Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

download Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

of 39

Transcript of Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    1/39

    Q3. With which political party are you registered?

    183 0 183 102 57 8 72 74 21 107 76

    53.2% .0% 100.0% 71.8% 38.5% 24.2% 75.0% 50.3% 26.3% 71.3% 39.2%

    161 161 0 40 91 25 24 73 59 43 118

    46.8% 100.0% .0% 28.2% 61.5% 75.8% 25.0% 49.7% 73.8% 28.7% 60.8%

    344 161 183 142 148 33 96 147 80 150 194

    Republican

    (Rep)

    Democrat(Dem)

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q3. With which political party are you registered?

    183 21 39 51 71 42 45 96 33 50 56

    53.2% 48.8% 60.9% 49.0% 53.8% 51.9% 50.6% 55.2% 53.2% 50.0% 49.6%

    161 22 25 53 61 39 44 78 29 50 57

    46.8% 51.2% 39.1% 51.0% 46.2% 48.1% 49.4% 44.8% 46.8% 50.0% 50.4%

    344 43 64 104 132 81 89 174 62 100 113

    Republican(Rep)

    Democrat(Dem)

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 1

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    2/39

    Q4. We are interested in how important different issues are to people. Please rate each of the following items accordingto how important they are to you. Use a five point scale ranging from 1, not important, to 5, very important.

    4.33 4.25 4.40 4.61 4.20 3.64 4.61 4.38 3.86 4.35 4.32

    N=344 N=161 N=183 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=194

    3.81 3.76 3.85 3.99 3.74 3.21 4.13 3.83 3.35 3.79 3.82

    N=344 N=161 N=183 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=194

    3.92 4.12 3.74 3.75 4.05 4.21 3.72 4.03 4.03 3.83 3.98

    N=343 N=161 N=182 N=141 N=148 N=33 N=95 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=193

    3.09 3.44 2.79 2.67 3.36 3.97 2.57 3.14 3.71 2.76 3.35

    N=342 N=160 N=182 N=142 N=146 N=33 N=96 N=145 N=80 N=149 N=193

    4.13 4.12 4.14 4.23 4.08 4.03 4.22 4.14 4.06 4.22 4.07N=343 N=161 N=182 N=142 N=147 N=33 N=96 N=146 N=80 N=149 N=194

    3.65 3.60 3.69 3.88 3.56 3.27 3.88 3.74 3.30 3.61 3.68

    N=344 N=161 N=183 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=194

    4.00 4.08 3.93 3.96 4.06 3.97 4.10 3.99 3.93 3.85 4.12

    N=343 N=160 N=183 N=142 N=147 N=33 N=96 N=146 N=80 N=149 N=194

    4.12 4.22 4.03 4.16 4.08 4.12 4.24 4.07 4.08 3.99 4.23

    N=341 N=160 N=181 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=191

    3.50 3.76 3.27 3.39 3.61 3.70 3.38 3.46 3.81 3.14 3.78

    N=340 N=159 N=181 N=138 N=148 N=33 N=94 N=145 N=80 N=148 N=192

    3.10 3.43 2.81 2.85 3.20 3.76 2.89 2.99 3.56 2.69 3.41

    N=339 N=157 N=182 N=138 N=148 N=33 N=95 N=145 N=79 N=147 N=192

    3.78 3.65 3.90 3.87 3.69 3.82 3.91 3.80 3.60 3.86 3.72

    N=342 N=161 N=181 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=149 N=193

    Too much government spendingand taxing

    Need for welfare reform

    State cuts to higher educationfunding

    Increased global warming andclimate change

    Energy independence

    Immigration issues

    War in Afghanistan

    The fate of the administration'shealth care reform bill

    Abortion rights

    Requiring insurance companies topay for birth control

    Term limits

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 2

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    3/39

    Q4. We are interested in how important different issues are to people. Please rate each of the following items accordingto how important they are to you. Use a five point scale ranging from 1, not important, to 5, very important.

    4.33 4.37 4.39 4.35 4.30 4.53 4.55 4.13 4.50 4.27 4.28

    N=344 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=174 N=62 N=100 N=113

    3.81 3.44 3.77 3.92 3.86 4.11 3.93 3.60 3.85 3.93 3.69

    N=344 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=174 N=62 N=100 N=113

    3.92 4.21 4.00 3.92 3.80 3.79 3.94 3.97 3.90 3.99 3.93

    N=343 N=43 N=64 N=103 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=173 N=62 N=99 N=113

    3.09 2.86 2.95 3.19 3.15 3.03 2.95 3.20 3.25 3.22 3.05

    N=342 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=130 N=80 N=88 N=174 N=60 N=100 N=113

    4.13 3.58 3.92 4.29 4.30 4.09 4.25 4.10 4.21 4.24 3.99

    N=343 N=43 N=64 N=103 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=173 N=62 N=100 N=112

    3.65 3.23 3.64 3.69 3.77 3.89 3.89 3.42 3.74 3.80 3.49

    N=344 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=174 N=62 N=100 N=113

    4.00 3.77 4.08 4.05 4.01 3.99 4.11 3.95 4.16 3.94 4.08

    N=343 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=131 N=81 N=88 N=174 N=61 N=100 N=113

    4.12 3.93 3.98 4.23 4.15 4.14 4.07 4.14 4.05 4.01 4.22

    N=341 N=43 N=63 N=104 N=130 N=80 N=89 N=172 N=62 N=99 N=113

    3.50 3.16 3.29 3.64 3.60 3.71 3.54 3.38 3.80 3.35 3.34N=340 N=43 N=63 N=102 N=131 N=79 N=89 N=172 N=61 N=98 N=112

    3.10 3.07 3.10 2.95 3.21 3.04 3.07 3.14 3.45 2.85 3.09

    N=339 N=43 N=63 N=102 N=130 N=79 N=88 N=172 N=60 N=100 N=112

    3.78 3.14 3.92 3.59 4.07 3.89 3.81 3.72 3.68 3.84 3.65

    N=342 N=43 N=63 N=104 N=131 N=81 N=88 N=173 N=62 N=100 N=113

    Too much government spendingand taxing

    Need for welfare reform

    State cuts to higher educationfunding

    Increased global warming andclimate change

    Energy independence

    Immigration issues

    War in Afghanistan

    The fate of the administration'shealth care reform bill

    Abortion rights

    Requiring insurance companies topay for birth control

    Term limits

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 3

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    4/39

    Q4. Details:

    7 3 4 4 1 2 2 2 3 2 5

    2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% .7% 6.1% 2.1% 1.4% 3.8% 1.3% 2.6%

    9 4 5 1 4 3 0 3 5 5 4

    2.6% 2.5% 2.7% .7% 2.7% 9.1% .0% 2.0% 6.3% 3.3% 2.1%

    53 31 22 6 35 10 8 21 22 23 30

    15.4% 19.3% 12.0% 4.2% 23.6% 30.3% 8.3% 14.3% 27.5% 15.3% 15.5%

    68 34 34 25 32 8 13 32 20 29 39

    19.8% 21.1% 18.6% 17.6% 21.6% 24.2% 13.5% 21.8% 25.0% 19.3% 20.1%

    207 89 118 106 76 10 73 89 30 91 116

    60.2% 55.3% 64.5% 74.6% 51.4% 30.3% 76.0% 60.5% 37.5% 60.7% 59.8%

    (4.33) (4.25) (4.40) (4.61) (4.20) (3.64) (4.61) (4.38) (3.86) (4.35) (4.32)N=344 N=161 N=183 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=194

    19 9 10 6 7 6 5 7 7 7 12

    5.5% 5.6% 5.5% 4.2% 4.7% 18.2% 5.2% 4.8% 8.8% 4.7% 6.2%

    32 13 19 11 14 5 4 12 14 16 16

    9.3% 8.1% 10.4% 7.7% 9.5% 15.2% 4.2% 8.2% 17.5% 10.7% 8.2%

    83 42 41 28 43 6 16 39 22 36 47

    24.1% 26.1% 22.4% 19.7% 29.1% 18.2% 16.7% 26.5% 27.5% 24.0% 24.2%

    72 41 31 30 30 8 20 30 18 34 38

    20.9% 25.5% 16.9% 21.1% 20.3% 24.2% 20.8% 20.4% 22.5% 22.7% 19.6%138 56 82 67 54 8 51 59 19 57 81

    40.1% 34.8% 44.8% 47.2% 36.5% 24.2% 53.1% 40.1% 23.8% 38.0% 41.8%

    (3.81) (3.76) (3.85) (3.99) (3.74) (3.21) (4.13) (3.83) (3.35) (3.79) (3.82)

    N=344 N=161 N=183 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=194

    22 7 15 9 9 2 6 8 6 11 11

    6.4% 4.3% 8.2% 6.4% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 5.4% 7.5% 7.3% 5.7%

    24 9 15 11 9 2 9 9 4 12 12

    7.0% 5.6% 8.2% 7.8% 6.1% 6.1% 9.5% 6.1% 5.0% 8.0% 6.2%

    77 29 48 41 27 5 26 33 14 36 41

    22.4% 18.0% 26.4% 29.1% 18.2% 15.2% 27.4% 22.4% 17.5% 24.0% 21.2%

    57 28 29 25 23 2 19 17 14 23 34

    16.6% 17.4% 15.9% 17.7% 15.5% 6.1% 20.0% 11.6% 17.5% 15.3% 17.6%

    163 88 75 55 80 22 35 80 42 68 95

    47.5% 54.7% 41.2% 39.0% 54.1% 66.7% 36.8% 54.4% 52.5% 45.3% 49.2%

    (3.92) (4.12) (3.74) (3.75) (4.05) (4.21) (3.72) (4.03) (4.03) (3.83) (3.98)

    N=343 N=161 N=182 N=141 N=148 N=33 N=95 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=193

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Too muchgovernment

    spending andtaxing

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Need for welfarereform

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    State cuts to highereducation funding

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 4

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    5/39

    Q4. Details:

    62 17 45 37 19 1 25 27 5 40 22

    18.1% 10.6% 24.7% 26.1% 13.0% 3.0% 26.0% 18.6% 6.3% 26.8% 11.4%

    58 18 40 34 20 0 26 20 8 27 31

    17.0% 11.3% 22.0% 23.9% 13.7% .0% 27.1% 13.8% 10.0% 18.1% 16.1%

    83 44 39 28 36 12 20 35 21 36 47

    24.3% 27.5% 21.4% 19.7% 24.7% 36.4% 20.8% 24.1% 26.3% 24.2% 24.4%

    64 39 25 25 32 6 15 31 17 21 43

    18.7% 24.4% 13.7% 17.6% 21.9% 18.2% 15.6% 21.4% 21.3% 14.1% 22.3%

    75 42 33 18 39 14 10 32 29 25 50

    21.9% 26.3% 18.1% 12.7% 26.7% 42.4% 10.4% 22.1% 36.3% 16.8% 25.9%

    (3.09) (3.44) (2.79) (2.67) (3.36) (3.97) (2.57) (3.14) (3.71) (2.76) (3.35)N=342 N=160 N=182 N=142 N=146 N=33 N=96 N=145 N=80 N=149 N=193

