Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up...

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 1949-1921 Released December 23, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). United States Hog Inventory Up 3 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2019 was 77.3 million head. This was up 3 percent from December 1, 2018, but down slightly from September 1, 2019. Breeding inventory, at 6.46 million head, was up 2 percent from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 70.9 million head, was up 3 percent from last year, but down slightly from last quarter. The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head, down 1 percent from 2018. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 49 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high of 11.09 for the September-November period, compared to 10.76 last year. 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million Head Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory - United States: December 1

Transcript of Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up...

Page 1: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

ISSN: 1949-1921

Released December 23, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States

Department of Agriculture (USDA).

United States Hog Inventory Up 3 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2019 was 77.3 million head. This was up 3 percent from

December 1, 2018, but down slightly from September 1, 2019.

Breeding inventory, at 6.46 million head, was up 2 percent from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter.

Market hog inventory, at 70.9 million head, was up 3 percent from last year, but down slightly from last quarter.

The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this

period totaled 3.17 million head, down 1 percent from 2018. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 49 percent

of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high of 11.09 for the September-November period,

compared to 10.76 last year.

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Million Head

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory - United States: December 1

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2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

United States hog producers intend to have 3.13 million sows farrow during the December 2019-February 2020 quarter,

up 1 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period one year earlier, and up 5 percent from the same period

two years earlier. Intended farrowings for March-May 2020, at 3.15 million sows, are up slightly from the same period

one year earlier, and up 3 percent from the same period two years earlier.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted

for 48 percent of the total United States hog inventory, unchanged from the previous year.

Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2018 through September 2019 were reviewed using final pig crop, official

slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The revision made to the September 2019 all hogs and pigs

inventory was 0.1 percent. The net revision made to the June 2019 all hogs and pigs inventory was 0.3 percent. A net

revision of 0.8 percent was made to the March-May 2019 pig crop. The net revision to the March 2019 all hogs and pigs

inventory was 0.5 percent and 0.5 to the December 2018-February 2019 pig crop. The net revision to the December 2018

all hogs and pigs inventory was 0.7 percent and 1.5 percent to the September-November 2018 pig crop. The net revision

to the September 2018 all hogs and pigs inventory was 1.2 percent and 0.4 percent to the June-August 2018 pig crop. The

net revision to the June 2018 all hogs and pigs inventory was 1.7 percent and 1.8 percent to the March-May 2018 pig crop.

The net revision to the March 2018 all hogs and pigs inventory was 1.2 percent and 2.6 percent to the December 2017-

February 2018 pig crop.

Records Record highs for all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop and pigs per litter, by quarter, can be found on page 15.

This report was approved on December 23, 2019.

Secretary of Agriculture

Designate

Robert Johansson

Agricultural Statistics Board

Acting Chairperson

Dan Kerestes

Page 3: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2018 and 2019 ......................................... 4

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2018-2020 .......................................................................... 5

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2018 and 2019 ................. 5

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 ......................................... 6

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 .............................................. 7

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2018 and 2019 ............................................... 8

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2018 and 2019 .................................................... 8

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 .................................................. 9

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 ....................................................... 9

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 ...................................... 10

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 ........................................... 10

Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

December-November 2018 and 2019 ................................................................................................................................... 11

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2018-2020 ..................... 12

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2018-2020 .................................. 12

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2018 and 2019 ........................... 13

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:

September-November 2018 and 2019 ................................................................................................................................... 13

Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 14

Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates ................................................................................................................................. 14

Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present ........................................................................................................... 15

Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 15

Page 4: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

4 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

Item 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

March 1 inventory .................................................................................... All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory ....................................................................................... All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory ............................................................................. All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory .............................................................................. All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ............................................... Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................

72,055 6,210

65,845

20,553 17,929 15,062 12,300

72,231 6,320

65,911

21,081 18,846 13,898 12,085

74,556 6,330

68,226

22,040 20,099 13,986 12,100

75,070 6,326

68,745

21,858 19,369 14,323 13,195

74,661 6,349

68,313

21,373 19,168 15,001 12,771

75,725 6,410

69,316

22,210 19,693 14,396 13,017

77,563 6,431

71,133

22,616 20,849 14,739 12,929

77,338 6,461

70,877

22,128 19,696 14,976 14,076

104 102 104

104 107 100 104

105 101 105

105 104 104 108

104 102 104

103 104 105 107

103 102 103

101 102 105 107

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2018-2020 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]

Item 2018 2019 2020 2019 as percent of 2018

2020 percent of 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent)

Sows farrowing ........................................ December-February 2 .......................... March-May 2 ........................................ December-May 1 .................................. June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November 1 ................................. Pig crop ................................................... December-February ............................. March-May ........................................... December-May 1 .................................. June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November 1 .................................

