Producing iron ore pellets for 35 years - Ferrexpo · 2014-03-09 · Producing iron ore pellets for...
Transcript of Producing iron ore pellets for 35 years - Ferrexpo · 2014-03-09 · Producing iron ore pellets for...
Producing iron ore pellets for 35 years
2012 Annual Results Presentation
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IntroductionMichael Abrahams CBE DL, Chairman
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3
2012 Financial ResultsChris Mawe, CFO
― Revenue reflects market prices on avg 23% lower vs. 2011
― Remained competitively positioned on global cost curve― C1 costs managed and now stabilised― Significantly reduced freight costs
― Capex reflects growth projects & logistics development
― Strong credit metrics
― Special dividend of 6.6 US cents per share : 1st ore at FYM
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2012 Highlights: Reducing Operational & Financial Risk
US$M (unless otherwise stated) 2012 2011 ChangeRevenue 1,424 1,788 (20%)EBITDA 402 801 (50%)Profit for the year 216 575 (63%)Diluted eps 36.6 97.0 (62%)Capital investment 429 380 +13%Cash balance at 31/12/12 597 890 (33%)Net debt 423 80Net debt to EBITDA 1.1x 0.1xShareholder funds 1,549 1,373 +13%Final ordinary dividend (cents) 3.3 3.3Special dividend (cents) 6.6 -
Income Statement 2012 vs. 2011
US$M (unless otherwise stated) 2012 2011Pellet production from own ore (000’ tonnes) 9,409 9,063
Pellet sales (000’ tonnes) 9,675 9,875Revenue 1,424 1,788C1 cost per tonne 59.6 50.7Gross profit 729 1,138% margin 51% 64%Selling and distribution (312) (318)General admin and other (75) (62)Financing incl. non-operating Forex (79) (68)Profit before tax 262 691% margin 18% 39%Income tax % 18% 17%Profit for the year 216 575Diluted eps (US cents) 36.6 97.0
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― Consistent production underpinned results, own ore up 4%― Revenue reflects market environment― Costs reflect stable UAH & full year impact of 2011 energy
price increases― S&D reflects lower freight rates & move to capesize vessels― General admin reflects increased market coverage― Finance expense includes $20M discount for VAT outstanding
for more than 1 year― Overall, satisfactory results given market environment
1,7881,424
42
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327
846
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
Revenue 2011 Sales volume, ownore
Sales price, own ore Conversionbusiness
CIF/CFR sales Other Revenue 2012
1. Sales price on DAP/FOB basis excluding impact of international freight.
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Revenue 2012 vs. 2011US$M
1
EBITDA 2012 vs. 2011
1. Sales volume from own ore 7
801
402
23
21
348
85
5 5
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
EBITDA, FY2011
Sales volume Global iron oreprices
Lower freight C1 cost DAP/FOBdistribution costs
G&A and Other EBITDA, FY2012
1
50.759.6
2.3 1.6 0.4 0.9 0.8 2.4 1.2 60.4 58.90.1 0.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
C1 20
11
Elec
tricity
tariff
s
Gas t
ariffs Fuel
Gridi
ng m
edia
Strip
ping
Cons
umpti
on no
rms
Perso
nnel
Repa
irs, m
ainten
ance
Othe
r
C1 20
12
C1 1H
2012
C1 2H
2012
C1 cash cost per tonne
Energy related cost increases
US$M
Price effect: $327m
US$/t
onne
Cash Flow 2012 vs. 2011
US$M (unless otherwise stated) 2012 2011EBITDA 402 801Working capital movements (128) (111)Interest (56) (43)Tax and other (99) (144)Net cash flow from operating activities 119 503Sustaining CapEx (114) (129)Free cash flow 6 375Development CapEx (316) (251)Dividend (39) (39)Acquisitions and other 10 (36)Net financing inflow 46 521Net increase / (decrease) (294) 571Cash balance at 1 January 890 319Cash balance at 31 December 597 890Net debt at 31 December 423 80Net debt to EBITDA 1.1x 0.1xGearing 21% 5%
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― Working capital affected by slow repayment of VAT & pre-payment of corporate profit tax
