QT- FINAL PRESENTATION

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    - GROUP NO. 4

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    Introduction

    Since ancient times selling gold has always been

    a major player in the trade market. It was a

    precious material that captivated the eyes of allwho came in contact with it such as the European

    settlers as they came to the Americas. This desire

    for gold has remained the same up until today.

    As such, the price of gold have constantlyfluctuated depending on a host of circumstances

    revolving around the acquiring and selling of the

    product.

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    Factors Affecting Rate of Gold

    Presented by:

    Pooja Chandnani

    Roll no. 20

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    The Major factorsthataffectthe price

    ofgoldare:

    Changes in exchange rate

    World political situation

    Supply and demand

    The global economic situation

    Interest rateGrowth in Demand for Jewelry

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    Goldand US Dollar Relationship

    The relationship between the dollar and gold is tied tothe concept of tangible assets vs. financial assets. To

    put it simply, gold has real value, while the dollar is a

    representation of real value.

    In the 1950s and 1960s, the increasing supply of U.S.dollars along with capital outflows ,aimed at Europes

    postwar recovery, put downward pressure on the

    dollar.

    Eventually, a series of dollar devaluations in the early

    1970s ended the Bretton Woods system, allowing the

    dollar to be freely traded and freely sold, beginning

    the long drawn-out period of the falling dollar.

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    AnInverse Relationship

    The inverse relationship between gold and US dollar is the most

    well-known relationship in currency markets .

    The US $ gold price and the Dollar Index generally trend in

    opposite directions.This reciprocal relationship between gold and the dollar is

    often not evident on a daily or weekly basis, but is almost

    always evident during periods of 12 months or longer.

    This relation occurs because gold is typically used as a hedge

    against inflation through its intrinsic metal value. As the dollarsexchange value decreases, it takes more dollars to buy gold,

    increasing the value of gold.

    Gold is no longer money in the true meaning of the word, but it

    tends to trade as if it were.

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    As a result, when the dollar weakens on the foreign exchange

    market over an extended period ,then the US $ gold price will

    generally rise during the same period; and when the dollar

    strengthens over many months the US $ gold price will usually

    fall. Most of the time gold responds to trends in the dollar's

    foreign exchange value, but there are also times when it responds

    to changes in the general level of confidence in paper money

    regardless of whether the US $ happens to be a relatively weak or

    a relatively strong currency.There have been noticed exceptions to this inverse relationship of

    gold and US dollar between April and December 2005.

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    -DIVYA G JOSHI

    ROLL NO. 49

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    GLOBAL DEMAND

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    JEWELLERY DEMAND

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    INDUSTRIAL & DENTAL DEMAND

    Itisadesirable metal for many electronic

    components.

    Goldhasacharacteristicreferredtoas bio-

    compatibility whichopensup severalavenues for

    goldinhealthapplicationsincludingthose for

    arthritisandcancertreatments.

    Goldisalsodemandedinth

    e fieldsofnanotechnology,space, engineeringand

    architecture.

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    INVESTMENT DEMAND

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    GOLD DEMAND STATISTICS OF

    INDIA

    H1 (Jan- June 2009) H1 (Jan- June 2010) % Growth

    Tonnes INR (Crores) Tonnes INR (Crores) Volume Value

    Jewellery 163 23,600 272.5 45,700 67% 94%

    Investment 25.4 3,700 92.5 14,800 264% 300%

    Total 188.4 27,300 365 60,500 94% 122%

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    FUTURE TRENDS

    Strongdemand forjewelleryin Asian

    markets

    A revivalinthe use ofgoldbythe industrialsector

    Robustinvestmentdemandasaresultof

    concernover quantitative easing,currency

    conflictandinflation fears

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    DIFFERENT RATES OF

    GOLD IN INDIA

    - JINAL DHRUVROLL NO.35

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    CITY 22K 24K

    DELHI 1849.00 2040.00

    MUMBAI 1843.00 1994.50

    CHENNAI 1870.00 2008.50

    KOLKATA 1856.00 2032.50

    PRICES OF GOLD IN DIFFERENTCITIES

    OFINDIA

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    1700

    1750

    1800

    1850

    1900

    1950

    2000

    2050

    22k 24k

    Delhi

    Mumbai

    Chennai

    Kolkata

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    Highestandlowestgold price inlast30

    days (inrupees)