2,977 3,064 6,041

3,172 3,205 6,377

31,497 32,556 64,053

34,019 34,496 68,515

3,099 3,133 6,233

3,180 3,166 6,346

33,163 34,454 67,617

35,314 35,101 70,416

3,129 3,147 6,275

104 102 103

100 99

100

105 106 106

104 102 103

101 100 101

(number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent)

Pigs per litter ........................................... December-February ............................. March-May ........................................... December-May .................................... June-August ........................................ September-November .......................... June-November ...................................

10.58 10.63 10.60

10.72 10.76 10.74

10.70 11.00 10.85

11.11 11.09 11.10

101 103 102

104 103 103

1 May not add due to rounding. 2 Intentions for 2020.

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2018 and 2019 [December preceding year]

Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

December ........................ January ........................... February .......................... March .............................. April ................................. May ................................. June ................................ July .................................. August ............................. September ....................... October ........................... November ........................ Total ................................

1,007 997 973

1,052 999

1,013 1,075 1,045 1,052 1,103 1,057 1,045

12,418

1,041 1,037 1,022 1,075 1,027 1,032 1,083 1,054 1,042 1,087 1,053 1,026

12,579

10.61 10.50 10.63 10.56 10.55 10.77 10.62 10.65 10.90 10.62 10.86 10.82

10.68

10.75 10.66 10.69 10.56 11.17 11.28 10.86 11.18 11.29 10.92 11.13 11.21

10.97

10,689 10,462 10,345 11,112 10,535 10,909 11,421 11,130 11,467 11,719 11,478 11,299

132,569

11,189 11,053 10,921 11,344 11,468 11,642 11,763 11,786 11,766 11,871 11,729 11,502

138,033

1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.

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6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

Breeding Market Total

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Alabama ................. Alaska ..................... Arizona ................... Arkansas ................. California ................ Colorado ................. Connecticut ............. Delaware ................ Florida ..................... Georgia ................... Hawaii ..................... Idaho ....................... Illinois ...................... Indiana .................... Iowa ........................ Kansas .................... Kentucky ................. Louisiana ................ Maine ...................... Maryland ................. Massachusetts ........ Michigan ................. Minnesota ............... Mississippi .............. Missouri .................. Montana .................. Nebraska ................ Nevada ................... New Hampshire ...... New Jersey ............. New Mexico ............ New York ................ North Carolina ......... North Dakota ........... Ohio ........................ Oklahoma ............... Oregon .................... Pennsylvania .......... Rhode Island ........... South Carolina ........ South Dakota .......... Tennessee .............. Texas ...................... Utah ........................ Vermont .................. Virginia .................... Washington ............. West Virginia ........... Wisconsin ............... Wyoming ................. United States ..........

