Private Label in US Grocery—Five Drivers of Growth … · Expansion of grocery discounters. ......

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1 Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director, FGRT [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2017 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. October 19, 2017 Private-label goods capture a minority share of the US grocery market, but there are five specific factors that could boost sales of these products: 1) Rising food-price inflation may prompt American shoppers to trade down from branded grocery products. 2) Expansion of grocery discounters Aldi and Lidl in the US could fuel competition in private label. 3) Amazon’s acquisition of Whole Foods Market could jump- start Amazon’s grocery private-label offering. 4) Retailers could capitalize on heightened consumer demand for more fresh, organic and natural foods. 5) Private labels could capture growth in the meal-kit market. Kroger and Albertsons are two grocery retailers that are already tapping this category. Deep Dive: Private Label in US Grocery— Five Drivers of Growth Deborah Weinswig Managing Director FGRT [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016

Transcript of Private Label in US Grocery—Five Drivers of Growth … · Expansion of grocery discounters. ......

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

October19,2017

Private-labelgoodscaptureaminorityshareoftheUSgrocerymarket,buttherearefivespecificfactorsthatcouldboostsalesoftheseproducts:

1) Risingfood-priceinflationmaypromptAmericanshopperstotradedownfrombrandedgroceryproducts.

2) ExpansionofgrocerydiscountersAldiandLidlintheUScouldfuelcompetitioninprivatelabel.

3) Amazon’sacquisitionofWholeFoodsMarketcouldjump-startAmazon’sgroceryprivate-labeloffering.

4) Retailerscouldcapitalizeonheightenedconsumerdemandformorefresh,organicandnaturalfoods.

5) Privatelabelscouldcapturegrowthinthemeal-kitmarket.KrogerandAlbertsonsaretwogroceryretailersthatarealreadytappingthiscategory.

Deep Dive: Private Label in

US Grocery— Five Drivers of

Growth

Deborah Weinswig

Managing Director

FGRT

[email protected]

US: 917.655.6790

HK: 852.6119.1779

CN: 86.186.1420.3016

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October19,2017

TableofContents

ExecutiveSummary.........................................................................................................................................3

Introduction:PrivateLabelsinUSGrocery......................................................................................................4

PrivateLabelsCaptureJustOneDollarinSevenSpentonGroceries................................................................4

ThreeReasonsPrivateLabelCapturesSuchaSmallShareofGrocerySalesintheUS......................................61. PrivateLabel’sShareIsDistortedbyGroceryDiscounters.................................................................................62. Private-LabelDevelopmentReflectsSectorConcentration................................................................................73. WalmartIsaHouseofBrands............................................................................................................................9

FivePotentialDriversofGroceryPrivate-LabelGrowth...................................................................................91. RisingFood-PriceInflation..................................................................................................................................92. GroceryDiscountersSettoGrowRapidly.........................................................................................................103. AmazonandWholeFoods:NewChannelsandNewProducts.........................................................................124. DemandforFresh,OrganicandNaturalFoods................................................................................................125. RidingtheMeal-KitTrend.................................................................................................................................14

KeyTakeaways...............................................................................................................................................15

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ExecutiveSummaryInUSgrocerystores,retailers’privatelabelscaptureonlyaminorityshareoftotalgroceryspending.Lastyear,private-labelproductsaccountedforjust14.5%ofallUSspendingonconsumerpackagedgoods(CPGs),accordingtoresearchfirmIRI.Thisequatedto$115billionofprivate-labelCPGsalesinthechannelsIRItrackedin2016.

Privatelabel’sshareofgrocerysalesisalsomuchlowerintheUSthanincomparablemarketssuchastheUK,GermanyandFrance.Weseethreereasonsforthis:

1. Thepresenceofgrocerydiscounterspushesupprivatelabel’sshareofthetotalgrocerymarket—andtheUShasaverysmalldiscountersegmentrelativetocomparablemarkets.

2. TheUSgrocerymarketisunusuallyfragmented,andfragmentationinhibitsthedevelopmentofsophisticated,tieredandinnovativeprivate-labelranges.

3. WalmartisbyfarthegroceryleaderintheUS,andispositionedasa“houseofbrands.”Thispositioningispartlyduetothefactthattheretaileroriginatedasageneralmerchandiserratherthanasafoodretailer.

