PROJECT FINANCE and TERM LOAN ASSESSMENT Kumar Sachdev... · January 3, 2011 1 PROJECT FINANCE and...
Transcript of PROJECT FINANCE and TERM LOAN ASSESSMENT Kumar Sachdev... · January 3, 2011 1 PROJECT FINANCE and...
January 3, 2011 1
PROJECT FINANCE PROJECT FINANCE and and
TERM LOAN ASSESSMENTTERM LOAN ASSESSMENT
S. K. Sachdev
IDBI Bank Ltd.
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During the day………
� Project Financing/Appraisal
� Products of Corporate financing
� Question and answer session
Types of Project
� Green field vs Brown field
� Expansion, Modernisation, Diversification
� Infra vs Non-infra
� Recourse vs Non-recourse
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PROJECT FINANCEPROJECT FINANCE
� A funding structure that relies on future cashflow from a specific development as theprimary source of repayment, with thatdevelopment’s assets, rights and interestlegally held as collateral security.
� Contrast to conventional corporate lendingwhich looks to the balance sheet and totalbusiness and financial resources of aborrower as the source of repayment.
Pre-requisite if Project Appraisal
� Working Knowledge of Industry
� Industry Dynamics and economics
� Requirement and source of inputs
� Manufacturing process
� Business Environment
� Manufacturing / Operating Cycle
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Pre-requisite if Project Appraisal
� Government Policy Guidelines and updates
� Institutional Norms
� Accounting Concepts and Policies
� Working Knowledge of Spreadsheets and Word Processing Applications
� Effective Communication
� Ability to identify critical elements from general ones, mitigate obvious risks so as to improve viability
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APPRAISAL – why?
� Project returns are spread over time� Each variable effecting NPV is subject to highlevel of uncertainty.
� Information and data needed for moreaccurate forecasts are costly to acquire.
� Need to reduce the likelihood to undertake a“BAD” project while not failing to accept a“GOOD” project.
� Ultimately leads to Risk Assessment and“credit delivery” decision.
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“Viability” is in the eyes of the beholder
� Appraisal from whose point of view?
� What are the “viability parameters” that needs to be achieved?
� In the range of possibilities:� Best Case scenario
� Worst Case scenario
� Most likely scenario
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APPRAISAL – WHY ?
� Extend assistance to “viable” [“bankable”] projects
� Viability means -
� Ability to service debt
� Ability to service equity
� Co. should earn for itself
� Allocate scarce resources
� Optimally
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STEPS IN APPRAISAL PROCESS
� Receipt of enquiry/application
� Initial screening-accept/reject
� If accepted,conduct detailed appraisal for credit decision
� Issue letter of intent (LoI) [“The Offer”]
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PROJECT APPRAISAL
� Broad areas of appraisal
� Promoters & management
� Market analysis
� Technical analysis
� Financial analysis
� Risk assessment and contracting [“covenant”]
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PROMOTER ASSESSMENT
� Most subjective aspect
� Types of promoters
� Existing companies
� First generation
� Government/PSUs
� Foreign promoters
� Promoters vs Management
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PROMOTER ASSESSMENT
� Existing companies
� Track record of performance
� Analysis of B/S and P& L A/c
� Dealings with FI’s/banks
� Ability to bring in required funds
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PROMOTER ASSESSMENT
� First generation � Individual promoters (limited tools)
� IT/Wealth Tax returns
� Bankers’ report
� Qualifications/past experience
� Technical partner
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MANAGEMENT ASPECTS
� Quality of the Board
� Promoter Directors vs. Independent Directors
� Project execution team
� Management structure during operation
� Chief executive
� Other functional heads
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MARKET ASSESSMENT
� Nature of the product� Applications� Competing products
� Industry structure� Existing & projected unsatisfied demand� Supply scenario & competitors� Product obsolescence� Selling arrangements
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TECHNICAL ASPECTS
� Various areas covered are� Locational aspects
� Process
� Technical arrangements
� Raw materials
� Utilities
� Environmental factors