10.0 0.3

17.0 46.0 8.0

155.0 0.5 2.0 3.0

17.0

3.0 6.0

560.0 260.0

1,020.0 170.0 37.0 2.0 1.0 3.5

2.0

120.0 570.0 51.0

470.0 33.0

440.0 0.3 0.6 1.0

0.6 6.0

900.0 35.0

200.0 445.0

1.5 120.0

0.3 12.0

255.0 23.0

150.0 80.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 1.0

44.0 33.0

6,325.6

10.0 0.3

16.0 39.0 12.0

155.0 0.7 2.5 4.0

20.0

3.0 7.0

590.0 250.0

1,010.0 180.0 50.0

2.0 1.1 3.5

2.0

120.0 570.0 53.0

490.0 37.0

440.0 0.2 0.8 1.0

0.7 5.0

900.0 35.0

210.0 450.0

2.0 130.0

0.3 10.0

280.0 26.0

155.0 80.0

1.0 5.0 3.0 1.0

60.0 37.0

6,461.1

100 100 94 85

150 100 140 125 133 118

100 117 105 96 99

106 135 100 110 100

100 100 100 104 104 112 100 67

133 100

117 83

100 100 105 101 133 108 100 83

110 113 103 100 100 83

100 100 136 112

102

23.0 1.6

153.0 84.0 93.0

595.0 3.2 4.5

10.0 55.0

6.0

26.0 4,840.0 3,990.0

22,580.0 1,880.0

248.0 4.0 3.4

15.5

6.0 1,060.0 8,530.0

139.0 3,180.0

159.0 3,110.0

5.7 2.9 7.5

0.7

40.0 8,300.0

110.0 2,350.0 1,755.0

7.5 1,190.0

1.4 198.0

1,495.0

202.0 960.0 630.0

2.7 339.0 14.0 3.0

276.0 55.0

68,744.6

26.0 1.6

145.0 78.0 94.0

595.0 3.3 4.5 6.0

42.0

8.0 28.0

4,760.0 4,050.0

23,790.0 1,960.0

385.0 4.0 3.5

16.5

6.0 1,100.0 8,630.0

137.0 2,760.0

173.0 3,310.0

4.8 2.6 6.5

1.3

48.0 8,300.0

107.0 2,590.0 1,820.0

9.0 1,180.0

1.3 185.0

1,710.0

224.0 975.0 880.0

2.6 335.0 14.0 2.0

305.0 57.0

70,876.5

113 100 95 93

101 100 103 100 60 76

133 108 98

102 105 104 155 100 103 106

100 104 101 99 87

109 106 84 90 87

186 120 100 97

110 104 120 99 93 93

114 111 102 140 96 99

100 67

111 104

103

33.0 1.9

170.0 130.0 101.0 750.0

3.7 6.5

13.0 72.0

9.0

32.0 5,400.0 4,250.0

23,600.0 2,050.0

285.0 6.0 4.4

19.0

8.0 1,180.0 9,100.0

190.0 3,650.0

192.0 3,550.0

6.0 3.5 8.5

1.3

46.0 9,200.0

145.0 2,550.0 2,200.0

9.0 1,310.0

1.7 210.0

1,750.0

225.0 1,110.0

710.0 3.7

345.0 17.0 4.0

320.0 88.0

75,070.2

36.0 1.9

161.0 117.0 106.0 750.0

4.0 7.0

10.0 62.0

11.0 35.0

5,350.0 4,300.0

24,800.0 2,140.0

435.0 6.0 4.6

20.0

8.0 1,220.0 9,200.0

190.0 3,250.0

210.0 3,750.0

5.0 3.4 7.5

2.0

53.0 9,200.0

142.0 2,800.0 2,270.0

11.0 1,310.0

1.6 195.0

1,990.0

250.0 1,130.0

960.0 3.6

340.0 17.0 3.0

365.0 94.0

77,337.6

109 100 95 90

105 100 108 108 77 86

122 109 99

101 105 104 153 100 105 105

100 103 101 100 89

109 106 83 97 88

154 115 100 98

110 103 122 100 94 93

114 111 102 135 97 99

100 75

114 107

103

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Alabama ..................... Alaska ........................ Arizona ....................... Arkansas .................... California .................... Colorado ..................... Connecticut ................ Delaware .................... Florida ........................ Georgia ...................... Hawaii ........................ Idaho .......................... Illinois ......................... Indiana ....................... Iowa ............................ Kansas ....................... Kentucky ..................... Louisiana .................... Maine ......................... Maryland ..................... Massachusetts ............ Michigan ..................... Minnesota ................... Mississippi .................. Missouri ...................... Montana ..................... Nebraska .................... Nevada ....................... New Hampshire .......... New Jersey ................. New Mexico ................ New York .................... North Carolina ............ North Dakota .............. Ohio ............................ Oklahoma ................... Oregon ....................... Pennsylvania .............. Rhode Island .............. South Carolina ............ South Dakota .............. Tennessee .................. Texas ......................... Utah ............................ Vermont ...................... Virginia ....................... Washington ................ West Virginia .............. Wisconsin ................... Wyoming .................... United States ..............

