Public Perceptions on Politics and Emotion (Full Website)

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    The 2010 Walter Gordon Massey

    Symposium on Public Policy

    Massey College in Toronto

    Public Perceptions on Politics and Emotion:The Paradox of the Rational Imperative

    March 17, 2010

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    Methodology

    This survey was conducted March 5-9, 2010 using EKOS unique hybrid internet-telephone researchpanel, Probit. This panel is randomly recruited from the general population, meaning that, the onlyway to be included in Probit is through random selection. Unl ike opt-in internet-only researchpanels, Probit supports confidence intervals and error testing.

    In total, a random sample of 1,420 Canadians aged 18 and over responded to the survey.

    A sample of this size provides a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points, 19 times out of

    20. The margin of error increases when the results are sub-divided (i.e., error margins for sub-groupssuch as regions).

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    Outline

    1.0 Introductory Comments / Research Issues

    2.0 The Impacts and Balance of Reason and Emotion on Politics

    3.0 Positive and Negative Uses of Emotion

    4.0 Comparing the Leaders on IQ/EQ

    5.0 Most and Least Desirable Emotion

    6.0 Conclusions and Implications

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    2.0 The Impacts and Balance of

    Reason and Emotion on Politics

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    Mostly by reason and thinking Mostly by emotional

    consideration

    DK/NR

    Reason vs. Emotion: Personal voting decisions

    Q: When you make your final choice in the ballot booth, do you think it is influenced:

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Higher among:CPC (93%), Uni. grads

    (91%), Ages 45-64(90%), Men (89%)

    Higher among:Prairies (15%), Youth(13%), NDP (13%),College grads (12%)

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    Thin

    ing E

    otion

    and feeling

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    Reason vs. Emotion: Impact on quality of politics

    Q:Do you believe that politics would produce better results i f voters put more emphasis on thinking or

    more emphasis on emotions and feelings?

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Higher among:CPC (94%), Seniors

    (94%), Men (92%), Uni.grads (91%)

    Higher among:BQ (9%), HS grads (8%),

    Quebec (6%), Women(6%)

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    Those who connect best with

    reason and intelligence

    Those who connect best at the

    level of emotions

    DK/NR

    Reason vs. Emotion: Strongest connection to voters?

    Q:Do you prefer political leaders who connect with you best at the l evel of emotions and feelings or those

    who connect best with their reason and intelligence?

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Higher among:CPC (94%), Seniors(93%), Ages 45-64

    (91%), Ontario (91%)

    Higher among:Atl. Canada (14%), NDP

    (12%), Quebec (9%),Ages 25-44 (8%)

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    Too emotional Too rational

    Reason vs. Emotion: Proper balance?

    Q:Overall, are Canadian federal politics too emotional or too rational?

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Higher among:Prairies (71%), Men

    (69%), Uni. grads (65%),Ontario (63%), CPC (62%)

    Higher among:Quebec (28%), HS(25%), GP (25%)

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    3.0 Positive and Negative uses ofEmotion

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    i

    agree (1-3)

    either (4) Agree (5-7)

    /

    Perceived emotional manipulation by politicians

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Please use a 7-point scale where

    1 means strongly disagree, 7 means strongly agree and the mid-point 4 means neither agree nor disagree.

    Q: Political parties and their operatives exploit and manipulate emotions of voters i n order to advance theirown interests.

    Higher among:Men (89%), Uni. grads

    (89%)

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    Disagree (1-3) Neither (4) gree (5-7) DK/NR

    Impact of expressions of patriotism among politicians

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Q:During the recent WinterOlympics, I found the enthusiastic expression of patriotism and pride from our

    political leaders to be a very positive thing.

    Higher among:CPC (80%), Alberta

    (78%), Seniors (78%),College grads (70%)

    Higher among:GP (20%), NDP (18%),

    Ages 45-64 (15%)

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    "C ! "

    l

    # #

    $ % &

    " "Bol' ( )

    vi0

    ion" DK/NR

    P %

    iv '

    P ! '

    Perceived vs. preferred government approach

    BASE:Canadians; Mar 5-9 (n=1420)

    Q: Which of the following BESTdescribes the way the Government of Canada is CURRENTLYoperating?

    And which way would you PREFER the Government of Canada to operate? 1) Following a careful, steady-

    as-she-goes approach, or 2) Providing a bold new vision for the future of the country.

    Preferred among:CPC (60%), Seniors (43%)

    Preferred among:LPC (67%), NDP (66%),BQ (65%), GP (63%),Ages 25-44 (60%)

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    4.0 Comparing the Leaders onIQ/EQ

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    Michael Ignatieff Stephen Harper DK/NR

    Perceived intelligence of leaders

    We all know about the notion of intelligence, measured by IQ. Others have spoken of the equal importance

    of good emotional capacity, measured by EQ.

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Q: Thinking about the current Prime Minister, Stephen Harper, and the current leader of the Official

    Opposition, Michael Ignatieff, who do you think has the better intelligence quotient?

    Higher among:LPC (70%), NDP (58%),GP (56%), Uni. Grads(53%), Men (48%)

    Higher among:CPC (63%), HS grads(43%), Alberta (42%),

    Prairies (41%)

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    Michael Ignatieff Stephen Harper DK/NR

    Perceived emotional balance of politicians

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Q: Thinking about the current Prime Minister, Stephen Harper, and the current leader of the Official

    Opposition, Michael Ignatieff, who do you think has the better emotional quotient?

    Higher among:LPC (50%), NDP (49%),Uni. grads (39%), Ages

    25-44 (38%)

    Higher among:CPC (52%), Alberta

    (45%), ES grads (36%),Ages 45-64 (34%), Men

    (32%)

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    5.0 Most and Least Desirable

    Emotion

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    Courage2

    mpathy Compassion,

    Caring

    Hope, Optimsim DK/NR

    Preferred emotion of politicians

    Q: Which of the following emotions would you most like to see in a politician?

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Higher among:CPC (46%),Men (40%)

    Higher among:GP (36%),NDP (33%)

    Higher among:NDP (32%),

    Atl. Can (30%),BC (29%)

    Higher among:Seniors (27%)

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    Jealousy,

    Resentment

    Insecurity Fear 3 nger DK/NR

    Least preferred emotion of politicians

    Q: Which of the following emotions would you least like to see in a politician?

    BASE: Canadians, March 5-9, 2010 (n=1420)

    Higher among:GP (57%), BQ

    (52%)

    Higher among:Alberta (38%),

    CPC (36%),Seniors (36%)

    Higheramong:

    Men (19%),Quebec (19%)

    Higher among:LPC (13%)

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    6.0 Conclusions and Implications

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    Conclusions

    Strong surface lean to reason over emotion

    Emotions seen as source of

    Manipulation

    Faulty decision-making

    Positive emotions diminished by demographics and recent history

    Preference for a more rat ional poli tics is more rooted in the relat ive urgency ofmore reason vs. more emotion

    Michael Ignatieff judged both more intelligent and (slightly) better EQ

    So why is Steven Harper the PM and perceived better leader?

    Solving some of the puzzle lies in

    Disentangling ends/means

    Disentangling which emotions

    Breaking Down social divisions

    Generation / gender

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    Public Guidance

    Public Guidance

    Emotional l ife of a country should not be l imited by irrat ional choices orstrategies.

    Demand for authenticity and balance

    Shift from focus on negative to positive? Will anticipate and solve lookinggenerational storm

    21 Copyright 2010. Not for circulation.

    FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    Frank Graves, President

    EKOS Research Associates

    p. 613.235.7215

    e. [email protected]