Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007 UW Educational Outreach –...

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Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 1 Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007 UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07) A Tsunami Resilient Community: A Tsunami Resilient Community: • Understands the Nature of the Tsunami Hazard • Has the Tools to Reduce the Tsunami Risk • Disseminates information about the Tsunami Risk • Exchanges Information about the Tsunami Risk • Institutionalizes Planning for a Tsunami Risk

Transcript of Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007 UW Educational Outreach –...

Sponsored by NOAA and USAID under the U.S. Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Program Page 1

Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

A Tsunami Resilient Community:A Tsunami Resilient Community: • Understands the Nature of the Tsunami Hazard

• Has the Tools to Reduce the Tsunami Risk

• Disseminates information about the Tsunami Risk

• Exchanges Information about the Tsunami Risk

• Institutionalizes Planning for a Tsunami Risk

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

The most essential element of Resiliency is EducationEducationTwo stories from Thailand

Tilly Smith

Charles Ramsden

Tilly Smith interview at:

http://www.stopdisastersgame.org/information.html

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Who do you need to educate?• Emergency Managers & Planners

• Decision Makers

• Coastal industry & Businesses

• Coastal Residents & Workers

• School children

• Coastal Visitors - Anyone who may visit the coast

• Hazard & Disaster Professionals

Everyone!

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Elements of an Education Program:

• Provide accurate information about the hazard

• Describe what are the warning triggers and what people are expected to do

• Motivate people to take appropriate actions

Identify your core message - say it over and over!

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Secondary Message:

Natural WarningStrong ground shaking, ocean withdrawal, a sudden change in sea level, or a loud roar from the ocean are all Nature’s warning that a tsunami may be approaching.

Action: immediate self evacuation

Official WarningYou may be notified that a Tsunami Warning has been issued by: TV and radio stations, door-to-door contact by law enforcement, on NOAA weather radios, or in some cases by outdoor siren.

Action:Get off beach; seek more information

You may find out that a tsunami is coming in two ways:You may find out that a tsunami is coming in two ways:

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Education Methods:

• Curriculum

• Print material

• Electronic material

• Workshops and community gatherings

• Media

• Signs

• Siren tests

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Barriers to Preparedness and Mitigation:

• Unconvinced about risk

• Risk too big to do anything about

• Superstition/belief

• Impact on economy

• Difficult to change behavior - inertia

• Lack of information

• Existing legal & cultural framework

• Conflicting programs/inappropriate programs

• Poverty - higher priority activities

• Lack of funding

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Factors promoting Preparedness and Mitigation:

• Piggyback on successful existing programs

• Take advantage of current events

• Emulate communities with successful programs and publicize achievements

• Engage the public in the process of learning about the tsunami hazard.

• Gain the support of the media

• Redundancy

• Incorporate Social Science Lessons

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Incorporate Social Science:

Identify how people learn in your community

Present educational message in a variety of ways

People generally behave rationally during a disaster

Avoid scare tactics

How to change behavior?

Get people to talk about the hazard

Identify community leaders - get them on your side

Assess the effectiveness of your efforts

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Assessment:

Emergency Managers - did you understand the alert bulletins?

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Tsunami Awareness

0 20 40 60 80 100

Knows what tsunami is

Tsunami can arrive minutes after EQ

Not safe after 1st wave retreats

Knows what Cascadia S.Z. is

Percent Yes

Nov. 06

Apr. 01

Jan. 96

Mar. 95

Nov. 93

Apr. 93

Assessment: Humboldt County, Northern California

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Rupture zone of Rupture zone of 2004 Indonesian 2004 Indonesian EarthquakeEarthquake

1000 km

Rupture zone of Rupture zone of 1700 Cascadia 1700 Cascadia EarthquakeEarthquake

1000 km

How to convince skeptical populations that the tsunami risk is real: compare to modern great events elsewhere

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Trees killed by coastal subsidence Trees killed by coastal subsidence in the 2004 Indonesian earthquake.in the 2004 Indonesian earthquake.

Trees killed by the 1700 Trees killed by the 1700 Cascadia earthquake.Cascadia earthquake.

Calang,Sumatra Copalis River, Washington

Paleoseismology/images -- compare to modern great events elsewhere

Photo by Guy Gelfenbaum, USGSPhoto by Guy Gelfenbaum, USGS USG Photo USG Photo

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Crescent Beach Motel, 1964

19641960

1700

Paleotsunami evidence

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Modeling: known events

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Crescent City, 1964

Historic events: relative risk

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Modeling: known events

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Compare to historic events: Relative hazard

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Resources:GeoHazards International Guidebook

Chapter 1. Learn the basics of tsunami behavior

Chapter 2. Plan Your Approach Step 1: Learn About Your Community Step 2. Enlist Partners

Step 3. Find Resources

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Resources:GeoHazards International Guidebook

Chapter 3. Make Hazard and Evacuation Maps Step 1: Develop Tsunami Hazard MapsStep 2: Identify Safe LocationsStep 3: Recommend Evacuation RoutesStep 4: Hold Workshop with Community LeadersStep 5: Present Information on an Evacuation Map

Chapter 4. Involve the Community in Tsunami Preparednes

Step 3: Conduct Community Outreach ActivitiesStep 4: Evaluate and Improve Your Efforts

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Resources: GeoHazards International Guidebook

Chapter 5. Learn about and improve official tsunami warning systems

Step 1. Learn about effective official warning systems

Step 2. Learn about your community’s official warning

systemStep 3. Advocate to improve your community’s warning system

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Resources: GeoHazards International Guidebook

Chapter 6. Prevent Tsunami Damage

Activities that Prevent or Minimize Tsunami RiskSteps You Can Take

Chapter 7. Keep Preparedness Going Long-Term

Provide feedback on the Guidebook!!

Send me your comments [email protected]

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Professor Lori Dengler, Humboldt State University - July 30, 2007UW Educational Outreach – Tsunami Science & Preparedness Program (Su 07)

Resources:Tsunami Teacher