Presentation june 2014

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Premium Potash Project Driven by a Proven Management Team TSX : PRK OTCQX : POTRF June 2014

Transcript of Presentation june 2014

Page 1: Presentation   june 2014

Premium Potash Project Driven by a

Proven Management Team TSX  :  PRK  OTCQX  :  POTRF  June  2014  

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FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

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Certain statements in this presentation may constitute "forward-looking" statements which involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Potash Ridge Corporation (the "Corporation"), or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. When used in this presentation, such statements use such words as "may", "would", "could", "will", "intend", "expect", "believe", "plan", "anticipate", "estimate" and other similar terminology. These statements reflect the Corporation's current expectations regarding future events and operating performance and speak only as of the date of this presentation. Forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, which include, but are not limited to the factors discussed under “A Cautionary Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements” and "Risk Factors" in the Corporation’s Annual Information Form dated March 27, 2013, and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Although the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are based upon what management of the Corporation believes are reasonable assumptions, the Corporation cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation and are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. Subject to applicable securities laws, the Corporation assumes no obligation to update or revise them to reflect new events or circumstances.

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Focused on near term sulphate of potash (“SOP”) production at its Blawn Mountain property in Utah

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SOP 645,000 tons average per annum

40 year Project Life backed by reserves

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EXPERIENCED AND PROVEN MANAGEMENT

OVER 80 YEARS COMBINED EXPERIENCE

Guy Bentinck President & CEO Chartered Accountant; 20 years mining/resource experience Sherritt: CFO and SVP Capital Projects

Ross Phillips Chief Operating Officer 10 years experience in large resource and energy sector projects Sherritt, Capital Power  

Jeff Hillis Chief Financial Officer Chartered Accountant; 10 years mining sector finance, including CFO of several public mining companies Iberian Minerals, Excellon, Falconbridge  

Paul Hampton VP, Project Management Geologist and Metallurgical Engineer; ~30 years experience in design, construction, start-up and management of mineral processing facilities SNC, Washington Group, Outotec

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COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES

Premium potash product with supply deficit that cannot be met by existing production processes

Large surface mineral deposit - low cost and low risk mining, with easy access to ore for test work. Known process – existing production facility in Azerbaijan  

645,000 tons of SOP per annum over 40 year mine life plus probable resources

Mining friendly jurisdiction, established infrastructure nearby, designated development lands and efficient state permitting

PFS completed November 2013: $1.0 billion NPV at 10%; 20.5% after tax IRR; excludes potential revenue from alumina rich material

Advanced stage permitting, no federal permits required for plant site.

Mining friendly jurisdiction with strong state and municipal government support.

Discussions advancing on offtake, project financing and commercial activities

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POTASH OVERVIEW

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No known substitute

Increasing world population

Growing per capita income

Decreasing arable land

Increasing use of biofuels

POTASH WORLD DEMAND +5% EXPECTED ANNUAL DEMAND TO 2016; SOP HIGHER GROWTH POTENTIAL

POTASH: ESSENTIAL TO THE WORLD’S FOOD SUPPLY

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POTASSIUM AND SULPHUR ARE ESSENTIAL NUTRIENTS

SOP: PREMIUM FERTILIZER

Sulphate of Potash (SOP)

Muriate of Potash (MOP)

50% K2O Equivalent 60% K2O Equivalent

17% S 0% S

<1.0% Cl 45% Cl

4.8 million tonnes sold in 20131 50 million tonnes sold in 20131

Improves yield, quality, taste and enhances shelf life1

Crop quality/yield diminish as chloride builds up1

1 CRU 2013 8 Chemical makeup assumes 92.5% K2SO4 and 95% KCl product * Within target market

Consumption of SOP restricted by limited production capacity, with little expansion potential

SOP share of potash market: Current: 5 Mt Potential: 10-12 Mt*

Trend toward high nutrient fertilizers

Trend towards pricing of SOP based on incremental revenue through yield/quantity improvements vs. premiums over MOP

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SOP – A DISTINCT & VALUABLE POTASH PRODUCT

Fruits Vegetables Nuts Horticultural Plants

Tobacco Tea Coffee Dry/Salty soil

Especially valued for chloride sensitive crops, SOP improves yields on high value crops such as:

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SOP MARKET DYNAMICS

1CRU 2013 10

Europe 24%

N. America

7%

C & S America

6%

China 49%

Africa 5% RoW

9%

SOP Consumption by Region  

Region Process Method

World Capacity Process Inputs Products

Avg Cost / Ton1

Future Outlook

China/ Europe

Mannheim 2.3Mt 43%

¡ MOP ¡ SOP

$453

High Cost/by-product

limits growth

¡ Sulfuric Acid ¡ Hydrochloric Acid

¡ Energy    

Europe MOP and Kieserite

1.2Mt 22%

¡ MOP ¡ SOP

$440 No

additional deposits

¡ Kieserite ¡ Magnesium Chloride

¡ Energy    

China/ USA/ Chile

Salt Lakes 1.9Mt 35%

¡ Lake Brines ¡ SOP

$381

No additional suitable

lakes

¡ Energy ¡ Magnesium Chloride

    ¡ Sodium Chloride

Existing SOP Production by Process  

New sources of SOP from these existing processes are unlikely due to lack of primary sources and difficulties surrounding secondary source production.  

CRU predicts SOP consumption of 9,500,000 tonnes per annum by 2019 – where will this production come from?  

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 -­‐        

 200.0    

 400.0    

 600.0    

 800.0    

 1,000.0    

 1,200.0    

Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1  

2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014  

POT  -­‐  North  America  (MOP)  

CMP  -­‐  (SOP)  

CURRENT PREMIUM 145% FOR SOP IN US

SOP PREMIUM PRICE TRENDS

U.S. $/tonne

11 1  Compass  Minerals  Q1  2014  Report,  2  Potash  Corp  Q1  2014  Report  

Compass Q1/14 realized price $670/tonne1

Potash Corp Q1/14 realized price $250/tonne2

Recent quotes from blenders in Uberaba, Brazil $1,110/tonne

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SIGNIFICANT GROWTH POTENTIAL EASY ACCESS TO LOCAL MARKETS

SOP MARKET TARGETS

12 1 CRU 2013

2 From PRK Study August 2013, based on crops that are best suited for SOP

United States

SOP consumption: 385,000 tons1 Potential consumption: 920,000 tons2

Large scale production of chloride intolerant crops such as nuts in California and citrus fruits in Florida drive a large part of US SOP demand. Consumption of these crops continues – e.g. Almond crops have grown by 7% per year since the mid 1990s.

Brazil

SOP consumption: 42,000 tons per year2 (0.4% of total potash consumption) Potential consumption: 2.1 million tons2 Brazil is the world’s largest grower of coffee, soybeans and citrus fruits, all SOP crops. Low consumption is entirely due to lack of SOP availability.

China

SOP consumption 2.5 million tons per year1 Potential consumption: 5.5 million tons per year2 China produces close to half of the world’s fruits and vegetables, and nearly one-third of the world’s tobacco and tea. SOP consumption almost doubled between 2007 and 20121, with large untapped growth potential.

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THE BLAWN MOUNTAIN PROJECT

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ANTICIPATED INITIAL PRODUCTION IN 2017

PROJECT OVERVIEW

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Large alunite deposit, which is expected to be processed into SOP, and possible alumina rich material

Average 645,000 tons of SOP per annum

Historical work expedites project development

Mineral deposit to be surface mined

Proven process backed by extensive metallurgical testing

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ORE TEST PIT

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ALMOST 100 YEARS OF POTASH PRODUCTION

UTAH: AN ATTRACTIVE MINING JURISDICTION

1Forbes Magazine, December, 2012 2Fraser Institute, April, 2013

Major resource producer

Existing potash production

Best state for business1

Top quartile mining jurisdiction2

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OUR LAND ADVANTAGE State-owned land designated for development

Efficient permitting process

Leasehold and royalty agreements negotiated

No known adverse environmental or social issues

Sufficient water nearby – water rights granted May 2014

Roads, rail, transmission and natural gas nearby

Construction materials, equipment suppliers and skilled labour force

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MUNICIPAL AND STATE SUPPORT OF PROJECT

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PREVIOUS WORK ACCELERATES PROJECT DEVELOPMENT

EXTENSIVE DEVELOPMENT COMPLETED IN 1970’s

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•  Approximately $25 million spent (~$100 million in today’s dollars).