Wealsoseefivetailwindsforgroceryprivate-labelgrowthintheUS:

1. Risingfood-priceinflationin2017.Privatelabelperformsmorestronglyinaninflationaryenvironmentbecausepriceincreasestemptshopperstotradedownfrombrandedproducts.

2. Expansionofgrocerydiscounters.AldiisgrowingitsUSstorenumbersandLidlhasjustenteredtheUSmarket.Bothareoverwhelminglyprivate-labelretailers.TheirgrowthcouldleadtototalUSdiscounterprivate-labelsales(groceryandnongrocery)ofaround$37.7billionin2020.

3. Amazon-WholeFoodssynergies.WeexpecttoseetheWholeFoodsMarketacquisitionjump-startAmazon’sgroceryprivate-labeloffering.

4. Heightenedconsumerdemandformorefresh,organicandnaturalfoods.Thisdemandcanserveasaspringboardforprivate-labelgrowth,becauseprivate-labelmarketsharealreadyoverindexesinfreshfoodcategories.

5. Meal-kitmarketgrowth.Groceryretailers’expertiseinofferingaverywiderangeofprivate-labelfoodproductsacrossfreshandambientcategoriesmeanstheyareuniquelywellpositionedtocapitalizeonthemeal-kittrend.

Privatelabel’sshareofgrocerysalesismuchlowerintheUSthanincomparablemarketssuchastheUK,GermanyandFrance.

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October19,2017

Introduction:PrivateLabelsinUSGroceryPrivatelabelsallowshopperstoenjoylowerpricesandretailerstoenjoyfattermargins.Theyareawin-winoffering—unlessyouhappentobeabrandownerthatislosingsalestoretailers’ownlabels.Despitetheirappeal,privatelabelsmakeuponlyaminorshareoftheaveragegroceryshoppingbasketintheUS.

Inthisreport,welookatthescaleoftheprivate-labelsegmentinUSgrocery,discussthreereasonsprivate-labelpenetrationratesarerelativelylowintheUSandoutlinefivedriversforgrowthingroceryprivatelabel.

Source:iStockphoto

PrivateLabelsCaptureJustOneDollarinSevenSpentonGroceriesAmericanswillspendaround$1trilliononfood,beveragesandothergroceryproductsthisyear.Alargemajorityofthatspendingwillflowtobrandownerslargeandsmall.Lastyear,private-labelproductsaccountedforjust14.5%—orapproximatelyonedollarinseven—spentonCPGsintheUS,accordingtoresearchfirmIRI.

Thisequatedto$115billionofprivate-labelCPGsalesin2016,basedonIRI’stotalcoverageuniverse,whichincludesmostfoodstorechains,massmerchandisers,warehouseclubs,dollarstoresanddrugstorechains,butexcludessomechainsandsmallerretailers.

AccordingtofiguresfromthePrivateLabelManufacturersAssociation(PLMA)andNielsen,2016salesofprivate-labelgoodsacrossallcategories(includingnongrocery)totaled:

• $60.2billionbysupermarketretailers

• $49.6billionbymassmerchants,warehouseclubsanddollarstores

• $8.3billionbydrugstorechains

Acrossthesetypesofstoresintotal,privatelabelcaptured17.5%ofvaluesalesand21%ofunitsalesin2016,accordingtothePLMAandNielsen.

Lastyear,approximatelyonedollarinsevenspentongroceriesintheUSwasspentonprivate-labelproducts.

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Figure1.US:Private-LabelSalesasShareofTotalSales,2016(%)

Allcategoriesdataareforallproductssoldthroughtrackedsupermarkets,massmerchandisers,warehouseclubs,dollarstoresandchaindrugstores.CPGsdataareforsalesattrackedmultioutletandconveniencestores,whichtotaled$795billioninthe12monthsendedSeptember22,2016.Source:PLMA/Nielsen/IRI

Retailersthathavebuilthighlysuccessfulprivate-labelrangescomfortablyexceedtheseindustryaverages.TwoexamplesareCostcoandKroger.Costco’sKirklandSignatureprivatelabelmakesupaboutone-quarteroftotalcompanysales,permanagementstatements.Byvalue,Krogerseesprivatelabelcaptureasimilarshare,asshownbelow.