    9 4 5 3 3 2 2 3 3 1 8

    2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 2.1% 2.0% 6.1% 2.1% 2.1% 3.8% .7% 4.1%

    20 9 11 12 6 1 5 11 3 7 13

    5.8% 5.6% 6.0% 8.5% 4.1% 3.0% 5.2% 7.5% 3.8% 4.7% 6.7%

    55 24 31 16 29 6 15 20 16 28 27

    16.0% 14.9% 17.0% 11.3% 19.7% 18.2% 15.6% 13.7% 20.0% 18.8% 13.9%

    91 50 41 29 47 9 22 41 22 35 56

    26.5% 31.1% 22.5% 20.4% 32.0% 27.3% 22.9% 28.1% 27.5% 23.5% 28.9%168 74 94 82 62 15 52 71 36 78 90

    49.0% 46.0% 51.6% 57.7% 42.2% 45.5% 54.2% 48.6% 45.0% 52.3% 46.4%

    (4.13) (4.12) (4.14) (4.23) (4.08) (4.03) (4.22) (4.14) (4.06) (4.22) (4.07)

    N=343 N=161 N=182 N=142 N=147 N=33 N=96 N=146 N=80 N=149 N=194

    20 8 12 7 6 6 4 7 8 8 12

    5.8% 5.0% 6.6% 4.9% 4.1% 18.2% 4.2% 4.8% 10.0% 5.3% 6.2%

    46 23 23 14 21 5 10 15 15 24 22

    13.4% 14.3% 12.6% 9.9% 14.2% 15.2% 10.4% 10.2% 18.8% 16.0% 11.3%

    89 44 45 33 44 6 24 41 18 38 51

    25.9% 27.3% 24.6% 23.2% 29.7% 18.2% 25.0% 27.9% 22.5% 25.3% 26.3%

    68 36 32 23 38 6 14 30 23 28 40

    19.8% 22.4% 17.5% 16.2% 25.7% 18.2% 14.6% 20.4% 28.8% 18.7% 20.6%

    121 50 71 65 39 10 44 54 16 52 69

    35.2% 31.1% 38.8% 45.8% 26.4% 30.3% 45.8% 36.7% 20.0% 34.7% 35.6%

    (3.65) (3.60) (3.69) (3.88) (3.56) (3.27) (3.88) (3.74) (3.30) (3.61) (3.68)

    N=344 N=161 N=183 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=194

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Increased globalwarming and

    climate change

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Energyindependence

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Immigration issues

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 5

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    6/39

    Q4. Details:

    14 2 12 7 5 2 4 7 3 10 4

    4.1% 1.3% 6.6% 4.9% 3.4% 6.1% 4.2% 4.8% 3.8% 6.7% 2.1%

    26 12 14 14 8 2 6 11 7 13 13

    7.6% 7.5% 7.7% 9.9% 5.4% 6.1% 6.3% 7.5% 8.8% 8.7% 6.7%

    57 27 30 19 28 4 10 26 15 31 26

    16.6% 16.9% 16.4% 13.4% 19.0% 12.1% 10.4% 17.8% 18.8% 20.8% 13.4%

    94 49 45 39 38 12 32 34 23 31 63

    27.4% 30.6% 24.6% 27.5% 25.9% 36.4% 33.3% 23.3% 28.8% 20.8% 32.5%

    152 70 82 63 68 13 44 68 32 64 88

    44.3% 43.8% 44.8% 44.4% 46.3% 39.4% 45.8% 46.6% 40.0% 43.0% 45.4%

    (4.00) (4.08) (3.93) (3.96) (4.06) (3.97) (4.10) (3.99) (3.93) (3.85) (4.12)

    N=343 N=160 N=183 N=142 N=147 N=33 N=96 N=146 N=80 N=149 N=194

    21 7 14 7 11 2 6 10 4 11 10

    6.2% 4.4% 7.7% 4.9% 7.4% 6.1% 6.3% 6.8% 5.0% 7.3% 5.2%

    9 4 5 5 3 0 2 3 3 7 2

    2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 2.0% .0% 2.1% 2.0% 3.8% 4.7% 1.0%

    53 19 34 23 23 5 16 25 10 27 26

    15.5% 11.9% 18.8% 16.2% 15.5% 15.2% 16.7% 17.0% 12.5% 18.0% 13.6%

    83 47 36 30 37 11 11 38 29 33 50

    24.3% 29.4% 19.9% 21.1% 25.0% 33.3% 11.5% 25.9% 36.3% 22.0% 26.2%175 83 92 77 74 15 61 71 34 72 103

    51.3% 51.9% 50.8% 54.2% 50.0% 45.5% 63.5% 48.3% 42.5% 48.0% 53.9%

    (4.12) (4.22) (4.03) (4.16) (4.08) (4.12) (4.24) (4.07) (4.08) (3.99) (4.23)

    N=341 N=160 N=181 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=191

    52 18 34 24 17 6 18 19 10 28 24

    15.3% 11.3% 18.8% 17.4% 11.5% 18.2% 19.1% 13.1% 12.5% 18.9% 12.5%

    41 14 27 22 16 1 10 22 7 23 18

    12.1% 8.8% 14.9% 15.9% 10.8% 3.0% 10.6% 15.2% 8.8% 15.5% 9.4%

    61 25 36 24 27 5 21 25 10 38 23

    17.9% 15.7% 19.9% 17.4% 18.2% 15.2% 22.3% 17.2% 12.5% 25.7% 12.0%

    57 33 24 12 36 6 8 32 14 18 39

    16.8% 20.8% 13.3% 8.7% 24.3% 18.2% 8.5% 22.1% 17.5% 12.2% 20.3%

    129 69 60 56 52 15 37 47 39 41 88

    37.9% 43.4% 33.1% 40.6% 35.1% 45.5% 39.4% 32.4% 48.8% 27.7% 45.8%

    (3.50) (3.76) (3.27) (3.39) (3.61) (3.70) (3.38) (3.46) (3.81) (3.14) (3.78)

    N=340 N=159 N=181 N=138 N=148 N=33 N=94 N=145 N=80 N=148 N=192

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    War in Afghanistan

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    The fate of theadministration'shealth care reformbill

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Abortion rights

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 6

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    7/39

    Q4. Details:

    76 21 55 44 26 2 27 35 10 42 34

    22.4% 13.4% 30.2% 31.9% 17.6% 6.1% 28.4% 24.1% 12.7% 28.6% 17.7%

    47 20 27 15 25 3 14 20 9 25 22

    13.9% 12.7% 14.8% 10.9% 16.9% 9.1% 14.7% 13.8% 11.4% 17.0% 11.5%

    76 38 38 30 32 10 19 39 14 39 37

    22.4% 24.2% 20.9% 21.7% 21.6% 30.3% 20.0% 26.9% 17.7% 26.5% 19.3%

    48 26 22 16 24 4 12 13 19 19 29

    14.2% 16.6% 12.1% 11.6% 16.2% 12.1% 12.6% 9.0% 24.1% 12.9% 15.1%

    92 52 40 33 41 14 23 38 27 22 70

    27.1% 33.1% 22.0% 23.9% 27.7% 42.4% 24.2% 26.2% 34.2% 15.0% 36.5%

    (3.10) (3.43) (2.81) (2.85) (3.20) (3.76) (2.89) (2.99) (3.56) (2.69) (3.41)

    N=339 N=157 N=182 N=138 N=148 N=33 N=95 N=145 N=79 N=147 N=192

    23 11 12 11 9 2 7 8 7 10 13

    6.7% 6.8% 6.6% 7.7% 6.1% 6.1% 7.3% 5.4% 8.8% 6.7% 6.7%

    35 21 14 13 19 1 9 13 11 16 19

    10.2% 13.0% 7.7% 9.2% 12.8% 3.0% 9.4% 8.8% 13.8% 10.7% 9.8%

    79 39 40 26 38 10 18 40 16 29 50

    23.1% 24.2% 22.1% 18.3% 25.7% 30.3% 18.8% 27.2% 20.0% 19.5% 25.9%

    62 32 30 25 25 8 14 25 19 24 38

    18.1% 19.9% 16.6% 17.6% 16.9% 24.2% 14.6% 17.0% 23.8% 16.1% 19.7%143 58 85 67 57 12 48 61 27 70 73

    41.8% 36.0% 47.0% 47.2% 38.5% 36.4% 50.0% 41.5% 33.8% 47.0% 37.8%

    (3.78) (3.65) (3.90) (3.87) (3.69) (3.82) (3.91) (3.80) (3.60) (3.86) (3.72)

    N=342 N=161 N=181 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=149 N=193

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Requiringinsurancecompanies to payfor birth control

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Term limits

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 7

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    8/39

    Q4. Details:

    7 1 3 1 2 4 0 3 1 4 2

    2.0% 2.3% 4.7% 1.0% 1.5% 4.9% .0% 1.7% 1.6% 4.0% 1.8%9 0 0 2 6 1 1 7 0 3 2

    2.6% .0% .0% 1.9% 4.5% 1.2% 1.1% 4.0% .0% 3.0% 1.8%

    53 5 7 18 23 5 10 38 8 16 20

    15.4% 11.6% 10.9% 17.3% 17.4% 6.2% 11.2% 21.8% 12.9% 16.0% 17.7%

    68 13 13 22 20 9 17 42 11 16 27

    19.8% 30.2% 20.3% 21.2% 15.2% 11.1% 19.1% 24.1% 17.7% 16.0% 23.9%

    207 24 41 61 81 62 61 84 42 61 62

    60.2% 55.8% 64.1% 58.7% 61.4% 76.5% 68.5% 48.3% 67.7% 61.0% 54.9%

    (4.33) (4.37) (4.39) (4.35) (4.30) (4.53) (4.55) (4.13) (4.50) (4.27) (4.28)

    N=344 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=174 N=62 N=100 N=113

    19 4 3 5 7 4 5 10 5 6 5

    5.5% 9.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 4.9% 5.6% 5.7% 8.1% 6.0% 4.4%

