PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS · EXAMPLE 2.4 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Is PBS economics reporter Paul...
Transcript of PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS · EXAMPLE 2.4 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Is PBS economics reporter Paul...
PRINCIPLES OF
ECONOMICSBrief Edition
ROBERT H. FRANKCornell University
BEN S. BERNANKEPrinceton University [affiliated]
Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
with special contribution by
LOUIS D.JOHNSTONCollege of Saint Benedict I Saint John's University
McGraw-HillIrwin
Boston Burr Ridge, IL Dubuque, IA New York San Francisco St. LouisBangkok Bogota Caracas Kuala Lumpur Lisbon London Madrid Mexico CityMilan Montreal New Delhi Santiago Seoul Singapore Sydney Taipei Toronto
B R I E F C O N T E N T S
PART II23
PART 24
5
6
7
PART 389
10
Preface vii
IntroductionThinking Like an Economist 3
Comparative Advantage 35
Supply and Demand 61
Competition and the Invisible HandElasticity 97
Demand 123
Perfectly Competitive Supply 147
Efficiency, Exchange, and the Invisible Hand in Action 173
Market ImperfectionsMonopoly, Oligopoly, and Monopolistic Competition 207
Games and Strategic Behavior 239
Externalities and Property Rights 267
PART 4 Economics of Public Policy11 Using Economics to Make Better Policy Decisions 297
PART 5 Macroeconomics: Data and Issues12 Spending, Income, and GDP 321
13 Inflation and the Price Level 349
14 Wages and Unemployment 377
PART 6 The Economy in the Long Run15 Economic Growth 413
16 Saving, Capital Formation, and Financial Markets 445
17 The Financial System, Money, and Prices 475
PART 7 The Economy in the Short Run18 Short-Term Economic Fluctuations 507
19 Spending and Output in the Short Run 527
xxiii
BRIEF CONTENTS
20 Stabilizing the Economy: The Role of the Federal Reserve 569
21 Aggregate Demand, Aggregate Supply, and Macroeconomic Policy 607
PART 8 The International Economy
22 Exchange Rates, International Trade, and Capital Flows 643
Glossary G-l
Index 1-1
C O N T E N T S
Preface vii
PART I Introduction
Chapter I Thinking Like an Economist 3
Economics: Studying Choice in a World of Scarcity 4Applying the Cost-Benefit Principle 6
Economic Surplus 6Opportunity Cost 7The Role of Economic Models 7
Three Important Decision Pitfalls 8Pitfall 1: Measuring Costs and Benefits as Proportions RatherThan Absolute Dollar Amounts 9Pitfall 2: Ignoring Implicit Costs 9Pitfall 3: Failure to Think at the Margin 11
Normative Economics versus Positive Economics 15Economics: Micro and Macro 15The Approach of This Text 16Economic Naturalism 17EXAMPLE I.I THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do many hardware
manufacturers include more than $1,000 worth of "free" software with a computer
selling for only slightly more than that? 17
EXAMPLE 1.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why don't auto manufacturers
make cars without heaters? 18
EXAMPLE 1.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do the keypad buttons
on drive-up automatic teller machines have Braille dots? 18
Summary 19
Core Principles 20
Key Terms 20
Review Questions 20
Problems 20
Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 22Appendix: Working with Equations, Graphs, and Tables 23
CONTENTS
Chapter 2 Comparative Advantage 35
Exchange and Opportunity Cost 36The Principle of Comparative Advantage 37
EXAMPLE 2.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Where have all the
400 hitters gone? 39
Sources of Comparative Advantage 40EXAMPLE 2.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Televisions and videocassette
recorders were developed and first produced in the United States, but today the
United States accounts for only a minuscule share of the total world production
of these products. Why did the United States fail to retain its lead in these
markets? 41
Comparative Advantage and Production Possibilities 41The Production Possibilities Curve 41How Individual Productivity Affects the Slope and Positionof the PPC 44The Gains from Specialization and Exchange 46A Production Possibilities Curve for a Many-Person Economy 47
Factors That Shift the Economy's Production Possibilities Curve 49Why Have Some Countries Been Slow to Specialize? 51Can We Have Too Much Specialization? 52
Comparative Advantage and International Trade 53EXAMPLE 2.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: If trade between nations
is so beneficial, why are free-trade agreements so controversial? 53
Outsourcing 53EXAMPLE 2.4 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Is PBS economics reporter