Figure2.Kroger:Private-LabelSalesasShareofTotalSales(%)

ShareofKrogersalesexcludingautomotivefuelandpharmacysalesSource:Companyreports

17.5

14.5

21

17.1

AllCategories CPG

Value Volume

24.0%

25.5%26.0% 26.0%

27.0% 27.1%

28.0% 28.0%

2013 2014 2015 2016

Value Volume

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TheUStrailsanumberofcomparableWesternmarketsintermsofprivate-labelgrocerypenetration.FranceandtheUKhavegrocerysectorsthat,liketheUS,arefocusedonlargesupermarketsandhypermarkets,yetprivatelabelsaccountformuchhighersharesofCPGsalesinthosecountries.

Figure3.SelectedCountries:Private-LabelSalesasShareofCPGValueSales(%)

Dataarefor2015,exceptfortheUS,whicharefor2016,andtheUK,whichareasofJuly2017.Italydataareforhypermarketsandsupermarketsonly.USdataareformultioutletandconveniencestores.Source:IRI/KantarWorldpanel

ThreeReasonsPrivateLabelCapturesSuchaSmallShareofGrocerySalesintheUS1. PrivateLabel’sShareIsDistortedbyGroceryDiscountersThepresenceofgrocerydiscounterssuchasAldiandLidlhasameaningfulimpactonprivatelabel’sshareofacountry’soverallgrocerymarket.ComparedwithanumberofEuropeancountries,suchasGermany,theUKandFrance,theUShasaminorharddiscountsector.Aldihadjusta1.3%marketshareintheUSin2016,perEuromonitorInternational,andLidlenteredtheUSmarketonlyinthesummerof2017.Thisrelativelysmallpresenceofharddiscountersdepressesprivatelabel’sshareoftheoverallmarketintheUS.However,oncegrocerydiscountersarestrippedout,themajorEuropeaneconomiesseerelativelysimilarlevelsofprivate-labelshareastheUSdoes,ataroundone-quarterofCPGsales.

14.5%

51.0%

38.4%34.1%

17.2%

US UK Germany France Italy

TheUStrailsanumberofcomparableWesternmarketsinprivate-labelgrocerypenetration.

ThepresenceofgrocerydiscounterssuchasAldiandLidlhasameaningfulimpactonprivatelabel’sshareofacountry’soverallgrocerymarket.

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Figure4.SelectedEuropeanCountries:Private-LabelSalesasShareofCPGValueSales,2015/2016(%)

UKexdiscountersdataexcludeMarks&Spenceraswellasharddiscounters.Dataarefor2015,exceptforUKincl.discounters,whichareasofJuly2017.Source:IRI/KantarWorldpanel

2. Private-LabelDevelopmentReflectsSectorConcentrationThegrocerysectorisunusuallyfragmentedintheUS,withonlytworetailersenjoyingdouble-digitmarketshare.WalmartisbyfarthemarketleaderinUSgrocery,witha26%sharein2016,accordingtoEuromonitor.Itsclosestcompetitor,Kroger,hada10%sharelastyear.Thisfragmentationlimitsthepotentialfortiered,innovativeandwell-knownprivatelabelsthatconvinceshopperstoswitchfrombrandedgoods.Inothermarkets,retailerswithaverysubstantialmarketsharehaveusedtheirscaletodevelopsophisticated,tieredprivate-labelranges.

Figure5.TheImpactofGrocerySectorConcentrationLevelsonPrivateLabel’sShareoftheGroceryMarket

Source:FGRT

Thecorrelationbetweenprivate-labelmarketshareanddegreeofconcentrationingroceryretailingappearstobeconsistentacrosscountries.

51.0%

38.4%34.1%

28.2%24.5% 27.7%

UK Germany France

Incl.Discounters ExDiscounters

TheUSgrocerysectorisunusuallyfragmented.

