PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. And the Prospect of ... · 5 Domestic Cement Demand SMGR Market...

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Corporate Presentation - May 2018 PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. And the Prospect of Indonesia Cement Industry

Transcript of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. And the Prospect of ... · 5 Domestic Cement Demand SMGR Market...

Page 1: PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. And the Prospect of ... · 5 Domestic Cement Demand SMGR Market Destination SMGR Market Share per Region Market by Geography up to May 2018 Java

Corporate Presentation - May 2018

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. And the Prospect of Indonesia Cement Industry

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Total107.4 Mio Ton

Domestic Capacity 2017

2017

SMGR market share 2017 was 40.8% despite of only 33.4% capacity share

Cement Companies in Indonesia

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3source: company data, Indonesia Cement Association

Sales Volume May (in Ton)

Semen Indonesia Group

Industry - Domestic

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BAG21.4%

BULK28.6%

BAG73.6%

BULK26.4%

Domestic Demand SMGR Sales

Retail (residential) sector is still the largest consumer of cement in Indonesia

Bulk cement growth is higher than bag cement in the last two years. Bulk demand growth up to May 2018 was 18.3% while demand for bag was 1.9%

source: Indonesia Cement Association

Domestic and SMGR’s Market Consumption (up to May 2018) – Type of Cement

Housing: ± 90% Cement based industry: ±10%

Ready-mix (infrastructure): ± 60% Fabricator (pre-cast, fiber cement,

cement based industry): ± 35% Projects (mortar, render): ± 5%

3.6% 2.5%

1.5%-1.4%

5.5%

13.6%15.5%

2.2% 2.0%

14.5%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Bag Bulk

Demand Growth by Type

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Domestic Cement Demand

SMGR Market Destination

SMGR Market Share per Region

Market by Geography up to May 2018

Java represent 56% of Domestic cement consumption in Indonesia.

Sumatera22%

West Java, DKI Jakarta &

Banten27%

Central Java & DIY16%

East Java14%

Kalimantan6%

Sulawesi8%

Bali & Nusa Tenggara

5%

East Indonesia2%

Sumatera23%

West Java, DKI Jakarta & Banten

12%

Central Java & DIY16%

East Java23%

Kalimantan7%

Sulawesi12%

Bali & Nusa Tenggara

4%

East Indonesia3%

41.5%

17.6%

41.4%

66.2%

40.4%

60.8%

32.4%

43.3%

Sumatera West Java,DKI Jakarta& Banten

CentralJava & DIY

East Java Kalimantan Sulawesi Bali &Nusa

Tenggara

EastIndonesia

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Key Factors Supporting Domestic Cement Consumption

Infrastructure Development

Commercial & Industrial High growth in retail, commercial and institutional

sector in urban and semi-urban area High growth industry segment (precast, light brick,

cement fiber, pave, ready mixed concrete)

Potential Market The fourth largest population in the world: 267

millions people (2017) Demographic bonus: rapidly growing productive

population in Indonesia

Cement Consumption per Capita (2016)

Interest Rate

Average (ex China) = 462 kg

155.9 154.7

256.1 269.1

388.3 410.4

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Source: Ministry of Finance

Continuous increase in infrastructure budget (Rp Tn)

BI policy on interest rate is expected to remain low which drives demand for housing loan LTV Policy

Bank Indonesia loosening macro-prudential policies in the form of an increase in Loan to Value Ratio

7.50 7.50 7.50 7.50

6.75

5.25 5.00 4.75 4.50 4.50 4.25 4.25 4.50

Mar15

Jun15

Sep15

Dec15

Mar16

Jun16

Sep16

Dec16

Mar17

Jun17

Sep17

Dec17

May18

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Strategic Projects (2018)Strategic Projects Capacity Investment

Construction Start up commercial

Start Completion

Packing Plant – North Maluku 500,000 ton/year

300,000 (bags)200,000 (bulk)

IDR 66 Bio January 2017 Q2-2018 Q2-2018

Packing Plant – Bengkulu IDR 75 Bio February 2017 1st Half 2018 2nd Half 2018

Waste Heat Recovery Power Generation (WHRPG) – Tuban Plant

30.6 MW IDR 574 Bio Q2-2016 Q1-2018 Q2-2018

Packing Plant - BengkuluPacking Plant – North Maluku

Waste Heat Recovery Power Generation (WHRPG) – Tuban Plant

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Integrated Cement Plant 5 location