― US$302M1 VAT outstanding at 31 Dec 2012, 71% of net debt― Interest includes US$39M coupon on Eurobond― Sustaining capex reflects modernisation programme― Growth projects on track to deliver increased output & quality― Net financing inflow reflects ECA funding― Strong credit metrics, net debt to EBITDA of 1.1x― Low gearing of 21%
1. Ukrainian VAT excludes other VAT of US$3.3M
2012 Capex reflects Modernisation, Projects to increase Output & Quality & Logistics development
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― FYM: 22.1m m³ overburden removed, 49.9m m³ removed since project’s start; first ore reached
― FPM capacity upgrade project: sections #9 and #15 complete, #2 97% complete
― FPM QUP: 8 of 10 Metso Vertical mills delivered, assembly in process
― FPM MLE: 11.5m m³ of overburden removed; 24.8 m m³ removed since project’s start (55% of project’s total)
― Belanovo: 5 trucks, 1 excavator delivered
― Logistics: 2011 purchase order for 1,000 rail cars completed in 2012, total fleet: 1,933 rail cars
― Logistics: Iron Destiny commenced operation in December 2012
US$M 2012 2011
FYM 146 129
FPM 192 170
Sustaining/modernisation 108 121
Mine life extension 49 46
Quality upgrade 35 3
Other: 91 81
FBM, other deposits 42 12
Logistics 49 69
Total 429 380
Capital expenditure Progress as projects ramp up
Credit Metrics – High Liquidity
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Balance Sheet 2012 vs. 2011
Gross Debt Maturity Profile at 31 December 2012
Net Debt / EBITDA
US$M 31 Dec 2012 31 Dec 2011
Cash and Equivalents 597 890
Total Gross Debt 1,020 970
Net Debt (423) (80)
Total Equity 1,570 1,393
Undrawn Facilities 0 50
Total Liquidity (Facilities + Cash) 597 940
― Minimal debt repayment in 2013 +1H 2014
― Average maturity profile 3 years
― Diversified sources of funding
― Access to bond market if required
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.5 0.4 1.9 0.2 0.1 1.1
US
$m
-
300
600
900
Cash 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Conclusion to Financial Review
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– Good results reflective of market environment– Maintained competitive position on global cost curve– C1 costs stabilised– Significant reduction in freight costs– Growth projects on track, output to increase going forward– Strong balance sheet– Slow repayment of VAT (71% of net debt)
Business UpdateKostyantin Zhevago, CEO
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Ferrexpo’s Key Objectives
– Expand high quality customer base– Reduce freight costs to Asia to levels below Brazilian competitors – Retain competitive position on global cash cost curve– Continue expansion to increase pellet equivalent production output to 20 Mtpa– Improve product mix: increase average pellet content to 65% Fe – Prudent financial management to efficiently fund growth strategy– Maintain high quality corporate governance associated with a premium listed company
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Developing the Business and Reducing Risk
– Increased sales to Growth markets from 27% of sales in 2010 to 42%
– Reduced dependence on Traditional markets and customer concentration risk
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1. Diversified sales portfolio
– “Building the bridge to Asia” – Began loading capsize vessels, significantly reducing
freight cost per tonne of pellets– Acquired top-off vessel to reduce loading costs
– Increased railcar fleet to reduce reliance on state railcars and transportation costs
2. Expanded logistics infrastructure
– First ore reached at FYM with commercial production expected in 2H 2013
– Diversification of operations – Higher quality ore with lower cash costs
3. Developed resource base
– Continued modernisation of the production process to increase output to 12 Mtpa in 2014 and improve the quality of pellet products to an average iron content of 65% in 2015
4. Modernised FPM’s facilities
– Extended the Yeristovskoe mining license to 2032– Extending exploration licenses for our Northern
deposits
5. Extended mining and exploration licenses
– Reduced the average cost of debt by 100 bps– 2011 bond issue extended maturity profile by 2 years
6. Improved financial profile
