PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS...Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015...
Transcript of PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS...Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015...
PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS
for the quarter ended 26 September 2015
Q2 : FY16 RESULTS
Financial Review
Looking forward
Strategic and operational update
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015
MACRO BACKDROP
22.0
23.0
24.0
25.0
26.0
27.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
20
13
-06
-01
20
13
-07
-01
20
13
-08
-01
20
13
-09
-01
20
13
-10
-01
20
13
-11
-01
20
13
-12
-01
20
14
-01
-01
20
14
-02
-01
20
14
-03
-01
20
14
-04
-01
20
14
-05
-01
20
14
-06
-01
20
14
-07
-01
20
14
-08
-01
20
14
-09
-01
20
14
-10
-01
20
14
-11
-01
20
14
-12
-01
20
15
-01
-01
20
15
-02
-01
20
15
-03
-01
20
15
-04
-01
20
15
-05
-01
20
15
-06
-01
Real GDP (y-o-y %) Unemployment rate (%)
GDP GROWTH AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20
14
-10
-29
20
14
-11
-29
20
14
-12
-29
20
15
-01
-29
20
15
-02
-28
20
15
-03
-31
20
15
-04
-30
20
15
-05
-31
20
15
-06
-30
20
15
-07
-31
20
15
-08
-31
20
15
-09
-30
USDZAR EURZAR
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
2013-09-01
2013-10-01
2013-11-01
2013-12-01
2014-01-01
2014-02-01
2014-03-01
2014-04-01
2014-05-01
2014-06-01
2014-07-01
2014-08-01
2014-09-01
2014-10-01
2014-11-01
2014-12-01
2015-01-01
2015-02-01
2015-03-01
2015-04-01
2015-05-01
2015-06-01
2015-07-01
2015-08-01
2015-09-01
0
2
4
6
8
10
20
13
/07
20
14
/01
20
14
/07
20
15
/01
20
15
/07
Prime rate Repo rate
EXCHANGE RATES
PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT EXTENSION (Y-O-Y %) REPO & PRIME RATE
Source: SARB & StatsSA
3
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015
MACRO BACKDROP
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
Q2
:20
13
Q3
:20
13
Q4
:20
13
Q1
:20
14
Q2
:20
14
Q3
:20
14
Q4
:20
14
Q1
:20
15
Q2
:20
15
INFLATION
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
20
13
/07
20
14
/01
20
14
/07
20
15
/01
20
15
/07
Total retail sales CFT sales
76.0
77.0
78.0
79.0
80.0
81.0
20
13
-03
-01
20
13
-04
-01
20
13
-05
-01
20
13
-06
-01
20
13
-07
-01
20
13
-08
-01
20
13
-09
-01
20
13
-10
-01
20
13
-11
-01
20
13
-12
-01
20
14
-01
-01
20
14
-02
-01
20
14
-03
-01
20
14
-04
-01
20
14
-05
-01
20
14
-06
-01
20
14
-07
-01
20
14
-08
-01
20
14
-09
-01
20
14
-10
-01
20
14
-11
-01
20
14
-12
-01
20
15
-01
-01
20
15
-02
-01
20
15
-03
-01
FNB/BER CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
RETAIL SALES HOUSEHOLD DEBT TO GROSS DISPOSABLE INCOME RATIO
4
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
Q3
:20
13
Q4
:20
13
Q1
:20
14
Q2
:20
14
Q3
:20
14
Q4
:20
14
Q1
:20
15
Q2
:20
15
Q3
:20
15
Source: SARB & StatsSA
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015
KEY FEATURES FOR THE QUARTER
Retail sales ↓ 0.1%
Cash sales ↑ 5.6%
Credit sales ↓ 7.6%
LFL Sales ↓ 2.2%
5
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA ↑ 3.1%
Gross Profit ↓ 1.3%
Edgars clearance well managed
Controlled costs well managed
Data-set gathering well advanced
Metamorphosis
Constrained consumer environment continues to
impact top line
5th consecutive quarter of EBITDA growth
Vision in progress
SA
LE
SP
RO
FIT
SS
TR
AT
EG
Y
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015
GROUP INITIATIVES
An accredited Merchant Development Programme provides entry level merchant talent to Edgars
Implementation of changes required under legislation
Flexible labour force
Prioritisation of retention strategies
Coaching for senior leadership
PEOPLE
6
PRODUCT
SERVICE PROPERTY
Positive shift in Edgars customer experience ratings following
Nationwide “Lets Connect” staff engagement sessions
In-store voice of the customer feedback daily
Focus on staff recognition for living the Edcon Values
NCR affordability requirements rolled out to all stores
Lay-buy options to assist customers
Service/Product specialists in CNA
Skills and knowledge improvements
