Projects Lecture I, II, III

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    Projects: Appraisal, financing and control

    Academic Year: 2010-11

    Trimester IV Lecture 1

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    Text book:

    Prasanna Chandra: Projects Planning, Analysis, Selection,

    Financing, Implementation and Review

    7th Edition 2009 Tata McGraw Hill

    Project Reports Preparation

    by mid trimester

    To be prepared by each group for a project selected by the group

    Project Appraisal & Financing Plan by end trimester

    To be done as a group activity:

    1. You will play the role of the financing bank!

    2. You are doing this work for a project prepared by another

    group?

    What shall we do in this course?

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    Plan for Lecture No 2

    Each group to present in 5 minutes:

    1. a project idea

    2. Who the project leader will be

    If the project is real, it will be great! In that

    case, the promoter will be the project leader.

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    Capital Investments : Importance and Difficulties

    Importance

    Long term effects

    Irreversibility

    Substantial outlays

    Difficulties

    Measurement problems: example a new capex plan might

    impact some existing activity of the firm

    Uncertainty

    Temporal spread

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    Types of Investments

    Mandatory Investments

    Replacement investments

    Expansion investments

    Diversification investments

    R & D investments

    Miscellaneous investments

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    Capital Budgeting Process

    Financing

    Implementation

    Selection

    Analysis

    Review

    Planning

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    Levels of Decision Making

    Operatingdecisions

    Administrativedecisions

    Strategicdecisions

    Where is the decision taken Lower level

    management

    Middle level

    management

    Top level

    management

    How structured is the decision Routine Semi-structured Unstructured

    What is the level of resource

    commitment

    Minor resource

    commitment

    Moderate

    resource

    commitment

    Major

    resource

    commitment

    What is the time horizon Short-term Medium-term Long-term

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    Examples

    Operating Decisions: minor office equipment

    Administrative Decisions balancing

    equipment

    Strategic Decisions: diversification plan

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    Key Issues in Project Analysis

    Market Analysis

    Technical Analysis

    PotentialMarket

    MarketShare

    TechnicalViability

    Sensible Choices

    Financial AnalysisRisk

    Return

    Economic Analysis

    Benefits and Costs in Shadow

    PricesOther Impacts

    Ecological AnalysisEnvironmental Damage

    Restoration Measures

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    What all will the project report

    contain

    Various aspects mentioned in the previous

    slide + + +

    The pluses will definitely include the details of

    the promoters particularly their experience,

    the management team, and so on

    Dont forget the executive summary in the

    beginning

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    Feasibility Study : A Schematic Diagram

    GenerationofIdeas

    Initial Screening

    Is the Idea Prima Facie Promising

    Plan Feasibility Analysis

    Conduct Market Analysis Conduct Technical Analysis

    Conduct Financial Analysis

    Conduct Economic and Ecological Analysis

    Is the Project Worthwhile ?

    Prepare Funding Proposal Terminate

    Terminate

    Yes No

    NoYes

    P

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    m

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    a

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    Key Issues in Major Investment Decisions

    Investment story

    Risks

    DCF Value

    Financing

    Options

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    Objective of Capital Budgeting

    Finance theory rests on the premise that managers should manage

    their firms resources with the objective of enhancing the firmsmarket value. This goal has been eloquently defended by

    distinguished finance scholars, economists, and practitioners.

    The quest for value drives scarce resources to their

    most productive uses and their most efficient users. The

    more effectively resources are deployed, the more robust

    will be the economic growth and the rate ofimprovement in our standard of living.

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    Basic Considerations : Risk and Return

    Investmentdecisions

    Financing

    decisions

    Return

    Risk

    Market value

    of the firm

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    Common Weaknesses in Capital Budgeting

    Poor alignment between strategy and capital budgeting

    Deficiencies in analytical techniques

    Poor identification of base case the status quo

    Inadequate treatment of risk

    Improper evaluation of options

    Lack of uniformity in assumptions example different departmentsof the firm

    Neglect of side effects

    No linkage between compensation and financial measures

    Reverse financial engineering cooking up the story

    Weak integration between capital budgeting and expense budgeting Ex. The

    capital budget presumes some ad expenses, which are later knocked out

    Inadequate post - audits