Professional Aviation in the Future - The World Aviation ... · hindsight: ^Everything we know in...
Transcript of Professional Aviation in the Future - The World Aviation ... · hindsight: ^Everything we know in...
Professional Aviation in the FutureQuality and Retention
Perspectives within this presentation
•Regulator and Industry
•Flight Training
•Airline
WATS & APATS 2018
“We need to ask the right questions”
We need to use personal intelligence when using data
driven intelligence.
2 flaws- Personal biases & Professional pride
Did not want to make history for the wrong reason
We have hindsight:
“I will say that I cannot imagine any condition which could cause a ship to founder. I cannot
conceive of any vital disaster happening to this vessel. Modern shipbuilding has gone beyond
that.” Captain EJ Smith, RMS Titanic
In aviation we use this in hindsight:
“Everything we know in aviation, every rule in the rule book, every procedure we have, we know because someone somewhere
died . . .
We have purchased at great cost, lessons literally bought with blood that we have to preserve as institutional knowledge and pass on to succeeding generations. We cannot have the moral failure of forgetting these lessons and have to relearn them.”
-C Sullenberger
We must apply “professional curiosity*” and be forward
thinking.
* EASA Licensing Team
…you can`t understand something you don`t know about
• Use reports within a “Just” culture
• Value and give robust feedback
• Encourage a culture of continuous improvement
Basis of CAANZ work with Flight Training NZ andAir New Zealand
CAANZ work with Flight Training
Flight Instruction as a profession
Not just a pathway to the airlines
Role is vital
Why is it not seen as a career?
An Instructor shapes the trainees professionalism
A good instructor can be present on every flight the
trainee conducts
New airline pilots
Demonstration of Competence
Knowledge + Skills
+Attitude: Professional
…also, benefit of experience
New NZ normal is 18-24 months in general aviation
Globally, are we seeing the loss of skills and experience and/or the stretching of capability within
the pilot pool?
Add to the current demand for pilots:
• So much happening: Industry in a massive period of change with technology
• New generations of savvy entrants- unintended consequences; RPAS
• Harder to source & retain career-orientated instructors
How well is Aviation promoted as a profession?
• Less interest? “Gen I….. want it now”
• Better incomes elsewhere
• Is aviation less accessible?
• Is aviation still “glamorous?”
• More popular with 50% of population- needs tochange!
• A career for all demographics
An Instructor shortage is the start of a pilot shortage and an aviation professional
shortage
How to train? “…the chicken or the egg?”
By the time we see a shortage, we are 18 months behind- at least.
Beyond the data, real facts:
• High number of Flight Instructors in system; but in airlines
• Reduced experience in the training sector
• Pilots still want to fly airliners
• Aging “lifers”
• Investment in staff for short-term gains in training schools
Current trend in NZ
• NZ and global demand now very high for training- Supply of Instructors low and diminishing.
• Instructors teaching for short periods prior to becoming our new Airline pilots with less total experience.
• We have seen that generation of less experience translate and increased occurrences within training; General Aviation and Airline
791862
912
1317
1993
2912
3141
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Overall Occurrences Reported
200000
R
NZ Entry Level Airline Occurrences
97101
105
145
189
265
283
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Overall Occurrence Reporting Rate
Occurrences per 10,000 hours
86
13
25
41
31
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Terrain Warning Occurrences
21 1
25
5456
26
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Flap Overspeed Occurrences
0.20.1 0.1
2.8
5.1 5.1
2.3
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Flap Overspeed Rate
1.0
0.7
0.1
0.3
2.4
3.7
2.8
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Terrain Warning Rate
4
1 1
6
13
24
17
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Selection Error Occurrences
0
5
1
5 5
14
21
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Unstable Approach Occurrences
0.5
0.1 0.1
0.7
1.2
2.2
1.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Selection Error Rate
0.0
0.6
0.1
0.60.5
1.3
1.9
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Unstable Approach Rate
CAANZ and Air New Zealand
• Does the training model and GA experience work for licenses and new airline recruits?
• Can the PFTO network assist?
Air New Zealand PFTOs-Preferred
Flight Training Organisations
4 Flight Training Schools operating in partnership with Air New Zealand
• Provide insight into discipline required
• Follow SOPs within group to ensure consistency
• Have support from partners
Questions asked include:
• Airlines tailor training specifically to identified candidates
• Add-on to our General Aviation license
• Airline Integration Course- intent(?)
• Airline Bridging Course- purpose and content
• How can ALPA provide guidance?
Joint work with Air NZ
High performer therefore recruit/identify
Maintain historic entrant criteria
Engage in a TNA with the regulator
Value of the instructor-maintain the ab-initio for greater understanding
Does not address NZ entry carriers issues of:
Demand greater than traditional supply
Lower timed pilots due turnover
Less skill & experience; upgrade issues (PiCtime)
Standard training regimes struggling
Turnover of experience within fleet therefore new Captains
Leads to other questions
• Long-term impact on flight schools to deliver
• RPAS- new career option(s) due technology and reduced Air-Transport pilots?
• Mentors- reduced “old heads” giving benefit of experience
We are aware of the costs:
• Repeat accidents of the past
• Loss of industry experience
• Loss of revenue
• Lose good long-term people; Leaders
• Organisations fail
• Multiple roles for staff; Senior persons go operational
• Degrade the quality of G.A and the next Gen-Airline
Collectively we can act;
We need to answer the right
questions.