Additional international brands launched shop-in-shop:
Apparel: Vero Moda, Only and Jack Jones
Cosmetics: Benefit, Dolce & Gabbana Colour & Treatment
Introduction of Verssed in Discount Division
Entry level private label tablets
Renewed focus on stationery in CNA
De-prioritisation of music and visual ranges
Boardmans “own-brand” offer expanded and improved
New concept Jet store launched in Cresta
Approved implementation of a new CNA concept
Courier, printing, scanning and binding services through shop-in-shop planned
Discount stores closed to consolidate space predominantly within CBDs
Initiation of 100% LED illumination of trading floor
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015 7
EDGARS DIVISION
Q2:FY16 Q2:FY15
Retail sales growth (%) (0.3) 3.0
LFL Sales growth (%) (2.6) (1.7)
GP Margin (%) 36.9 38.2
No. of stores 549 510
Capex spend (R’m) 81 171
Cash sales grew 6.0% whilecredit sales reduced 6.7%
Mono-branded stores performancecontinues to be positive
Margin impacted by
Aggressive winter clearance introduced early
Underlying margins remain sound
5 new stores opened, with 78% of capex spend on expansion
Two River Island flagship stores opened
203 Edgars stores · LSM 6-10 175 Edgars Active stores · LSM 4-7 34 Boardmans stores · LSM 7-10
43 Red Square stores - LSM 5-10 7 Edgars Shoe Gallery stores · LSM 5-10 85 Mono-branded stores · LSM 7-10
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015 8
DISCOUNT DIVISION
Q2:FY16 Q2:FY15
Retail sales growth (%) (0.1) 2.0
LFL Sales growth (%) (2.0) (1.0)
GP Margin (%) 33.5 32.7
No. of stores 728 702
Capex spend (R’m) 31 42
Cash sales grew 6.1% while credit sales reduced 10.7%
Margin accretion due to
Improved pricing
Stock levels well managed
6 new stores in the quarter, 71% of capex on new stores
New concept store being trialled at same time new brand launched
391 Jet stores · LSM 4-7 208 Legit stores · LSM 5-8 129 Jet Mart stores · LSM 4-7
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015 9
CNA DIVISION
Q2:FY16 Q2:FY15
Retail sales growth (%) (4.3) (3.7)
LFL Sales growth (%) (5.6) (4.6)
GP Margin (%) 28.8 30.8
No. of stores 197 193
Capex spend (R’m) 5 2
Cash and credit sales declinedby 0.9% and 14.4% respectively
Margin impacted by
Product mix
197* CNA stores · LSM 7-10
* Includes 6 Samsung stores
Q2 : FY16 RESULTS
Financial Review
Looking forward
Strategic and operational update
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015
-6.6%
1.0%
4.2%
11.1%
2.5% 3.1%
Q1:FY15 Q2:FY15 Q3:FY15 Q4:FY15 Q1:FY16 Q2:FY16
% change on previous period
KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR Q2:FY16
PRO FORMA ADJUSTED EBITDA IMPROVING
11
5th consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA growth
Strong cash sales offset by continued weakness in credit sales
Credit: Cash sales ratio of 40.3% from 43.5% in Q2:FY15*
Own book continues to supplement offering
Underlying margin well ahead of last year, positioning us well for peak quarter
Aggressive clearance of aging winter stock resulting in healthy profile and stock levels
Cost continues to be well managed in all areas
More opportunity exists
Continued focus on working capital management
* Including Edgars Zimbabwe
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015 12
STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(R millions) Q2:FY15 Q2:FY16 % change
Retail sales 6 190 6 181 (0.1)
Gross profit 2 215 2 187 (1.3)
Gross profit margin 35.8 35.4 (0.4)pts
Other income 277 359 29.6
Store costs (1 506) (1 565) 3.9
Other operating costs (1 019) (1 127) 10.6
Share of profits of associates 168 264 57.1
Trading profit 135 118 (12.6)
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 486 501 3.1
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015 13
PRO FORMA ADJUSTED EBITDA
(R millions) Q2:FY15 Q2:FY16 % change
Trading profit 135 118 (12.6)
Depreciation & amortisation 263 251
Net asset write off(1) 3 3
Profit from discontinued operations(2) 25 4
Non-recurring costs(3) 93 133
Adjusted EBITDA 519 509 (1.9)
