QSA Workshop on Environment Statistics Concepts and Frameworks 24 September 2012 Tracking Progress...
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Transcript of QSA Workshop on Environment Statistics Concepts and Frameworks 24 September 2012 Tracking Progress...
QSA Workshop on Environment Statistics Concepts and Frameworks
24 September 2012
Tracking Progress Towards QNV 2030 Development Goals
Environment Targets and Related Monitorable Indicators
Presented byNoura Essa Abdullah and Sharon Ng
Department of Social Development, GSDP
Presentation Themes
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2
3
4
5
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Context
Qatar National Vision 2030, National Development Strategy 2011-2016 and Sustainable Development
Environment Points of Stress
NDS Environmental Management Outcomes
Monitoring NDS Projects, Sector Outcomes and QNV Goals
Conclusion
Rapid economic growth averaging 16.2% in real terms between 2004-2010
– Qatar now highest per capita globally propelled by growth of its hydrocarbon industry, especially liquified natural gas
Very rapidly growing population 1.7m in 2011 compared with 0.7m in 2004
– Includes large, growing and culturally diverse expatriate population
High human development with HDI ranked 37th in world in 2011 compared with 57th a decade earlier
– Leading country in terms of GNI per capita
– Health and education dimensions of HDI below those of average of highest human development countries
Qatar – A Dynamic Arab Islamic Gulf StateRapidly rising prosperity and high human development
Qatar - one of 6 Gulf Cooperation Council States….. ….with an increasing global presence
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Qatar’s GDP and Population Grew Unsustainably Between 2000 and 2010
Called for planned growth with balance
Exceptionally rapid rise in population, averaging 15% a year between 2004-2008 when economic growth was at its peak, called for substantial planning as well as infrastructure and social services
Qatar’s growing urban population, rising per capita income and rapid economic growth affecting the environment
Need for Sustainable Development and Environmental Management
To meet this challenge
Qatar establishing comprehensive environmental management system that aligns national growth and prosperity to realities of environmental constraints, supported by increasing capacity and sustainable
technologies
Increasing percapita Income
Rapid population
growth
Environmental impact per $ of
income
Increasingimpact on
Qatar’senvironment
Qatar National Vision 2030Sustainable development, intergenerational equity,
an underlying and cross-cutting principle
QNV 2030 is built on four inter-related development pillars that envisage that development will be carried out with responsibility and respect, balancing the needs of economic growth and social development with environmental protection
QNV 2030 beginning to transform Qatar into an advanced country, capable of sustaining its own development and providing a high standard of living for all
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Qatar National Vision 2030
Humandevelopment
Develop all people
to enable themto sustain aprosperous
society
Socialdevelopment
Develop just and
caring society with
high moralstandards
and active role in global
development
Economicdevelopment
Develop competitivediversified economy to secure prosperity
for all inpresent and
future
Environmentaldevelopment
Ensure harmony between
economic growth,social
developmentand
environment
Sustainable Development
Institutional Development and Modernisation
Priority AreasPriority Areas
Water Management
Pollution and Waste
Energy and Climate
Biodiversity
Lack of integrated water management system− High water consumption and increasing demand− Rising water table in Doha that raises construction costs and threatens marine
life
Poor air quality as a result of high levels of particulate matter which impact on respiratory illnesses
Large quantities of solid waste generated by high income households, construction and industry
Flaring intensity and high carbon dioxide emissions contributing to greenhouse gases
Qatar vulnerable to rising sea levels as a small coastal country
Environmental Points of StressEnvironmental Points of Stress
Sustaining the Environment for Future GenerationsAddressing environmental points of stress
Threats to biodiversity with species vulnerable to extinction− Lack of comprehensive biodiversity database limits effective policy− Protected areas lack effective management plan and public awareness of
biodiversity issues low
Environmental ChallengesEnvironmental Challenges
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10 Projects 14 Targets to be Achieved by 2016 7 Outcomes
NDS Environmental Management Outcomes Priority projects with related targets
Cleaner Water and
Sustainable Use
Enact a comprehensive National Water Act establishing an integrated system of quality requirements, discharge controls and incentives for conservation
