PSA Peugeot Citroën Autonomous Driving€¦ · Source: PSA study 2014 Europe 5 countries 18% are...
Transcript of PSA Peugeot Citroën Autonomous Driving€¦ · Source: PSA study 2014 Europe 5 countries 18% are...
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PSA Peugeot Citroën
Autonomous Driving
Thierry LE HAY
Mars 2016
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Focus points
What are our customers expectations ? Market trends
What are the main functions for level 2 & 3 : movies
What are the technologies and who will develop them ?
To conclude : eco system is key
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Challenges for tomorrow cars
3
A d
igita
l & c
onne
cted
wor
ld
increasing urbanization
Aging population
From ownership to experience
EVOLUTION OF USES
AND
EXPECTATIONS
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Source: PSA study 2014 Europe 5 countries
18% are willing to delegate driving – 42% are open to driving delegation but need reinsurance
Imagine that technology of next cars and driving regulation allow in the coming years an autonomous driving by the car systems. In these conditions, would you be ready to
delegate driving while doing something else ?
5 000 people – G5 with a new car registrated between 2012 and 2014
42% 18%32%8%
No, I will watch driving No Yes, but few seconds. Need to supervise Yes, I will delegate
Accepted driving situations for automated/ piloted driving
1 2 3
Parking in a car park
Traffic jam motorway/urban
Long distance travel motorway
60% are positive
Toward Driving automation
Why a self driving car ? (customers whish)
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Source: PSA study 2014 Europe 5 countries
Under these circumstances, would you be ready to do the following tasks. Please indicate whether you imagine to have these activities and to what extend you would be ready to
pay fo it.
Base : = 3015 (total yes)
27%
25%
25%
22%
21%
20%
16%
14%
15%
14%
10%
34%
31%
14%
15%
11%
12%
9%
8%
6%
7%
6%
32%
34%
39%37%
29%
34%
21%
24%
23%
16%
20%
7%
10%
22%
26%
39%
34%
54%
54%
55%
63%
64%
Use a GPS
Have a phone call
More interaction with other passengers
SMS, tweet, …
Internet
Work
Read
Watch a movie
Sleep
Play a game
INTERESTED but not ready to pay for it Not useful INTERESTED and ready to pay for it This is a MUST
Relax while Driving !
(but not working…)
Why a self driving car ? (customers whish)
Some differences according to country but tendancy is consistent
In China willingness to have these technologies but some fears
In Brazil willingness is much lower
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How does this evolve after real trials
After a Wizard of Oz test
02468
101214161820
Dense
Fluide
Jamais
Strong increase in user acceptance
High demand to have other activities
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To summarize customer whishes
7
For simplifying driving (ex : parking)
Why a self driving car ?
To have time for doing something else in monotonous or unpleasing driving situations
For more safety (80-90% of accidents are caused by human errors)
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2 different approaches of the global market
Market trend
From our existing customers point of view
Prioritization of use case according to customer wishes
Safety, save time, simplifying driving
Design & cost are major concerns
From new mobility use cases point of view
Taxis, shuttles … automomous driverless level 5
Design & cost are not major concerns
Tele-operation, fleet monitoring, …
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Focus points
What are our customers expectations ? Market trends
What are the main functions for level 2 & 3 : movies
What are the technologies and who will develop them ?
To conclude : eco system is key
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Progressive implementation of Autonomous Driving
AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE Level 3
WITHOUT
SUPERVISION
(TEMPORARILY)
AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE Level 4
WITHOUT
SUPERVISION
ON ENTIRE USE CASE
AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE Level 5
TRAFFIC JAM
CHAUFFEUR
HIGHWAY CHAUFFEUR
TRAFFIC JAM
PILOT
HIGHWAY PILOT
AUTOMATED DRIVING Level 2
PARTIAL
AUTOMATED
DRIVING
WITH DRIVER
SUPERVISION
VALET
PARKING
ROBOT TAXI
ASSISTED DRIVING Level 1
DRIVER ASSISTANCE
CRUISE CONTROL
LANE KEEPING
Change in
regulation needed
5 levels of automation, not all authorized by current regulation
HANDS ON HANDS ON or OFF
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Focus points
What are our customers expectations ? Market trends
What are the main functions for level 2 & 3 : movies
What are the technologies and who will develop them ?
To conclude : eco system is key
11
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Suppliers
OEM
Perception
GPS
Data fusion
Décision Module
Trajectory targets
Strategy
Action
System architecture
Safety
manage-ment
Driver HMI
How does it work ? Who does what ?
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Design safe autonomous driving
From level 3 driver doesn’t monitor driving
System needs to be « fails operational » until driver takes back
Main consequences
Safety in case of failure: redundancy for braking, steering, power supply
Safe function for dysfunctional ISO 26262
« Safety of the intended functionality » … still work in progress
Some methods
Safety goals by analysis of accidents
Optimization of driving validations simulations, computations
Extend ISO 26262 to manage « safe functions » and « fail operative »
Some safety issues …
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Deployment will depend on customer acceptance
•Manage the complexity •Give confidence to user • safe and intuitive Human Machine Interface
For System activation and desactivation
For Driver’s takeover when the system request him to resume control
To give the right information to the driver: which function is activated and what are the functions available
To explain the vehicle behavior and to give confidence in the function with a specific ADAS view
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HMI challenges for Automated driving and Autonomous vehicle
• According the level of automation the drivers status and needs are different
• Each category of automation has its own HMI challenges
• Each category of automation has its own HMI challenges
Autonomous Vehicle
Assisted driving
Automated driving
0- Manual
1- Assisted
2 - Partial automation
3 - Conditional automation
4 - High automation
5 - Full automation
Driver
Supervisor
No driver
Drissenger
Self driving car
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HMI Challenges for level 2
• In level 2 the main challenges concern the supervision and the tactical tasks sharing.
• For example is the automated lane change maneuver.
Automated system = Reliable system
Envy / Need Control Manœuver Decision of action
Driver initiative
System Definition
Mental representation
Real system
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HMI challenge for level 3
• For level 3 the main challenge is the take over request with a “sufficient time margin”
• As the Drissenger reaction time is highly dependent of multiple factors there is not a definitive value for the “sufficient time”
• We make test with a 10 seconds warning time
Test track – end of traffic jam situation
130 give back – 20 subjects
11%
32%
32%
18%
5%
2%
<2s
<3s
<5s
<7s
<10s
>10s
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Focus points
What are our customers expectations ? Market trends
What are the main functions for level 2 & 3 : movies
What are the technologies and who will develop them ?
To conclude : eco system is key
18
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Still a lot of work to be done and high investments : partnerships are required
Innovation with numerous consequences : social, legal, insurances, infrastructures
Testing is needed
France is moving
“Nouvelle France Industrielle” plan
“Plateforme Automobile Française”
Precompetitive research in SystemX & Vedecom
…
Eco system is key
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Human Driver will still be needed for a while !
Thank you for your attention