Q1 2019 presentation.eng - Final · Microsoft PowerPoint - Q1 2019 presentation.eng - Final Author:...

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Transcript of Q1 2019 presentation.eng - Final · Microsoft PowerPoint - Q1 2019 presentation.eng - Final Author:...

Page 1: Q1 2019 presentation.eng - Final · Microsoft PowerPoint - Q1 2019 presentation.eng - Final Author: oisjofosst Created Date: 5/14/2019 8:59:48 AM ...

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Page 2: Q1 2019 presentation.eng - Final · Microsoft PowerPoint - Q1 2019 presentation.eng - Final Author: oisjofosst Created Date: 5/14/2019 8:59:48 AM ...

PART 1:

• Highlights and development

PART 2:

• Results and segment review

1st quarter 2019

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1st quarter 2019

PART 1:

• Highlights and development

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Highlights

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• Organic growth was positive by 4,4 % in the 1st quarter of 2019

• Result improvement in the Logistics segment, driven by high growth and effects of implemented measures

• Both segments influenced by Easter coming in the 2nd quarter in 2019, compared with the 1st quarter in 2018

• Continued significant decline in addressed mail volumes (12,5 %), but positive volume development for

unaddressed mail volumes (6,4%)

• Positive development in profitability, but continued need for additional efforts

• Good growth in e-commerce to private consumers. E-commerce volume increased by 14 % last 12 months• Growth in contract parcels, freight, international forwarding and offshore.• On 10 April, the Government presented the parliamentary bill on changes in the Postal Act

• Good delivery quality with 88,6 % of addressed mail delivered within 2 days in the 1st quarter.

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HSE 2019

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ABSENCE DUE TO SICKNESS, GROUP %

6,0 % (last 12 months)

H2 IN THE GROUP

8,2 (last 12 months)

5,5

5,6

5,7

5,8

5,9

6,0

6,1

6,2

6,3

6,4

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 6,0

7,0

8,0

9,0

10,0

11,0

12,0

13,0

14,0

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

• The total number of personal injuries per million workedhours (H2) in the last 12 months increased from 7,0 to 8,2 compared with 2018

• Absence due to sickness in the last 12 months was 6 %, 5,9 % in 2018

Our ambition is to create and maintain a working environment focusing on health where nobody gets injured or sick as a consequence of their work. Efforts to improve the development through goal-oriented measures continue. A security campaign comprising the entire Group has been initiated, and one of the carried-out projects is HSE manager training focusing on job security.

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Financial highlights 1st quarter 2019

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OPERATING REVENUES, MNOKQ1 2019 Q1 2018

5 913 5 869ADJUSTED OPERATING PROFIT*, MNOK

Q1 2019 Q1 2018

106 (55)RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL/ROIC, %

Last 12 mths Last 12 mths

8,1 6,4*For descriptions of alternative performance measures, see appendix to the report

On 1 January 2019, the Group implemented IFRS 16 Leases. The 2018 figures have not been restated and do not include the effects of the standard. 

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Revenue and adjusted profit 2019

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Revenue, MNOK Adjusted operating profit, MNOK

5 913 106

5 869 5 913

25 074 24 772 24 678 23 894

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

-55

106

686645

703

531

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

• Organic growth in the 1st quarter of 4,4 %

• Turnover growth in the Logistics segment in the 1st

quarter of 7,8 % with an organic growth of 9,9 %

• Reduced turnover in the Mail segment due to continued decline in addressed volumes (12,5 % in the 1st quarter)

• Unaddressed volumes increased by 6,4 % as a consequence of new contracts

• Adjusted operating profit for the Logistics segment wasMNOK 101 better than the 1st quarter of 2018, due to strong growth and the effects of comprehensiveimprovement measures in the Norwegian parcels and freight network

• Resultat improvement in the Mail segment mainly causedby higher payments for government procurements ofcommercially non-viable services so far in 2019 comparedwith the same period in 2018

• Comprehensive cost-adjustments of operations are still realised, but this will not be adequate to compensate for the large fall in addressed mail volumes.

On 1 January 2019, the Group implemented IFRS 16 Leases. The 2018 figures have not been restated and do not include the effects of the standard. 

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Results 1st quarter 2019

8On 1 January 2019, the Group implemented IFRS 16 Leases. The 2018 figures have not been restated and do not include the effects of the standard. 

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1st quarter 2018

PART 2:

• Results and segment review

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Segment reporting

Posten Norge Segment MailSegment Logistics

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MNOK Revenue Adjustedoperating profit

Revenue Adjustedoperating profit

Revenue Adjustedoperating profit

Q1 2019 5 913 106 4 371 8 1 929 158Q1 2018 5 869 (55) 4 055 (93) 2 180 105

On 1 January 2019, the Group implemented IFRS 16 Leases. The 2018 figures have not been restated and do not include the effects of the standard. 

