ISWA Main Sponsors:

David Newman ISWA President

An waste management vision, 2030 - Global, the EU and Spain

Presentation outlay

What is ISWA and what can it do you for you ?

What is happening to our industry globally ?

What are the trends ?

How does this relate to Europe and Spain ?

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What is ISWA and what can it do you for you ? Campaigning for financial resources to go to waste management

(UNFCCC, WB)

Working to create frameworks for policy makers and operators: CCAC, IPLA, GPWM, UNEP

Providing information: GWMO, Knowledge Base and Knowledge Platform

Catalysing academics, industry, governments to work together

Providing you all a network to learn from best experiences (60+ events in 2013, 50 so far in 2014)

Funding research and studies through the ISWA Grant

Providing education, formation, capacity building

Updating on industry trends and finance through newsletter, website, journals.

Working with National Member associations such as ATREGUS 3

Observer to the Board of the Climate Fund

City studies in course for CCAC

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Identifying the world’s largest dumpsites

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International reports and analysis

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Climate Change- a challenge and an opportunity

ISWA is an Official Observer to the Board of the Green Climate Fund

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2) Global perspectives

Stellar Growth for Global Industrial Waste Market to See Revenues Top $750bn by 2020- source, Frost and Sullivan

E-Waste Recycling Market to More than Double in Asia-Pacific by 2017- source, Frost and Sullivan

Australian Solid Waste Management Market Set for Growth Despite Fragmentation- source, Frost and Sullivan

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Value of projects announced or initiated in year until July 2014 is US$100 billion

Source: Accucom

Investment values in our industry

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Now featuring developing countries

Source: Accucom

Where the money is flowing to

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Investments grow in all sectors.

Source: Accucom

What waste most attracts the investments ?

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We have three waste worlds, three speeds

DEVELOPING BRIC EUROPE- JAPAN- KOREA- DEVELOPED

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Source: World Bank

Where you are determines waste collection rates

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China, from importer of recyclates to a recycling economy

China, from Developing to…….. ?

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A waste-picker at work in Mumbai Photo: Sashi Ashiwal

India, just one big mess

Everyday life at an uncontrolled dumpsite, Africa

Africa, dumpsites everywhere

Choose the country……

Waste Aid ? No Aid

• Collection systems not 100%

• Recycling levels below 20%

• Landfill use above 80%, some illegal dumping

• No or low incineration- strong public opposition

• No or low incentives to renewable energy

• No or few EPR schemes

• No or very low disposal taxes

• Informal sector recycling present

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BRICs

Immature waste management systems

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3) Trends Generally Urbanisation > 70% by 2050 ? Population growth > 9bn by 2100 ? Consumption growth Waste volumes increasing > 2/3% annually Industrial consolidation But developed countries Waste volumes steady or decreasing Waste prevention working Landfills dying out Recycling increasing

Leading companies announcing major waste investments in the year to July 2014 (reflects the high percentage of investments in Asia)

Consolidation- investment driven.

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4) EUROPE

Current state of play Barriers Circular Economy objectives

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WASTE PRODUCTION E.U. 2009-2011 (1000t)

2009 2010 2011 EU 27 254.915 254.406 251.993 EU 15 217.830 218.114 216.271 NEW MS 37.086 36.293 35.722 Figures show a slight decrease. Data from several EU countries suggest the decrease widening in 2012 and 2013.

EU waste production is stable or falling

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Source: Eurostat March 2014

Pacakging waste: economic decoupling- prevention

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Energy prices in the UK 2005-2013, rising moderately long term - expect them to fall over next 3 years

Energy prices

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Prices have risen and fallen in 2012 to the level of 2006

Many commodity prices are entering a period of decline

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oil

corn

But the US$ is rising too..

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Waste treatment in the EU: landfills, end of an era?

Waste treatment in the EU – 2012 – Eurostat data

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Landfills (excluding landfills closed before the 16.7.2001)

1.479 facilities operating in 2009. And in 2030 ?

How much spending per capita in EU countries with similar targets ?

Serbia €30/person/annum 5% recycling rate, no energy recovery

Hungary €60/person/annum 15% recycling rate + energy recovery

Portugal €100/family/annum 21% recycling rate + energy recovery

Belgium €185/person/annum 75% recycling rate + energy recovery

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Barriers to progress in the EU

Boundaries for Strong and Stable Improvements in Solid Waste Management

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EU 27, 2007

Thanks to Goran Vujic

Richer = less landfill

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landfill site Germany

landfill site Nederland

local waste taxes in euro/hh/year Nederland

local waste taxes in euro/hh/year Novi Sad/Serbia

1990 InternationalGeary-Khamis dollars Number of landfill sites/price per hh per year

year

Boundaries for Strong and Stable Improvements in Solid Waste Management

Thanks to Goran Vujic

More waste taxes = less landfill

The EU history demonstrates that

Waste management costs money and good systems take 10-20-30 years to build. The question is: can we all afford it ? Can the Circular Economy pay for this ? What price do we put on environmental and health protection ?

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The main EU Circular Economy goals for 2030

Increase recycling/re-use of municipal waste to 70% in 2030;

Increase packaging waste recycling/re-use to 80% in 2030 with material-specific targets set to gradually increase between 2020 and 2030 (to reach 90 % for paper by 2025 and 60% for plastics, 80% for wood, 90% of ferrous metal, aluminum and glass by the end of 2030);

Phase out landfilling by 2025 for recyclable (including plastics, paper, metals, glass and bio-waste) waste in non hazardous waste landfills – corresponding to a maximum landfilling rate of 25%;

Reduce food waste generation by 30% by 2025;

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Implications of the objectives for Spain (1)

Recycling 70%- Spain currently recycles c.35% so recycling will double (?) by 2030

Increased recycling of packaging to 60-80-90% by 2025-2030. Spain currently recycles an average of 65%.

This means more separate collection systems, more sorting plants and MRFs, more composting plants. The MBT model is dead ? How much will this cost ?

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2) Implications for Spain

Phase out landfilling by 2025 to maximum 25% of MSW by 2025

Spain now landfills circa 50%- in 10 years Spain must half its landfill use- how ?

Reduce food waste generation by 30%

How ?

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Some scenarios ?

Composting kitchen food waste – can intercept 60% of produced food waste with source segrated model, 110kg/capita/year (20% of all waste) in cities- the Catalonia model

Home composting in the rural areas (3-4% of MSW)

Increased packaging interception (+10% of MSW)

Can lead to increased recycling from 35% to 70% in ten years

Increased incineration or co-generation of RDF for non -recyclables

Landfill phase out by 2025 if plants are programmed now (they take 10 years to plan, finance and build)

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Costs of waste management in Spain

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2030: €180

€120/capita in 2014

My personal view is investments needed to finance Circular Economy targets will lead to a 50% increase in waste management tariffs in Spain by 2030

Will your citizens accept this ?

So your challenges are :

Dramatically change your waste collection methods

Change your waste plants to increase organic waste recovery

Increase packaging recovery

Increase energy recovery

Move towards closure of landfills

And ask your citizens to pay 50% more taxes to pay for this

Exciting and tough decisions ahead 43

Join in our conversation and participate in our global

network

! Gracias !

David Newman

www.iswa.org

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