� Manpower
� Implementation schedule
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LOCATION
� Location� Proximity to markets [e.g perishable products]� Proximity to raw material supplies [resource based, imported raw material]
� Availability of labour [quality, quantity, cost, relations]
� Availability of utilities� Effluent disposal� Other infrastructure [power, transportation, water etc]
� Governmental Policies [restrictions and sops]
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LOCATION -SITE
� Requirement of land area to be assessed based on - Plant layout- Expansion needs
� Soil test report� Load bearing capacity� Extent of development/leveling� Obtaining utility connections [costs] [transmission lines, railway sidings, feeder road, water, effluent disposal]
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PROCESS
� Has relationship to capacity, inputs and product-mix
� Latest and proven
� Cost effective – both from initial investment and production cost
� Alternate processes
� Advantages w.r.to- Cost- Consumption of inputs- Ease of operation/Upgradeable- Pollution aspects
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PROCESS
� New process or processes used first time in the country
� Background of the process know-how supplier
- Financial status
- Technical capability
- Reference plants
� Ad hoc committee of advisers
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TECHNICAL ARRANGEMENTS
� Technical collaboration
� Licensor of know-how/basic engineering
� Patents
� Plant & machinery
� Guarantees/warrantees – Collaborator/ P&M supplier /Detailed engg contractor
� Approach to “force majeure” conditions
� Assignment in case of ownership
� Termination
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TECHNICAL ARRANGEMENTS
� Technical know-how agreement
� Supply/vetting of basic engineering
� Guarantees
� Liquidated damages for non-performance
� Training of personnel
� Royalty
� Indemnity
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TECHNICAL ARRANGEMENTS
� Size of plant
� Minimum economic size which varies with change in technology, products, pricing, demand etc.
� Plant & Machinery
� Suitability & adequacy [transporting, trained personnel availability]
� Reasonableness of cost
� Reputation of suppliers
� Line balancing
� Spare parts
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RAW MATERIALS
� Raw materials & quantity� Sustained availability
� Imported /indigenous� Major suppliers
� Prices of raw material� Price volatility� Past trends� Duties
� Arrangements for supply.
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UTILITIES
� Power supply
� Water
� Labour
� Requirement/availability
� Arrangements
� Measures to augment supplies/fall back [power?]
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EFFLUENT DISPOSAL
� Liquid, gaseous & solid effluents
� Pollutant load needs to be assessed
� Depending on the volume and quality of the effluent suitable treatment measures are designed.
� Environmental impact assessment study
� Clearances from statutory authorities
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IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE
� List down all activities from “planning” to “COD”
� Time required for each step
� Scheduling of activities - PERT/CPM
� Resource required [impact of more or less resource]
� Schedule of machinery supply
� Experience of similar plants
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IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE
� Consequences of delay
� Increase in project cost
� Funding overrun
� Effect on viability
� Loss of market
� Confidence level of FIs
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PROJECT COST ESTIMATION
� Major heads are
� Land and site development
� Buildings/civil works
� Plant & machinery
� Imported
� Indigenous
� Tech. Know-how fees
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PROJECT COST ESTIMATION
� Expense on foreign technicians & training
� Misc.fixed assets
� Prel. & Pre-op expenses
� Contingency
� Margin money for working capital
Margin Money for Working Capital
Current Assets
� Raw Materials (Imp. - 3 mths/Ind -1 mth)
� Work-in-process( 1 process cycle time)
� Finished goods (1 wk to 1 mth)
� Receivables/ Debtors (30 days to 90 days)
� Other expenses (1 month)
Current Liabilities
� Creditors ( 1 month’s RM & consumables)
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MEANS OF FINANCE
� Basic criteria
� Promoters’ contribution
� Core promoters’ share
� Debt-equity ratio
� Normal DER – 1.5:1 (max.)