Paul Solman's job a likely candidate for outsourcing? 54
Summary 56
Core Principles 56
Key Terms 56
Review Questions 57
Problems 57
Answers to In-Cbapter Exercises 58
Chapter 3 Supply and Demand 61
What, How, and for Whom? Central Planning versusthe Market 63Buyers and Sellers in Markets 64
The Demand Curve 65The Supply Curve 66
Market Equilibrium 68Rent Controls Reconsidered 71Pizza Price Controls? 73
Predicting and Explaining Changes in Prices and Quantities 74Shifts in Demand 75
EXAMPLE 3.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: When the federal government
implements a large pay increase for its employees, why do rents for apartments
located near Washington Metro stations go up relative to rents for
apartments located far away from Metro stations? 77
Shifts in the Supply Curve 78
CONTENTS xxvii
EXAMPLE 3.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do major term papers go
through so many more revisions today than in'the 1970s? 80
Four Simple Rules 81
EXAMPLE 3.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do the prices of some
goods, like airline tickets to Europe, go up during the months of heaviest
consumption, while others, like sweet corn, go down? 84
Efficiency and Equilibrium 84
Cash on the Table 85
Smart for One, Dumb for All 86
Summary 87
Core Principles 88
Key Terms 89
Review Questions 89
Problems 89
Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 90
Appendix: The Algebra of Supply and Demand 93
PART 2 Competition and the Invisible Hand
Chapter 4 Elasticity 97
' Price Elasticity of Demand 98
Price Elasticity Defined 98
Determinants of Price Elasticity of Demand 100
Some Representative Elasticity Estimates 101
Using Price Elasticity of Demand 102
EXAMPLE 4.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Will a higher tax on
cigarettes curb teenage smoking? 102
EXAMPLE 4.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why was the luxury tax
on yachts such a disaster? 102
A Graphical Interpretation of Price Elasticity 103
Price Elasticity Changes along a Straight-Line
Demand Curve 105
Two Special Cases 106
Elasticity and Total Expenditure 107
Income Elasticity and Cross-Price Elasticity
of Demand 111
The Price Elasticity of Supply 112
Determinants of Supply Elasticity 114
EXAMPLE 4.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why are gasoline prices so much
more volatile than car prices? 116
Unique and Essential Inputs: The Ultimate
Supply Bottleneck 117
Summary 118
Key Terms 119
Review Questions 119
Problems 119
Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 121
xxviii CONTENTS
Chapter 5 Demand 123
The Law of Demand 124The Origins of Demand 124Needs versus Wants 125
EXAMPLE 5.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why does Californiaexperience chronic water shortages? 126Translating Wants into Demand 126
Measuring Wants: The Concept of Utility 126Allocating a Fixed Income between Two Goods 130The Rational Spending Rule 133Income and Substitution Effects Revisited 133
Applying the Rational Spending Rule 136Substitution at Work 136
EXAMPLE 5.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do the wealthy in
Manhattan live in smaller houses than the wealthy in Seattle? 136
EXAMPLE 5.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why did people turn to four-
cylinder cars in the 1970s, only to shift back to six- and eight-cylinder cars in
the 1990s? 136
EXAMPLE 5.4 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why are automobile engines smaller
in England than in the United States? 138
The Importance of Income Differences 138EXAMPLE 5.5 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why are waiting lines longer
in poorer neighborhoods? 138
Individual and Market Demand Curves 138
Horizontal Addition 139Demand and Consumer Surplus 140
Calculating Consumer Surplus 140Summary 143Key Terms 143Review Questions 143Problems 144Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 145
Chapter 6 Perfectly Competitive Supply 147
Thinking about Supply: The Importance of Opportunity Cost 148Individual and Market Supply Curves 150Profit-Maximizing Firms in Perfectly CompetitiveMarkets 151
Profit Maximization 151The Demand Curve Facing a Perfectly Competitive Firm 152Production in the Short Run 153Some Important Cost Concepts 154Choosing Output to Maximize Profit 155A Note on the Firm's Shutdown Condition 157Average Variable Cost and Average Total Cost 157A Graphical Approach to Profit Maximization 157Price = Marginal Cost: The Maximum-Profit Condition 159The "Law" of Supply 161
CONTENTS
Determinants of Supply Revisited 162Technology 162Input Prices 162The Number of Suppliers 163Expectations 163Changes in Prices of Other Products 163