29%
47%
24%
IndexQuarterly FixedSpot
Sales Volume by Market
Marketing Expansion with Focus on Crisis Resistant Clients
– Index-linked pricing in line with the industry– Strengthening and diversification of customer base
– Redirected sales volumes from price sensitive customers in Ukraine, Serbia and Hungary
– Continued expansion in Growth markets– Captured significant market share with China’s leading steel mill
and more than doubled annual volumes to Japan– Tripled annual volumes to Germany – Allocation of 10% of sales to potential new customers
78
5366
53 49
1839
2740 42
4 8 7 7 90
30
60
90
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Traditional Growth Natural
+24 percentage points
Changes Implemented by Ferrexpo Since the 2008/09 downturn Sales Volume by Contract Type
%
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Logistics Taking it to the Next Level
– Developing seaborne logistics to Asia– Own approximately 2,000 rail cars (lowers rail costs, guarantees
wagon availability and reduces risk of contamination)– Integrated barging operations on the Dnieper, Danube and
Rhine Rivers
– 17 capesize vessels loaded in 2012, over 30 expected in 2013– Panamaxes reduced and phased out – Transhipment vessel has reduced top-off costs and time taken to
load capesize vessels– Resulting in increased port efficiency and reduced handling cost
per tonne
Ferrexpo seaborne freight cost
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“Building the Bridge to Asia”
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22
27
32
37
42
1H2010 2H2010 1H2011 2H2011 1H2012 2H2012 Jan-2013
Ferrexpo, Yuzhny-Qindao C3 Tubarao-Qindao
US$/tonne
Concentrate Production – Competitive Cost Position
1Source Bank of America Merrill Lynch, January 2013
CIF China 62% Fe Equivalent Unit Concentrate Cash Cost1
US$/tonne
171 Pelletising margin deducted from operating cost.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
China Mid Cost
Ferrexpo
China High Cost
China Low Cost
Rio Tinto Rio TintoValeBHP Billiton
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C1 cash cost: 2012 vs. October 2008 (pre-devaluation)C1 Cash Cost breakdown 2012
51.0
59.6
4.8 0.3 11.4 4.4 3.0 0.51.68.7
1.54.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
C1 O
ct. 08
Gas t
ariffs Fuel
Grind
ingme
dia
Elec
tricity
tariffs
FX ef
fect o
nele
ctrici
ty
Cons
umpti
onno
rms
Perso
nnel
FX ef
fect o
npe
rsonn
el
Repa
irs,
maint
enan
ce
Othe
r
C1 20
12
C1 cash cost US$ per tonne
US$-denominated commoditiesPersonnel costs stable in US$
25%
10%
14%7%3%
10%
18%
11%2% Electricity
FuelGasGrinding mediaExplosivesOther materialsMaintenance and repairsPersonnelRoyalties
Ongoing Investment in Low Risk Brownfield Projects
Capital Expenditure
86
167
380429
0
100
200
300
400
2009 2010 2011 2012
US$ MM
– Modernization and debottlenecking of FPM processing facilities– First ore at FYM– Logistics investments
Reducing Operational Risk and Further Developing a High Quality Asset Base
Output and Grade to Steadily Increase
2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
10 Mtpa 11 Mtpa 12 Mtpa 12 Mtpa 20-22 Mtpa
@63.3% Fe @63.5% Fe @63.5% Fe @65.0% Fe @65.9% Fe
Processing higher quality ore from FYM using FPM’s spare capacity
– Total of US$383M invested in FYM since 2008FPM quality upgrade
– Total of US$38M spent since 2011 with US$68M (out of US$174M remaining) to be spent in 2013
Beneficiating facilities at FYM– Initial investment of US$30M was approved in
October 2012
1
3
2
1 2 3
Avg pellet equivalent Fe
(1)
Sustaining capexDevelopment capex
1 Estimated as 12 Mtpa @65% Fe and 10 Mtpa @67% 19
Ferrexpo a World Class Iron Ore Pellet Producer
– Continue dialogue with Ukrainian government & manage country risk on a proactive basis
– Continue expansion to increase quality & pellet equivalent output to 20 Mtpa– Continue to develop logistics capabilities & premium customer base– Continue to evaluate potential NPV accretive opportunities– Prudent balance sheet management
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Strategy
Thank you, the end.