Net income from previous card programme(4) (35) (36)
Net income from new card programme(5) 2 28
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 486 501 3.1
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA margin 7.9% 8.1% 0.2 pts
(1) Relates to assets written off in connection with store conversions, net of related proceeds.(2) The results of discontinued operations are included before tax.(3) Relates to costs associated with various strategic initiatives in Q2:FY16 of R119 million, onerous lease charges of R14 million in Q2:FY16 (R53 million in Q2:FY15),restructuring credit of R1 million in Q2:FY16 (R6 million charge
in Q2:FY15), lease cancellation cost of R1 million in Q2:FY16 and R34 million in costs associated with the trade receivables book in Q2:FY15.(4) Net income derived from 100% of the trade receivables including finance charges revenue, bad debts and provisions.(5) Pro forma fee earned by Edcon under the new arrangement with Absa, based on 100% of the trade receivables book.
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015 14
COST PROGRAMME UPDATE
(R millions) Q2:FY16
LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA 2 757
Permanent adjustments:
Corporate and operational overhead reductions 152
Renegotiation of contracts 85
LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (incl. adjustments) 2 994
Normalised pro forma net debt (1)/LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (times) 8.9x
Pro forma net debt(2)/LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA including cost savings (times) 7.3x
1) Net debt has been adjusted by trade receivables still to be sold of R350 million in Q2:FY16.2) Based on pro forma net debt of R22,248 million based on the anticipated conversion as a result of the exchange offer.
LTM savings on contracts mainly relate to credit card intercharge rates negotiated plus rentals renegotiated
LTM savings on corporate and operational overhead reduction mainly relate to cost savings on reduction of headcount plus savings on move tocustomer e-statements
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015
634979
492 1 810
2 683
106
Net financing costs
Closing cash balance
1 544
TaxCapex Financing activities
Operating activities
Opening cash balance
Working capital
2 376
CASH FLOW FOR LTM Q2:FY16
Source: Edcon financials (LTM restated for classification of Hollard associate, consumables and supplier contract)1. Includes R42m from proceeds of sale from trade receivables2. Includes R177m net for derivatives settlement and R7m for currency adjustments3. Increased purchases leading towards the peak trading period combined with working capital initiatives and R331m relating to fees received not yet recognised in profit and loss
Working Capital
1
2
3
R’m
-300
Trade receivables, other receivables & prepayments
289
Inventories Trade and other payables
1 223
15
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015 16
NET DEBT AND PRO FORMA NET DEBT
(R millions)(1) Q2:FY15Drawn
Q2:FY16Drawn
Pro forma(2)
Super senior secured
ZAR Revolving credit facility(3) 1 601 3 144 3 144
ZAR Floating rate notes due 4 April 2016 J+625bps 1 002 1 007 1 007
EUR Super senior PIK notes due 30 June 2019 8.0% 338 1 806
Senior secured
ZAR term loan due 16 May 2017 J+700bps 4 036 4 147 4 147
EUR fixed rate note due 1 March 2018 9.5% 8 536 9 440 9 440
USD fixed rate note due 1 March 2018 9.5% 2 772 3 455 3 455
EUR Senior secured PIK notes due 30 June 2019(4) 9.75% 564
Deferred option premium 1 178 1 077 1 077
Lease liabilities 382 359 359
Senior
EUR fixed rate notes due 30 June 2022(5) 5.0% 5 835 52 52
EUR fixed rate notes due 30 June 2019 13.375% 3 120
EUR fixed rate notes due 30 June 2019 13.375% 3 763
Other loans(6) 203 369 369
Gross debt 25 545 30 271 25 420
Derivatives (1 498) (1 628) (1 628)
Cash and cash equivalents (492) (1 544) (1 544)
Net debt 23 555 27 099 22 248
Lower debt 4 8511) FX rates at end of Q2:FY15 were R11.22:$ and R14.24:€ and at end of Q2:FY16 were R13.92:$ (Q1:FY16 R12.20:$) and R15.60: € (Q1:FY16 R13.64:€).