13.0 0.4

55.0 63.0 25.0

270.0 1.6 3.0 3.0

29.0

2.7 14.0

1,555.0 1,035.0 5,650.0

455.0 73.0 1.0 1.1 4.0

2.5

320.0 2,880.0

117.0 1,625.0

68.0 1,065.0

1.2 0.6 2.0

0.2 7.5

3,290.0 57.0

670.0 755.0

2.0 335.0

0.4 30.0

575.0 67.0

270.0 240.0

0.8 86.0 5.0 1.0

83.0 48.0

21,858.0

15.0 0.5

49.0 63.0 26.0

275.0 1.5 3.0 3.0

27.0

3.0 16.0

1,445.0 1,070.0 5,960.0

465.0 119.0

1.0 1.4 4.5

2.0

330.0 2,780.0

116.0 1,250.0

82.0 1,160.0

0.2 0.4 1.3

0.4

11.0 3,300.0

56.0 770.0 775.0

2.5 305.0

0.3 24.0

670.0 78.0

300.0 320.0

0.7 79.0 4.0 0.5

110.0 52.0

22,128.2

2.0 0.6

30.0 13.0 22.0

125.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 9.0

1.3 4.0

1,525.0 1,225.0 7,450.0

515.0 72.0 1.0 0.8 4.0

2.0

280.0 2,510.0

8.0 575.0 34.0

805.0 1.1 0.7 2.1

0.2 8.5

1,780.0 22.0

610.0 390.0

2.0 335.0

0.5 58.0

365.0 41.0

260.0 125.0

0.7 84.0 3.0 0.5

59.0 3.0

19,369.0

2.0 0.5

32.0 8.0

22.0 125.0

0.4 0.5 1.0 5.0

2.0 5.0

1,550.0 1,110.0 7,550.0

465.0 106.0

1.0 0.8 4.0

1.4

300.0 2,580.0

6.0 500.0 34.0

825.0 1.7 0.8 1.9

0.5

10.5 1,830.0

23.0 690.0 475.0

2.5 330.0

0.4 54.0

390.0 39.0

265.0 185.0

0.7 84.0 4.0 0.5

68.0 3.0

19,696.1

3.0 0.2

33.0 5.0

22.0 85.0 0.6 0.5 2.0 8.0

1.3 3.0

910.0 820.0

5,260.0 380.0 42.0 1.0 0.8 3.5

0.8

210.0 1,830.0

6.0 510.0 28.0

610.0 1.1 0.8 1.6

0.2

12.5 1,600.0

14.0 520.0 280.0

1.5 265.0

0.2 55.0

285.0 46.0

170.0 135.0

0.5 84.0 3.0 0.5

69.0 2.0

14,322.6

5.0 0.3

32.0 3.0

24.0 95.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 6.0

2.0 4.0

925.0 880.0

5,680.0 410.0 77.0 1.0 0.7 4.0

0.8

210.0 1,800.0

5.0 520.0 27.0

640.0 1.6 0.7 1.5

0.1

12.5 1,590.0

15.0 540.0 250.0

1.5 265.0

0.2 54.0

325.0 55.0

165.0 185.0

0.6 83.0 3.0 0.5

72.0 1.0

14,975.8

5.0 0.4

35.0 3.0

24.0 115.0

0.5 0.5 2.0 9.0

0.7 5.0

850.0 910.0

4,220.0 530.0 61.0 1.0 0.7 4.0

0.7

250.0 1,310.0

8.0 470.0 29.0

630.0 2.3 0.8 1.8

0.1

11.5 1,630.0

17.0 550.0 330.0

2.0 255.0

0.3 55.0

270.0 48.0

260.0 130.0

0.7 85.0 3.0 1.0

65.0 2.0

13,195.0

4.0 0.3

32.0 4.0

22.0 100.0

1.1 0.5 1.0 4.0

1.0 3.0

840.0 990.0

4,600.0 620.0 83.0 1.0 0.6 4.0

1.8

260.0 1,470.0

10.0 490.0 30.0

685.0 1.3 0.7 1.8

0.3

14.0 1,580.0

13.0 590.0 320.0

2.5 280.0

0.4 53.0

325.0 52.0

245.0 190.0

0.6 89.0 3.0 0.5

55.0 1.0

14,076.4

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8 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 550 260

1,020 160 120 570 455 420 900

190 445 110 235 145 75

400

6,210

155 560 260

1,030 170 120 580 470 450 900

190 450 120 245 150 80

419

6,349

100 102 100 101 106 100 102 103 107 100

100 101 109 104 103 107

105

102

615 4,700 3,790

21,480 1,890 1,080 7,830 2,995 3,030 8,000

2,460 1,715 1,080 1,425

955 420

2,380

65,845

645 4,690 3,940

22,670 1,880 1,110 8,220 3,080 3,150 8,100

2,460 1,720 1,150 1,595

940 670

2,293

68,313

105 100 104 106 99

103 105 103 104 101

100 100 106 112 98

160

96

104

770 5,250 4,050

22,500 2,050 1,200 8,400 3,450 3,450 8,900

2,650 2,160 1,190 1,660 1,100

495

2,780

72,055

800 5,250 4,200

23,700 2,050 1,230 8,800 3,550 3,600 9,000

2,650 2,170 1,270 1,840 1,090

750

2,711

74,661

104 100 104 105 100 103 105 103 104 101

100 100 107 111 99

152

98

104

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2018 and 2019 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