    32 5 7 8 12 5 4 23 5 9 13

    9.3% 11.6% 10.9% 7.7% 9.1% 6.2% 4.5% 13.2% 8.1% 9.0% 11.5%

    83 14 16 23 30 15 17 51 13 19 31

    24.1% 32.6% 25.0% 22.1% 22.7% 18.5% 19.1% 29.3% 21.0% 19.0% 27.4%

    72 8 14 22 27 11 29 32 10 18 27

    20.9% 18.6% 21.9% 21.2% 20.5% 13.6% 32.6% 18.4% 16.1% 18.0% 23.9%

    138 12 24 46 56 46 34 58 29 48 37

    40.1% 27.9% 37.5% 44.2% 42.4% 56.8% 38.2% 33.3% 46.8% 48.0% 32.7%

    (3.81) (3.44) (3.77) (3.92) (3.86) (4.11) (3.93) (3.60) (3.85) (3.93) (3.69)

    N=344 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=174 N=62 N=100 N=113

    22 0 5 6 10 8 6 8 5 6 8

    6.4% .0% 7.8% 5.8% 7.6% 9.9% 6.7% 4.6% 8.1% 6.1% 7.1%

    24 3 4 3 14 7 3 14 1 5 9

    7.0% 7.0% 6.3% 2.9% 10.6% 8.6% 3.4% 8.1% 1.6% 5.1% 8.0%77 8 9 30 30 16 23 38 17 21 22

    22.4% 18.6% 14.1% 29.1% 22.7% 19.8% 25.8% 22.0% 27.4% 21.2% 19.5%

    57 9 14 18 16 13 15 29 11 19 18

    16.6% 20.9% 21.9% 17.5% 12.1% 16.0% 16.9% 16.8% 17.7% 19.2% 15.9%

    163 23 32 46 62 37 42 84 28 48 56

    47.5% 53.5% 50.0% 44.7% 47.0% 45.7% 47.2% 48.6% 45.2% 48.5% 49.6%

    (3.92) (4.21) (4.00) (3.92) (3.80) (3.79) (3.94) (3.97) (3.90) (3.99) (3.93)

    N=343 N=43 N=64 N=103 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=173 N=62 N=99 N=113

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Too muchgovernment

    spending andtaxing

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Need for welfarereform

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    State cuts to highereducation funding

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 8

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    9/39

    Q4. Details:

    62 7 12 14 29 18 17 27 10 17 16

    18.1% 16.3% 18.8% 13.5% 22.3% 22.5% 19.3% 15.5% 16.7% 17.0% 14.2%58 11 10 22 15 12 17 29 8 18 21

    17.0% 25.6% 15.6% 21.2% 11.5% 15.0% 19.3% 16.7% 13.3% 18.0% 18.6%

    83 12 20 22 29 19 21 43 17 18 33

    24.3% 27.9% 31.3% 21.2% 22.3% 23.8% 23.9% 24.7% 28.3% 18.0% 29.2%

    64 7 13 22 22 12 19 33 7 20 27

    18.7% 16.3% 20.3% 21.2% 16.9% 15.0% 21.6% 19.0% 11.7% 20.0% 23.9%

    75 6 9 24 35 19 14 42 18 27 16

    21.9% 14.0% 14.1% 23.1% 26.9% 23.8% 15.9% 24.1% 30.0% 27.0% 14.2%

    (3.09) (2.86) (2.95) (3.19) (3.15) (3.03) (2.95) (3.20) (3.25) (3.22) (3.05)

    N=342 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=130 N=80 N=88 N=174 N=60 N=100 N=113

    9 3 3 1 2 3 2 4 5 2 1

    2.6% 7.0% 4.7% 1.0% 1.5% 3.7% 2.2% 2.3% 8.1% 2.0% .9%

    20 5 3 6 6 5 6 9 3 3 9

    5.8% 11.6% 4.7% 5.8% 4.5% 6.2% 6.7% 5.2% 4.8% 3.0% 8.0%

    55 10 15 12 18 15 5 35 5 14 25

    16.0% 23.3% 23.4% 11.7% 13.6% 18.5% 5.6% 20.2% 8.1% 14.0% 22.3%

    91 14 18 27 31 17 31 43 10 31 32

    26.5% 32.6% 28.1% 26.2% 23.5% 21.0% 34.8% 24.9% 16.1% 31.0% 28.6%

    168 11 25 57 75 41 45 82 39 50 45

    49.0% 25.6% 39.1% 55.3% 56.8% 50.6% 50.6% 47.4% 62.9% 50.0% 40.2%

    (4.13) (3.58) (3.92) (4.29) (4.30) (4.09) (4.25) (4.10) (4.21) (4.24) (3.99)

    N=343 N=43 N=64 N=103 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=173 N=62 N=100 N=112

    20 3 4 7 6 7 1 12 3 5 9

    5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 6.7% 4.5% 8.6% 1.1% 6.9% 4.8% 5.0% 8.0%

    46 10 10 13 13 6 12 28 10 11 17

    13.4% 23.3% 15.6% 12.5% 9.8% 7.4% 13.5% 16.1% 16.1% 11.0% 15.0%89 12 14 25 37 14 20 55 12 23 32

    25.9% 27.9% 21.9% 24.0% 28.0% 17.3% 22.5% 31.6% 19.4% 23.0% 28.3%

    68 10 13 19 26 16 19 33 12 21 20

    19.8% 23.3% 20.3% 18.3% 19.7% 19.8% 21.3% 19.0% 19.4% 21.0% 17.7%

    121 8 23 40 50 38 37 46 25 40 35

    35.2% 18.6% 35.9% 38.5% 37.9% 46.9% 41.6% 26.4% 40.3% 40.0% 31.0%

    (3.65) (3.23) (3.64) (3.69) (3.77) (3.89) (3.89) (3.42) (3.74) (3.80) (3.49)

    N=344 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=174 N=62 N=100 N=113

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Increased globalwarming and

    climate change

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Energyindependence

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Immigration issues

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 9

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    10/39

    Q4. Details:

    14 1 1 2 10 6 5 3 3 6 2

    4.1% 2.3% 1.6% 1.9% 7.6% 7.4% 5.7% 1.7% 4.9% 6.0% 1.8%26 7 6 4 9 6 5 15 5 7 8

    7.6% 16.3% 9.4% 3.8% 6.9% 7.4% 5.7% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 7.1%

    57 8 7 24 18 9 12 36 6 19 18

    16.6% 18.6% 10.9% 23.1% 13.7% 11.1% 13.6% 20.7% 9.8% 19.0% 15.9%

    94 12 23 31 27 22 19 53 12 23 36

    27.4% 27.9% 35.9% 29.8% 20.6% 27.2% 21.6% 30.5% 19.7% 23.0% 31.9%

    152 15 27 43 67 38 47 67 35 45 49

    44.3% 34.9% 42.2% 41.3% 51.1% 46.9% 53.4% 38.5% 57.4% 45.0% 43.4%

    (4.00) (3.77) (4.08) (4.05) (4.01) (3.99) (4.11) (3.95) (4.16) (3.94) (4.08)

    N=343 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=131 N=81 N=88 N=174 N=61 N=100 N=113

    21 3 6 6 6 4 6 11 3 8 6

    6.2% 7.0% 9.5% 5.8% 4.6% 5.0% 6.7% 6.4% 4.8% 8.1% 5.3%

    9 3 1 1 4 0 3 6 3 2 3

    2.6% 7.0% 1.6% 1.0% 3.1% .0% 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 2.0% 2.7%

    53 5 10 14 24 15 14 24 12 18 13

    15.5% 11.6% 15.9% 13.5% 18.5% 18.8% 15.7% 14.0% 19.4% 18.2% 11.5%

    83 15 17 25 26 23 22 38 14 24 29

    24.3% 34.9% 27.0% 24.0% 20.0% 28.8% 24.7% 22.1% 22.6% 24.2% 25.7%

    175 17 29 58 70 38 44 93 30 47 62

    51.3% 39.5% 46.0% 55.8% 53.8% 47.5% 49.4% 54.1% 48.4% 47.5% 54.9%

    (4.12) (3.93) (3.98) (4.23) (4.15) (4.14) (4.07) (4.14) (4.05) (4.01) (4.22)

    N=341 N=43 N=63 N=104 N=130 N=80 N=89 N=172 N=62 N=99 N=113

    52 7 10 13 22 11 14 27 7 20 17

    15.3% 16.3% 15.9% 12.7% 16.8% 13.9% 15.7% 15.7% 11.5% 20.4% 15.2%

    41 8 12 9 12 8 7 26 5 9 18

    12.1% 18.6% 19.0% 8.8% 9.2% 10.1% 7.9% 15.1% 8.2% 9.2% 16.1%61 10 8 20 23 14 17 30 10 18 21

    17.9% 23.3% 12.7% 19.6% 17.6% 17.7% 19.1% 17.4% 16.4% 18.4% 18.8%

    57 7 16 20 14 6 19 32 10 19 22

    16.8% 16.3% 25.4% 19.6% 10.7% 7.6% 21.3% 18.6% 16.4% 19.4% 19.6%

    129 11 17 40 60 40 32 57 29 32 34

    37.9% 25.6% 27.0% 39.2% 45.8% 50.6% 36.0% 33.1% 47.5% 32.7% 30.4%

    (3.50) (3.16) (3.29) (3.64) (3.60) (3.71) (3.54) (3.38) (3.80) (3.35) (3.34)

    N=340 N=43 N=63 N=102 N=131 N=79 N=89 N=172 N=61 N=98 N=112

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    War in Afghanistan

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    The fate of theadministration'shealth care reformbill

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Abortion rights

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 10

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    11/39

    Q4. Details:

    76 12 9 22 33 22 21 33 12 27 22

    22.4% 27.9% 14.3% 21.6% 25.4% 27.8% 23.9% 19.2% 20.0% 27.0% 19.6%47 6 13 20 8 7 8 32 4 15 21

    13.9% 14.0% 20.6% 19.6% 6.2% 8.9% 9.1% 18.6% 6.7% 15.0% 18.8%

    76 5 18 24 29 21 22 33 11 24 24

    22.4% 11.6% 28.6% 23.5% 22.3% 26.6% 25.0% 19.2% 18.3% 24.0% 21.4%

    48 7 9 13 19 4 18 26 11 14 15

    14.2% 16.3% 14.3% 12.7% 14.6% 5.1% 20.5% 15.1% 18.3% 14.0% 13.4%

    92 13 14 23 41 25 19 48 22 20 30

    27.1% 30.2% 22.2% 22.5% 31.5% 31.6% 21.6% 27.9% 36.7% 20.0% 26.8%

    (3.10) (3.07) (3.10) (2.95) (3.21) (3.04) (3.07) (3.14) (3.45) (2.85) (3.09)

    N=339 N=43 N=63 N=102 N=130 N=79 N=88 N=172 N=60 N=100 N=112

    23 5 3 8 7 7 4 12 6 3 10

    6.7% 11.6% 4.8% 7.7% 5.3% 8.6% 4.5% 6.9% 9.7% 3.0% 8.8%

    35 11 2 13 9 5 10 20 6 13 12

    10.2% 25.6% 3.2% 12.5% 6.9% 6.2% 11.4% 11.6% 9.7% 13.0% 10.6%

    79 9 19 28 23 18 19 42 13 25 28

    23.1% 20.9% 30.2% 26.9% 17.6% 22.2% 21.6% 24.3% 21.0% 25.0% 24.8%

    62 9 12 20 21 11 21 30 14 15 21

    18.1% 20.9% 19.0% 19.2% 16.0% 13.6% 23.9% 17.3% 22.6% 15.0% 18.6%

    143 9 27 35 71 40 34 69 23 44 42

    41.8% 20.9% 42.9% 33.7% 54.2% 49.4% 38.6% 39.9% 37.1% 44.0% 37.2%

    (3.78) (3.14) (3.92) (3.59) (4.07) (3.89) (3.81) (3.72) (3.68) (3.84) (3.65)

    N=342 N=43 N=63 N=104 N=131 N=81 N=88 N=173 N=62 N=100 N=113

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Requiringinsurance

    companies to payfor birth control

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Term limits

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 11

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    12/39

    Q5. For Republicans: If these candidates are on the primary ballot for the Presidential race, who are you most likely to vote for?