2) Pro forma for implementation of the exchange offer including conversion of the Option A and B notes to new super senior PIK notes and new senior secured PIK notes (excluding fees estimated at EUR26 million). All EUR notes are converted at the FX rates at the end of Q2:FY16.
3) The total limit under the super senior revolving credit facility is R3 717 million which matures on 31 December 2016. The maximum utilisation of the revolving credit facility during Q2:FY16 was R3 206 million. At the end of the period R413 million of the facilities were utilised for guarantees and
LC’s. A R1 billion super senior liquidity facility is also in place, but not drawn as at 26 September 2015, with an initial termination date of 30 September 2016, subject to exercise of an extension option up to the earlier of six months following the initial termination date and the termination date
in respect of the revolving credit facility.
4) The notes are 9.75% cash pay with a toggle option to 12.75% PIK
5) The maturity of the original 2019 Notes not tendered has been extended to 30 June 2022 and the interest rate reduced to 5.0% as part of the amendments. In Q2:FY15, the EUR Fixed rate notes had a maturity of 30 June 2019 and cash pay interest of 13.375% prior to the exchange offer.
6) The portion of the debt relating to Zimbabwe was R343 million in Q2:FY16 and R184 million in Q2:FY15.
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015
LIQUIDITY AND BALANCE SHEET MANAGEMENT
HEDGING OF GROSS DEBT
17
Total net debt increased mainly due to currency decline, issue of €21 million in aggregate principal amount of new super senior 8% PIK Notes as an early consent consideration, capitalisation of PIK interest on 2019 notes, and a higher draw on the RCF
Conversion of Option A & Option B PIK notes to be concluded before 31 December 2015
Net cash interest decreasing by circa R1 billion a year on an LTM basis
Net indebtedness on proforma basis decreasing by circa R4.8 billion
Next peak in working capital cycle anticipated in late November 2015
Cash and cash equivalents of R1,544 million
Additional facilities of R1,136 million
2016 Refinancing process
Process well advanced and good progress being made
32%
11%29%
27%
1%
ZAR USD (hedged) EURO (hedged) EURO (unhedged) Other loans
Note: 91% of 2018 principal hedged, 2019 principal unhedged
Q2 : FY16 RESULTS
Financial Review
Looking forward
Strategic and operational update
Consolidated results for the quarter ended 26 September 2015 19
FORWARD LOOKING THEMES
Entrenching customer-centric focus
Maintaining store portfolio and improving productivity
Optimise balance between private label and international brands
Improving digital offering
Build Africa business
Improve supply chain with quick response capabilities
Simplify the model and retain cost management efforts
Further utilisation of the customer loyalty platform
Stabilise impact of credit
Q2 : FY16 RESULTS
For more information
Our website: www.edcon.co.za
Edcon contacts for more information:
Deputy Chief Financial Officer
Richard Vaughan
Thank You