•  Programs included:

Drilling, Resource estimate, Feasibility Study, mine plan, Engineering, Permitting and 3-year operation of a pilot plant processing up to 11 tons per day.

•  Alumina originally primary product; SOP was by-product

•  Project ultimately shelved due to poor economic conditions in early 1980s

•  Potash Ridge owns all historical data

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SIMPLE PROVEN FLOWSHEET

Alunite

Calcination

Water Leach

Alumina Rich Material

SOP Solution Crystallizing Drying, Compacting & Sizing SOP

SO2 Acid Plant Sulphuric Acid

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•  Plant currently operating in Azerbaijan. (Ganja Refinery)

•  Flowsheet similar to commercial-scale production processes historically used in US and Australia.

RECENT EXTENSIVE TEST WORK CONFIRMS FLOWSHEET

•  Plant to process 10.4 million tons per annum •  Metallurgical testing on-going for Feasibility Study

Crushing & Grinding

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PREFEASIBILITY STUDY – SUMMARY

•  Proven & Probable mineral reserves of 426 million tons; •  Reserves support 40 year mine life, with potential to increase life of operations through

exploration of two additional zones of known mineralization; •  Project after tax Net Present Value (“NPV”) of $1.0 billion using a 10% discount rate:

•  Total sales of 26 million tons of SOP over life of mine; •  Unlevered after tax internal rate of return (“IRR”) of 20.5%; payback period of 5 years

after commencement of operations; •  Strong cash flow generation with cash flow from operations of $234 million per annum

excluding the two year ramp up period; •  Approximately 28% of direct capital costs are supported by packaged quotes 1Inclusive of by-product acid revenues and exclusive of royalties; no credit assumed for potential revenue from the sale of alumina rich material.

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Economic Indicators

NPV (after tax, at 10%) $1.0 billion

IRR (after tax) 20.5% Payback period (from commencement of operations) 5 years Average annual SOP production 645,000 tons Average annual sulphuric acid production 1,440,000 tons SOP price (average) $649/ton Sulphuric acid price (average) $135/ton Project life 40 years Initial capital cost (including 15% contingency) $1,124 million Operating cost (excluding royalties) $173/ton SOP

The economic evaluation is based on the following assumptions: •  Site construction commences late

2015; •  Production ramp-up over 2 years

(2017-2018), reaching full production in 2019;

•  SOP pricing from CRU forecast below current North American SOP prices;

•  Average tax rate of 35%.

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SOP CAPITAL COST BREAKDOWN1

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CAPITAL  COST:  $1.124  billion                      (15%  con9ngency)  

14%      SOP  Leaching,    CrystallizaRon    and  Drying  

42%    CalcinaRon  13%    

Crushing  &  Grinding  

31%      ConRngency,  Indirects  and  Infrastructure  

1 Excludes utilities and other infrastructure not incurred by Potash Ridge ($641 million):

Build-own-operate arrangements under negotiation.

Acid Plant ($280 million) Natural Gas Line ($83 million) Water Treatment Plant ($60 million)

Expect to access government funding programs

Rail Spur ($76 million) Access road ($53 million)

To be incurred by Mine Contractor Mine Capital ($89 million)

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OPERATING COSTS: $173/TON OF SOP

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7%    Other    ($14M)  

14%  RoyalRes  ($33M)  

Excludes  credit  for  potenRal  alumina  rich  material  revenue.  Includes  15%  conRngency  (excluding  non-­‐energy  and  labour  costs).        

