610.0 83.0 1.0 0.6 4.0

1.8

250.0 1,450.0

10.0 470.0 30.0

665.0 1.3 0.7 1.8

0.3

14.0 1,510.0

13.0 590.0 315.0

2.5 270.0

0.4 53.0

320.0 52.0

240.0 190.0

0.6 89.0 3.0 0.5

55.0 1.0

13,816.4

5.0 0.3

31.0 6.0

23.0 70.0 1.2 0.5 1.0 7.0

1.5 3.0

850.0 1,050.0 4,610.0

590.0 102.0

1.0 0.7 4.0

1.4

245.0 1,420.0

4.0 480.0 24.0

550.0 0.6 1.0 2.3

0.3

10.0 1,690.0

15.0 550.0 320.0

2.0 270.0

0.3 53.0

320.0 67.0

250.0 190.0

0.7 86.0 3.0 0.5

65.0 2.0

13,980.3


Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019


Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 560 260

1,030 170 120 580 470 450 900

190 450 120 245 150 80

419

6,349

155 580 250 980 180 120 560 470 440 870

200 450 150 285 155 80

450

6,375

100 104 96 95

106 100 97

100 98 97

105 100 125 116 103 100

108

100

645 4,690 3,940

22,670 1,880 1,110 8,220 3,080 3,150 8,100

2,460 1,720 1,150 1,595

940 670

2,293

68,313

555 4,570 3,750

23,420 1,910 1,120 8,440 3,130 3,310 8,230

2,450 1,800 1,200 1,725

955 870

2,369

69,804

86 97 95

103 102 101 103 102 105 102

100 105 104 108 102 130

103

102

800 5,250 4,200

23,700 2,050 1,230 8,800 3,550 3,600 9,000

2,650 2,170 1,270 1,840 1,090

750

2,711

74,661

710 5,150 4,000

24,400 2,090 1,240 9,000 3,600 3,750 9,100

2,650 2,250 1,350 2,010 1,110

950

2,819

76,179

89 98 95

103 102 101 102 101 104 101

100 104 106 109 102 127

104

102

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020


Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

290 1,415 1,040 5,510

480 330

2,590 1,555 1,060 3,190

720 800 315 590 275 295

918

21,373

280 1,260

910 5,830

455 335

2,700 1,440 1,130 3,150

680 825 335 695 280 325

941

21,571

135 1,555 1,100 7,510

440 300

2,400 560 880

1,700

640 360 325 390 260 120

493

19,168

100 1,515 1,050 7,460

495 300

2,460 630 885

1,780

640 360 350 385 265 180

498

19,353

105 1,000

920 5,630

395 225

1,890 505 690

1,590

520 210 245 320 180 130

446

15,001

60 995 920

5,500 390 230

1,850 565 690

1,690

550 250 250 335 185 180

446

15,086

115 720 880

4,020 565 255

1,340 460 520

1,620

580 350 265 295 225 125

436

12,771

115 800 870

4,630 570 255

1,430 495 605

1,610

580 365 265 310 225 185

483

13,793



Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019


Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

160 590 260

1,000 175 120 570 480 460 900

200 445 120 265 155 80

430

6,410

155 570 250 960 180 120 550 475 440 880

210 460 150 280 130 80

436

6,326

97 97 96 96

103 100 96 99 96 98

105 103 125 106 84

100

102

99

620 4,760 4,040

22,900 1,845 1,130 8,230 3,170 3,290 8,300

2,550 1,715 1,100 1,605

935 750

2,376

69,316

545 4,780 4,150

23,340 2,010 1,060 8,450 3,325 3,360 8,420

2,540 1,720 1,260 1,780

920 910

2,468

71,038

88 100 103 102 109 94

103 105 102 101

100 100 115 111 98

121

104

102

780 5,350 4,300

23,900 2,020 1,250 8,800 3,650 3,750 9,200

2,750 2,160 1,220 1,870 1,090

830

2,805

75,725

700 5,350 4,400

24,300 2,190 1,180 9,000 3,800 3,800 9,300

2,750 2,180 1,410 2,060 1,050

990

2,904

77,364

90 100 102 102 108 94

102 104 101 101

100 101 116 110 96

119

104

102


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2019 and 2020 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020


Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

295 1,465 1,090 5,920

460 320

2,630 1,590 1,135 3,370

730 800 305 580 285 325

910

22,210

275 1,400 1,010 5,780

510 310

2,800 1,690 1,160 3,100

710 770 375 725 220 365

910

22,110

130 1,530 1,180 7,520

490 320

2,590 530 875

1,830

660 365 345 430 235 150

513

19,693

95 1,555 1,310 7,520

480 290

2,430 565 865

1,920

650 380 385 420 295 180

550

19,890

100 945 840

5,430 385 230

1,730 525 630

1,500

590 220 235 290 145 140

461

14,396

70 1,035

910 5,500

395 220

1,820 600 690

1,730

580 230 270 340 185 180

485

15,240

95 820 930

4,030 510 260

1,280 525 650

1,600

570 330 215 305 270 135

492

13,017

105 790 920

4,540 625 240

1,400 470 645

1,670

600 340 230 295 220 185

522

13,797



Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019


Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

160 590 250

1,010 175 120 580 490 450 900

200 460 120 265 155 80

426

6,431

165 580 250 980 175 120 530 470 430 870

220 450 150 285 140 85

433

6,333

103 98

100 97

100 100 91 96 96 97

110 98

125 108 90

106

102

98

630 4,910 4,150

23,990 1,915 1,120 8,620 3,160 3,350 8,700

2,600 1,790 1,140 1,735 1,045

880

2,418

72,153

485 4,820 4,200

23,820 1,915 1,100 8,570 3,430 3,370 8,730

2,580 1,650 1,290 1,765

920 955

2,501

72,101

77 98

101 99

100 98 99

109 101 100

99 92

113 102 88

109

103

100

790 5,500 4,400

25,000 2,090 1,240 9,200 3,650 3,800 9,600

2,800 2,250 1,260 2,000 1,200

960

2,843

78,583

650 5,400 4,450

24,800 2,090 1,220 9,100 3,900 3,800 9,600

2,800 2,100 1,440 2,050 1,060 1,040

2,934

78,434

82 98

101 99

100 98 99

107 100 100

100 93

114 103 88

108

103

100


Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2019 and 2020 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020


Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................

305 1,510 1,110 6,360

490 310

2,950 1,530 1,190 3,440

780 805 315 655 345 355

926

23,376

260 1,390 1,040 6,440

500 325

2,850 1,600 1,170 3,350

770 765 355 700 305 370

954

23,144

130 1,650 1,230 8,010

510 310

2,850 590 890

2,140

690 465 330 450 290 175

514

21,224

100 1,540 1,380 7,780

475 305

2,820 690 890

2,130

760 350 410 435 215 195

545

21,020

95 900 860

5,520 375 225

1,710 545 670

1,580

540 225 265 305 185 175

479

14,654

50 1,070

820 5,480

410 225

1,720 690 690

1,610

490 185 275 320 140 195

497

14,867

100 850 950

4,100 540 275

1,110 495 600

1,540

590 295 230 325 225 175

499

12,899

75 820 960

4,120 530 245

1,180 450 620

1,640

560 350 250 310 260 195

504

13,069



Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-November 2019 and 2020 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Alabama .......................... Alaska ............................. Arizona ............................ Arkansas ......................... California ......................... Colorado .......................... Connecticut ..................... Delaware ......................... Florida ............................. Georgia ........................... Hawaii ............................. Idaho ............................... Illinois .............................. Indiana ............................ Iowa ................................. Kansas ............................ Kentucky .......................... Louisiana ......................... Maine .............................. Maryland .......................... Massachusetts ................. Michigan .......................... Minnesota ........................ Mississippi ....................... Missouri ........................... Montana .......................... Nebraska ......................... Nevada ............................ New Hampshire ............... New Jersey ...................... New Mexico ..................... New York ......................... North Carolina ................. North Dakota ................... Ohio ................................. Oklahoma ........................ Oregon ............................ Pennsylvania ................... Rhode Island ................... South Carolina ................. South Dakota ................... Tennessee ....................... Texas .............................. Utah ................................. Vermont ........................... Virginia ............................ Washington ..................... West Virginia ................... Wisconsin ........................ Wyoming ......................... United States ...................