    58 58 31 17 6 21 29 4 26 32

    31.7% 31.7% 30.4% 29.8% 75.0% 29.2% 39.2% 19.0% 24.3% 42.1%

    56 56 32 18 0 21 20 9 39 17

    30.6% 30.6% 31.4% 31.6% .0% 29.2% 27.0% 42.9% 36.4% 22.4%

    45 45 25 14 0 23 11 5 25 20

    24.6% 24.6% 24.5% 24.6% .0% 31.9% 14.9% 23.8% 23.4% 26.3%

    18 18 9 7 2 4 11 3 12 6

    9.8% 9.8% 8.8% 12.3% 25.0% 5.6% 14.9% 14.3% 11.2% 7.9%

    6 6 5 1 0 3 3 0 5 13.3% 3.3% 4.9% 1.8% .0% 4.2% 4.1% .0% 4.7% 1.3%

    183 183 102 57 8 72 74 21 107 76

    Do not know/undecided

    (DNK)

    Mitt Romney (MR)

    Rick Santorum (RS)

    Ron Paul (RP)

    Newt Gingrich (NG)

    Total

    Total Sample Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q5. For Republicans: If these candidates are on the primary ballot for the Presidential race, who are you most likely to vote for?

    58 8 12 18 19 14 15 29 11 11 19

    31.7% 38.1% 30.8% 35.3% 26.8% 33.3% 33.3% 30.2% 33.3% 22.0% 33.9%

    56 8 12 15 21 9 13 34 10 13 20

    30.6% 38.1% 30.8% 29.4% 29.6% 21.4% 28.9% 35.4% 30.3% 26.0% 35.7%

    45 1 10 13 21 15 11 19 9 16 9

    24.6% 4.8% 25.6% 25.5% 29.6% 35.7% 24.4% 19.8% 27.3% 32.0% 16.1%

    18 3 4 4 7 4 3 11 3 7 6

    9.8% 14.3% 10.3% 7.8% 9.9% 9.5% 6.7% 11.5% 9.1% 14.0% 10.7%6 1 1 1 3 0 3 3 0 3 2

    3.3% 4.8% 2.6% 2.0% 4.2% .0% 6.7% 3.1% .0% 6.0% 3.6%

    183 21 39 51 71 42 45 96 33 50 56

    Do not know/undecided(DNK)

    Mitt Romney (MR)

    Rick Santorum (RS)

    Ron Paul (RP)

    Newt Gingrich (NG)

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    school

    College

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less

    $40,001 to

    $75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 12

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    13/39

    Q6. For Republicans: Using a five point scale ranging from 1, not satisfied, to 5, very satisfied, how satisfied are you with your choice of candidates?

    44 44 19 14 6 11 21 7 29 15

    24.9% 24.9% 19.4% 25.0% 85.7% 15.9% 29.2% 35.0% 27.4% 21.1%

    32 32 19 10 0 10 16 3 18 14

    18.1% 18.1% 19.4% 17.9% .0% 14.5% 22.2% 15.0% 17.0% 19.7%

    51 51 29 18 1 23 18 7 31 20

    28.8% 28.8% 29.6% 32.1% 14.3% 33.3% 25.0% 35.0% 29.2% 28.2%

    35 35 20 12 0 17 13 2 20 15

    19.8% 19.8% 20.4% 21.4% .0% 24.6% 18.1% 10.0% 18.9% 21.1%

    15 15 11 2 0 8 4 1 8 7

    8.5% 8.5% 11.2% 3.6% .0% 11.6% 5.6% 5.0% 7.5% 9.9%

    (2.69) (2.69) (2.85) (2.61) (1.29) (3.01) (2.49) (2.35) (2.62) (2.79)

    N=177 N=177 N=98 N=56 N=7 N=69 N=72 N=20 N=106 N=71

    1-Not satisfied

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very satisfied

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q6. For Republicans: Using a five point scale ranging from 1, not satisfied, to 5, very satisfied, how satisfied are you with your choice of candidates?

    44 3 5 14 21 9 5 30 8 12 15

    24.9% 15.0% 12.8% 28.6% 30.9% 22.5% 11.1% 32.6% 25.8% 25.0% 27.3%

    32 4 8 7 13 10 10 12 3 10 9

    18.1% 20.0% 20.5% 14.3% 19.1% 25.0% 22.2% 13.0% 9.7% 20.8% 16.4%

    51 10 14 15 12 11 12 28 7 13 20

    28.8% 50.0% 35.9% 30.6% 17.6% 27.5% 26.7% 30.4% 22.6% 27.1% 36.4%35 2 11 7 15 5 13 17 11 10 6

    19.8% 10.0% 28.2% 14.3% 22.1% 12.5% 28.9% 18.5% 35.5% 20.8% 10.9%

    15 1 1 6 7 5 5 5 2 3 5

    8.5% 5.0% 2.6% 12.2% 10.3% 12.5% 11.1% 5.4% 6.5% 6.3% 9.1%

    (2.69) (2.70) (2.87) (2.67) (2.62) (2.68) (3.07) (2.51) (2.87) (2.63) (2.58)

    N=177 N=20 N=39 N=49 N=68 N=40 N=45 N=92 N=31 N=48 N=55

    1-Not satisfied

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very satisfied

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to

    $75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 13

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    14/39

    Q7. For Republicans: Thinking about the congressional race for Todd Platts' seat, which one of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?

    118 118 61 34 8 44 47 12 66 52

    64.5% 64.5% 59.8% 59.6% 100.0% 61.1% 63.5% 57.1% 61.7% 68.4%

    22 22 15 7 0 10 11 1 13 9

    12.0% 12.0% 14.7% 12.3% .0% 13.9% 14.9% 4.8% 12.1% 11.8%

    22 22 15 6 0 12 8 1 13 9

    12.0% 12.0% 14.7% 10.5% .0% 16.7% 10.8% 4.8% 12.1% 11.8%

    11 11 5 6 0 3 3 5 9 2

    6.0% 6.0% 4.9% 10.5% .0% 4.2% 4.1% 23.8% 8.4% 2.6%

    3 3 2 1 0 1 2 0 2 11.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% .0% 1.4% 2.7% .0% 1.9% 1.3%

    3 3 2 1 0 2 1 0 2 1

    1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% .0% 2.8% 1.4% .0% 1.9% 1.3%

    3 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 2

    1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% .0% .0% 1.4% 9.5% .9% 2.6%

    1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0

    .5% .5% .0% 1.8% .0% .0% 1.4% .0% .9% .0%

    183 183 102 57 8 72 74 21 107 76

    Do not know/undecided

    (DNK)

    Scott Perry (SP)

    Chris Reilly (CR)

    Sean Summers (SS)

    Mark Swomley (MS)

    Eric Martin (EM)

    Kevin Downs (KD)

    Ted Waga (TW)

    Total

    Total Sample Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 14

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    15/39

    Q7. For Republicans: Thinking about the congressional race for Todd Platts' seat, which one of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?

    118 13 25 39 40 27 27 64 21 26 40

    64.5% 61.9% 64.1% 76.5% 56.3% 64.3% 60.0% 66.7% 63.6% 52.0% 71.4%

    22 3 4 5 10 4 8 10 2 9 8

    12.0% 14.3% 10.3% 9.8% 14.1% 9.5% 17.8% 10.4% 6.1% 18.0% 14.3%

    22 2 1 5 14 6 8 8 6 8 1

    12.0% 9.5% 2.6% 9.8% 19.7% 14.3% 17.8% 8.3% 18.2% 16.0% 1.8%

    11 1 4 1 5 4 2 5 1 4 4

    6.0% 4.8% 10.3% 2.0% 7.0% 9.5% 4.4% 5.2% 3.0% 8.0% 7.1%

    3 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 2 1

    1.6% 4.8% 2.6% .0% 1.4% .0% .0% 3.1% .0% 4.0% 1.8%

    3 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 2 0 1

    1.6% .0% 2.6% 2.0% 1.4% 2.4% .0% 2.1% 6.1% .0% 1.8%

    3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 1

    1.6% .0% 7.7% .0% .0% .0% .0% 3.1% .0% 2.0% 1.8%

    1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0

    .5% 4.8% .0% .0% .0% .0% .0% 1.0% 3.0% .0% .0%

    183 21 39 51 71 42 45 96 33 50 56

    Do not know/undecided

    (DNK)

    Scott Perry (SP)

    Chris Reilly (CR)

    Sean Summers (SS)

    Eric Martin (EM)

    Kevin Downs (KD)

    Mark Swomley (MS)

    Ted Waga (TW)

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to

    $75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 15

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    16/39

    Q8. For Republicans: Using a five point scale ranging from 1, not satisfied, to 5, very satisfied, how satisfied are you with your choice of candidates?

    33 33 13 13 3 9 12 8 20 13

    22.8% 22.8% 15.1% 27.1% 60.0% 15.3% 19.7% 42.1% 23.8% 21.3%

    12 12 7 4 1 4 7 1 7 5

    8.3% 8.3% 8.1% 8.3% 20.0% 6.8% 11.5% 5.3% 8.3% 8.2%

    54 54 35 17 1 23 26 4 32 22

    37.2% 37.2% 40.7% 35.4% 20.0% 39.0% 42.6% 21.1% 38.1% 36.1%

    26 26 15 10 0 12 9 4 13 13

    17.9% 17.9% 17.4% 20.8% .0% 20.3% 14.8% 21.1% 15.5% 21.3%

    20 20 16 4 0 11 7 2 12 8

    13.8% 13.8% 18.6% 8.3% .0% 18.6% 11.5% 10.5% 14.3% 13.1%

    (2.92) (2.92) (3.16) (2.75) (1.60) (3.20) (2.87) (2.53) (2.88) (2.97)

    N=145 N=145 N=86 N=48 N=5 N=59 N=61 N=19 N=84 N=61

    1-Not satisfied

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very satisfied

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q8. For Republicans: Using a five point scale ranging from 1, not satisfied, to 5, very satisfied, how satisfied are you with your choice of candidates?