Applying the Theory of Supply 163EXAMPLE 6.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: When recycling is leftto private market forces, why are many more aluminum beverage
containers recycled than glass ones? 163
Supply and Producer Surplus 166Calculating Producer Surplus 166
Summary 167Key Terms 168Review Questions 168Problems 168Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 171
Chapter 7 Efficiency, Exchange, and the Invisible Hand in Action 173
The Central Role of Economic Profit 174Three Types of Profit 174
The Invisible Hand Theory 178Two Functions of Price 178Responses of Profits and Losses 178The Importance of Free Entry and Exit 184
Economic Rent versus Economic Profit 185The Invisible Hand in Action 187
The Invisible Hand at the Supermarket and onthe Freeway 187
EXAMPLE 7.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do supermarketcheckout lines all tend to be roughly the same length? 187
The Invisible Hand and Cost-Saving Innovations 187The Distinction between an Equilibrium and aSocial Optimum 188
Smart for One, Dumb for All 189EXAMPLE 7.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Are there "too many"smart people working as corporate earnings forecasters? 189
Market Equilibrium and Efficiency 190Efficiency Is Not the Only Goal 193Why Efficiency Should Be the First Goal 193
The Cost of Preventing Price Adjustments 194Price Ceilings 194Price Subsidies 197
Summary 199Key Terms 200Review Questions 200Problems 201Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 203
CONTENTS
PART 3 Market Imperfections
Chapter 8 Monopoly, Oligopoly, and Monopolistic Competition 207
Imperfect Competition 208Different Forms of Imperfect Competition 208The Essential Difference between Perfectly and ImperfectlyCompetitive Firms 210
Five Sources of Market Power 211Exclusive Control over Important Inputs 211Patents and Copyrights 211Government Licenses or Franchises 211Economies of Scale and Natural Monopolies 212Network Economies 212
Economies of Scale and the Importance of Start-Up Costs 213EXAMPLE 8.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why does Intel sell the
overwhelming majority of all microprocessors used in personal computers? 215
Profit Maximization for the Monopolist 216
Marginal Revenue for the Monopolist 216The Monopolist's Profit-Maximizing Decision Rule 218Being a Monopolist Doesn't Guarantee an Economic Profit 220
Why the Invisible Hand Breaks Down under Monopoly 221Using Discounts to Expand the Market 223
Price Discrimination Defined 223EXAMPLE 8.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do many movie theaters
offer discount tickets to students? 224
How Price Discrimination Affects Output 224The Hurdle Method of Price Discrimination 226Is Price Discrimination a Bad Thing? 229Examples of Price Discrimination 229
EXAMPLE 8.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why might an appliance retailer
instruct its clerks to hammer dents into the sides of its stoves and refrigerators? 230
Summary 231
Key Terms 231
Review Questions 232
Problems 232
Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 234Appendix: The Algebra of Monopoly Profit Maximization 237
Chapter 9 Games and Strategic Behavior 239
Using Game Theory to Analyze Strategic Decisions 240The Three Elements of a Game 240Nash Equilibrium 242
The Prisoner's Dilemma 244The Original Prisoner's Dilemma 244The Economics of Cartels 245
EXAMPLE 9.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why are cartel agreements
notoriously unstable? 245
Tit-for-Tat and the Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma 247
CONTENTS xxxi
EXAMPLE 9.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: How did Congress unwittingly solve
the television advertising dilemma confronting cigarette producers? 248
EXAMPLE 9.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do people shout
at parties? 249
Games in Which Timing Matters 250
Credible Threats and Promises 252
Monopolistic Competition When Location Matters 253
EXAMPLE 9.4 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do we often see
convenience stores located on adjacent street corners? 254
Commitment Problems 255
The Strategic Role of Preferences 257
Are People Fundamentally Selfish? 258
Preferences as Solutions to Commitment
Problems 258
Summary 258
Key Terms 260
Review Questions 260
Problems 260
Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 264
Chapter 10 Externalities and Property Rights 267
External Costs and Benefits 268
How Externalities Affect Resource Allocation 268
How Do Externalities Affect Supply and Demand? 269