Monitor groundwater, conserve freshwater aquifers where possible and eliminate excess water in Doha’s water table
Cleaner Airand
Effective Climate Change
Reponses
Eliminate instances of excess ozone levels through improved air quality management
Halve gas flaring to 0.0115 billion cubic metres per million tonnes of energy produced from 2008 level of 0.0230 billion cubic metres per million tonnes of energy produced
Reduced Waste, More Recycling
and More Efficient
Use
Establish a solid waste management plan, strongly emphasizing recycling
Recycle 38% of solid waste, up from the current 8%
Contain domestic waste generation at 1.6 kilogrammes per capita per day
National Water Act
Urban water table management plan
Improve air quality Management
Reduction of gas flaring and venting
Establishing a solid waste
management plan
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Create a searchable electronic information source at the Ministry of Environment
Lead one regional environment effort, and launch two environmental projects involving private sector participation
NDS Environmental Management Outcomes (Cont)
Creating a National
Biodiversity Database
Functional Green Spaces
Environmental Information
Database
Strategic Partnerships
Nature and Natural Heritage
Conserved, Protectedand Sustainably
Managed
Sustainable Urbanization
and Healthier LivingEnvironment
An Increasingly Environmentally
Aware Population
Improved Governance and
Cooperation
Establish a comprehensive electronic biodiversity database
Expand actively managed protected areas
Establish three shady greenspace corridors in Doha and monitor their effect on urban air quality and health
Build an environmentally aware society Appoint a well known national champion for the
environment to raise awareness and commitment through demonstration projects and conversation partnerships
Environmental Awareness
10 Projects 14 Targets to be Achieved by 2016 7 Outcomes
Monitoring NDS Projects, Sector Outcomes and QNV Goals
Monitoring highlevel goals
Project inputs
Have we achieved QNV development goals
Monitoring achievements
Project activities
Have the project deliverables contributed to the stated
outcomes
Monitoringdeliverables
Project outputsQuantitative and qualitative
indicators
Have the tasks we have implemented led to the desired
results(eg legal, policy, regulation changes, awareness campaigns )
Monitoring tasks
NDS sector outcomesQuantitative and qualitative
indicators
What tasks we are going to do
through projects (eg drafting legislation, policy, regulations, organising
campaigns)
Monitoring input investments
QNV 2030 goalsQuantitative and qualitative
indicators
What resources we are
investing in projects (eg financial, human, enabling environment)
QN
V
Pil
lars
ND
S P
roje
cts
ND
S
Sec
tors
Level of monitoringLevel of monitoring What we will be learningWhat we will be learningWhat are we monitoring?What are we monitoring?
Im
ple
men
tati
on
Plan
ning5
MoEF and Ministries and Agencies
Project inputs
• To measure gap between reality and development vision
Ministries and AgenciesProject activities
• To determine extent to which projects have contributed towards achieving desired development outcomes, to learn lessons and to support future planning
GSDP andMinistries and Agencies
Project outputs
• To determine extent to which deliverable have been met, to assess project effectiveness and take corrective measures
GSDPNDS Sectoral Outcomes
• To determine extent to which activities have been completed (rate of project implementation), to learn lessons and to adjust project activities through corrective measures
GSDPQNV 2030 Goals
• To monitor resource effectiveness
Why are we monitoring?Why are we monitoring?Who will monitor and what will they monitor?
Expected ResultsWho will monitor and what will they monitor?
Expected Results
Effe
ctiv
e N
atio
nal P
lan
ning
: M
anag
ing
for
Res
ults
Hig
her
Leve
l D
evel
opm
ent
Res
ults
Who Monitors What and WhyTransparency and Accountability
Tracking Progress in Achieving NDS Results – Illustrative Example
Budgets, human resources
• CEDAW and CRC ratified and complied with
• Procure services • Collect and review data• Drafting legislation • Training programme• Create hotline• etc, etc
• Number of reported cases of domestic violence reduced
• Increase in % of women who feel that domestic violence has decreased
O1. Comprehensive domestic violence prevention, protection and support system established
O2. An early child neglect and abuse detection mechanism established
• Increased awareness of harmful effects of domestic violence
• New policy and legislation on child abuse implemented
Reduced family violence
Develop a sound social structure with effective public institutions and active
civil society organisations
• Budget allocated and spent for each activity
Results chainResults chainIndicators of progress(Baselines and targets)
Indicators of progress(Baselines and targets)
What results are we aiming to achieve?
What results are we aiming to achieve?