    33 5 6 9 13 6 8 19 6 7 13

    22.8% 27.8% 17.6% 24.3% 23.2% 18.2% 20.5% 26.0% 24.0% 15.6% 28.9%

    12 1 1 1 9 5 3 4 5 4 2

    8.3% 5.6% 2.9% 2.7% 16.1% 15.2% 7.7% 5.5% 20.0% 8.9% 4.4%

    54 7 13 19 15 11 18 25 9 18 18

    37.2% 38.9% 38.2% 51.4% 26.8% 33.3% 46.2% 34.2% 36.0% 40.0% 40.0%26 2 11 3 10 6 6 14 4 7 8

    17.9% 11.1% 32.4% 8.1% 17.9% 18.2% 15.4% 19.2% 16.0% 15.6% 17.8%

    20 3 3 5 9 5 4 11 1 9 4

    13.8% 16.7% 8.8% 13.5% 16.1% 15.2% 10.3% 15.1% 4.0% 20.0% 8.9%

    (2.92) (2.83) (3.12) (2.84) (2.88) (2.97) (2.87) (2.92) (2.56) (3.16) (2.73)

    N=145 N=18 N=34 N=37 N=56 N=33 N=39 N=73 N=25 N=45 N=45

    1-Not satisfied

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very satisfied

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to

    $75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 16

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    17/39

    Q9. For Democrats: Thinking about the congressional race for Todd Platts' seat, which one of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?

    139 139 33 82 19 21 62 51 31 108

    86.3% 86.3% 82.5% 90.1% 76.0% 87.5% 84.9% 86.4% 72.1% 91.5%

    12 12 5 5 2 2 7 3 7 5

    7.5% 7.5% 12.5% 5.5% 8.0% 8.3% 9.6% 5.1% 16.3% 4.2%

    10 10 2 4 4 1 4 5 5 5

    6.2% 6.2% 5.0% 4.4% 16.0% 4.2% 5.5% 8.5% 11.6% 4.2%

    161 161 40 91 25 24 73 59 43 118

    Do not know/undecided

    (DNK)

    Ken Lee (KL)

    Harry Perkinson (HP)

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q9. For Democrats: Thinking about the congressional race for Todd Platts' seat, which one of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?

    139 17 25 44 53 36 32 71 21 42 51

    86.3% 77.3% 100.0% 83.0% 86.9% 92.3% 72.7% 91.0% 72.4% 84.0% 89.5%

    12 2 0 6 4 2 4 6 2 5 5

    7.5% 9.1% .0% 11.3% 6.6% 5.1% 9.1% 7.7% 6.9% 10.0% 8.8%

    10 3 0 3 4 1 8 1 6 3 1

    6.2% 13.6% .0% 5.7% 6.6% 2.6% 18.2% 1.3% 20.7% 6.0% 1.8%

    161 22 25 53 61 39 44 78 29 50 57

    Do not know/undecided(DNK)

    Ken Lee (KL)

    Harry Perkinson (HP)

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to

    $75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 17

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    18/39

    Q10. For Democrats: Using a five point scale ranging from 1, not satisfied, to 5, very satisfied, how satisfied are you with these candidates?

    39 39 8 24 6 6 17 15 8 31

    28.3% 28.3% 27.6% 29.3% 26.1% 28.6% 27.9% 28.8% 24.2% 29.5%

    18 18 4 9 4 3 8 6 5 13

    13.0% 13.0% 13.8% 11.0% 17.4% 14.3% 13.1% 11.5% 15.2% 12.4%

    69 69 14 42 11 10 30 27 14 55

    50.0% 50.0% 48.3% 51.2% 47.8% 47.6% 49.2% 51.9% 42.4% 52.4%

    8 8 1 6 1 1 4 3 4 4

    5.8% 5.8% 3.4% 7.3% 4.3% 4.8% 6.6% 5.8% 12.1% 3.8%

    4 4 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2

    2.9% 2.9% 6.9% 1.2% 4.3% 4.8% 3.3% 1.9% 6.1% 1.9%

    (2.42) (2.42) (2.48) (2.40) (2.43) (2.43) (2.44) (2.40) (2.61) (2.36)

    N=138 N=138 N=29 N=82 N=23 N=21 N=61 N=52 N=33 N=105

    1-Not satisfied

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very satisfied

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q10. For Democrats: Using a five point scale ranging from 1, not satisfied, to 5, very satisfied, how satisfied are you with these candidates?

    39 5 6 16 12 10 7 22 7 7 17

    28.3% 26.3% 27.3% 35.6% 23.1% 30.3% 18.9% 32.4% 25.9% 16.7% 34.7%

    18 2 0 7 9 3 8 7 4 8 5

    13.0% 10.5% .0% 15.6% 17.3% 9.1% 21.6% 10.3% 14.8% 19.0% 10.2%

    69 9 16 18 26 18 17 34 10 23 25

    50.0% 47.4% 72.7% 40.0% 50.0% 54.5% 45.9% 50.0% 37.0% 54.8% 51.0%8 3 0 1 4 0 5 3 5 2 1

    5.8% 15.8% .0% 2.2% 7.7% .0% 13.5% 4.4% 18.5% 4.8% 2.0%

    4 0 0 3 1 2 0 2 1 2 1

    2.9% .0% .0% 6.7% 1.9% 6.1% .0% 2.9% 3.7% 4.8% 2.0%

    (2.42) (2.53) (2.45) (2.29) (2.48) (2.42) (2.54) (2.35) (2.59) (2.62) (2.27)

    N=138 N=19 N=22 N=45 N=52 N=33 N=37 N=68 N=27 N=42 N=49

    1-Not satisfied

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very satisfied

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to

    $75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 18

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    19/39

    Q11. For all: Thinking about all candidates running for Todd Platts' seat, how important is it to you that a candidate has previous political experience? Please answerthis using a rating scale that goes from 1, not important, to 5, very important.

    65 22 43 30 27 6 23 29 11 38 27

    18.9% 13.7% 23.5% 21.1% 18.2% 18.2% 24.0% 19.7% 13.8% 25.3% 13.9%

    33 16 17 10 16 5 4 14 13 14 19

    9.6% 9.9% 9.3% 7.0% 10.8% 15.2% 4.2% 9.5% 16.3% 9.3% 9.8%

    98 44 54 37 44 11 25 42 25 43 55

    28.5% 27.3% 29.5% 26.1% 29.7% 33.3% 26.0% 28.6% 31.3% 28.7% 28.4%

    64 42 22 22 34 4 16 32 12 27 37

    18.6% 26.1% 12.0% 15.5% 23.0% 12.1% 16.7% 21.8% 15.0% 18.0% 19.1%

    84 37 47 43 27 7 28 30 19 28 5624.4% 23.0% 25.7% 30.3% 18.2% 21.2% 29.2% 20.4% 23.8% 18.7% 28.9%

    (3.20) (3.35) (3.07) (3.27) (3.12) (3.03) (3.23) (3.14) (3.19) (2.95) (3.39)

    N=344 N=161 N=183 N=142 N=148 N=33 N=96 N=147 N=80 N=150 N=194

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q11. For all: Thinking about all candidates running for Todd Platts' seat, how important is it to you that a candidate has previous political experience? Please answerthis using a rating scale that goes from 1, not important, to 5, very important.

    65 6 13 21 25 16 14 35 12 19 20

    18.9% 14.0% 20.3% 20.2% 18.9% 19.8% 15.7% 20.1% 19.4% 19.0% 17.7%

    33 4 6 9 13 6 5 22 5 9 8

    9.6% 9.3% 9.4% 8.7% 9.8% 7.4% 5.6% 12.6% 8.1% 9.0% 7.1%

    98 13 12 35 38 20 21 57 15 26 39

    28.5% 30.2% 18.8% 33.7% 28.8% 24.7% 23.6% 32.8% 24.2% 26.0% 34.5%

    64 9 17 18 20 15 22 27 13 19 19

    18.6% 20.9% 26.6% 17.3% 15.2% 18.5% 24.7% 15.5% 21.0% 19.0% 16.8%

    84 11 16 21 36 24 27 33 17 27 27

    24.4% 25.6% 25.0% 20.2% 27.3% 29.6% 30.3% 19.0% 27.4% 27.0% 23.9%

    (3.20) (3.35) (3.27) (3.09) (3.22) (3.31) (3.48) (3.01) (3.29) (3.26) (3.22)

    N=344 N=43 N=64 N=104 N=132 N=81 N=89 N=174 N=62 N=100 N=113

    1-Not important

    2-

    3-

    4-

    5-Very important

    Mean

    N=

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 19

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    20/39

    Q12. What sources do you use to become informed about the candidates?

    261 122 139 115 117 18 71 120 59 106 155

    76.3% 76.7% 76.0% 81.6% 79.6% 54.5% 74.7% 82.2% 73.8% 71.6% 79.9%216 101 115 87 97 19 65 94 44 92 124

    63.2% 63.5% 62.8% 61.7% 66.0% 57.6% 68.4% 64.4% 55.0% 62.2% 63.9%

    78 34 44 32 32 10 19 32 23 38 40

    22.8% 21.4% 24.0% 22.7% 21.8% 30.3% 20.0% 21.9% 28.8% 25.7% 20.6%

    36 14 22 15 19 2 17 13 6 15 21

    10.5% 8.8% 12.0% 10.6% 12.9% 6.1% 17.9% 8.9% 7.5% 10.1% 10.8%

    28 14 14 13 10 2 10 10 5 7 21

    8.2% 8.8% 7.7% 9.2% 6.8% 6.1% 10.5% 6.8% 6.3% 4.7% 10.8%13 6 7 6 5 2 2 7 4 6 7

    3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 4.3% 3.4% 6.1% 2.1% 4.8% 5.0% 4.1% 3.6%

    11 6 5 5 4 2 4 3 4 5 6

    3.2% 3.8% 2.7% 3.5% 2.7% 6.1% 4.2% 2.1% 5.0% 3.4% 3.1%

    8 6 2 1 5 2 1 3 4 4 4

    2.3% 3.8% 1.1% .7% 3.4% 6.1% 1.1% 2.1% 5.0% 2.7% 2.1%

    4 2 2 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 3

    1.2% 1.3% 1.1% .0% 2.0% .0% .0% .0% 3.8% .7% 1.5%

    3 1 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 1

    .9% .6% 1.1% .7% .7% .0% .0% 1.4% .0% 1.4% .5%

    1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

    .3% .0% .5% .7% .0% .0% 1.1% .0% .0% .0% .5%

    342 159 183 141 147 33 95 146 80 148 194

    Newspaper

    Television

    Internet

    Word of mouth

    Political ads

    Radio

    Work

    Other

    Town hall meeting

    Mail

    Internet

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Note: Total percent may exceed 100 due to multiple responses.