Total Cash Production Costs Annual Average Cost($)/Ton SOP

(Constant 2013 $US) Direct Plant and Mine Cash Production Cost $414

Credit for Value of Acid $(302) Subtotal of Direct Plant and Mine Cash Production Cost $112

Site G&A, Property Taxes & Corporate Overhead $27

3rd Party Facility Charges $34

Total before royalty $173

Royalties $45

Total Cash Production Cost $218

Potash Ridge Salt Lakes MOP/ Sulphate Salts

Mannheim Process

Cash Production Costs Avg Cost/Ton

$381 $440

$453

$173

Potash Ridge

Expected In Production

1 CRU 2013

1 1 1

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PREFEASIBILITY STUDY – RESERVES ESTABLISHED

Drilling to date has focused only on two of the four areas within the 15,400 acre land parcel

Supports 40 years of operations

Reserves demonstrate the economic and technical viability of the Project

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Reserve Category

Total Proven

('000 tons) Probable

('000 tons)

Alunite Ore (ROM tons) 136,254 289,540 425,794

Ore (average K2O (%) grade) 3.56 3.49 3.51

Ore (average K2SO4 (%) grade) 6.59 6.46 6.49

SOP (tons) 8,457 17,970 26,427

Sulphuric Acid (tons) @ 98% Purity 18,888 40,136 59,024

Mineral Reserves by Category November 6, 2013  

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SULPHURIC ACID

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Driven by local US Market – prices dependent on supply and proximity

Mountain West US market approximately 5.6 million tons per annum

Expected increase in this market from mine expansions and new mine development

Potash Ridge will provide stable supply to consumers

MOU in place for 20% of acid production

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•  Leaching process leaves alumina rich material which, with beneficiation, may be used as a substitute to bauxite as a feedstock into a Bayer alumina production facility.

•  Metallurgical testing confirmed the alumina in this material is soluble in high temperature caustic solutions

•  May also be acceptable as a raw material feed for low temperature refineries

•  Further testing is underway to determine whether the alumina rich material could meet specifications for feed material in the production of ceramic proppants in North America.

•  PFS economics do not include revenue from the sale of alumina rich material

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UPSIDE POTENTIAL FROM LEACH RESIDUE

SOURCES OF SMELTER FEED TO CHINA

Blawn Mountain,

Utah Boke,

Guinea Trombetas,

Brazil Kingston, Jamaica

Distance to Shandong Province, China (nm) 5,744 11,128 10,815 9,051

Port Long Beach Conakry Aratu Jamaica

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MILESTONES

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43-101 Measured and Indicated Resource to support 30-year mine life issued a

Preliminary Economic Assessment issued a

Metallurgical test program initiated a

Pilot Plant Test work initiated & SOP from test work produced a

Prefeasibility Study supporting 40-year mine life issued a

Large Mining Permit Application submitted a

Water Rights Granted a

Ground Water Permit – Notice of Intent to Issue received a

Large Mining Permit approval Mid 2014

Air Quality Permit Mid 2015

Issue Feasibility Study Mid 2015

Complete metallurgical test program End 2015

Receive final permits End 2015

Construction start up End 2015

Ramp up 2017

Note: Timelines are based on obtaining sufficient financing to advance Feasibility Study

Expected

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CAPITAL STRUCTURE

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Millions

Common Shares 81.7

Non-voting Common Shares 5.0

Total Shares Outstanding 86.7

Warrants – $ 0.50 10.7

Warrants – $1.00 5.0

Broker options/warrants 3.4

Stock options 7.0

Total Fully Diluted Shares 112.9

As at December 31, 2013

INSIDERS HOLD 5%, 10% FULLY DILUTED

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COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES

Premium potash product with supply deficit that cannot be met by existing production processes

Large surface mineral deposit - low cost and low risk mining, with easy access to ore for test work. Known process – existing production facility in Azerbaijan  

645,000 tons of SOP per annum over 40 year mine life plus probable resources

Mining friendly jurisdiction, established infrastructure nearby, designated development lands and efficient state permitting

PFS completed November 2013: $1.0 billion NPV at 10%; 20.5% after tax IRR; excludes potential revenue from alumina rich material

Advanced stage permitting, no federal permits required for plant site.

Mining friendly jurisdiction with strong state and municipal government support.

Discussions advancing on offtake, project financing and commercial activities

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CONTACT US

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Toronto office: 3 Church Street, Suite 600 Toronto, Ontario M5E 1M2 Phone: 416-362-8640 ext 101

Salt Lake City office: 170 S. Main Street, Suite 500 Salt Lake City, UT 80101 Phone: 801-433-6027

www.potashridge.com [email protected]