The Coase Theorem 271
Legal Remedies for Externalities 275
EXAMPLE 10.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: What is the purpose of
free speech laws? 276
EXAMPLE 10.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why does government
subsidize private property owners to plant trees on their hillsides? 276
The Optimal Amount of Negative Externalities Is Not Zero 277
Compensatory Taxes and Subsidies 277
Property Rights and the Tragedy of the Commons 279
The Problem of Unpriced Resources 279
The Effect of Private Ownership 281
When Private Ownership Is Impractical 282
EXAMPLE 10.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do blackberries in
public parks get picked too soon? 283
EXAMPLE 10.4 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why are shared milkshakes
consumed too quickly? 283
Positional Externalities 284
Payoffs That Depend on Relative Performance 284
EXAMPLE 10.5 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do football players
take anabolic steroids? 285
Positional Arms Races and Positional Arms Control
Agreements 286
Social Norms as Positional Arms Control Agreements 287
Summary 289
Key Terms 290
XXXII CONTENTS
Review Questions 290Problems 290Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 293
PART 4 Economics of Public Policy
Chapter 11 Using Economics to Make Better Policy Choices 297
The Economics of Health Care 298The Case for Mandatory Immunization Laws 298
Explaining Rising Health Care Costs 299 jDesigning a Solution 301The HMO Revolution 302
EXAMPLE 11.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why is a patient with a sore knee
more likely to receive on MRI exam if he has conventional health insurnace than if he
belongs to a Health Maintenance Organization? 302
Paying for Health Insurance 303EXAMPLE 11.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: In the richest country on Earth, why
do so many people lack basic health insurance? 304
Using Price Incentives In Environmental Regulation 305
Taxing Pollution 305Auctioning Pollution Permits 307
Overcoming Opposition to International Trade 308Welfare Payments and In-Kind Transfers 310Means-Tested Benefit Programs 311The Negative Income Tax 311Minimum Wages 312The Earned-Income Tax Credit 313Public Employment for the Poor 313A Combination of Methods 313
Summary 314Key Terms 315Review Questions 315Problems 315Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 317
PART 5 Macroeconomics: Data and Issues
Chapter 12 Spending, Income, and GDP 321
Gross Domestic Product: Measuring the Nation's Output 322Market Value 322
EXAMPLE 12.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why has female participation in the
labor market increased by so much? What explains the trends illustrated in Figure 12.1 ? 324
Final Goods and Services 325Produced within a Country during a Given Period 328
The Expenditure Method for Measuring GDP 329GDP and the Incomes of Capital and Labor 333
CONTENTS xxxiii
Nominal GDP versus Real GDP 334EXAMPLE 12.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Can nominal and real GDP ever
move in different directions? 336
Real GDP Is Not the Same as Economic Weil-Being 338Leisure Time 338
EXAMPLE 12.3 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do people work fewer hours
today than their great-grandparents did? 338
Nonmarket Economic Activities 339Environmental Quality and Resource Depletion 340Quality of Life 340Poverty and Economic Inequality 340
But GDP Is Related to Economic Well-Being 341Availability of Goods and Services 341Health and Education 341
EXAMPLE 12.4 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do far fewer children
complete high school in poor countries than in rich countries? 343
Summary 343
Key Terms 344
Review Questions 344
Problems 344
Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 347
Chapter 13 Inflation and the Price Level 349
The Consumer Price Index: Measuring the Price Level 350Inflation 352Adjusting for Inflation 354
Deflating a Nominal Quantity 354Indexing to Maintain Buying Power 356
Does the CPI Measure "True" Inflation? 357The Costs of Inflation: Not What You Think 360The True Costs of Inflation 361
"Noise" in the Price System 361Distortions of the Tax System 362
"Shoe-Leather" Costs 363Unexpected Redistribution of Wealth 364Interference with Long-Run Planning 365
Hyperinflation 366, Inflation and Interest Rates 367
Inflation and the Real Interest Rate 368The Fisher Effect 370
Summary 371Key Terms 372Review Questions 372Problems 373Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 375
Chapter 14 Wages and Unemployment 377
Five Important Labor Market Trends 378