16.00 0.40

30.50 93.00 12.50

310.00 0.60 4.00 4.00

36.00

2.00 9.90

1,115.00 485.00

2,120.00 354.00 99.00 0.40 0.90 3.70

1.60

221.00 1,195.00

89.00 1,012.00

64.00 769.00

0.40 0.60 0.80

0.40 5.20

1,885.00 73.00

396.00 870.00

1.30 217.00

0.40 18.50

509.00 54.50

270.00 168.00

0.80 6.70 3.20 0.70

99.00 72.50

12,701.45

14.50 0.40

27.50 78.00 14.50

298.00 0.50 4.00 4.00

28.00

2.00 12.00

1,145.00 490.00

2,120.00 349.00 97.00 0.40 0.90 4.00

1.60

221.00 1,160.00

117.00 1,000.00

69.50 760.00

0.40 0.40 0.80

0.40 6.00

1,820.00 72.00

405.00 845.00

1.60 218.00

0.40 15.50

562.00 60.50

261.00 167.00

0.80 6.00 3.20 0.60

105.00 70.50

12,640.87

91 100 90 84

116 96 83

100 100 78

100 121 103 101 100 99 98

100 100 108

100 100 97

131 99

109 99

100 67

100

100 115 97 99

102 97

123 100 100 84

110 111 97 99

100 90

100 86

106 97

100

11.06 8.00 9.77

10.90 4.72

10.30 8.17

10.00 6.25 9.86

5.30 8.79

10.83 10.60 11.34 10.74 9.80 7.25 7.10

10.00

8.13 10.96 11.83 11.50 10.86 10.92 11.60 6.25 8.00 7.00

8.50 9.04

10.37 10.99 11.16 10.74 7.69

11.09 7.25 8.54

11.90 10.29 10.51 10.62 6.75

10.00 8.13 7.71

11.00 10.01

10.98

10.97 7.57

10.11 11.30 4.14

10.10 7.80

10.00 6.00

10.04

6.00 9.58

10.81 10.88 11.31 10.63 9.96 6.75 7.20

10.00

7.50 11.15 11.81 11.00 11.08 11.04 11.52 4.00 8.00 6.88

6.00 7.83

10.53 11.18 10.79 10.68 8.13

11.06 8.00 8.58

12.20 11.16 10.44 10.92 6.50

10.67 8.13 8.17

11.40 10.24

11.03

177.00 2.80

298.00 1,017.00

59.00 3,193.00

4.90 40.00 25.00

355.00

11.00 87.00

12,074.00 5,139.00

24,037.00 3,802.00

970.00 2.90 6.40

37.00

13.00 2,423.00

14,131.00 1,021.00

10,990.00 699.00

8,920.00 2.50 4.80 5.60

3.40

47.00 19,544.00

802.00 4,420.00 9,345.00

10.00 2,407.00

2.90 158.00

6,065.00

561.00 2,837.00 1,784.00

5.40 67.00 26.00 5.40

1,085.00 726.00

139,449.00

159.00 2.80

278.00 885.00 60.00

3,009.00 3.90

40.00 24.00

281.00

12.00 115.00

12,380.00 5,332.00

23,981.00 3,709.00

966.00 2.70 6.50

40.00

12.00 2,465.00

13,703.00 1,283.00

11,075.00 767.00

8,753.00 1.60 3.20 5.50

2.40

47.00 19,156.00

805.00 4,369.00 9,023.00

13.00 2,410.00

3.20 133.00

6,857.00

675.00 2,726.00 1,824.00

5.20 64.00 26.00 4.90

1,197.00 722.00

139,417.90

90 100 93 87

102 94 80

100 96 79

109 132 103 104 100 98

100 93

102 108

92

102 97

126 101 110 98 64 67 98

71

100 98

100 99 97

130 100 110 84

113 120 96

102 96 96

100 91

110 99

100


Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2019-2021 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2019 2020 2021 2 2021 as percent of 2020