    Page 20

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    21/39

    Q12. What sources do you use to become informed about the candidates?

    261 22 47 79 113 59 69 133 39 81 88

    76.3% 51.2% 73.4% 76.0% 86.9% 73.8% 78.4% 76.4% 63.9% 81.0% 78.6%

    216 20 42 60 94 61 53 102 45 73 65

    63.2% 46.5% 65.6% 57.7% 72.3% 76.3% 60.2% 58.6% 73.8% 73.0% 58.0%

    78 20 14 27 16 7 22 49 9 17 36

    22.8% 46.5% 21.9% 26.0% 12.3% 8.8% 25.0% 28.2% 14.8% 17.0% 32.1%

    36 4 6 10 16 8 9 19 10 7 10

    10.5% 9.3% 9.4% 9.6% 12.3% 10.0% 10.2% 10.9% 16.4% 7.0% 8.9%

    28 4 5 8 11 8 6 14 6 7 9

    8.2% 9.3% 7.8% 7.7% 8.5% 10.0% 6.8% 8.0% 9.8% 7.0% 8.0%

    13 0 4 5 4 2 7 4 4 4 3

    3.8% .0% 6.3% 4.8% 3.1% 2.5% 8.0% 2.3% 6.6% 4.0% 2.7%

    11 2 3 2 4 4 3 4 2 1 7

    3.2% 4.7% 4.7% 1.9% 3.1% 5.0% 3.4% 2.3% 3.3% 1.0% 6.3%

    8 0 3 3 2 1 2 5 1 3 4

    2.3% .0% 4.7% 2.9% 1.5% 1.3% 2.3% 2.9% 1.6% 3.0% 3.6%

    4 0 1 1 2 0 0 4 0 0 4

    1.2% .0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% .0% .0% 2.3% .0% .0% 3.6%

    3 0 1 2 0 0 2 1 0 2 1

    .9% .0% 1.6% 1.9% .0% .0% 2.3% .6% .0% 2.0% .9%

    1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

    .3% .0% 1.6% .0% .0% .0% .0% .6% .0% .0% .0%

    342 43 64 104 130 80 88 174 61 100 112

    Newspaper

    Television

    Internet

    Word of mouth

    Political ads

    Radio

    Work

    Other

    Town hall meeting

    Mail

    Internet

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Note: Total percent may exceed 100 due to multiple responses.

    Page 21

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    22/39

    Q13. How would you describe yourself politically when it comes to economic issues?

    148 91 57 0 148 0 19 89 40 55 93

    45.8% 58.3% 34.1% .0% 100.0% .0% 19.8% 60.5% 50.0% 39.9% 50.3%142 40 102 142 0 0 76 50 16 74 68

    44.0% 25.6% 61.1% 100.0% .0% .0% 79.2% 34.0% 20.0% 53.6% 36.8%

    33 25 8 0 0 33 1 8 24 9 24

    10.2% 16.0% 4.8% .0% .0% 100.0% 1.0% 5.4% 30.0% 6.5% 13.0%

    323 156 167 142 148 33 96 147 80 138 185

    Moderate

    Conservative

    Liberal

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q13. How would you describe yourself politically when it comes to economic issues?

    148 21 27 37 63 23 46 79 28 44 51

    45.8% 52.5% 45.8% 38.5% 49.6% 30.3% 52.9% 49.4% 47.5% 44.9% 48.1%

    142 16 25 45 56 45 35 62 27 43 44

    44.0% 40.0% 42.4% 46.9% 44.1% 59.2% 40.2% 38.8% 45.8% 43.9% 41.5%

    33 3 7 14 8 8 6 19 4 11 11

    10.2% 7.5% 11.9% 14.6% 6.3% 10.5% 6.9% 11.9% 6.8% 11.2% 10.4%

    323 40 59 96 127 76 87 160 59 98 106

    Moderate

    Conservative

    Liberal

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to

    $75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 22

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    23/39

    Q14. How would you describe yourself politically when it comes to social issues?

    147 73 74 50 89 8 0 147 0 71 76

    45.5% 46.8% 44.3% 35.2% 60.1% 24.2% .0% 100.0% .0% 51.4% 41.1%96 24 72 76 19 1 96 0 0 42 54

    29.7% 15.4% 43.1% 53.5% 12.8% 3.0% 100.0% .0% .0% 30.4% 29.2%

    80 59 21 16 40 24 0 0 80 25 55

    24.8% 37.8% 12.6% 11.3% 27.0% 72.7% .0% .0% 100.0% 18.1% 29.7%

    323 156 167 142 148 33 96 147 80 138 185

    Moderate

    Conservative

    Liberal

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q14. How would you describe yourself politically when it comes to social issues?

    147 17 29 42 59 31 46 70 27 44 47

    45.5% 42.5% 49.2% 43.8% 46.5% 40.8% 52.9% 43.8% 45.8% 44.9% 44.3%

    96 9 16 32 39 32 26 38 19 33 24

    29.7% 22.5% 27.1% 33.3% 30.7% 42.1% 29.9% 23.8% 32.2% 33.7% 22.6%

    80 14 14 22 29 13 15 52 13 21 35

    24.8% 35.0% 23.7% 22.9% 22.8% 17.1% 17.2% 32.5% 22.0% 21.4% 33.0%

    323 40 59 96 127 76 87 160 59 98 106

    Moderate

    Conservative

    Liberal

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to

    $75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 23

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    24/39

    Q15. Which of these categories includes your age?

    10 7 3 3 4 3 2 4 4 5 5

    2.9% 4.3% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 9.4% 2.1% 2.7% 5.1% 3.4% 2.6%15 6 9 6 9 0 1 7 7 10 5

    4.4% 3.7% 4.9% 4.2% 6.1% .0% 1.0% 4.8% 8.9% 6.7% 2.6%

    18 9 9 7 8 0 6 6 3 5 13

    5.2% 5.6% 4.9% 4.9% 5.4% .0% 6.3% 4.1% 3.8% 3.4% 6.7%

    64 25 39 25 27 7 16 29 14 26 38

    18.7% 15.5% 21.4% 17.6% 18.2% 21.9% 16.7% 19.7% 17.7% 17.4% 19.6%

    104 53 51 45 37 14 32 42 22 38 66

    30.3% 32.9% 28.0% 31.7% 25.0% 43.8% 33.3% 28.6% 27.8% 25.5% 34.0%

    132 61 71 56 63 8 39 59 29 65 67

    38.5% 37.9% 39.0% 39.4% 42.6% 25.0% 40.6% 40.1% 36.7% 43.6% 34.5%

    343 161 182 142 148 32 96 147 79 149 194

    18 to 24

    25 to 34

    35 to 44

    45 to 54

    55 to 64

    65 and over

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 24

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    25/39

    Q15. Which of these categories includes your age?

    10 10 0 0 0 1 7 2 8 0 2

    2.9% 23.3% .0% .0% .0% 1.2% 7.9% 1.2% 12.9% .0% 1.8%

    15 15 0 0 0 0 6 9 5 2 8

    4.4% 34.9% .0% .0% .0% .0% 6.7% 5.2% 8.1% 2.0% 7.1%

    18 18 0 0 0 3 2 13 0 4 13

    5.2% 41.9% .0% .0% .0% 3.7% 2.2% 7.5% .0% 4.0% 11.5%

    64 0 64 0 0 15 17 32 5 14 30

    18.7% .0% 100.0% .0% .0% 18.5% 19.1% 18.5% 8.1% 14.0% 26.5%

    104 0 0 104 0 22 26 56 12 33 3730.3% .0% .0% 100.0% .0% 27.2% 29.2% 32.4% 19.4% 33.0% 32.7%

    132 0 0 0 132 40 31 61 32 47 23

    38.5% .0% .0% .0% 100.0% 49.4% 34.8% 35.3% 51.6% 47.0% 20.4%

    343 43 64 104 132 81 89 173 62 100 113

    18 to 24

    25 to 34

    35 to 44

    45 to 54

    55 to 64

    65 and over

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollege

    graduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 25

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    26/39

    Q16. Which of these describes the highest level of education you have completed?

    10 3 7 6 4 0 3 5 2 6 4

    2.9% 1.9% 3.8% 4.2% 2.7% .0% 3.1% 3.4% 2.5% 4.0% 2.1%

    71 36 35 39 19 8 29 26 11 22 49

    20.6% 22.4% 19.1% 27.5% 12.8% 24.2% 30.2% 17.7% 13.8% 14.7% 25.3%

    89 44 45 35 46 6 26 46 15 42 47

    25.9% 27.3% 24.6% 24.6% 31.1% 18.2% 27.1% 31.3% 18.8% 28.0% 24.2%

    174 78 96 62 79 19 38 70 52 80 94

    50.6% 48.4% 52.5% 43.7% 53.4% 57.6% 39.6% 47.6% 65.0% 53.3% 48.5%

    344 161 183 142 148 33 96 147 80 150 194

    Less than high school graduate

    High school graduate

    Some college or technical school

    College graduate

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q16. Which of these describes the highest level of education you have completed?

    10 1 1 1 7 10 0 0 4 1 1

    2.9% 2.3% 1.6% 1.0% 5.3% 12.3% .0% .0% 6.5% 1.0% .9%

    71 3 14 21 33 71 0 0 16 26 15

    20.6% 7.0% 21.9% 20.2% 25.0% 87.7% .0% .0% 25.8% 26.0% 13.3%

    89 15 17 26 31 0 89 0 25 24 2625.9% 34.9% 26.6% 25.0% 23.5% .0% 100.0% .0% 40.3% 24.0% 23.0%

    174 24 32 56 61 0 0 174 17 49 71

    50.6% 55.8% 50.0% 53.8% 46.2% .0% .0% 100.0% 27.4% 49.0% 62.8%

    344 43 64 104 132 81 89 174 62 100 113

    Less than high school graduate

    High school graduate

    Some college or technical school

    College graduate

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 26

    Q ?

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    27/39

    Q17. Finally, which of these includes your household's 2011 income?

    16 9 7 7 6 3 4 10 2 6 10

    5.8% 6.6% 5.0% 6.1% 4.9% 11.5% 5.3% 8.5% 2.9% 5.0% 6.5%

    46 20 26 20 22 1 15 17 11 22 24

    16.7% 14.7% 18.7% 17.5% 17.9% 3.8% 19.7% 14.4% 15.9% 18.2% 15.6%

    100 50 50 43 44 11 33 44 21 45 55

    36.4% 36.8% 36.0% 37.7% 35.8% 42.3% 43.4% 37.3% 30.4% 37.2% 35.7%

    113 57 56 44 51 11 24 47 35 48 65

    41.1% 41.9% 40.3% 38.6% 41.5% 42.3% 31.6% 39.8% 50.7% 39.7% 42.2%

    275 136 139 114 123 26 76 118 69 121 154

    Under $25,000

    $25,000 to $40,000

    $40,001 to $75,000

    Over $75,000

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q17. Finally, which of these includes your household's 2011 income?