280 1,415

955 5,415

395 320

2,555 1,410 1,040 3,240

680 730 280 510 260 155

913

20,553

290 1,415 1,040 5,510

480 330

2,590 1,555 1,060 3,190

720 800 315 590 275 295

918

21,373

115 1,465 1,130 6,595

540 265

2,285 575 775

1,720

610 330 295 370 260 80

519

17,929

135 1,555 1,100 7,510

440 300

2,400 560 880

1,700

640 360 325 390 260 120

493

19,168

105 980 880

5,510 410 245

1,840 560 670

1,710

600 260 270 280 185 95

462

15,062

105 1,000

920 5,630

395 225

1,890 505 690

1,590

520 210 245 320 180 130

446

15,001

115 840 825

3,960 545 250

1,150 450 545

1,330

570 395 235 265 250 90

485

12,300

115 720 880

4,020 565 255

1,340 460 520

1,620

580 350 265 295 225 125

436

12,771

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 9: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 570 250

1,040 165 120 580 460 430 910

190 460 120 240 145 80

405

6,320

160 590 260

1,000 175 120 570 480 460 900

200 445 120 265 155 80

430

6,410

103 104 104 96

106 100 98

104 107 99

105 97

100 110 107 100

106

101

605 4,730 3,700

21,460 1,865 1,070 7,820 3,040 3,070 7,990

2,460 1,690 1,170 1,440

995 450

2,356

65,911

620 4,760 4,040

22,900 1,845 1,130 8,230 3,170 3,290 8,300

2,550 1,715 1,100 1,605

935 750

2,376

69,316

102 101 109 107 99

106 105 104 107 104

104 101 94

111 94

167

101

105

760 5,300 3,950

22,500 2,030 1,190 8,400 3,500 3,500 8,900

2,650 2,150 1,290 1,680 1,140

530

2,761

72,231

780 5,350 4,300

23,900 2,020 1,250 8,800 3,650 3,750 9,200

2,750 2,160 1,220 1,870 1,090

830

2,805

75,725

103 101 109 106 100 105 105 104 107 103

104 100 95

111 96

157

102

105

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................

290 1,525

935 5,510

410 300

2,560 1,500 1,050 3,360

670 785 310 510 300 175

891

21,081

295 1,465 1,090 5,920

460 320

2,630 1,590 1,135 3,370

730 800 305 580 285 325

910

22,210

120 1,435 1,150 7,030

515 290

2,380 590 840

1,840

630 400 355 380 275 90

526

18,846

130 1,530 1,180 7,520

490 320

2,590 530 875

1,830

660 365 345 430 235 150

513

19,693

95 930 780

5,200 375 220

1,760 475 600

1,440

580 215 250 270 165 90

453

13,898

100 945 840

5,430 385 230

1,730 525 630

1,500

590 220 235 290 145 140

461

14,396

100 840 835

3,720 565 260

1,120 475 580

1,350

580 290 255 280 255 95

485

12,085

95 820 930

4,030 510 260

1,280 525 650

1,600

570 330 215 305 270 135

492

13,017

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 10: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

10 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Breeding Market Total

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............

155 570 250

1,040 170 120 580 465 430 910

190 460 120 245 145 80

400

6,330

160 590 250

1,010 175 120 580 490 450 900

200 460 120 265 155 80

426

6,431

103 104 100 97

103 100 100 105 105 99

105 100 100 108 107 100

106

102

625 4,880 3,950

22,460 1,860 1,100 7,920 3,285 3,020 8,390

2,360 1,820 1,190 1,475

985 525

2,381

68,226

620 4,710 4,050

23,790 1,905 1,110 8,420 3,110 3,300 8,600

2,550 1,780 1,130 1,725 1,035

880

2,418

71,133

99 97

103 106 102 101 106 95

109 103

108 98 95

117 105 168

102

104

780 5,450 4,200

23,500 2,030 1,220 8,500 3,750 3,450 9,300

2,550 2,280 1,310 1,720 1,130

605

2,781

74,556

780 5,300 4,300

24,800 2,080 1,230 9,000 3,600 3,750 9,500

2,750 2,240 1,250 1,990 1,190

960

2,843

77,563

100 97

102 106 102 101 106 96

109 102

108 98 95

116 105 159

102

104

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]

State

Under 50 pounds

50-119 pounds

120-179 pounds

180 pounds and over

2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................

