Q2 2015 IR Presentation for the Website

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Transcript of Q2 2015 IR Presentation for the Website

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    Company Overview

    September 2015

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    Safe Harbor Statement

    Forward Looking Statements

    This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements regarding future circumstances, including

    statements relating to the Companys strategic initiatives and adjusted net income per diluted share. These

    forward-looking statements are based upon the Company's current expectations and assumptions and aresubject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and performance to differ materially.

    Some of these risks and uncertainties are described in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange

    Commission, including in the Risk Factors section of its annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended

    January 31, 2015. Included among the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and performance to

    differ materially are the risk that the Company will be unsuccessful in gauging fashion trends and changing

    consumer preferences, the risks resulting from the highly competitive nature of the Companys business and its

    dependence on consumer spending patterns, which may be affected by the weakness in the economy thatcontinues to affect the Companys target customer, the risk that the Companys strategic initiatives to increase

    sales and margin are delayed or do not result in anticipated improvements, the risk that the cost of raw

    materials or energy prices will increase beyond current expectations or that the Company is unable to offset cost

    increases through value engineering or price increases, and the uncertainty of weather patterns. Readers are

    cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they

    were made. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking

    statements that may be made to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence

    of unanticipated events. The inclusion of any statement in this release (or on the above referenced call) does notconstitute an admission by the Company or any other person that the events or circumstances described in such

    statement are material.

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    Agenda

    2

    Company Overview

    Operational and Financial Performance

    Strategic Initiatives

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    The Fundamentals

    3

    The largest childrens specialty apparel retailer in North America

    Strong brand; well-positioned competitively

    #1 awareness among childrens specialty retailers Known for fashion, outfitting, value and convenience Strong balance sheet and free cash flow

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    17,734

    20,145

    2009 2013

    # of US Stores (Retailers with Children's Departments)

    Market Trends In Childrens Specialty Apparel

    Over 2,400 Stores AddedKids Apparel Has Become More Competitive

    Source: NDC, NPD and Company filings

    4

    SpecialtyRetailers

    Retailers /Wholesalers

    Mass

    Discounters

    While Birth Rates Have Declined Significantly

    3,932

    3,700

    3,800

    3,900

    4,000

    4,100

    4,200

    4,300

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    US

    YearlyB

    irths('000s)

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    Childrens Place Market Share

    Source: NPD U.S. Childrens Apparel Data (0-10 years)

    Market share data from NPD Group, Company filings

    Maintaining Leading U.S. Market Share In anIncreasingly Competitive Environment

    Size of U.S. Childrens Apparel Market

    5

    -

    5,000,000

    10,000,000

    15,000,000

    20,000,000

    25,000,000

    30,000,000

    2011 2012 2013 2014

    Dollars (000s)

    5.1% 5.1% 5.1%4.9%

    2011 2012 2013 2014

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    Agenda

    6

    Company Overview

    Operational and Financial Performance

    Strategic Initiatives

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    ChannelExpansion

    We Are Making Significant Progress Towards Our Goal ofBecoming a Global Omni-Channel Children's Brand

    Talent

    7

    Operational Excellence

    ProductFocus

    TransformingBusinessthrough

    Technology

    FleetOptimization

    1 2 3 4

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    Transforming Our Product Offering in Every Division andCategory

    8

    Focus on consistent product executionacross all divisions

    Ensure in-stock positions on key item yearround basics

    More frequent deliveries of newer fashionassortments to maintain currency ofinventory flows

    Successfully developed a contemporarysourcing strategy to address significantchanges that were occurring globally

    Consi st ent #1 Mar ket Shar e Among Chil dr ens Specia l t y Ret ai ler s Si nce 2010 Shows

    Pr oduct Is St r ongly Resonat i ng Wit h Cust omers

    2014

    2009

    29.4%

    31.9%

    19.8%

    9.4%

    4.7%

    26.3%

    11.7%

    41.4%

    17.4%

    2.7%

    Sourcing Migration to Emerging Market Opportunities

    SE Asia India Sub-continent Greater China Greater Africa Americas

    1

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    Business Transformation Through Technology

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    We are in the third year of a five-year plan of a company-wide transformation of ourtechnology and systems

    Our technology initiatives are strengthening our inventory management capabilities includingplanning, allocation and replenishment. Global sourcing, logistics and distribution systemshave and are being upgraded. We are intensely focused on our expanding our omni-channelcapabilities through upgrades to our digital and mobile platforms

    In 2014 we successfully:

    Launched core merchandising and pricing modules within our ERP(enterprise resourceplanning) system

    Built a global sourcing portal Upgraded our US and Canadian websites and our mobile site

    Launched a state of the art assortment planning tool which impacted our BTS 2015deliveries

    In 2015 we:

    Implemented state of the art inventory allocation and replenishment tools

    Are building out technology to enable us to more rapidly expand our international andwholesale businesses in 2016 and beyond

    Invest ments i n Syst ems ar e Enhancing Our Capab il i t ies and Opera t ing Perf ormance

    2

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    Business Transformation Through Technology (Continued)

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    Digital Initiatives

    Acquisition Organic search enhancements (2015)

    Email capture/ereceipt (2015)

    Retention

    New email service provider (2015)

    Personalized content, products, offers & promotions (2015)

    Engagement

    Loyalty program enhancements (2015)

    Online account creation and access to points and rewards

    Implement Distributed Order Management system to enable cross-channel capabilities(2015)

    2

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    $119

    $151

    $176

    $215

    $246

    $280

    7%

    9%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

    E-Commerce Revenue ($mm) % of Total Revenue

    Global Growth Through Alternate Channels of Distribution

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    E-Commerce has grown at an 18.5%CAGR since 2009

    16% of total sales in fiscal 2014 Launched a Canadian e-commerce site in

    2012

    60% CAGR since the launch

    Launched an international franchisebusiness with one partner in 2012

    Ended FY2014 with fiveinternational partners and 72franchise stores

    Launched a wholesale business in 2012with one account

    Ended FY2014 with eight wholesaleaccounts

    Completely revamped our outletstrategy

    Shifted from an outdatedclearance center model to asignificantly more profitable madefor outlet model

    E-Commerce Revenue Growth

    3

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    Store Fleet Optimization in North America

    12

    Fleet Facts

    1,086 Stores in North America

    Brand Performs Well Across Variety ofFormats

    United States88%

    Canada12%

    PremiumMalls56%

    Value Centers &Small Markets

    Outlets12%

    Street/Strip/Other8%

    24%

    4

    Developed a new store prototype in 2010

    with significantly better economics

    Strategic decision to open off mall

    locations based on favorable economics,

    declining mall traffic and changing

    consumer shopping patterns

    Fleet optimization initiative targets 200

    store closures through 2017, including 41

    stores closed in 2013 and 35 closed in

    2014

    Seeing a transfer rate in excess of 20%

    to nearby stores or to e-commerce

    Results in improved comp sales and

    profitability in e-commerce and the

    neighboring stores

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    Operational Excellence

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    Optimize global supply chain

    Strategic sourcing; vendor consolidation; country migration Logistics and distribution

    Company-wide expense management

    Improving store operations and customer experience Professional, strategic staff support

    Finance, Legal, Human Resources, Compliance/Regulatory

    Strong base to support other

    strategic initiativesStrong base to support other

    strategic initiatives

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    Agenda

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    Company Overview

    Operational and Financial Performance

    Strategic Initiatives

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    Long Term Operating Margin Expansion

    15

    Key Focus: Generate steady increases in operating margin

    Slightly positive comp sales driven by merchandiseimprovements, fleet optimization, rapid e-commerce

    growth and new system capabilities, partially offset by

    reduced clearance sales due to improved inventory

    management

    Incremental revenue from international and wholesale

    Revenue GrowthDrivers

    Merch margin: New inventory management systems,supply chain optimization and outlet strategy

    Gross margin: Fleet optimization and improved inventory

    management

    Operating margin: International and wholesale businesses

    and outsized growth in e-commerce

    MarginExpansion

    Opportunity

    Stringent focus on cost control

    Leverage fixed expense

    SG&A Flat-to-Slightly Leverage

    As % of Sales

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    Q2 Financial Results

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    Source: Company filings and press releases. Figures in millions of USD (except EPS). For the quarter ended August 1, 2015 and August 2, 2014.Note: Adj measures are non-GAAP and exclude transactions that are not indicative of the performance of the core business. A reconciliation of GAAP andnon-GAAP measures is provided in the Companys second quarter 2015 earnings release which is available at http://investor.childrensplace.com

    Q2 2015/14

    Income Statement Summary

    Q2 15 Q214

    Adj EPS% Chg

    ($0.33)+11%

    ($0.37)+12%

    Net Sales% Chg

    $366.5-4.7%

    $384.6+0.6%

    Adj Gross MarginLeverage/Deleverage

    31.4%+40 bps

    31.0%-200 bps

    Adj SG&A % of SalesLeverage

    29.6%+60 bps

    30.2 %+190 bps

    Adj Operating MarginLeverage

    -2.4%+80 bps

    -3.2%+10 bps

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    Company Outlook Full Year 2015

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    Company Guidance as of 8/25/15

    FY 2015 Guidance FY 2014 Actual

    Adj EPS $3.35 to $3.45 $3.05

    Comp Sales Approximately flat 0.4%

    Adj Gross Margin Leverage 60 to 80 bps 35.3%

    Adj SG&A % of Sales Leverage approx. 30 bps 26.3%

    Adj Op Inc Leverage 60 to 70 bps 5.6%

    Capital Expenditures $65 to $70 million $72 million

    Ending Inventory N/A Decreased 8%

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    Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow

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    Source: Company filings and press releases.

