Product Demand Simulator
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Total Product 500 Break-up Known Breakup Unknown
No Product
rediction accuracy? 70% P1 1 Err:508 35 7% 35
min u!!er 30 P" Err:508 50 10% 50
P3 Err:508 80 16% 80
P# Err:508 150 30% 150
P5 Err:508 185 37% 185
Planned 1 Err:508 500 100$ 500
%emainin& #''
Unit( re)uired a(ed on ao*e numer(
Product +dd u!!er , etra $ etra
P1 50 .5 100% .5 30 8.$
P2 /" 80 100% 80 30 .0$
P3 115 115 100% 115 35 ##$
P4 "15 "15 100% "15 .5 #3$
P5 ".5 ".5 85% 31" 80 #3$
Total 717 740 0 95% 787 240 0
ite (imulator
4260 Product , 247 389 925 317 384 384
Breakdown
known? Product
,$ o!population
Product
,
$ o!
population
Final
Product #
+dd !orpredictionaccuracy
Product inin*entory
Productyield
Product(tart( re)d
u-Product
inin*entory
INSTRUCTIONS:1. Input only in FILLED cll!. T" !"t i! loc#$ it"out &ny p&!!o'$.2. (nt' t" tot&l nu)*' o+ p'o$uct!3. Slct i+ t" c&t,o'i! &' #non- !/No i+ t" cll i! )pty t"n t" $+&ult i! u4. (nt' t" p'o*&*iliti! +o' c&t,o'y &ccu'&cy &n$ )ini)u) *u'5. I+ t" c&t,o'i! &' #non t"n nt' t" p'o$uct in colu)n (. I+ t" c&t,o'i!
6. C&lcul&tion! &' p'+o')$ in t" 'o! 32-39 +o' &'iou! !t&,!. Colu)n! !"&$$ in
NOT(S:7. &!$ on t" c&t,o'i! #non &n!' t" p'o$uct &' $ci$$ it"' +'o) colu8. &tc" out +o' t" 'RED' cll! "ic" &' in$ic&ti o+ in!u;cint u&ntiti!.9. "n c&t,o'i! &' not #non $c'&! t"
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ie Proaility ite 1 ite " ite 3 ite # ite 5 ite .
P1 7.0% 020$ 0 0 0 0 0 0
P" 10.0% 020$ 0 0 0 0 0 0
P3 16.0% 020$ 0 0 0 0 0 0P# 30.0% 020$ 0 0 0 0 0 0
P5 37.0% 10020$ "#/ 38' '"5 31/ 38# 38#
100%
ippin& )uantitie( a(ed on ao*e numer( !or te product cate&ory di(triution(
Product
P1 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
P2 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
P3 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
P4 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
P5 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?Total #NAME? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
Sub-product
P1 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
P2 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
P3 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
P4 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
P5 ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
Total #NAME? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
%andomim o!1000
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78% 8#
74% 10'
82% 1#1
88% "#5
72% #3#
79% 1013
212 321 601 480
u-product
yield
u-Product
(tart( re)d
n#non. T"i! cll ill ,'&y t" cll! t"&t &' not 'ui'$
' not #non t"n nt' t" % in colu)n
yllo &' in$ic&to'! o+ t" )&nu+&ctu'in, 'ui')nt!.
n ( o' colu)n only on &t & ti)
!ti)&t!.
!$ on t" p'o*&*iliti! )ntion$ *lo in colu)n .! c&t,o'i! &' !i)ul&t$ *y 'oun$in, up to n&'!t int,'. *&!$ on t" lo,ic p'!nt$ &*o.
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ite / ite 8 ite ' ite 10
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 00 0 0 0
"1" 3"1 .01 #80
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E? ,4+E?
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R&n$o) 0.74537 Tot&l ='o 4260 'o$uct
='o*&*ili Cu)ulutiSi? ='o$uction %
7% 0% =1 0% =1
10% 7% =2 0% =2
16% 17% =3 0% =3
30% 33% =4 0% =4
37% 63% =5 100% =5100% 100%Tot&l
T'i&l R&n$o) Si?
1 0.62381 =4 t'i&l 1000 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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8/9/2019 Product Demand Simulator
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8/9/2019 Product Demand Simulator
46/50
=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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8/9/2019 Product Demand Simulator
47/50
=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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8/9/2019 Product Demand Simulator
48/50
=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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8/9/2019 Product Demand Simulator
49/50
=5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5 =5
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8/9/2019 Product Demand Simulator
50/50
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