Presentazione di PowerPoint...• Upskilling/reskilling in the data economy require education and...
Transcript of Presentazione di PowerPoint...• Upskilling/reskilling in the data economy require education and...
INNOVATIVE EUROPE
The way forward. Taking stock and thinking ahead
Tuesday 18th February, 14:30 – 18:30Brussels, The Office, Rue d’Arlon 80
The menu of an innovative Europe
2
• Ecological transition, with a first assessment of the European Green Deal
• Digital transformation, data-driven innovation and AI
• EU Health Policy, coupling industrial policy and patient needs
TOWARDS THE EUROPEAN GREEN DEAL
Decoupling emission and energy consumption in the EU
Source: I-Com elaboration on IEA and Eurostat data
GHG emissions per unit of GDP (2008=100)
Primary energy consumption per unit of GDP (2008=1000)50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EU-28 Germany Spain France Italy United Kingdom
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EU-28 Germany Spain France Italy United Kingdom
4
The rise of renewable energy sources
Source: Eurostat
Share of energy from renewable sources (%)
Renewable electricity mix in the EU by energy source (%)0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EU-28 Germany Spain France Italy United Kingdom
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Geothermal Solar Biomass Wind Hydro 5
But the EU contribution to fighting climate change is low and declining
Source: I-Com elaboration on IEA data
Share of CO2 emissions by region (%)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
China North America European Union India Middle East Russia Asean Africa Central and SouthAmerica
Japan
2018 Stated Policies Scenario 2040 Sustainable Development Scenario 2040
6
European Green Deal scenario
Source: I-Com elaboration on IEA and European Commission data
European Union GHG emissions scenarios (1990-2050, 1990=100)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GH
G (
19
90
=10
0)
GHG data (1990=100)
Clean Enegy Package scenario
Green Deal scenario
Stated Policies Scenario IEA
Sustainable Development Scenario IEA
7
Financing the transition
EU BUDGET
€503 billionfor Climate
and Environment
EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) Funds
€25 billion
InvestEUGuarantee
Just Transition Mechanism€100 billion
(€143 billion over 10 years)
National co-financing structural funds €114 billion
European InvestmentBank Group
National Promotional Banks and International
Financial Institutions
Private& Public
InvestEU towardsclimate and
environment targets=
Mobilised investments of €279
billion
At least €1 trillion
InvestEU
EU Budget
triggered by EU budget 8
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION IN EUROPE
European countries show different degrees of digitalization.Moreover, the diffusion growth rate in Europe is low comparing to other large economies
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
SouthKorea
EU Top 4 Japan US EU 28 EU Bottom4
China
I-DESI
I-DESI 2016 I-DESI 2013
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Japan South Korea China US EU Top 4 EU 28
Variation in I-DESI score between 2013 and 2016, by country and component
Connectivity Human Capital
Internet use Business technology integration
Digital Public Services
Source: Digital Scoreboard
Data economy value is expected to grow by 83%, from € 377 bln in 2018 to € 680 bln in 2025
11
-
100.000
200.000
300.000
400.000
500.000
600.000
700.000
800.000
2018 2025*
Data economy value in the EU
Direct impacts Backward Indirect impacts
Forward Indirect impacts Induced impacts 0,0% 1,0% 2,0% 3,0% 4,0% 5,0% 6,0% 7,0% 8,0% 9,0% 10,0%
Greece
Poland
Romania
Croatia
Slovakia
Italy
France
Lithuania
Belgium
EU28
Malta
Finland
Denmark
Germany
EstoniaData economy impact on GDP, by Member State
2025* 2018
Source: European Data Market Monitoring Tool, IDC, 2019* Baseline scenario
EU role in AI looks rather peripherical
12
The most promising 100 AI startups,by country
77%
6%
6%
6%
1% 1% 1%
1%
1%
United States
UnitedKingdomIsrael
China
Sweden
India
Germany
Japan
Canada
Source: I-Com elaboration on CB Insight, 2019, and OECD, 2019
55%
14%
13%
3%
2%13%
Private equity investments in AI startupsbased in Europe, 2011 to mid-2018
United Kingdom
Germany
France
Spain
Ireland
Others
However, there is (and there will be) a substantial skills gap
13
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
-
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
2018 2025
in t
ho
usa
nd
s
Data worker skills gap
Demand (left axis) Supply (left axis)Data workers skill gap (right axis)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Spain Poland Italy EU 28 Germany France UK
Data worker skills gap in the Big Five countries and the EU
2018 2025
Source: European Data Market Monitoring Tool, IDC, 2019
TAKING CARE OF EU HEALTH POLICY: Coupling European Industrial Leadership with a Patient-
Centred Approach
Bringing innovation to patients
15
To implement value-based healthcare, changes need to occur for both health providers and patients. This involves:
• establishing true health outcomes;• strengthening primary care;• building integrated health systems;• implementing appropriate health payment schemes that promote value and reduce moral hazards;• enabling health information technology; • creating a policy that fits well with a community
• Fragmented assessments of healthcare systems among European countries (pay forperformance, cost effectiveness thresholds; HTA or REA etc. );
• Quality of care indicators is not standardized among countries and, moreover, indicatorrobustness varies for different diseases;
• Lack of data integration: health records and socio-economic data.