GroceryRetailConcentrahon

Private-LabelQualityandInnovahon

GreaterConsumerAcceptanceofPrivate

Label

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October19,2017

Figure6.SelectedCountries:Private-LabelCPGValueSharevs.TopFourGroceryRetailers’AggregateMarketShare(%)

Source:PLMA/IRI/KantarWorldpanel/EuromonitorInternational

14.5%

51.0%

38.4%34.1%

17.2%

45.3%

70.9%67.4%

51.4%

31.2%

US UK Germany France Italy

Private-LabelCPGValueShareTopFourGroceryRetailers’AggregateMarketShare

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3. WalmartIsaHouseofBrandsMarketleaderWalmart’slong-standingstrategytobefirstandforemostahouseofbrandsappearstohavelimitedprivate-labeldevelopmentintheUSmarket.Thecompany’soriginsasageneralmerchandiser,ratherthanasafoodretailer,naturallyledtoitsmorebrand-focusedpositioningrelativetomanycompetitorsinthegrocerysector.

Source:iStockphotos

DavidCheesewright,PresidentandCEOofWalmartInternational,saidinaJune2016earningscall:

[I]fyoustartedlifeasafoodretailer,youviewprivatelabelastheplaceyoustart,andbrandisthethingthatyouonlysellifyoucan’tcreateaproperprivatelabel.Becauseifasignsayswesavepeoplemoney,thenwhywouldyouwanttosellsomethingthatcostsmoreforthesamequality?Ifyoustartingeneralmerchandise,Ithinkyoutendtoviewthingsasahouseofbrands.

However,onanApril2015earningscall,Walmartmanagementsaidthatitwasthelargestprivate-labelplayerintheUS.

FivePotentialDriversofGroceryPrivate-LabelGrowthPrivatelabelisnotafast-growingsegmentinUSgrocery:infact,in2016,privatelabellostshareoftotalUSCPGsales,accordingtoIRI.However,weseeseveraltailwindstogrowth,includingtheexpansionofgrocerydiscounters,innovationfromAmazonandWholeFoodsMarket,andthepopularityofmealkits.

1. RisingFood-PriceInflationPrivatelabelperformsmorestronglyinaninflationaryenvironmentbecausepriceincreasestemptshopperstotradedownfrombrandedproducts.Wethinktheveryweakfood-priceinflation—andsporadicdeflation—seenintheUSin2016wasaprincipalreasonbehindtheabovementionedweaknessinprivate-labelCPGsaleslastyear.

MarketleaderWalmart’slong-standingpositioningisasahouseofbrands.

Privatelabelperformsmorestronglyinaninflationaryenvironmentbecausepriceincreasestemptshopperstotradedownfrombrandedproducts.

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In2017,foodandbeveragepriceinflationhasstrengthenedeachmonth,climbingfromdeflationof0.1%inJanuarytoinflationof1.1%inAugust(latest),accordingtoS&PCapitalIQandtheUSBureauofLaborStatistics.

Below,wecharttherelationshipbetweenconsumerpricesinflationinfoodandbeveragesandtheperformanceofprivatelabelrelativetototalgrocerysales,accordingtoIRI.Thehigherfood-priceinflationseensofarthisyearsuggestsimprovedprivate-labelgrowth—andanyfurtheruptickinpriceswouldlikelybenefitprivatelabels.

Figure7.US:GroceryPrivate-LabelPerformanceRelativetoTotalCPGMarketvs.ConsumerPricesInflationinFoodandBeverages

*ThroughAugust31,2017Source:S&PCapitalIQ/IRI/FGRT

2. GroceryDiscountersSettoGrowRapidlyGermany’sAldiandLidlaresettogrowtheirpresenceintheUSmarket,whichwillboosttotalUSprivate-labelsalesandlikelyspursomeestablishedrivalstostrengthentheirownprivate-labelofferings.Around90%ofLidl’sUSproductofferingisprivatelabel,acompanyspokesmansaidinJune2017,andasimilarproportionofAldi’sUSrangesarereportedtobeown-brandgoods.

LidlopeneditsfirstbatchofUSstoresinmid-June2017.Thecompanyhadstatedearlierthatitintendedtoopen20storesintheUSoverthesummeracrossthreeeasternstates:NorthCarolina,SouthCarolinaandVirginia.WhenwecheckedtheLidlwebsiteonAugust23,itsaidthatthecompanywasoperating22storesintheUS.

WeestimatethatLidlwillgrowitsUSpresencetoapproximately300storesbytheendof2020andgeneratealmost$4billioninUSsalesinthatyear.

PrivateLabelOutpacesMarket

PrivateLabelKeepsPacewithMarket

PrivateLabelUnderpacesMarket

PrivateLabelKeepsPacewithMarket?