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Segment Logistics

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E-commerce and logistics

Responsible for all package products for e-commerce customers, in addition to groupage and part load, thermo and warehouse in Norway

International logistics

Responsible for industrial goods and industry solutions for industrial and offshore customers

Express

Responsible for express and home delivery services

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Segment Logistics: Market development

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• Turnover growth of 7,8 % in the 1st quarter and organic growthof 9,9 %

• The economic trends are decisive for the growth to be expectedin the logistics market in the years to come

• E-commerce in Norway grew by 17 %* in 2018 and is expectedto grow significantly in the next years

• Economic growth is expected in Norway in 2019 and 2020. The Swedish economy is over the peak, and the growth in 2019 and furtheron is expected to be weaker than in recent years

• The market is demanding with strong competition and lowmargins, and the Group will continue to focus on makingoperations more effective and improve profitability within thevarious operations in the Logistics segment

*DIBS’ annual report on Norwegian e‐commerce

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Segment Logistics: Key figures 2019

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REVENUE, MNOK

4 371 4 371

Adjusted operating profit, MNOK

8 8

3.9854.055

4.371

3 600

3 800

4 000

4 200

4 400

4 600

4 800

3 600

3 800

4 000

4 200

4 400

4 600

4 800

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019

-11

-93

8

- 100

- 50

50

100

- 100

- 50

50

100

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019

• Revenue in the 1st quarter was MNOK 4 371

• Organic growth of 9,9 %

• The e-commerce volume increased by 14 % in the last 12 months

• Growth in contract parcels, freight, international forwarding and offshore

• Adjusted operating profit amounted to MNOK 8 in the 1st quarter, an improvement of MNOK 101 compared with the same quarter in 2018

• The improvement primarily came in the Norwegian parcels and freight network, which in the last three quarters has shown a positive trend. This confirms that implemented measures begin to give effect.

• It is a demanding market with strong competition and low margins

• Other parts of the business still have profitability challenges

On 1 January 2019, the Group implemented IFRS 16 Leases. The 2018 figures have not been restated and do not include the effects of the standard. 

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Segment Mail

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Mail

Responsible for the traditional postal services in Norway (including licensed services) and includes letter products and banking services, as well as Digipost and dialogue services.

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Segment Mail: Market development

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VOLUME ADDRESSED MAIL, millions

582 last 12 months) ‐38.9 % (last 5 years)• The fall in addressed mail volumes is expected to increase

as a consequence of continued digitalisation within theprivate consumer market as well as the corporate market

• The decline in volumes of addressed mail in Norway was12,5 % in the 1st quarter

• The bank and finance industry had a decline in volumes of22 %, and public sector a volume decline of 12 %

• Depending on a prompt clarification in the Norwegian Parliament, the plan is to introduce mail distribution everyother day from 1 July 2020

  500

  600

  700

  800

  900

 1 000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

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REVENUE, MNOK

1 929 1 929

Adjusted operating profit, MNOK

158 158

Segment Mail: Key figures 2019

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2.4942.180

1.929

-

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019

250

105

158

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019

• Revenue in the 1st quarter was MNOK 1 929, a reduction of MNOK251 compared with the same period in 2018

• The main reason was the sale of Bring Citymail Sweden on 1 March2018. The decline in turnover caused by the fall in volumes in addressed mail was mitigated by government procurements ofcommercially non-viable services

• Adjusted operating profit amounted to MNOK 158 in the 1st

quarter, an increase of MNOK 53 compared with the same period in 2018

• The result was positively influenced by the number of working daysdue to the time of Easter and higher granted amounts to government procurements of commercially non-viable services (MNOK 134 in the 1st quarter compared with MNOK 41 in the 1st

quarter of 2018)

• Cost adjustments of operations were not adequate to compensatefor the large fall in addressed mail volumes

On 1 January 2019, the Group implemented IFRS 16 Leases. The 2018 figures have not been restated and do not include the effects of the standard. 

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Future prospects

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• Digitalisation and new technology provide many opportunities and quick changes for the Group’s business

• Deliveries inside the door and New home services with the postman/woman are tested

• #BelovedCity was launched in Oslo in April

• Continued focus on making operations more effective and improve profitabiity

• The Group initiates several measures, including a new group structure making the Group more dynamic and vigorous

• The Norwegian Parliament will discuss the bill on changes in the Postal Act in June. The aim is mail distribution every other day

from 1 July 2020.

• DNB has announced that today’s agreement on bank services expires in 2019. Posten is working to find a solution for bank

services in the rural postal network

• The decline in mail volumes will continue to increase if the Government decides to remove the 350 kroner limit for the VAT

exemption on imports

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