MAIN SHORTCOMINGS
eHealth advantages and challenges
16Source: HIMSS Analytics Annual European eHealth Survey, 2019
• Digital innovation in the healthcare sector is becoming increasinglyimportant in increasing the efficiency of healthcare systems.
• eHealth advantages and benefits:
✓ patients becoming more aware of their health and healthcare opportunities;
✓ better flow of information and interaction with health professionals;✓ faster diagnosis, improved monitoring, more effective treatment and
better health outcomes.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Augmented reality
Blockchain
Provision of virtual care services
Data analytics
Population Health Management
Artificial intelligence
EMR implementation and adoption
Personalised medicine
Patient self-monitoring
Health information exchange with…
Provision of telemedicine services
Patient Health Records
The biggest eHealth trend in Europe in the coming years
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Archiving and documentation
Updating hardware or network resources
Mobile devices
Artificial intelligence
Healthcare analytics
Cost savings
Reorganisation of health systems
Patient-generated data
Improve clinician access to information
Data exchange with external partners
System usability
Improve patients' access to information
EMR implementation
IT security
The biggest eHealth priorities for healthcare providers at the moment
I-Com Index 2019
17
455454
565758585859
6262626364646565
67697071
7681
8889
9198100
0 20 40 60 80 100
BulgariaPoland
RomaniaGreece
LatviaSlovakiaSlovenia
LithuaniaItaly
CyprusHungary
IrelandPortugal
FranceCzechia
MaltaAustria
GermanyLuxembourg
BelgiumCroatia
United KingdomSpain
EstoniaSwedenFinland
NetherlandsDenmark
I-Com Index 2019 on the Level of Preparedness for eHealth in the Member States
• Top ranking Denmark, Netherlands, Finland, Swedenand Estonia have in common a high number of patientswho use mobile and Internet technologies forsearching health information and making appointmentsand a high level of digital skills among the populationand workforce;
• Moreover, these countries boast a large infrastructuraldevelopment and best practices in security andprivacy.
Life science industry in Europe
18Source: I-Com on OECD data
5,0
4,34,0
3,0
2,5
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
France Spain Italy Germany United Kingdom
Share of life science industry added value in manufacturing total (%, 2018)
• New technologies have revolutionized healthcare;• Innovation in pharmaceuticals, medical devices, diagnostic
technologies and, increasingly, digital health has transformed theway we deliver and manage treatments and organize healthcaresystems;
• Industrial and health policies need to be aligned. Foreigninvestors expanding throughout Europe benefit from a high levelof reciprocal recognition of shared standards between the EUMember States.
26,0
19,0
12,0 9,0
7,0 6,0 4,0
-
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
United States Spain Japan Germany Italy France United Kingdom
Share of R&D expenditure out of manufacturing total (%, 2016)
• Countries that have first understood the importance offuelling the virtuous circle innovation-productivity-growthare those that are better positioned in terms ofcompetitiveness and have shown greater resilience toeconomic crises.
Policy Recommendations
Ecological transition
20
• Fostering innovation by regulation.
• The mobilisation of adequate investments.
• Climate and energy policies taking into account European competitiveness.
• The role of digitalisation (especially but not only in the transport system).
Digital transformation
21
• Reducing the existing gap between EU countries on skills, digital technology integration intobusinesses, as well as regulation, creating a real single market
• The spread of data-driven innovation and AI requires setting up adequate data lakes, withmore cooperation between different players, tackling European fragmented AI ecosystems andretaining top talents.
• Upskilling/reskilling in the data economy require education and training in AI, as well asinter-disciplinary initiatives, promoting skills development, encouraging collaboration betweenhumans and machines, to improve and increase current and future job opportunities.
Health policy
22
• The digital healthcare transformation can be a major tool in enhancing the efficiency andintegration of healthcare systems.
• The fragmentation of healthcare systems among European countries need to be overcome
• A new general approach that focuses on the integration of R&D, IP protection, life cyclemanufacturing, healthcare system sustainability and innovation in the European life scienceindustry is needed.