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

2014 2015 2016 2017YtD*

Food

and

BeverageInflaho

n

Around90%ofLidl’sUSproductofferingisprivatelabel.

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October19,2017

Source:iStockphotos

RivalGermandiscounterAldihasbeenintheUSfor40years,butisnowacceleratingitsexpansionprogram.InJune2017,thecompanyannouncedthatitwouldinvest$3.4billiontogrowitsUSstorecountfrom1,600to2,500by2022.

• Aldi’sUSsalesstoodat$13.1billionin2016,accordingtoEuromonitor,whilerivalTraderJoe’sturnedover$13.4billion.

• IfAldiandTraderJoe’scontinuetogrowrevenuesatthesamepaceastheydidfrom2011through2016(perEuromonitor),theywillgeneratesalesof$19.5billionand$18.6billion,respectively,in2020.

• Thosesales,combinedwithLidl’sestimatedsales,suggesttotalUSharddiscountersalesof$41.9billionin2020.

• Withprivatelabelaccountingforapproximately90%ofsalesattheseharddiscounters,totalprivate-labelsales(includingnongrocerysales)throughdiscounters’USstorescouldpotentiallyreach$37.7billionin2020.

Thispotentialboosttoprivatelabelisonlythedirectimpact.TheremayalsobeindirectimpactsascompetitionfromAldiandLidlpromptsestablishedgroceryretailerstooverhaultheirownprivate-labelofferings.

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3. AmazonandWholeFoods:NewChannelsandNewProductsWeexpecttoseetheWholeFoodsMarketacquisitionjump-startAmazon’sgroceryprivate-labeloffering.InAugust,AmazonannouncedthatitwouldmakeWholeFoods’privatelabels,includingits365EverydayValueandeponymousWholeFoodsMarketlabels,availableforpurchaseonAmazon.com.BylateSeptember,manyWholeFoodsprivate-labelproductswereofferedtothoseshoppersabletopurchasefromtheAmazonFreshserviceorthroughAmazonPrime.

Source:Amazon.com

WeexpecttoseetheWholeFoodsacquisitionprovideaparticularboosttothefreshfoodrangesavailablethroughtheAmazonFreshdeliveryservice,asprivatelabeltendstooverindexinfreshfoodcategories.

Amazonalsohastheoptiontoextenditsownprivate-labelgroceryoffering.Itsstill-smallWickedlyPrimegroceryrangenumberedjustafewdozenproductswhenwecheckedinlateSeptember.AmazonfeaturedWickedlyPrimeproductsprominentlyduringitsJuly2017PrimeDayevent.

OtherInternet-onlyretailersarepushingintoprivate-labelgroceries,too.InlateSeptember2017,Walmart-ownedJet.comannouncedthatitwouldbelaunchinganewprivatelabel,UniquelyJ,acrossarangeofnonperishableitemssuchaslaundrydetergent,coffeeandoliveoil.

4. DemandforFresh,OrganicandNaturalFoodsGroceryretailersareseeingasteady,incrementalconsumershifttowardfresh,organicandnaturalfoodsandawayfrompackaged,processedproducts.Thisisatrendwehavediscussedatlengthinseveralpreviousreportsfocusingon,respectively,millennials’groceryshoppingbehavior,growingconsumerdemandforhealthierfoodsandmajorfoodcompanies’responsestoconsumers’shiftinggrocerypreferences.

USorganicfoodsalesjumpedby8.4%in2016,accordingtotheOrganicTradeAssociation.Thiscomparedwitha1.8%increaseintotalfoodanddrinkspendingin2016,pertheUSBureauofEconomicAnalysis.TheOrganicTradeAssociationsaidthatthisstrongperformanceledtoorganicsaccountingformorethan5%oftotalfoodsalesintheUSforthefirsttime.

Consumers’shifttonaturalandorganicfoodscanserveasaspringboardforprivate-labelgrowth.Private-labelgoodsalreadyoverindexintermsofmarketshareinfreshfoodcategories,asweshowbelow.Fruitandvegetables,fish,meat,anddairyproductsaretypicallycommoditygoodsratherthanbrand-ledcategories,andthisboostsprivatelabel’sshareofsalesinthosecategories.