305 1,570

990 5,875

445 330

2,695 1,605 1,010 3,450

650 845 325 520 310 220

895

22,040

295 1,390 1,040 6,210

480 300

2,830 1,480 1,140 3,360

730 795 305 645 335 355

926

22,616

150 1,580 1,240 7,675

530 290

2,455 640 865

2,000

640 385 340 405 275 105

524

20,099

120 1,570 1,200 7,930

500 300

2,750 590 890

2,120

690 455 325 440 280 175

514

20,849

95 890 870

5,210 385 220

1,700 530 570

1,520

500 230 270 275 150 105

466

13,986

100 900 860

5,550 380 230

1,730 545 670

1,580

540 230 270 310 190 175

479

14,739

75 840 850

3,700 500 260

1,070 510 575

1,420

570 360 255 275 250 95

495

12,100

105 850 950

4,100 545 280

1,110 495 600

1,540

590 300 230 330 230 175

499

12,929

1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 11: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-November 2018 and 2019 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Alabama .......................... Alaska ............................. Arizona ............................ Arkansas ......................... California ......................... Colorado .......................... Connecticut ..................... Delaware ......................... Florida ............................. Georgia ........................... Hawaii ............................. Idaho ............................... Illinois .............................. Indiana ............................ Iowa ................................. Kansas ............................ Kentucky .......................... Louisiana ......................... Maine .............................. Maryland .......................... Massachusetts ................. Michigan .......................... Minnesota ........................ Mississippi ....................... Missouri ........................... Montana .......................... Nebraska ......................... Nevada ............................ New Hampshire ............... New Jersey ...................... New Mexico ..................... New York ......................... North Carolina ................. North Dakota ................... Ohio ................................. Oklahoma ........................ Oregon ............................ Pennsylvania ................... Rhode Island ................... South Carolina ................. South Dakota ................... Tennessee ....................... Texas .............................. Utah ................................. Vermont ........................... Virginia ............................ Washington ..................... West Virginia ................... Wisconsin ........................ Wyoming ......................... United States ...................

