PV Hybrid Market Opportunities in the Sunbelt region ... HYBRID MARKET OPPORTUNITIES IN THE SUNBELT...
Transcript of PV Hybrid Market Opportunities in the Sunbelt region ... HYBRID MARKET OPPORTUNITIES IN THE SUNBELT...
PV HYBRID MARKET OPPORTUNITIES IN THE SUNBELT REGION – APPROACH OF SMA SUNBELT ENERGY GMBH IN KENYA
SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
Diesel Genset PV
+
Guluma Megersa Berlin, 02.09.2015
MOTIVATION: WHY IS AFRICA IMPORTANT?
02.09.2015 2 1.IMF, SMA
Power supply from photovoltaic systems will support and sustain this economic growth! However, international players (like SMA) need to be present in the market.
Geographical True Size of Africa Key economic drivers
• Rising level of education • Growing middle class and urbanization • Improved political stability • Abundant natural ressources • Private Public Partnerships • Governmental and international investment
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
AGENDA
02.09.2015 3
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Introduction to SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
Solar PV Market Opportunities in Kenya
SMA Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa
PV Hybrid reference
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG AND SMA SUNBELT ENERGY GMBH
02.09.2015 4 1.Operation and Maintenance Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
Turnkey Module Electrical components
e.g. Transformer Inverter Project
Development Polysilicon
Ingot/ Wafer
Cell
100% compatibility
O&M
SMA Solar Technology AG SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
Founded: 1981
Sales 2014: about EUR 800 million
Total installed global capacity : > 38 Gigawatt
Employees: > 3,500 all over the globe
Research and Development Professionals: >500
Invest R&D 2014: > € 120 Mio.
German Stock Exchange
International innovations awards
100% affiliated company of SMA Solar Technology AG and headquartered in Kassel, Germany
Provides Project development, turnkey and O&M1 services for photovoltaic hybrid projects
Comprehensive project approach based on SMA Fuel Save Controller Solution
Closing the project value chain for projects in Sunbelt markets.
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
AGENDA
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Introduction to SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
Solar PV Market Opportunities in Kenya
SMA Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa
PV Hybrid References
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
THERE ARE DIFFERENT APPLICATIONS FOR PV-DIESEL HYBRID SYSTEMS
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Focus industries depend on target countries. In Kenya, we primarily focus on Agriculture
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
Utilities/ IPP
(in off-grid/weak-grid regions)
Remote hospitals
(in off-grid/weak-grid regions)
Remote electrification (e.g. mini grids from REA)
Heavy industries (e.g. mining, cement)
Agriculture and food processing (e.g. farming, fish&shrimp, flower farms)
Military (e.g. off-camps, training facilities, military base power plants)
Real estate (e.g. offices, malls, warehouses)
Remote industries
(in off-grid/weak-grid regions)
Telecom industries (in off-grid/weak-grid regions)
Tourism (e.g. hotels, holiday resorts)
Our focus
SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
02.09.2015
PV-DIESEL-HYBRID IS ALREADY A REAL BUSINESS CASE IN HIGH IRRADIATION REGIONS WITH EFFECTIVE DIESEL COST > 1 USD/LITER
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1. Effective cost at point of consumption including fuel transportation and storage cost etc. 2. Assumptions : 1 MW PV plant; 100% consumption of PV power possible; CapEx=2,000 USD/kWp; OpEx= 2% of CapEx p.a.; PV financing 3. with 30% equity/70% debt with 7% interest rate and amortization time of 5 years; Genset efficiency 3.5 kWh/l (net electricity production); CapEx and
Maintenance cost for Diesel genset not included, since PV is considered as add-on here, not as genset hardware substitution Source: Web search, SMA analysis
Given the diesel price volatility and genset industry mindset, a short payback time is crucial.
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
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Payback time (years)
Diesel cost1 (USD/l)
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Annual PV full load time
Financially attractive area
2100 kWh/kWp (sunniest spots worldwide)
1800 kWh/kWp (e.g. Australia)
1500 kWh/kWp (e.g. India)
1200 kWh/kWp (e.g. Italy)
900 kWh/kWp (e.g. Germany)
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
AGENDA
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Introduction to SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
Solar PV Market Opportunities in Kenya
SMA Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa
PV Hybrid References
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
SMA GOES TO KENYA WITH A HOLISTIC STRATEGY
02.09.2015 9 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
Products & Turnkey Offering
Service
Financing Training
Partnering
SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
SMA OFFERS A DEDICATED PRODUCT PORTFOLIO FOR THE RELEVANT APPLICATIONS
02.09.2015 10 1.Feed-in tariff for PV up to 12 $cent/kWh 2. Electricity tariff up to 30 $cent/kWh
3. LCOE for Diesel Gensets over 30 $cent/kWh , Source: SMA Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
Utility scale PV Commercial self-consumption Off-Grid systems PV-Diesel hybrid systems Application
Driver PPA, FiT1 Reduced energy bill2 Availability of power Fuel saving3
Sunny Tripower Sunny Central MV Power Station Sunny Island
Solutions for utility scale PV
Fuel Save Controller
Solutions for self-consumption & off-grid Solutions for industrial hybrid systems
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
SMA SUNBELT ENERGY OFFERS A COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH TOWARDS HYBRID PROJECTS AND PROVIDES ONE-STOP FULL-TURNKEY SOLUTIONS
02.09.2015 11 Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
Local presence in all markets
On-site competence Detailed on-site analysis
Financial analysis and modeling
Turnkey offering
Engineering and simulation
Procurement Construction management
Operation & Maintenance
Diesel and energy savings
SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
AGENDA
02.09.2015 12
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Introduction to SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