    CARAT HIGHEST

    PRICE

    LOWEST

    PRICE

    DIFFERENCE

    24K 2074.00 1977.00 4.91

    22K 1929.00 1839.00 4.89

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    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    Highest

    price

    Lowest

    price

    Difference

    24k22k

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    Pricesofgoldinlast60 days (inrupees)

    CARAT HIGHEST

    PRICE

    LOWEST

    PRICE

    DIFFERENCE

    24K 2080.00 1977.00 5.21

    22K 1934.00 1839.00 5.17

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    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    Highest price Lowest price Difference

    24k

    22k

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    CARAT HIGHEST

    PRICE

    LOWEST

    PRICE

    DIFFEREN

    CE

    24K 2080.00 1970.00 5.58

    22K 1934.00 1832.00 5.57

    PRICES OF GOLD IN LAST 90 DAYS

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    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    Highest priceLowest price Difference

    24k

    22k

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    A CASE STUDY

    - SONIYA DHANWANI

    ROLL NO. 34

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    The followingsurveywasconductedat

    C.H.JEWELLERS,

    BARODA.

    The following information was obtained :

    The rates of gold from past 35 years .

    Gold rate of every year from 1975 to 2010.

    Percentage growth in gold rates in every year

    from 1975 to 2010.

    Percentage growth in gold rates in every 5

    years.

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    YEAR RUPEES 10GM

    1975 540

    1976 532

    1977 576

    1978 685

    1979 937

    1980 1330

    1981 1700

    1982 1645

    1983 1800

    1984 1970

    1985 2130

    1986 2140

    1987 2570

    1988 3130

    1989 3140

    1990 3200

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    1991 3466

    1992 4334

    1993 4140

    1994 4598

    1995 4680

    1996 5160

    1997 4725

    1998 4045

    1999 4235

    2000 4400

    2001 4300

    2002 4990

    2003 5600

    2004 5850

    2005 7000

    2006 8400

    2007 10800

    2008 12500

    2009 15185

    2010 16350

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    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    18000

    1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

    RUPEES 10GM

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    YEAR

    PERCENTAGE GROWTH IN - 1

    YEAR

    1975

    1976

    1977 8.27%

    1978 18.92%

    1979 36.78%

    1980 41.94%

    1981 27.80%

    1982 3.24%

    1983 9.42%

    1984 9.44%

    1985 8.12%

    1986 0.46%

    1987 20.09%

    1988 21.78%

    1989 0.31%

    1990 1.90%

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    1991 8.31%

    1992 25.04%

    1993 4.48%

    1994 11.06%

    1995 1.78%

    1996 10.25%

    1997 8.44%

    1998 14.40%

    1999 4.69%

    2000 3.89%

    2001 2.28%

    2002 16.04%

    2003 12.22%

    2004 4.46%

    2005 19.65%

    2006 20.00%

    2007 28.57%

    2008 15.74%

    2009 21.48%

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    -0.05

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0.15

    0.2

    0.25

    0.3

    0.35

    0.4

    0.45

    1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

    PERCENTAGEGROWTH IN - 1 YEAR

    PERCENTAGE

    GROWTH IN - 1

    YEAR

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    YEA

    R GROWTH IN - 5 YEAR

    1980 146%

    1985 60.15%

    1990 50.23%

    1995 46.25%

    2000 5.99%

    2005 59.09%

    2010 133.57%

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    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

    GROWTH IN - 5 YEAR

    GROWTH IN - 5

    YEAR

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    FINAL SURVEY ANALYSIS :

    By the interpretation of the tables and graphs, weconclude that there is a huge and drastic increasein gold rates from year 1975 to 2010.

    The gold rates on a huge extent had only increasein their rates except on years1976, 1982, 1993, 1998 respectively and that toalso with a very little sum amount.

    The highest percentage increase in the gold rateswas in the year 1980 (41.94%) and the lowest was

    in the year 1989 (0.31%).

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    The 5 year gold rate growth was maximum inthe year 1980 (146%) , it gradually decreased

    and then increased at a huge pace in the year

    2010(133.57%).

    Hence through the following data analysis , we

    conclude that there is increase in the rates of

    gold with every advancing year.

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    THANK YOU