Kiln 17 Unit

Cement Mill 29 Unit

Grinding Plant 4 location

Cement Mill 6 Unit

Warehouse 30 location

Packing Plant 30 location

Sea Port 17 location

Kiln 1 unit

Cement Mill 1 unit

Kiln 6 unit

Cement Mill 9 unit

Kiln 5 unit

Cement Mill 11 unit

Grinding Plant

1 unit Cement Mill

Kiln 4 unit

Cement Mill 6 unitGrinding Plant

3 unit Cement Mill

Our facilities

Grinding Plant

1 unit Cement Mill

Grinding Plant

1 unit Cement Mill

Kiln 1 unit

Cement Mill 2 unit

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Opportunity Regional Cement Market

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Financial Summary Q1-2018

7.06 7.15 5.98

5.20 3.34

0.75

28.8%26.5%

22.2% 19.9%

12.0% 11.3%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1-2018

Operating Profit

Operating Profit Operating Profit Margin

8.10 8.30 7.43 6.96 5.40

1.19

33.1% 30.8%27.5% 26.6%

19.4% 18.0%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1-2018

EBITDA

EBITDA EBITDA Margin

5.37 5.56 4.56 4.52

2.01 0.41

21.9% 20.6%16.9% 17.3%

7.2% 6.2%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1-2018

Net Profit

Net Income Net Income Margin

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Cost of Revenue Breakdown Q1-2018

19.4%16.1%

10.0% 9.2% 8.2% 8.0% 7.9%2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.7% -0.3%

13.5%

COST STRUCTURE

Cost of Revenue Q1 2018: Rp 4,901 Bn

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Balance SheetCash Balance (IDRbn) Total Interest Bearing Debt (IDRbn)

Debt/EBITDA (x) Net Debt/Equity

4,213

5,032

3,989

2,847

3,665 4,034

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1-2018

4,083 3,913 3,999

6,260

10,019 10,267

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1-2018

0.5 0.47 0.54

0.93

1.93 1.98

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1-2018-0.60% -0.45% 0%

11.10%

20.80% 20.18%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1-2018

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Dividend Pay Out

Dividen Pay Out (DPO)

Dividend Per Share (DPS)

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2018 - KEY STRATEGY

Cost Transformation & Enable Corporate Growth

(Growth) Strategy Refresh Centralize Procurement

Centralize Marketing

Supply Chain Optimization

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IMPORTANT NOTICETHIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND IS NOT MADE IN CONNECTION WITH, ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SUBSCRIPTION OF ORSOLICITATION, RECOMMENDATION OR INVITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OFOR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT, COMMITMENT OR INVESTMENT DECISION WHATSOEVER.THE SLIDES USED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND HAVE BEEN PREPARED AS A SUPPORT FOR ORAL DISCUSSIONS ONLY. THE INFORMATIONCONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS BEING PRESENTED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHERPERSON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART.This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and forecast about future events. Such statements involve known / unknown risksuncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Such factors include, among others:● economic, social and political conditions in Indonesia, and the impact such conditions have on construction and infrastructure spending in Indonesia;● the effects of competition;● the effects of changes in laws, regulations, taxation or accounting standards or practices;● acquisitions, divestitures and various business opportunities that we may pursue;● changes or volatility in inflation, interest rates and foreign exchange rates;● accidents, natural disasters or outbreaks of infectious diseases, such as avian influenza, in our markets;● labor unrest or other similar situations; and● the outcome of pending or threatened litigation.We can give no assurance that our expectations will be attained.

DISCLAIMERThe information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof.We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claim, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omission or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.

Thank You

Head Office:Gedung Utama Semen Indonesia

Jalan Veteran, Gresik 61122, East Java – IndonesiaPhone: (62-31) 3981731 -2, 3981745

Fax: (62-31) 3983209, 3972264

Representative Office:The East Tower, 18th floorJalan Dr. Ide Anak Agung Gde Agung Kav. E3.2 No. 1Jakarta 12950, IndonesiaTelp.: (62-21) – 5261174, 5261175; Fax : (62-21) – 5261176

www.semenindonesia.com