CONTENTS
Trends in Real Wages 378Trends in Employment and Unemployment 379
Supply and Demand in the Labor Market 380Wages and the Demand for Labor 380Shifts in the Demand for Labor 382The Supply of Labor 385Shifts in the Supply of Labor 386
Explaining the Trends in Real Wages and Employment 387Why Have Real Wages Increased by So Much in the IndustrializedCountries? 388Since the 1970s, Real Wage Growth in the United States HasSlowed, While Employment Has Expanded Rapidly 388Increasing Wage Inequality: The Effects ofGlobalization 390Increasing Wage Inequality: Technological Change 392
Unemployment and the Unemployment Rate 395Measuring Unemployment 395The Costs of Unemployment 397The Duration of Unemployment 397The Unemployment Rate versus "True"Unemployment 398
Types of Unemployment and Their Costs 398Frictional Unemployment 399Structural Unemployment 399Cyclical Unemployment 400
Impediments to Full Employment 400Minimum Wage Laws 401
. Labor Unions 401Unemployment Insurance 402Other Government Regulations 402Why Are Unemployment Rates So High in Western Europe? 403
Summary 404Key Terms 406Review Questions 406Problems 406Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 408
PART 6 The Economy in the Long Run
Chapter 15 Economic Growth 413
The Remarkable Rise in Living Standards: The Record 415Why "Small" Differences in Growth Rates Matter 417Why Nations Become Rich: The Crucial Role of Average LaborProductivity 419The Determinants of Average Labor Productivity 422
Human Capital 422Physical Capital 424Land and Other Natural Resources 427
CONTENTS
Technology 427Entrepreneurship and Management 428
EXAMPLE 15.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why did medieval China
stagnate economically? 429
The Political and Legal Environment 430The Costs of Economic Growth 433Promoting Economic Growth 434
Policies to Increase Human Capital 434EXAMPLE 15.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why do almost all countries
provide free public education? 434
Policies That Promote Saving and Investment 435Policies That Support Research and Development 436The Legal and Political Framework 436The Poorest Countries: A Special Case? 436
Are There Limits to Growth? 437Summary 440Key Terms 440Review Questions 440Problems 441Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 443
Chapter 16 Saving, Capital Formation, and Financial Markets 445
Saving and Wealth 447Stocks and Flows 448Capital Gains and Losses 449
National Saving and Its Components 451The Measurement of National Saving 451Private and Public Components of National Saving 452Public Saving and the Government Budget 453Is Low Household Saving a Problem? 456
Why Do People Save? 457Saving and the Real Interest Rate 458Saving, Self-Control, and Demonstration Effects 460
Investment and Capital Formation 462EXAMPLE 16.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why has investment in
computers increased so much in recent decades? 464
Saving, Investment, and Financial Markets 466Summary 469Key Terms 470Review Questions 470Problems 471Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 473
Chapter 17 The Financial System, Money, and Prices 475
The Financial System and the Allocation of Saving to ProductiveUses 476
The Banking System 476
xxxvi CONTENTS
Bonds and Stocks 478Bond Markets, Stock Markets, and the Allocation of Savings 483
EXAMPLE 17.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why did the U.S. stockmarket rise sharply in the 1990s, then fall in the new millennium? 485Money and Its Uses 485
Measuring Money 487Commercial Banks and the Creation of Money 489
The Money Supply with Both Currency and Deposits 492Central Banks, the Money Supply, and Prices 494
Controlling the Money Supply with Open-MarketOperations 494Money and Prices 495Velocity 496Money and Inflation in the Long Run 497
Summary 499Key Terms 500Review Questions 500Problems 501Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 503
PART 7 The Economy in the Short Run
Chapter 18 Short-Term Economic Fluctuations 507
Recessions and Expansions 509Some Facts about Short-Term Economic Fluctuations 512Output Gaps and Cyclical Unemployment 515
Potential Output and the Output Gap 515The Natural Rate of Unemployment and CyclicalUnemployment 517Okun's Law 519
Why Do Short-Term Fluctuations Occur? A Preview and a Parable 521EXAMPLE 18.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why did the Coca-Cola Company
test a vending machine that "knows" when the weather is hot? 523Summary 524Key Terms 525Review Questions 525Problems 525Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 526