    16 7 0 1 8 5 9 2 16 0 0

    5.8% 16.7% .0% 1.2% 7.8% 7.9% 12.0% 1.5% 25.8% .0% .0%

    46 6 5 11 24 15 16 15 46 0 0

    16.7% 14.3% 10.2% 13.4% 23.5% 23.8% 21.3% 10.9% 74.2% .0% .0%

    100 6 14 33 47 27 24 49 0 100 0

    36.4% 14.3% 28.6% 40.2% 46.1% 42.9% 32.0% 35.8% .0% 100.0% .0%

    113 23 30 37 23 16 26 71 0 0 113

    41.1% 54.8% 61.2% 45.1% 22.5% 25.4% 34.7% 51.8% .0% .0% 100.0%

    275 42 49 82 102 63 75 137 62 100 113

    Under $25,000

    $25,000 to $40,000

    $40,001 to $75,000

    Over $75,000

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 27

    Q18 R d d

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    28/39

    Q18. Record gender:

    194 118 76 68 93 24 54 76 55 0 194

    56.4% 73.3% 41.5% 47.9% 62.8% 72.7% 56.3% 51.7% 68.8% .0% 100.0%150 43 107 74 55 9 42 71 25 150 0

    43.6% 26.7% 58.5% 52.1% 37.2% 27.3% 43.8% 48.3% 31.3% 100.0% .0%

    344 161 183 142 148 33 96 147 80 150 194

    Female

    Male

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Q18. Record gender:

    194 23 38 66 67 53 47 94 34 55 65

    56.4% 53.5% 59.4% 63.5% 50.8% 65.4% 52.8% 54.0% 54.8% 55.0% 57.5%

    150 20 26 38 65 28 42 80 28 45 48

    43.6% 46.5% 40.6% 36.5% 49.2% 34.6% 47.2% 46.0% 45.2% 45.0% 42.5%

    344 43 64 104 132 81 89 174 62 100 113

    Female

    Male

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate orless

    Some collegeor technicalschool

    Collegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 orless

    $40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 28

    Q19 Record zip code:

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    29/39

    Q19. Record zip code:

    21 11 10 7 7 5 5 7 7 8 13

    6.1% 6.8% 5.5% 4.9% 4.7% 15.2% 5.2% 4.8% 8.8% 5.3% 6.7%1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

    .3% .6% .0% .7% .0% .0% .0% .7% .0% .7% .0%

    3 2 1 1 2 0 1 2 0 2 1

    .9% 1.2% .5% .7% 1.4% .0% 1.0% 1.4% .0% 1.3% .5%

    4 1 3 2 2 0 2 1 1 1 3

    1.2% .6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% .0% 2.1% .7% 1.3% .7% 1.5%

    3 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 3 0 3.9% 1.2% .5% .0% .7% 6.1% .0% .0% 3.8% .0% 1.5%

    17 9 8 7 7 1 2 8 5 6 11

    4.9% 5.6% 4.4% 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 2.1% 5.4% 6.3% 4.0% 5.7%

    18 4 14 8 6 2 6 9 1 9 9

    5.2% 2.5% 7.7% 5.6% 4.1% 6.1% 6.3% 6.1% 1.3% 6.0% 4.6%

    12 6 6 3 8 1 3 8 1 7 5

    3.5% 3.7% 3.3% 2.1% 5.4% 3.0% 3.1% 5.4% 1.3% 4.7% 2.6%2 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2

    .6% 1.2% .0% .0% .7% 3.0% .0% .7% 1.3% .0% 1.0%

    1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

    .3% .0% .5% .7% .0% .0% .0% .7% .0% .7% .0%

    2 0 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1

    .6% .0% 1.1% .7% .7% .0% .0% 1.4% .0% .7% .5%

    1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1

    .3% .6% .0% .0% .7% .0% .0% .0% 1.3% .0% .5%

    3 3 0 1 2 0 1 2 0 2 1

    .9% 1.9% .0% .7% 1.4% .0% 1.0% 1.4% .0% 1.3% .5%

    3 1 2 2 0 1 0 2 1 1 2

    .9% .6% 1.1% 1.4% .0% 3.0% .0% 1.4% 1.3% .7% 1.0%

    17011

    17015

    17019

    17025

    17043

    17050

    17055

    17070

    17103

    17104

    17110

    17301

    17302

    17304

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 29

    Q19 Record zip code:

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    30/39

    Q19. Record zip code:

    1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

    .3% .6% .0% .7% .0% .0% 1.0% .0% .0% .0% .5%3 2 1 2 0 1 2 0 1 1 2

    .9% 1.2% .5% 1.4% .0% 3.0% 2.1% .0% 1.3% .7% 1.0%

    2 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 0

    .6% .0% 1.1% .7% .7% .0% 1.0% .7% .0% 1.3% .0%

    4 3 1 1 3 0 1 3 0 0 4

    1.2% 1.9% .5% .7% 2.0% .0% 1.0% 2.0% .0% .0% 2.1%

    1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0.3% .0% .5% .7% .0% .0% 1.0% .0% .0% .7% .0%

    7 5 2 3 3 1 2 2 3 3 4

    2.0% 3.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 2.1% 1.4% 3.8% 2.0% 2.1%

    9 4 5 5 4 0 1 6 2 4 5

    2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.5% 2.7% .0% 1.0% 4.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6%

    4 3 1 2 1 0 1 2 0 2 2

    1.2% 1.9% .5% 1.4% .7% .0% 1.0% 1.4% .0% 1.3% 1.0%

    5 1 4 3 1 1 1 2 2 4 1

    1.5% .6% 2.2% 2.1% .7% 3.0% 1.0% 1.4% 2.5% 2.7% .5%

    3 1 2 3 0 0 1 1 1 1 2

    .9% .6% 1.1% 2.1% .0% .0% 1.0% .7% 1.3% .7% 1.0%

    3 1 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 2

    .9% .6% 1.1% 1.4% .0% .0% 2.1% .0% .0% .7% 1.0%

    2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1

    .6% .6% .5% .0% .0% .0% .0% .0% .0% .7% .5%

    13 9 4 3 8 0 3 4 4 6 7

    3.8% 5.6% 2.2% 2.1% 5.4% .0% 3.1% 2.7% 5.0% 4.0% 3.6%

    4 2 2 0 3 1 1 2 1 2 2

    1.2% 1.2% 1.1% .0% 2.0% 3.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0%

    17306

    17307

    17309

    17313

    17314

    17315

    17316

    17319

    17320

    17321

    17322

    17324

    17325

    17327

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 30

    Q19. Record zip code:

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    31/39

    Q19. Record zip code:

    1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1

    .3% .0% .5% .7% .0% .0% .0% .7% .0% .0% .5%19 9 10 8 7 2 4 9 4 13 6

    5.5% 5.6% 5.5% 5.6% 4.7% 6.1% 4.2% 6.1% 5.0% 8.7% 3.1%

    4 1 3 3 1 0 4 0 0 0 4

    1.2% .6% 1.6% 2.1% .7% .0% 4.2% .0% .0% .0% 2.1%

    4 3 1 1 3 0 0 3 1 2 2

    1.2% 1.9% .5% .7% 2.0% .0% .0% 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0%

    2 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1.6% 1.2% .0% .0% .7% 3.0% .0% .7% 1.3% .7% .5%

    2 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 1

    .6% 1.2% .0% .0% 1.4% .0% .0% .7% 1.3% .7% .5%

    3 2 1 1 2 0 1 2 0 2 1

    .9% 1.2% .5% .7% 1.4% .0% 1.0% 1.4% .0% 1.3% .5%

    9 1 8 6 3 0 4 2 3 6 3

    2.6% .6% 4.4% 4.2% 2.0% .0% 4.2% 1.4% 3.8% 4.0% 1.5%

    4 2 2 1 3 0 2 1 1 0 4

    1.2% 1.2% 1.1% .7% 2.0% .0% 2.1% .7% 1.3% .0% 2.1%

    2 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0

    .6% .0% 1.1% .0% .7% .0% .0% .7% .0% 1.3% .0%

    1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1

    .3% .6% .0% .0% .7% .0% .0% .7% .0% .0% .5%

    14 1 13 8 5 1 7 3 4 7 7

    4.1% .6% 7.1% 5.6% 3.4% 3.0% 7.3% 2.0% 5.0% 4.7% 3.6%

    4 2 2 3 1 0 1 2 1 2 2

    1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% .7% .0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0%

    4 3 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2

    1.2% 1.9% .5% .7% 1.4% 3.0% 2.1% .7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0%

    17329

    17331

    17339

    17340

    17344

    17345

    17347

    17349

    17350

    17353

    17355

    17356

    17360

    17361

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 31

    Q19. Record zip code:

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    32/39

    p

    10 6 4 3 6 1 4 4 2 2 8

    2.9% 3.7% 2.2% 2.1% 4.1% 3.0% 4.2% 2.7% 2.5% 1.3% 4.1%6 4 2 3 2 1 3 1 2 1 5

    1.7% 2.5% 1.1% 2.1% 1.4% 3.0% 3.1% .7% 2.5% .7% 2.6%

    4 1 3 1 3 0 0 2 2 1 3

    1.2% .6% 1.6% .7% 2.0% .0% .0% 1.4% 2.5% .7% 1.5%

    4 2 2 0 3 1 0 3 1 0 4

    1.2% 1.2% 1.1% .0% 2.0% 3.0% .0% 2.0% 1.3% .0% 2.1%

    2 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1.6% 1.2% .0% .7% .7% .0% .0% .7% 1.3% .7% .5%

    1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

    .3% .0% .5% .7% .0% .0% 1.0% .0% .0% .0% .5%

    4 4 0 3 1 0 2 1 1 1 3

    1.2% 2.5% .0% 2.1% .7% .0% 2.1% .7% 1.3% .7% 1.5%

    2 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1

    .6% .6% .5% .7% .0% 3.0% .0% .7% 1.3% .7% .5%

    24 11 13 8 10 4 3 11 8 13 11

    7.0% 6.8% 7.1% 5.6% 6.8% 12.1% 3.1% 7.5% 10.0% 8.7% 5.7%

    30 14 16 12 13 2 8 14 5 13 17

    8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.8% 6.1% 8.3% 9.5% 6.3% 8.7% 8.8%

    7 3 4 3 4 0 2 4 1 3 4

    2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% .0% 2.1% 2.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1%