17.50 0.28

30.00 101.00 10.00

301.00 0.40 2.90 4.00

39.50

1.20 9.00

1,074.00 495.00

2,225.00 327.00 89.00 0.80 0.90 4.00

2.10

216.00 1,205.00

58.00 970.00 53.00

750.00 0.40 0.50 0.80

0.40 6.00

1,860.00 73.50

367.00 820.00

1.70 201.00

0.40 18.50

467.00 48.00

254.00 146.00

1.00 7.60 3.50 0.80

81.00 72.50

12,418.20

16.00 0.35

30.50 93.00 12.50

310.00 0.60 4.00 4.00

36.00

5.00 9.90

1,100.00 480.00

2,130.00 349.00 99.00 0.40 0.90 3.70

1.60

218.00 1,180.00

89.00 987.00 64.00

765.00 0.40 0.60 0.80

0.40 5.20

1,855.00 73.00

387.00 855.00

1.30 213.00

0.40 18.50

502.00 54.50

271.00 168.00

0.80 6.70 3.20 0.70

99.00 72.50

12,578.50

91 125 102 92

125 103 150 138 100 91

417 110 102 97 96

107 111 50

100 93

76

101 98

153 102 121 102 100 120 100

100 87

100 99

105 104 76

106 100 100

107 114 107 115 80 88 91 88

122 100

101

10.11 7.86

10.07 10.60 6.60 9.60 8.25

11.03 6.00 9.85

3.17 8.78

10.65 10.47 11.13 10.55 9.88 7.00 6.67

10.00

7.62 10.73 11.24 10.45 10.36 10.96 11.44 5.75 8.00 6.25

7.75 9.33

10.12 11.12 10.82 10.64 8.24

10.71 5.75 8.27

11.48 9.96

10.06 9.14 6.80 9.61 8.29 7.63

10.42 9.27

10.68

11.06 8.00 9.77

10.94 4.72

10.30 8.17

10.00 6.25 9.86

1.26 8.79

10.83 10.59 11.34 10.74 9.80 7.25 5.56

10.00

8.13 10.96 11.81 11.47 10.85 10.92 11.60 6.25 8.00 7.00

8.50 9.04

10.37 10.99 11.16 10.74 7.69

11.09 7.25 8.54

11.91 10.29 10.51 10.62 6.75

10.00 8.13 7.71

10.96 10.01

10.97

177.00 2.20

302.00 1,071.00

66.00 2,889.00

3.30 32.00 24.00

389.00

3.80 79.00

11,439.00 5,183.00

24,759.00 3,449.00

879.00 5.60 6.00

40.00

16.00 2,317.00

13,543.00 606.00

10,049.00 581.00

8,577.00 2.30 4.00 5.00

3.10

56.00 18,819.00

817.00 3,970.00 8,724.00

14.00 2,152.00

2.30 153.00

5,360.00

478.00 2,556.00 1,334.00

6.80 73.00 29.00 6.10

844.00 672.00

132,568.50

177.00 2.80

298.00 1,017.00

59.00 3,194.00

4.90 40.00 25.00

355.00

6.30 87.00

11,909.00 5,084.00

24,150.00 3,748.00

970.00 2.90 5.00

37.00

13.00 2,389.00

13,938.00 1,021.00

10,712.00 699.00

8,874.00 2.50 4.80 5.60

3.40

47.00 19,228.00

802.00 4,318.00 9,182.00

10.00 2,363.00

2.90 158.00

5,981.00

561.00 2,847.00 1,784.00

5.40 67.00 26.00 5.40

1,085.00 726.00

138,032.90

100 127 99 95 89

111 148 125 104 91

166 110 104 98 98

109 110 52 83 93

81

103 103 168 107 120 103 109 120 112

110 84

102 98

109 105 71

110 126 103

112 117 111 134 79 92 90 89

129 108

104

Page 12: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

12 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2018-2020 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2018 2019 2020 2 2020 as percent of 2019

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

72 254 130 530 79 53

290 220 180 445

91

200 48

113 55 36

181

2,977

78 270 125 530 86 56

300 245 185 455

93

205 55

119 66 40

191

3,099

75 270 120 520 89 58

280 245 190 460

105 205 57

135 70 42

208

3,129

96 100 96 98

103 104 93

100 103 101

113 100 104 113 106 105

109

101

9.70 10.60 10.45 11.00 10.20 10.70 11.20 10.15 11.70 9.90

10.80 10.60 10.60 11.45 9.90 7.70

10.06

10.58

9.20 10.65 10.20 11.20 10.60 10.90 11.60 10.55 11.55 9.90

10.70 10.65 10.80 11.85 10.20 9.20

9.96

10.70

698 2,692 1,359 5,830

806 567

3,248 2,233 2,106 4,406

983

2,120 509

1,294 545 277

1,824

31,497

718 2,876 1,275 5,936

912 610

3,480 2,585 2,137 4,505

995

2,183 594

1,410 673 368

1,906

33,163

103 107 94

102 113 108 107 116 101 102

101 103 117 109 123 133

104

105

1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2018-2020 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2018 2019 2020 2 2020 as percent of 2019

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............

75 275 110 550 76 52

305 240 190 455

88

205 50

110 64 34

185

3,064

78 275 120 530 86 54

295 242 200 460

98

215 54

123 66 43

194

3,133

75 260 120 520 91 53

270 260 190 470

101 210 56

135 70 44

222

3,147

96 95

100 98

106 98 92

107 95

102

103 98

104 110 106 102

114

100

9.60 10.70 10.30 11.10 10.10 10.90 11.20 10.20 11.30 10.10

11.00 10.70 10.50 11.70 9.80 7.60

10.04

10.63

10.70 10.75 10.70 11.45 10.70 11.00 11.85 10.65 11.50 10.50

11.20 10.55 11.10 11.95 10.50 10.70

10.28

11.00

720 2,943 1,133 6,105

768 567

3,416 2,448 2,147 4,596

968

2,194 525

1,287 627 258

1,854

32,556

835 2,956 1,284 6,069

920 594

3,496 2,577 2,300 4,830

1,098 2,268

599 1,470

693 460

2,005

34,454

116 100 113 99

120 105 102 105 107 105

113 103 114 114 111 178

108

106

1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 13: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 2 ................ United States .................

79 265 125 575 87 57

300 255 185 485

89

210 51

117 68 39

185

3,172

78 280 115 540 87 53

290 250 190 480

97

220 50

126 70 44

210

3,180

99 106 92 94

100 93 97 98

103 99

109 105 98

108 103 113

113

100

9.50 10.65 10.50 11.20 10.90 10.80 11.15 10.45 11.30 10.30

10.90 10.65 10.70 11.10 10.10 11.00

10.05

10.72

10.70 10.95 11.00 11.35 10.90 11.10 11.95 11.10 11.65 10.50

11.30 10.90 11.30 11.85 10.90 11.00

10.41

11.11

751 2,822 1,313 6,440

948 616

3,345 2,665 2,091 4,996

970

2,237 546

1,299 687 429

1,864

34,019

835 3,066 1,265 6,129

948 588

3,466 2,775 2,214 5,040

1,096 2,398

565 1,493

763 484

2,189

35,314

111 109 96 95

100 95

104 104 106 101

113 107 103 115 111 113

117

104

1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2018 and 2019 [May not add due to rounding]

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1

2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

2018 2019 2018 2019 2019 as percent of 2018

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)

Colorado ....................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa .............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ....................... Minnesota ..................... Missouri ........................ Nebraska ...................... North Carolina .............. Ohio .............................. Oklahoma ..................... Pennsylvania ................ South Dakota ................ Texas ........................... Utah .............................. Other States 2 ............... United States ................

