Productivity, regional policy and economic governance

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PRODUCTIVITY, REGIONAL POLICY AND ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE EU COHESION POLICY CONFERENCE BRATISLAVA, 15-16 SEPT 2016 Joaquim Oliveira Martins Regional Development Policy Division, OECD

Transcript of Productivity, regional policy and economic governance

Page 1: Productivity, regional policy and economic governance

PRODUCTIVITY, REGIONAL POLICY AND ECONOMIC

GOVERNANCE EU COHESION POLICY CONFERENCE

BRATISLAVA, 15-16 SEPT 2016

Joaquim Oliveira Martins Regional Development Policy Division, OECD

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THE OECD PRODUCTIVITY

PROBLEM IS TO SOME EXTENT A

REGIONAL ISSUE

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Productivity growth of frontier regions

outpaces that of most regions

Notes: Average of top 10% and bottom 10% TL2 regions, selected for each year. Top and bottom regions are the aggregation of regions with the highest and lowest GDP per worker and representing 10% of national employment. 19 countries with data included.

Averages of top 10%

(frontier), bottom

75%, and bottom

10% (lagging) regional GDP per worker,

TL2 regions

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

90 000

100 000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

USD PPP per employee

Frontier regions Lagging regions 75% of regions

1.6% per year

1.3% per year

1.3% per year

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Where are the frontier and the catching-

up regions? TL2s, 2000-2013

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Mostly Urban (127) Intermediate (62) Mostly Rural (100)

%

Frontier (41) Catching-up (65) Keeping pace (107) Diverging (76)

70% of mostly urban frontier regions contain very large cities

75% of diverging mostly urban regions contain very large cities

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How regional catching-up compounds into

national labour productivity growth?

Annual average growth in real per worker GDP between 2000-2013 (or closest year available).

Regional catching-up can play an

important role for national productivity growth

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Region’s contributions to national growth vs.

labour productivity growth: Austria

Contribution to labour productivity growth, 2000-13 Percentage contribution to national GDP growth, 2000-13

Notes: The contribution of a region is defined as the difference between

the national annual average labour productivity growth rate and the same rate excluding the indicated region.

Notes: Percentage contribution shows the share of total GDP growth that

was due to growth in the indicated region. Total contribution sums to 100%.

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Region’s contributions to national growth vs.

labour productivity growth: UK

Contribution to labour productivity growth, 2000-13 Percentage contribution to national GDP growth, 2000-13

Notes: The contribution of a region is defined as the difference between the national annual average labour productivity growth rate and the same rate excluding the indicated region.

Notes: Percentage contribution shows the share of total GDP growth that was due to growth in the indicated region. Total contribution sums to 100%.

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The tradable sector appears to make the

difference: due to “unconditional” convergence?

All tradable sectors, TL2 regions

Notes: Tradable sectors are defined by a selection of the 10 industries defined in the SNA 2008. They include: agriculture (A), industry (BCDE), information and communication (J), financial and insurance activities (K), and other services (R to U). Non tradable sectors are composed of construction, distributive trade, repairs, transport, accommodation, food services activities (GHI), real estate activities (L), business services (MN), and public administration (OPQ).

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Frontier Catching-up Diverging Frontier Catching-up Diverging

Tradable GVA share Tradable employment share

2013 2000

%

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A ROLE FOR POLICIES

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• Economy-wide structural reforms help regional catching-up, more so if complemented by place-based policies

• Well-designed and well-implemented public investments may support regional catching-up (cf. OECD Governance of Public Investment Toolkit)

• Multi-level governance and territorial reforms can unlock productivity potential and support inclusion

Broad policy responses

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• Regional development policy most focused on growth and productivity

• Address urban policy split between transport, spatial planning, housing and social inclusion

• Reform of metropolitan areas can enhance the effect of labour market, product market and innovation policies

• Rural policies often remain sectoral (e.g. agriculture), but efforts to broaden the scope: focus on the economics of low-density areas and rural-urban linkages (forthcoming OECD Regional Outlook 2016)

Specific role for regional policies

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The role of subnational governments

needs to be more widely recognised

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Governments need a better governance

of regional, rural and urban policies Reported lead ministries or entities across three policy fields

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• Regional policies are important for national productivity growth

• Their contribution is even greater when considering the contribution of environmental and social dimensions of well-being

• Thus, they have to be properly integrated in the structural policy package for inclusive growth

Bottom-line

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THANK YOU!