QNV Goal
NDS Outcome
Outputs(Deliverables)
Activities(Tasks)
Inputs
Towards a NDS Monitoring FrameworkMeasuring For Results
Indicator frameworks at different levels, including baselines and targets (process, outcome and goal indicators), methods of collection, sources of data,
level of detail, frequency of collection, assumptions and risks need to be factored
Template(s) to collect monitoring information along with reporting matrices of monitorable indicators
(piloted and validated)
E-monitoring system for data storage, analysis and reporting with defined accessibility with flexibility to
modify according to evolving needs
(Institutional and participatory dimensions need also to be factored in measuring for results)
A Guiding Principle
When it comes to indicator selection less is more
... and be SMART
Measurable Will indicator show desired change/results?
Specific Does indicator capture essence of desired result?
Relevant Is it applicable to intended development result ?
Achievable Are desired changes/results realistic?
Trackable Are data available or collectable at reasonable cost?
Environmental Development Pillar
A Balance Between Development Needs and Protecting the Environment
NDS Sector Outcome 1: Preserving and protecting the environment, including air, land, water and biological diversity
Target 1: Cleaner air through improved air quality management to meet WHO Air Quality Guideline levels (AQ 2005).
Air quality – ambient concentration of air pollutants in urban areas: (i) carbon monoxide, (ii) nitrogen dioxide, (iii) sulfur dioxide and (iv) ozone.
Target 2: More sustainable land use and healthier living environments by maintaining sustainable growth of urban land comparative with top 10 OECD countries.
Land cover and land use rates of change
Target 3: Cleaner water and sustainable use to meet the Environmental Protection Agency human health benchmarks for coastal water quality or Cleaner water and sustainable use by reducing water consumption to the average per capita consumption of OECD countries
Quality of coastal waters in Qatar: (i) salinity, (ii) temperature, (iii) dissolved oxygen, (iv) biochemical oxygen demand and (v) chemical oxygen demand.
Water abstraction per capita
Target 4: Nature and natural heritage conserved, protected and sustainably managed by achieving 30% of total land and sea area as protected areas .
Area of selected key ecosystems protected as a percentage of total area (land and marine)
Abundance and change in threat status of selected key species
NDS Sector Outcome 2: A comprehensive urban development plan for Qatar that adopts a sustainable policy with regard to urban expansion and population distribution
Target 1: More sustainable urbanization and a healthier living environment, maintaining the average OECD urban growth rate for developed countries.
Rate of growth of urban population
Target 2: More healthier living environment and reducing premature deaths from air pollution by adopting OECD’s 25% air pollution reduction scenario.
Estimated number of premature deaths from exposure to outdoor airborne particulate matter and ground-level ozone
Air quality (i) airborne particulate matter, (ii) ground level ozone
NDS Sector Outcome 3: Encouragement of regional cooperation to put in place preventive measures to mitigate the negative environmental effects of pollution arising from development activities
Target 1: Improved governance and regional and international cooperation by supporting research and development in environmental management in line with OECD average and comparable to high-spending GCC countries.
Gross domestic expenditure on R&D in environmental management as a percentage of total domestic expenditure on R&D
R&D personnel in environmental management as a percentage of total R&D personnel
NDS Sector Outcome 4: A proactive and significant regional role in assessing the impact of climate change and mitigating its negative impacts, especially on countries of the Gulf
Target 1: Improved regional and international cooperation by providing development aid to foster innovation and support new clean technologies in line with the International Energy Agency (IEA) member countries average and comparable to high-spending GCC countries.
Aggregate development assistance flows in support of climate change adaptation and mitigation as a percentage of GDP
NDS Sector Outcome 5: Support for international efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change
Target 1: Improved governance and regional and international cooperation, meeting or exceeding target for reduction of GHG emissions set by the Kyoto Protocol.
Implementation of ratified global agreement for climate change
Emissions of greenhouse gasses (Carbon dioxide equivalent)
GSDP will
monitor and report twice yearly to the Supreme Committee for Development Planning on NDS progress, including on strategy outcomes in relation to QNV goals
prepare a mid-term review of the NDS by end 2013 as part of its mandate in the 6 year planning cycle
QSA will work with GSDP on indicator selection and continue to support with relevant data for monitoring the progress and achievement of QNV 2030 development goals
Conclusion
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