75 280 130 570 85 54

310 255 195 475

99

205 52

127 67 37

189

3,205

76 275 120 530 90 55

295 250 190 460

99

215 54

134 69 41

213

3,166

101 98 92 93

106 102 95 98 97 97

100 105 104 106 103 111

113

99

9.60 10.65 10.60 11.20 10.90 10.50 11.40 10.60 11.45 10.15

10.60 10.60 11.00 11.65 10.40 10.00

10.15

10.76

10.60 10.95 10.50 11.35 10.75 10.85 11.85 11.10 11.70 10.55

11.40 10.85 11.20 12.00 10.40 11.50

10.48

11.09

720 2,982 1,378 6,384

927 567

3,534 2,703 2,233 4,821

1,049 2,173

572 1,480

697 370

1,906

34,496

806 3,011 1,260 6,016

968 597

3,496 2,775 2,223 4,853

1,129 2,333

605 1,608

718 472

2,231

35,101

112 101 91 94

104 105 99

103 100 101

108 107 106 109 103 128

117

102

1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Page 14: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

14 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Statistical Methodology

Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 6,700 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these

estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the

survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December 2019, data

were collected from about 4,700 operations, 70.7 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by

electronic data reporting, mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded,

they were asked to report inventories as of December 1, 2019.

Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing

recommendations and analysis submitted by each regional field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for

reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with

the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,

and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for

reasonableness.

Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the

previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of

the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.

Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are

available. No revisions will be made after that date.

Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling

variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in

reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized

through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for

consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for

selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance

and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory

estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be

above or below the current estimate of 77.3 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the

difference will not exceed 1.8 percent.

Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous 20 quarters]

Item Root mean

square error

90 percent confidence

level

Difference between first and latest estimate

Average Smallest Largest Quarters

Below latest Above latest

(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)

All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop ......................................... Expected farrowings Second intentions ...................... First intentions ............................

1.1

1.7

2.2

2.4

1.8

3.0

3.8

4.1

603

420

49

57

60

8

1

7

1,576

1,158

133

149

11

13

15

14

9

7

5

6

Page 15: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December 2019) 15 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present [This table provides data users with record high estimates of all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop, and pigs per litter since each data series began]

Item Estimate Record high Series began

(1,000 head) (year) (year)

All hogs and pigs March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Market March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Pig crop December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................

74,661 75,725 77,563 83,741

68,313 69,316 71,133 70,877

33,163 34,454 35,314 35,101

2019 2019 2019 1943

2019 2019 2019 2019

2019 2019 2019 2019

1988 1964 1988 1866

1988 1964 1988 1963

1970 1970 1970 1970

(number) (year) (year)

Pigs per litter December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................

10.70 11.00 11.11 11.09

2019 2019 2019 2019

1970 1970 1970 1970

1 December preceding year.

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to

contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected].

Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ......................................................................................................... (202) 692-0069

Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........................................................................................................... (202) 690-2424

Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (202) 690-8632

Holly Brenize – Sheep and Goats ............................................................................................................. (202) 720-0585

Donnie Fike – Dairy Products .................................................................................................................. (202) 720-4448

Heidi Lanouette – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ................................................................................................. (202) 720-3040

Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278

Seth Riggins – Hogs and Pigs .................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106

Page 16: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

Access to NASS Reports

For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:

All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov

Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free

subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on “National” or “State” in upper right corner above “search”

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Cornell’s Mann Library has launched a new website housing NASS’s and other agency’s archived reports. The

new website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. All email subscriptions containing reports will be sent from the new

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new website, create a new account and re-subscribe to the reports. If you need instructions to set up an account or

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esmis.library.cornell.edu in your email client to avoid the emails going into spam/junk folders.

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,

7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for

employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where

applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's

income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program

or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or

employment activities.)

If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination

Complaint Form (PDF), found online at www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customer, or

at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the

information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of

Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax

(202) 690-7442 or email at [email protected].

Page 17: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 12/23/2019The September-November 2019 pig crop, at 35.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2018. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.17 million head,

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