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

78 270 125 530 86 56

300 245 185 455

93

205 55

119 66 40

190

3,098

72 285 115 500 87 57

270 250 190 430

96

205 53

141 68 40

209

3,068

70 290 120 530 84 55

275 235 190 440

105 210 53

138 66 45

212

3,118

97 102 104 106 97 96

102 94

100 102

109 102 100 98 97

113

101

102

9.20 10.65 10.20 11.20 10.60 10.90 11.60 10.55 11.55 9.90

10.70 10.65 10.80 11.85 10.20 9.20

10.02

10.70

10.30 10.95 10.60 11.25 10.40 11.10 11.90 11.00 11.60 10.50

11.00 10.40 11.00 12.10 10.35 11.00

10.51

11.00

718 2,876 1,275 5,936

912 610

3,480 2,585 2,137 4,505

995

2,183 594

1,410 673 368

1,907

33,164

742 3,121 1,219 5,625

905 633

3,213 2,750 2,204 4,515

1,056 2,132

583 1,706

704 440

2,197

33,745

103 109 96 95 99

104 92

106 103 100

106 98 98

121 105 120

115

102

1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2019-2021 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2021 2 2021 as percent of 2020

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

78 275 120 530 86 54

295 242 200 460

98

215 54

123 66 43

193

3,132

74 275 125 500 89 54

290 255 200 460

96

215 57

139 68 43

209

3,149

71 285 120 530 84 54

260 245 190 440

105 215 53

138 68 45

220

3,123

96 104 96

106 94

100 90 96 95 96

109 100 93 99

100 105

105

99

10.70 10.75 10.70 11.45 10.70 11.00 11.85 10.65 11.50 10.50

11.20 10.55 11.10 11.95 10.50 10.70

10.37

11.00

10.10 10.80 10.60 11.40 10.70 10.60 11.60 11.00 11.10 10.60

11.10 10.80 11.10 12.30 11.00 10.80

10.39

11.00

835 2,956 1,284 6,069

920 594

3,496 2,577 2,300 4,830

1,098 2,268

599 1,470

693 460

2,006

34,455

747 2,970 1,325 5,700

952 572

3,364 2,805 2,220 4,876

1,066 2,322

633 1,710

748 464

2,170

34,644

89 100 103 94

103 96 96

109 97

101

97 102 106 116 108 101

108

101

1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.


Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State


2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019


Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 2 ................ United States .................

79 290 120 550 90 55

300 260 194 500

102 230 51

129 71 44

209

3,274

79 290 125 560 88 54

310 255 180 490

108 215 56

143 61 43

203

3,260

100 100 104 102 98 98

103 98 93 98

106 93

110 111 86 98

97

100

10.70 10.95 11.00 11.35 10.90 11.10 11.95 11.10 11.65 10.50

11.30 10.90 11.30 11.85 10.90 11.00

10.47

11.11

10.00 10.70 11.30 11.30 10.70 11.40 11.90 11.20 11.70 10.50

10.50 10.80 11.10 12.20 10.60 11.00

10.46

11.06

845 3,176 1,320 6,243

981 611

3,585 2,886 2,260 5,250

1,153 2,507

576 1,529

774 484

2,190

36,370

790 3,103 1,413 6,328

942 616

3,689 2,856 2,106 5,145

1,134 2,322

622 1,745

647 473

2,125

36,056

93 98

107 101 96

101 103 99 93 98

98 93

108 114 84 98

97

99

1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2019 and 2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019

2019 2020 2019 2020 2020 as percent of 2019


Colorado ....................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa .............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ....................... Minnesota ..................... Missouri ........................ Nebraska ...................... North Carolina .............. Ohio .............................. Oklahoma ..................... Pennsylvania ................ South Dakota ................ Texas ........................... Utah .............................. Other States 2 ............... United States ................