    1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

    .3% .0% .5% .7% .0% .0% 1.0% .0% .0% .0% .5%

    11 4 7 7 3 1 5 4 2 3 8

    3.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.9% 2.0% 3.0% 5.2% 2.7% 2.5% 2.0% 4.1%

    13 4 9 4 8 0 4 6 2 6 7

    3.8% 2.5% 4.9% 2.8% 5.4% .0% 4.2% 4.1% 2.5% 4.0% 3.6%

    344 161 183 142 148 33 96 147 80 150 194

    17362

    17363

    17364

    17366

    17368

    17370

    17372

    17401

    17402

    17403

    17404

    17405

    17406

    17408

    Total

    Total Sample Democrat Republican Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Economic:

    Conservative Moderate Liberal

    Social:

    Male Female

    Page 32

    Q19. Record zip code:

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    33/39

    21 3 3 8 7 0 4 17 5 3 8

    6.1% 7.0% 4.7% 7.7% 5.3% .0% 4.5% 9.8% 8.1% 3.0% 7.1%

    1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0

    .3% .0% .0% .0% .8% .0% 1.1% .0% .0% 1.0% .0%

    3 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 1 0

    .9% .0% 1.6% 1.0% .8% .0% .0% 1.7% .0% 1.0% .0%

    4 0 1 1 2 2 0 2 1 1 1

    1.2% .0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.5% .0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.0% .9%

    3 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 3

    .9% .0% 1.6% 1.0% .8% .0% .0% 1.7% .0% .0% 2.7%

    17 1 2 6 8 1 3 13 2 6 5

    4.9% 2.3% 3.1% 5.8% 6.1% 1.2% 3.4% 7.5% 3.2% 6.0% 4.4%

    18 1 0 7 10 6 3 9 2 10 3

    5.2% 2.3% .0% 6.7% 7.6% 7.4% 3.4% 5.2% 3.2% 10.0% 2.7%

    12 0 4 1 7 1 4 7 1 4 4

    3.5% .0% 6.3% 1.0% 5.3% 1.2% 4.5% 4.0% 1.6% 4.0% 3.5%2 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 0

    .6% .0% .0% 1.0% .8% .0% 1.1% .6% .0% 2.0% .0%

    1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0

    .3% .0% .0% .0% .8% 1.2% .0% .0% 1.6% .0% .0%

    2 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0

    .6% .0% 1.6% .0% .8% 1.2% 1.1% .0% .0% .0% .0%

    1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.3% .0% .0% 1.0% .0% .0% .0% .6% .0% 1.0% .0%

    3 0 0 1 2 1 1 1 2 0 1

    .9% .0% .0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% .6% 3.2% .0% .9%

    3 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 1

    .9% 2.3% 1.6% 1.0% .0% 2.5% .0% .6% .0% 2.0% .9%

    17011

    17015

    17019

    17025

    17043

    17050

    17055

    17070

    17103

    17104

    17110

    17301

    17302

    17304

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 33

    Q19. Record zip code:

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    34/39

    1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0

    .3% .0% .0% .0% .8% .0% 1.1% .0% .0% 1.0% .0%

    3 0 0 2 1 2 1 0 0 1 2

    .9% .0% .0% 1.9% .8% 2.5% 1.1% .0% .0% 1.0% 1.8%

    2 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 0

    .6% 2.3% .0% 1.0% .0% .0% 2.2% .0% .0% 2.0% .0%

    4 0 2 1 1 2 2 0 0 2 0

    1.2% .0% 3.1% 1.0% .8% 2.5% 2.2% .0% .0% 2.0% .0%

    1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0

    .3% .0% .0% .0% .8% .0% 1.1% .0% .0% .0% .0%

    7 2 0 0 5 2 2 3 1 3 2

    2.0% 4.7% .0% .0% 3.8% 2.5% 2.2% 1.7% 1.6% 3.0% 1.8%

    9 2 3 2 2 2 2 5 0 7 2

    2.6% 4.7% 4.7% 1.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% .0% 7.0% 1.8%

    4 1 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 1 2

    1.2% 2.3% 1.6% 1.0% .8% .0% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 1.8%5 0 1 2 2 0 2 3 1 0 3

    1.5% .0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% .0% 2.2% 1.7% 1.6% .0% 2.7%

    3 0 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 2

    .9% .0% 1.6% 1.9% .0% 1.2% .0% 1.1% .0% .0% 1.8%

    3 1 0 0 2 0 1 2 1 1 1

    .9% 2.3% .0% .0% 1.5% .0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.0% .9%

    2 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 0.6% .0% 1.6% 1.0% .0% 2.5% .0% .0% .0% 1.0% .0%

    13 1 2 3 7 3 4 6 4 4 4

    3.8% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 5.3% 3.7% 4.5% 3.4% 6.5% 4.0% 3.5%

    4 1 2 0 1 0 0 4 0 0 2

    1.2% 2.3% 3.1% .0% .8% .0% .0% 2.3% .0% .0% 1.8%

    17306

    17307

    17309

    17313

    17314

    17315

    17316

    17319

    17320

    17321

    17322

    17324

    17325

    17327

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 34

    Q19. Record zip code:

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    35/39

    1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0

    .3% .0% .0% .0% .8% 1.2% .0% .0% .0% .0% .0%

    19 2 4 6 7 7 5 7 3 2 9

    5.5% 4.7% 6.3% 5.8% 5.3% 8.6% 5.6% 4.0% 4.8% 2.0% 8.0%

    4 0 2 2 0 2 1 1 0 1 2

    1.2% .0% 3.1% 1.9% .0% 2.5% 1.1% .6% .0% 1.0% 1.8%

    4 0 0 2 2 1 0 3 0 2 0

    1.2% .0% .0% 1.9% 1.5% 1.2% .0% 1.7% .0% 2.0% .0%

    2 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1

    .6% .0% .0% 1.0% .8% 1.2% 1.1% .0% 1.6% .0% .9%

    2 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 0

    .6% .0% .0% 1.0% .8% .0% 2.2% .0% 1.6% 1.0% .0%

    3 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 1 2 0

    .9% 2.3% .0% 1.0% .8% 1.2% 2.2% .0% 1.6% 2.0% .0%

    9 0 2 3 4 2 3 4 1 3 3

    2.6% .0% 3.1% 2.9% 3.0% 2.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.6% 3.0% 2.7%4 0 1 2 1 2 0 2 1 2 1

    1.2% .0% 1.6% 1.9% .8% 2.5% .0% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% .9%

    2 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1

    .6% .0% 3.1% .0% .0% .0% 1.1% .6% .0% .0% .9%

    1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

    .3% .0% .0% 1.0% .0% .0% .0% .6% .0% 1.0% .0%

    14 0 2 3 8 3 4 7 4 1 54.1% .0% 3.1% 2.9% 6.1% 3.7% 4.5% 4.0% 6.5% 1.0% 4.4%

    4 1 0 1 2 1 1 2 0 1 2

    1.2% 2.3% .0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% .0% 1.0% 1.8%

    4 1 2 1 0 4 0 0 1 1 2

    1.2% 2.3% 3.1% 1.0% .0% 4.9% .0% .0% 1.6% 1.0% 1.8%

    17329

    17331

    17339

    17340

    17344

    17345

    17347

    17349

    17350

    17353

    17355

    17356

    17360

    17361

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 35

    Q19. Record zip code:

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    36/39

    10 2 2 5 1 1 5 4 2 2 5

    2.9% 4.7% 3.1% 4.8% .8% 1.2% 5.6% 2.3% 3.2% 2.0% 4.4%

    6 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 2

    1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 1.9% .8% 1.2% 3.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8%

    4 0 3 1 0 1 0 3 1 3 0

    1.2% .0% 4.7% 1.0% .0% 1.2% .0% 1.7% 1.6% 3.0% .0%

    4 0 1 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 0

    1.2% .0% 1.6% 1.9% .8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% .0% 1.0% .0%

    2 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 0

    .6% .0% .0% 1.0% .8% .0% .0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.0% .0%

    1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0

    .3% .0% .0% 1.0% .0% .0% 1.1% .0% .0% .0% .0%

    4 2 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 3

    1.2% 4.7% .0% 1.0% .8% 1.2% 2.2% .6% .0% 1.0% 2.7%

    2 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0

    .6% 2.3% .0% .0% .8% 1.2% 1.1% .0% 1.6% 1.0% .0%24 5 6 7 6 3 6 15 5 3 13

    7.0% 11.6% 9.4% 6.7% 4.5% 3.7% 6.7% 8.6% 8.1% 3.0% 11.5%

    30 8 3 6 13 5 7 18 7 4 11

    8.7% 18.6% 4.7% 5.8% 9.8% 6.2% 7.9% 10.3% 11.3% 4.0% 9.7%

    7 1 2 1 3 4 0 3 2 3 2

    2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 1.0% 2.3% 4.9% .0% 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.8%

    1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0.3% 2.3% .0% .0% .0% .0% .0% .6% 1.6% .0% .0%

    11 0 2 5 4 4 3 4 2 5 3

    3.2% .0% 3.1% 4.8% 3.0% 4.9% 3.4% 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 2.7%

    13 2 1 4 6 5 3 5 4 3 2

    3.8% 4.7% 1.6% 3.8% 4.5% 6.2% 3.4% 2.9% 6.5% 3.0% 1.8%

    344 43 64 104 132 81 89 174 62 100 113

    17362

    17363

    17364

    17366

    17368

    17370

    17372

    17401

    17402

    17403

    17404

    17405

    17406

    17408

    Total

    Total Sample AGE: 18 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

    High schoolgraduate or

    less

    Some collegeor technical

    schoolCollegegraduate

    INCOME:$40,000 or

    less$40,001 to$75,000 Over $75,000

    Page 36

    Finally, would you bewilling to talk to a reporter

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    37/39

    willing to talk to a reporterfrom The York Daily

    Record?

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    48

    9

    13

    16

    19

    25

    2633

    34

    35

    54

    56

    57

    5868

    75

    76

    77

    79

    93

    9697

    101

    102

    103

    117

    118

    ID #:

    Yes

    Page 37

    Finally, would you bewilling to talk to a reporter

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    38/39

    willing to talk to a reporterfrom The York Daily

    Record?

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    121127

    128

    130

    134

    135

    138

    139140

    143

    148

    151

    161

    167

    170185

    188

    192

    219

    222

    228

    238

    241

    249

    250

    255

    265

    274

    ID #:

    Yes

    Page 38

    Finally, would you bewilling to talk to a reporter

  • 8/2/2019 Primary poll: Pennsylvania's 4th U.S. Congressional District

    39/39

    g pfrom The York Daily

    Record?

    11

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    11

    65

    282292

    295

    305

    307

    310

    311

    326327

    ID #:

    Total

    Yes

    Page 39