Solar PV Market Opportunities in Kenya
SMA Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa
PV Hybrid References
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
SMA´S PV HYBRID REFERENCES WORLDWIDE
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28 commercial PV-Diesel plants running (March, 2015)
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
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1 South Africa, Mining
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4 Arabic Emirates, Island Supply
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India, Textile Industry
India, Textile Industry
Tonga, Island Supply
Germany, University Test System
Kenya, Tea Industry
Barbados, Food Industry
Lebanon, Plastic Manufacturing
Greece, Zoological Park
Maldives, Island Supply
Maldives, Island Supply
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Kenya, Flower Industry
Kenya, Flower Industry
Taiwan, Test System
India, Textile Industry
India, Textile Industry
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Japan, Test System
India, Paint Industry
Arabic Emirates, Island Supply
Dom. Rep., Distribution Center
Bolivia, City Electrification
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02.09.2015 SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
AGRICULTURAL – ELDAMA RAVINE, KENYA
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Eldama Ravine, Kenya
Application:
Flower farm
Self consumption / fuel saving System size:
PV power: 249 kWp (about 250 MWh/a)
Gensets: 1 x 350 kVA, 1 x 150 kVA
Public grid (no grid feed in) PV System Technology
3 Sunny Tripower STP 15000 TLEE
9 Sunny Tripower STP 20000 TLEE
SMA Fuel Save Controller System Information:
Coordinates: 0°4’5“N, 35°44‘44“E
Plant commissioning: October 2014
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa 02.09.2015
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
DIESEL MINI GRID – COBIJA, BOLIVIA
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Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
ENDE1, Cobija, Bolivia
Application:
Fuel saving for the Diesel Mini Grid of Cobija
10 gensets / approx. 12 MW
Fuel consumption 18-20 Mio liter / a System size:
PV power: 5 MWp
Gensets: 15,000 kVA (10 gensets in total)
Battery 2.2 MW / 1.16 MWh PV System Technology
6 SMA SC 800 CP-XT
SMA Solar Fuel Save Controller System Information:
Coordinates: 11° 1′ S , 68° 45′ W
Plant commissioning: December 2014
02.09.2015
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
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1.Additional data: min. partial load 30%, OpEx (PV) = 2% of CapEx, Genset efficiency=3.5 kWh/liter, Fuel price increase = 5 %/a, Equity ratio = 30%, interest rate for depth = 7%
2.Equity ratio and interest rates (=7%) are just examplary to illustrate the business case.
Quick payback time and secure energy supply
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
Economics
Local data1:
Load: stable at 5 MW – 8 MW
Irradiation: 1,900 kWh/m²a
Diesel Costs: 1.2 $ / l
Equity Ratio: 30%2 Results:
Produced PV Energy: 8,200 MWh / year
Annual fuel savings: approx. 2,2 million liter
Total investment: approx. 12 million USD
Payback 4,8 years
DIESEL MINI GRID – COBIJA, BOLIVIA
02.09.2015
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
17 1.Date of this day refer to real measurements of April , 12th 2013
Exact monitoring of the plant Performance at a typical day1
Average load 350 kW
300 kWp PV power activated
39% fuel saving during daytime
1440 kWh PV energy
400 liters of diesel savings
PV output reduction can be observed at noon
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Pow
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kW)
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Energy provided
Photovoltaic Diesel generatorProvided by:
MINING – THABAZIMBI, SOUTH AFRICA
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa 02.09.2015
1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
18 1.Barbados Ice Company Ltd www.bicoicecream.com
Importadora La Plaza, Santiago, DR
Application:
Warehouse for spare parts
Blackouts: approx. 3,5h/day System size:
PV power: 299 kWp
Gensets: 1 x 225 kVA, 1 x 394 KVA
Public grid (net metering) PV System Technology
12 x SMA Sunny Tripower STP 24000 TL-US
SMA Solar Fuel Save Controller System Information:
Coordinates: 19°28'34''N, 70°41'3.9''W
Plant commissioning: December 2014
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
SMALL COMMERCIAL – SANTIAGO, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
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1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
SMALL COMMERCIAL – SANTIAGO, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
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1. min. partial load 30%, OpEx (PV) = 2% of CapEx, Genset efficiency=3.5 kWh/liter, Fuel price= 1,3 US$/l increase = 5 %/a, net meetiering tariff= 0,24 USD/kWh, Equity ratio = 30%, interest rate for depth = 7%
Stable business case even for „small“ applications with (unreliable) grid connection
PV Perfomance
Produced PV energy : 491,7 MWh
Directly used energy: 248,2 MWh
Feed-in energy: 243,5 MWh
Saved OPEX: 115.000 USD / year
Investment: 580,000 USD
Payback time: 5 years1
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa
PV Grid injection
PV Own Consumption
Consumption
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1. Introduction 2. PV Market Opportunities in Kenya 3. Sunbelt Strategy in Kenya and Eastern Africa 4. PV References
Diesel gensets are used for energy production in many regions and for different applications in Kenya
Electricity generation costs with PV is lower than with diesel in many of those regions
This gap will increase in the future Focus regions and applications have both high irradiation
and energy costs Upgrading conventional Diesel Genset systems with PV
provides a significant fuel saving potential Large scale MW-sized systems are now possible for many
different applications, also with batteries
SUMMARY
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Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa 02.09.2015 SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
Approach of SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH in Kenya, Guluma Megersa SMA Sunbelt Energy GmbH
Dipl. Wirt. Ing. (FH)
Guluma Megersa, MSc.
Business Development Manager Off-Grid Sales Email: [email protected] Mobile: +49 151 1486 9478