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Appendix
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Geographical location — Ukraine
Ferrexpo at a Glance - A World Class Pellets Producer
Significant resource base…
– Over 5 Mtpa handling capacity at Yuzhny port– Own transshipment vessel at Yuzny facilitates use of capesize vessels– Approaching self-sufficiency in rail cars with 1,933 units owned– Extensive fleet of barges on the Danube river
– 1.47 Bnt of 2P reserves and 4.7 Bnt of JORC M&I resources1
– Production from two open cut mines – FPM and FYM– In 2012 we mined approximately 30 Mt of crude ore
1 Measured and indicated resources include proved and probable reserves
Goris
hne-
Plav
ninsk
oye
and
Lavr
ikovs
koye
*3.
6Bt
Yeris
tovs
koye
**1.
2Bt
Belan
ovsk
oye*
**1.
7Bt
Gales
chins
koye
0.
3Bt
Zaru
dens
koye
1.5B
t
Vasil
ievsk
oye
1.4B
t
Khar
chen
kovs
koye
2.8B
t
Man
uilov
skoy
e3.
5Bt
Brov
arsk
oye
4.0B
t
6.8 Bnt JORCClassified
ProductionDevelopmentLicence Maintenance
Gdantsev Successionquartzite, schist, filliteschist units
Saksagan SuccessionBIF units
Basementamphilobitegranite, migmatite
13.2 Bnt FSUSoviet Classified
*Operated by Ferrexpo Poltava Mine subsidiary (FPM)** Operated by Ferrexpo Yeristovo Mine subsidiary (FYM)*** Operated by Ferrexpo Belanovo Mine subsidiary (FBM)…supported by an in-house logistics network
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FPM Safety
0102030405060708090
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
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2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Number of accidents at FPM
Ferrexpo at a Glance (Cont’d)
Production Output and Quality‘000 tonnes %
8,76610,031 9,811 9,690
63.5 63.4 63.5 63.3
62
63
64
65
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
2009 2010 2011 2012Production from own oreProduction from third party concentrate Average Fe content
EBITDA and MarginUS$ M %
Well Located to Supply Regional and Seaborne Markets2012 Sales Volume by Value
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-100
100
300
500
700
900
2009 2010 2011 2012
EBITDA EBITDA margin
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Ferrexpo
Marketing officeTarget markets
Traditional marketsNatural marketsGrowth markets
9%
42%
49%
Unique Investment Proposition
High quality and diversecustomer base
Integrated logistical solution
Strong governance andexperienced management team
Premium product producer
Strong cash flow and competitive cost position
Vast resource base with growth optionality
1
2
3
– 100% of production is in the form of iron ore pellets…
– … of which half contain 65% Fe
– One of the lowest pelletizing costs in the industry on an FOB basis
– Globally competitive on iron ore concentrate cost curve
– 4.7 Bnt of JORC M&I resources along a single ore body
– Multiple opportunities for brownfield growth– ca.50 years of reserve life(1)
– Focus on customers producing high value added steel products who are “crisis resistant”
– Sales split between Europe, Middle East and Asia
– Stake in Yuznhy port terminal for capesize vessels
– New top-off vessel in harbor– Own railcar and river barge fleet
– Governance in line with the requirements of LSE Premium Listing
– Management combining international expertise and detailed local knowledge
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5
6
1 Estimated based on total reserves of 1,470 Mt and average ore mining rate of 30Mtpa
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FerrexpoGroup Investor RelationsIngrid McMahon – [email protected]+44 207 389 8304 www.ferrexpo.com