� Flexible for larger projects, infrastructure
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MEANS OF FINANCE
� General considerations
� Capital intensity
� Risk perception
� Serviceability – debt/equity
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MEANS OF FINANCE
� Equity
� Share capital
� Convertible part of PCD
(if converted in 18 months)
� Pref. Share Capital (> 3 yrs)
� Internal accruals
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MEANS OF FINANCE
� Quasi – equity
� Subsidy
� Subordinated loans from promoters
� Incentive loans
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MEANS OF FINANCE
� Debt
� Rupee term loans
� FC loans
� Pref. Capital (< 3 yrs.)
� Debentures
� ECB
� Suppliers’ credit
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MEANS OF FINANCE
� Security package
� First charge on fixed assets
� Second charge on movables
� Personal guarantees
� Corporate guarantees
� Pledge of shares
� Govt. Guarantee/escrow
� Assignment of contracts
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FINANCIAL VIABILITY
� Estimates of profitability, cash-flow and balance sheet
� Assumptions underlying profitability projections
� Critical assumptions� Installed capacity� Capacity utilisation� Product mix� Sales realisation� Consumption of inputs & prices
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FINANCIAL VIABILITY
� Compare profitability with that of existing firms in similar line, particularly the PBIDT margin.
� Computation of IRR
� Rate of discount which equates the pv of capex in the project to pv of net cash flow over the life of the project.
� Is compared with cost of capital
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FINANCIAL VIABILITY
� Whether sufficient cash flow to service debt.
� Debt-service coverage ratio� (Gross cash accr.+Int. on term debt)/(repayment of debt +int. on term loan)
� Computed yearly as well as average over the repayment period
� Av. DSCR to be > 1.5
� Yearly DSCR > 1.3
� Other ratios- BEP, CBEP
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FINANCIAL VIABILITY
� Sensitivity analysis
� Effect of adverse variance of critical elements on viability is examined
� Typical tests are� Reducing sales vol./Price� Increasing cost of inputs� Increase in project cost� Effect of FE fluctuation� Reduction in capacity utilisation.
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ECONOMIC APPRAISAL
� Social cost benefit assessment
� Qualitative & Quantitative
Qualitative
� Social costs –= Environmental pollution= Ecological imbalances= Forest degradation= Accidents= Threat to animal life
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Economic appraisal
� Social benefits= Improved facilities like roads, irrigation, sanitation etc.
= Improved transport facilities=More job opportunities=General economic improvement=Better living standards
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Economic appraisal
� Actual cost & benefits not true representation of economic cost
� Two aspects of economic viability -benefits accruing to the economy and international competitiveness
Security for the assistance
� SECURITY PACKAGE
� FIRST CHARGE ON FIXED ASSETS
� SECOND CHARGE ON MOVABLES
� PERSONAL GUARANTEES
� CORPORATE GUARANTEES
� PLEDGE OF SHARES
� GOVT. GUARANTEE/ESCROW
� SECURITY MARGIN
[1-(SECURED DEBT/F.A)] x 100
� FIXED ASSETS COVERAGE
(FA/DEBT)January 3, 2011 46
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Financial Terms
� Rate of interest- Fixed, semi variable or variable
� Reset clause
� ROI on FC loans- LIBOR- Hedging cost
� Upfront fee/ Syndication fee/ Appraisal fee
� LC/BG charges
� Availability period
Financial terms
� Repayment schedule- Moratorium
� Additional interest/ Penal interest/ LDs
� Prepayment clause
� Security creation stipulation
� Financial covenants- Triggers
� Lenders’ Agent/ Security Trustee/ TRA Agent/LIE/ LLC/ LIA
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PRUDENTIAL NORMS
� Individual exposure limits
15% of total capital funds of the Bank
+ 5% (for infrastructue projects)
+ 5 % (with the approval of the Board)
� Group Exposure40% of total capital funds of the Bank
+ 5% (for infrastructue projects)
+ 5 % (with the approval of the Board)
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Exposure Norms (Decided by respective Bank)
� Company
Rs.3000 crore + Rs.1000 crore for infrastructure
funding
� Group
Rs.8000 crore + Rs.2000 crore for infrastructure
funding
� Exposure to industry Sector
10% to 15% of total customer Exposure
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