Chapter 19 Spending and Output in the Short Run 527
The Keynesian Model's Crucial Assumption: Firms Meet Demandat Preset Prices 530Planned Aggregate Expenditure 531
Planned Spending versus Actual Spending 532Consumer Spending and the Economy 533Planned Aggregate Expenditure and Output 536
Short-Run Equilibrium Output 539
CONTENTS xxxvii
Finding Short-Run Equilibrium Output: Numerical Approach 539Finding Short-Run Equilibrium Output: Graphical Approach 541Planned Spending and the Output Gap 542The Multiplier 545
Stabilizing Planned Spending: The Role of Fiscal Policy 547Government Purchases and Planned Spending 547
EXAMPLE 19.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why did Japan build roads
that nobody wanted to use? 548
Taxes, Transfers, and Aggregate Spending 551Fiscal Policy as a Stabilization Tool: Three Qualifications 553
Fiscal Policy and the Supply Side 553The Problem of Deficits 554The Relative Inflexibility of Fiscal Policy 554
Summary 555Key Terms 556Review Questions 556Problems 556Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 559Appendix A: An Algebraic Solution of the Basic Keynesian Model 563Appendix B: The Multiplier in the Basic Keynesian Model 567
Chapter 20 Stabilizing the Economy: The Role of the Federal Reserve 569
The Federal Reserve 570The History and Structure of the Federal Reserve System 570The Fed's Role in Stabilizing Financial Markets: BankingPanics 572
The Effects of Federal Reserve Actions on the Economy 574.Can the Fed Control the Real Interest Rate? 574Planned Aggregate Expenditure and the Real Interest Rate 576The Fed Fights a Recession 578The Fed Fights Inflation 581
EXAMPLE 20.1 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why does news of inflation
hurt the stock market? 583
The Fed's Monetary Policy Rule 584The Federal Reserve and Interest Rates 588
The Demand for Money 588Macroeconomic Factors That Affect the Demand for Money 589The Money Demand Curve 590
EXAMPLE 20.2 THE ECONOMIC NATURALIST: Why does the average Argentine
hold more U.S. dollars than the average U.S. citizen? 592
The Supply of Money and Money Market Equilibrium 593How the Fed Controls the Nominal Interest Rate 595A Second Way the Fed Controls the Money Supply: DiscountWindow Lending 596A Third Way of Controlling the Money Supply: ChangingReserve Requirements 597
Summary 598Key Terms 598Review Questions 599
xxxviii CONTENTS
Problems 599Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 601Appendix: Monetary Policy in the Basic Keynesian Model 605
Chapter 21 Aggregate Demand, Aggregate Supply, and Macroeconomic Policy 607
The Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply Model: A Brief Overview 608Inflation, Spending, and Output: The AggregateDemand Curve 609
Inflation, the Fed, and the AD Curve 609Shifts of the AD Curve 611
Inflation and Aggregate Supply 615Inflation Inertia, Output Gaps, and the AS Curve 615Shifts of the AS Curve 620
Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply Analysis 621An Expansionary Gap 621A Recessionary Gap 622The Self-Correcting Economy 623
Monetary Policy and Inflation 624Excessive Aggregate Spending 624Responding to Shocks in Aggregate Supply 627The Core Rate of Inflation 629
Inflationary Expectations and Credibility 631Central Bank Independence 631Announcing a Numerical Inflation Target 632Central Bank Reputation 635
Summary 636Key Terms 637Review Questions 637Problems 638Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 639
PART 8: The International Economy
Chapter 22 Exchange Rates, International Trade, and Capital Flows 643
Exchange Rates 644Nominal Exchange Rates 645Flexible versus Fixed Exchange Rates 647
The Determination of the Exchange Rate in the Short Run 648A Supply and Demand Analysis 648Changes in the Supply of Dollars 650Changes in the Demand for Dollars 652
Monetary Policy and the Exchange Rate 652The Exchange Rate as a Tool of Monetary Policy 654
Fixed Exchange Rates 655How to Fix an Exchange Rate 655Monetary Policy and the Fixed Exchange Rate 658
CONTENTS xxxix
Should Exchange Rates Be Fixed or Flexible? 661The Euro: A Common Currency for Europe 662
Determination of the Exchange Rate in the Long Run 663The Real Exchange Rate 663A Simple Theory of Exchange Rates: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) 665Shortcomings of the PPP Theory 667
The Trade Balance and Net Capital Inflows 669International Capital Flows 670
The Determinants of International Capital Flows 671Saving, Investment, and Capital Inflows 673The Saving Rate and the Trade Deficit 674
Summary 677Key Terms 678Review Questions 679Problems 679Answers to In-Chapter Exercises 681
Glossary G-l
Index 1-1