    Generated $188 million in operating cash flow over LTM Returned excess cash to shareholders through share repurchase

    program and quarterly dividend over LTM.

    LTM $ millions

    Beginning Cash and Short-term Investments (Q2 2014) $200

    LTM Cash Flow from Operations 188

    LTM Capital Expenditures (62)

    Capital Return (Share Repurchase Program/Dividends) (109)

    Revolving Loan 3Other (15)

    Ending Cash and Short Term Investments (Q2 2015) $205

    S f l E i f O S H E bl d Si ifi

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    Successful Execution of Our Strategy Has Enabled SignificantReturn of Capital to Shareholders

    Prudent cash flow management hasallowed us to consistently reward

    shareholders over the last 5 years We have purchased over $543 million

    of our common stock since 2009

    Our share repurchases over the last threeyears as a percentage of marketcapitalization is 19%, well above the peer

    group median of 14% In fiscal 2014, we instituted a dividend for

    the first time in our history

    In the first fiscal quarter of 2015, weincreased the dividend by over 13%

    Strong balance sheet provides flexibility

    Consist ent Ret urn of Capi t al t o Shar eholders

    Cumulative Capital Returned to Shareholders ($mm)

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    27.6 26.1 24.5 23.1 22.0 20.8

    19

    Shares Outstanding (mm)

    Cumulative Dividends Cumulative Share Repurchase

    $12 $18$68

    $159$250

    $339

    $405

    $481

    $543

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD Q2

    2015

    $ 68

    $159

    $250

    $339

    $405

    $493

    $561

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    Historical Income Statement Data (As Adjusted)

    20

    Source: Company filings and press releases. Figures in millions of USD (except EPS). For the years ended January 31, 2015, February 1, 2014 andFebruary 2, 2013 (53 Week Year). Note: Adj measures are non-GAAP and exclude transactions that are not indicative of the performance of the corebusiness. A reconciliation of GAAP and non-GAAP measures is provided in the Companys earnings releases which are available athttp://investor.childrensplace.com

    FY14 FY13 FY12

    Net Sales $1,761.3 $1,765.8 $1,809.5

    Gross Profit

    % of net sales

    622.2

    35.3%

    658.4

    37.3%

    691.4

    38.2%

    SG&A

    % of net sales

    462.6

    26.3%

    483.2

    27.4%

    507.0

    28.0%

    Deprec & Amort

    % of net sales

    60.5

    3.4%

    64.8

    3.7%

    68.1

    3.8%

    Operating Income

    % of net sales

    99.1

    5.6%

    110.4

    6.3%

    115.3

    6.4%

    Income before Taxes

    % of net sales

    98.9

    5.6%

    110.7

    6.3%

    115.3

    6.4%

    Tax Provision

    % of net sales

    32.1

    1.8%

    36.3

    2.1%

    36.5

    2.0%

    Net Income

    % of net sales

    $66.9

    3.8%

    $74.4

    4.2%

    $78.8

    4.4%

    EPS $3.05 $3.26 $3.25

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    Historical Balance Sheet Data (in millions of USD)

    21

    FY14 FY13 FY12

    Cash & Cash Equivalents $173.3 $174.0 $194.1

    Short-term Investments 52.0 62.5 15.0

    Accounts Receivable 31.9 26.0 18.5

    Inventories 297.6 322.4 267.0

    Other Current Assets 54.4 44.4 50.6

    Total Current Assets 609.3 629.3 545.2

    Property & Equipment,Net

    310.3 312.1 330.1

    Other Assets, Net 39.0 49.2 48.1

    Total Assets $958.6 $990.6 $923.4

    Total Current Liabilities $274.5 $271.3 $191.5

    Other Liabilities 95.0 102.5 111.0

    Total Liabilities 369.5 373.9 302.5

    Stockholders Equity 589.1 616.8 620.9

    Total Liabilities &

    Stockholders Equity$958.6 $990.6 $923.4

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    Historical Cash Flow Data

    22

    Source: Company filings and press releases. Dollars in millions of USD.

    FY14 FY13 FY12

    Beginning Cash and Short-term

    Investments$236 $209 $177

    Cash Flow from Operations 161 173 205

    Capital Expenditures (72) (73) (90)

    Capital Return (Share Repurchase

    Program/Dividends)(88) (66) (89)

    Other (12) (7) 6

    Ending Cash and Short Term

    Investments$225 $236 $209

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    Wrap-Up

    23

    Strategic initiatives underway to drive growth

    Strong balance sheet and cash flow Committed to delivering sustainable, profitable growth

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