75 280 120 510 92 56

300 265 190 470

103 220 57

138 67 41

213

3,197

73 295 125 560 85 56

290 240 190 440

105 210 52

139 64 41

199

3,164

97 105 104 110 92

100 97 91

100 94

102 95 91

101 96

100

94

99

10.60 10.95 10.50 11.35 10.75 10.85 11.90 11.10 11.70 10.55

11.40 10.85 11.20 12.00 10.40 11.50

10.51

11.09

10.00 10.80 11.00 11.30 10.70 11.50 11.85 11.10 11.70 10.50

10.60 10.70 11.00 12.20 9.80

10.90

10.83

11.05

795 3,066 1,260 5,789

989 608

3,570 2,942 2,223 4,959

1,174 2,387

638 1,656

697 472

2,234

35,459

730 3,186 1,375 6,328

910 644

3,437 2,664 2,223 4,620

1,113 2,247

572 1,696

627 447

2,154

34,973

92 104 109 109 92

106 96 91

100 93

95 94 90

102 90 95

96

99

1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.


Statistical Methodology

Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 6,000 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these

estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the

survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December 2020, data

were collected from about 4,500 operations, 70.7 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by

electronic data reporting, mail, and telephone. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report

inventories as of December 1, 2020.

Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing

recommendations and analysis submitted by each regional field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for

reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with

the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,

and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for

reasonableness.

Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the

previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of

the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.

Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are

available. No revisions will be made after that date.

Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling

variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in

reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized

through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for

consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for

selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance

and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory

estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be

above or below the current estimate of 77.5 million head by more than 1.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the

difference will not exceed 2.1 percent.

Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous 20 quarters]

Item Root mean

square error

90 percent confidence

level

Difference between first and latest estimate

Average Smallest Largest Quarters

Below latest Above latest

(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)

All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop ......................................... Expected farrowings Second intentions ...................... First intentions ............................

1.2

1.7

2.2

2.3

2.1

2.9

3.8

4.0

712

461

54

56

60

13

2

2

2,270

1,064

137

145

9

11

16

15

11

9

4

5


Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present [This table provides data users with record high estimates of all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop, and pigs per litter since each data series began]

Item Estimate Record high Series began

(1,000 head) (year) (year)

All hogs and pigs ................................................ March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Market ................................................................ March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Pig crop .............................................................. December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................

76,179 77,364 78,583 83,741

69,804 71,038 72,153 71,757

33,745 34,644 36,370 35,459

2020 2020 2019 1943

2020 2020 2019 2019

2020 2020 2019 2019

1988 1964 1988 1866

1988 1964 1988 1963

1970 1970 1970 1970

(number) (year) (year)

Pigs per litter ...................................................... December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................

11.00 11.00 11.11 11.09

2020 2020 2019 2019

1970 1970 1970 1970

1 December preceding year.

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected].

Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ......................................................................................................... (202) 692-0069

Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........................................................................................................... (202) 690-2424

Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (202) 690-8632

Holly Brenize – Sheep and Goats ............................................................................................................. (202) 720-0585

Ryan Cowen – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ....................................................................................................... (202) 720-3040

Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278

Suzanne Richards – Dairy Products ......................................................................................................... (202) 720-4448

Seth Riggins – Hogs and Pigs .................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106

Access to NASS Reports

For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:

All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov

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For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,

7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for

employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where

applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's

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If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination

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at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the

information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of

Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax

(202) 690-7442 or email at [email protected].

https://www.nass.usda.gov/https://www.nass.usda.gov/https://usda.library.cornell.edu/https://usda.library.cornell.edu/https://usda.library.cornell.edu/helpmailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.ocio.usda.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2012/Complain_combined_6_8_12.pdfhttp://www.ocio.usda.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2012/Complain_combined_6_8_12.pdfhttp://www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customermailto:[email protected]

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2020 › usda-esmis › files › rj430453… · Released December...

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