WeexpecttoseetheWholeFoodsMarketacquisitionjump-startAmazon’sgroceryprivate-labeloffering.

AccordingtotheOrganicTradeAssociation,USorganicfoodsalesjumpedby8.4%in2016.

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October19,2017

Source:iStockphoto

Figure8.US:PrivateLabel’sValueShare,byCategory,2015(%)

Source:IRI

Anumberofretailershaveledthewayindevelopingnaturalororganicranges.AsidefromWholeFoodsMarket,Krogerisaprominentexample:itsSimpleTruthrange,whichfocusesonnaturalandorganicproducts,rackedupsalesof$1.7billionin2016,andKrogerstatesthatitisthebiggestnaturalandorganicbrandinthecountrybyvolume.

Wethinkthestrengthofprivatelabelinfreshfoodsgivesretailersanaturallystrongpositionfromwhichtodevelopnaturalandorganicranges.Moreover,becausetheUSgrocerymarketisfragmented,therelativelyfewretailersthathavesubstantialscalehavethechancetorunwiththebaton,andgainaheadstartonbothbrandsandsmallerretailers.

0.1

3.3

10.1

11.0

12.5

17.2

18.7

20.0

31.1

AlcoholicBeverages

Confechonery

PetFood

NonalcoholicBeverages

PersonalCare

AmbientFood

Household

FrozenFood

ChilledandFreshFood

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5. RidingtheMeal-KitTrendMealkitsarethetrenddujouringrocerye-commerceandtheyarenowmovingintostoressuchasKrogerandAlbertsons,too.BrandssuchasBlueApronandPlatedofferconsumersalltheingredientstheyneedinonekittocreateselectedmeals.Whetherconsumerdemandforthesekitswillremainrobustoverthemediumisuncertain.Wethinkthetypicallyhighpricesofsuchmealkits,coupledwiththegrowthofmoreconventionalgrocerye-commerceintheUSmarket,coulddepresscategoryperformance.

Source:Plated.com

Nevertheless,therelooktobenear-termopportunitiestotapthismarket.Groceryretailershaveexpertiseinofferingaverywiderangeofprivate-labelfoodproductsacrossfreshandambientcategories,whichmeanstheyareuniquelywellpositionedtocapitalizeonthemeal-kittrend.

• KrogerlauncheditsownrangeofmealkitsunderthePrep+ParedprivatelabelinMay2017.InSeptember,KrogerannouncedthatitwasextendingitsPrep+Paredofferingtomorethan50storesacrosstwocities—Cincinnati,OH,andLouisville,KY—anditsRalphssupermarketchain.

• InSeptember2017,privatelyownedAlbertsonsannounceditsacquisitionofmeal-kitfirmPlated.NewssiteTechCrunch.comreportedthedealtobeworthbetween$175millionand$200million.

• AmazonlauncheditsMealKitsrangeinJuly2017.

• BlueApronisthebiggestnon-private-labelUSmeal-kitbrand.Weseebarrierstoentryforfurtherentrantsinthecategory,however,assuccessfulbusinessesinthesectorneedexperienceinsourcingawiderangeoffoods—fromfreshmeattovegetablestopreparedcookingsauces—atscale.

Groceryretailershaveexpertiseinofferingaverywiderangeofprivate-labelfoodproductsacrossfreshandambientcategories,makingthemuniquelywellpositionedtocapitalizeonthemeal-kittrend.

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Source:Blueapron.com

Beyondmealkits,e-commerceprovidesfurtherpocketsofopportunitytoboostprivate-labelsales.Onlineretailershavemorecontroloverwhatshopperssee,andwhattheyrecommendtoshoppers,thandoofflineretailers,asin-storeshoppersarepresentedwithaislesofcompetingproductsinphysicalstores.Retailerscanusethatpowertopushtheirownproductsandencouragetheircustomerstoswitchfrombrandstoprivatelabels.

KeyTakeawaysRetailerscantakeadvantageofseveraltailwindstoboostprivate-labelgrocerysales:

• Higherinflationinfoodpricesthisyearthanlastyear.

• Consumerdemandformorefresh,organicandnaturaloptions.

• Thepopularityofmealkitsandconsumers’shifttoe-commerce.

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October19,2017

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFGRTNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comJohnMercerSeniorAnalyst

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