Presentation for ESDM PV Workshop · 2013-07-30 · Presentation for ESDM PV Workshop July 15th,...

PresentationPresentation for ESDM PV Workshopp

July 15th, 2008KANEKA CORPORATION

What is solar PV system

Off-grid Application: SHS (Solar Home System)

*PV : Photovoltaic → Photon + voltaic →produce electricity from sunlight

g pp ( y )

What is solar PV systemOff-grid Application: PV Hybrid system (PV + Diesel genset)

What is solar PV systemOn-grid Application: Residential PV system

What is solar PV systemOn-grid Application: Large-scale PV system

PV growth worldwide

2 4002,600 World total: 2,500

Worldwide PV Production

2,0002,2002,400 Japan

USAEurope

1,4001,6001,800 Others

Total

8001,0001,200

Japan: 978

O

200400600800 Others: 714

Europe: 657

USA: 202

0200

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

USA: 202

(Source: RTS Corporation)

PV growth worldwideCumulative worldwide PV installation

1600.0

Australia

Cumulative worldwide PV installation

1200.0

1400.0 AustraliaSwitzerlandGermanySpain

1000.0FranceItalyJapanNetherland

600.0

800.0 NetherlandUSA

400.0

0.0

200.0

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

(Source: RTS Corporation, Solarbuzz)

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

PV growth worldwidegWorldwide PV installations by market in 2007

Japan

Rest of World,226MW, 8%

Japan,226MW, 8%

Rest of

USA, 226MW,8%

Rest ofEurope,

170MW, 6%

Germany,1,328MW,

47%Spain,

650MW, 23% %650MW, 23%

(Source: Solarbuzz)

PV power generation cost trendPV C l i PV i

p g

3701 422

400 1,600

PV system cost(10thousands yen/kWp)

Cumulative PV capacity(MW)- Japan case -

1,422

300

350

1 200

1,400System price per kWp

Power generation cost per kWh

Cumulative PV capacity (Total)

¥260/kWh1,132 1,119

250

300

1,000

1,200Cumulative PV capacity (Total)

Cumulative PV capacity(Residential)

Subsidy: 900K Yen/kWp200

170

637

860

620

859

150

200

600

800

Subsidy: 900K Yen/kWp

120104 102 93 84 75 71 69 67 66¥120/kWh

¥140/kWh

¥65/kWh 330

452

280

430100

150

400

600Subsidy: 20K Yen/kWp

¥71/kWh¥72/kWh¥82/kWh

¥58/kWh¥52/kWh¥49/kWh¥48/kWh¥46/kWh¥46/kWh

24 31 43 60 91133

209

2 6 13 33 57115

189280

0

50

0

200

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Year

(Source: Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan)

PV incentives

(Source: JPEA)

Feed-In TariffCase of Germany and Spain

Application SizeFIT

EUR/kWhDecrease fromthe past year Application Size

FITEUR/kWh

Decrease fromthe past year

≦30kW 0.4921 ≦30kW 0.4675

Until 2008/12Until 2007/12

30～100kW 0.4682 30～100kW 0.4448100～1,000kW 0.4630

100～1,000kW 0.4399

＞1,000kW －－＞1,000kW 0.4399 －

F l d 0 3796 6 5% F l d 0 3549 6 5%

Germany

Rooftop5% 5%

Rooftop

Free land － 0.3796 6.5% Free land － 0.3549 6.5%

Period Period20years 20years

DraftUntil 2008/9

Application SizeFIT

EUR/kWhDecrease fromthe past year Application Size

FITEUR/kWh

Decrease fromthe past year

≦100kW 0.44 ≦20kW 0.44100kW～10,000kW 0.4175 20～200kW 0.39Rooftop

－10,000kW 0.4175 20 200kW 0.39

＞200ｋW 0.33

Free land － 0.31

Cap/Period Cap/Period

Spain

up to 1,200MW/25years

－

up to 1,200MW/25years

All application

p pp , y p , y

Case study: Investment to large-scale PV systemI f Si PVIn case of c-Si PV sysem:

Free land installation in Germany EUR/Wp EUR/200kWp

System cost 3.619 723,702

(I) PaymentCash 0.724 144,740Preferential loan (Payback period: 15yrs/Annual interest: 3.5%) 2.895 578,962Payment total 3.619 723,702

(II) Annual expenditureRepair cost 0.023 4,600Insurance cost 0.013 2,600Miscellaneous 0.012 2,400

Revenue is calculated

Annual expenditure total 0.048 9,600

(III) Amount repaidLoan repayment 3.854 770,829Annual expenditure x 20yrs (inflation rate 2.5%) 1.226 245,232Revenue is calculated

based on:-Generated output power is estimated as 900kWh/kWp/year in

Amount repaid total 5.080 1,016,061

(IV) RevenueIncome from electric power selling(Installation on March, FIT: EUR0.355/kWh for 20yrs) 6.477 1,295,475900kWh/kWp/year in

Germany.

( y )Interest income from electric power selling amount 0.325 64,951Revenue total 6.802 1,360,425

(V) Calculation of profits and lossesRevenue in 20yrs 1.722 344,364y ,Investment amount 0.724 144,740

Asset management ratio 2.379Asset management yield 4.43%

(Remarks) These are just estimated figures for reference and are not guaranteed ones.

Case study: Investment to large-scale PV systemIn case of c Si PV sysem:In case of c-Si PV sysem:




(II) Annual expenditureRepair cost 0.023 4,600Insurance cost 0.013 2,600Miscellaneous 0.012 2,400Annual expenditure total 0.048 9,600

(III) Amount repaidLoan repayment 3.854 770,829Annual expenditure x 20yrs (inflation rate 2.5%) 1.226 245,232

Revenue is calculated based on:-Generated output power is estimated as

p y ( )Amount repaid total 5.080 1,016,061

(IV) RevenueIncome from electric power selling(Installation on March, FIT: EUR0.355/kWh for 20yrs) 7.514 1,502,751

1,044kWh/kWp/year like Indonesia.

( , y ) , ,Interest income from electric power selling amount 0.377 75,303Revenue total 7.890 1,578,053

(V) Calculation of profits and lossesRevenue in 20yrs 2.810 561,992Revenue in 20yrs 2.810 561,992Investment amount 0.724 144,740



Case study: Investment to large-scale PV systemIn case of a Si PV sysem:In case of a-Si PV sysem:




(II) Annual expenditureRepair cost 0.023 4,600Insurance cost 0.013 2,600Miscellaneous 0.012 2,400Annual expenditure total 0.048 9,600

(III) Amount repaidLoan repayment 3.854 770,829Annual expenditure x 20yrs (inflation rate 2.5%) 1.226 245,232

Revenue is calculated based on:-Generated output power is estimated as

p y ( )Amount repaid total 5.080 1,016,061

(IV) RevenueIncome from electric power selling(Installation on March, FIT: EUR0.355/kWh for 20yrs) 8.572 1,714,345

1,191kWh/kWp/year like Indonesia.

( , y ) , ,Interest income from electric power selling amount 0.429 85,867Revenue total 9.001 1,800,212

(V) Calculation of profits and lossesRevenue in 20yrs 3.921 784,151Revenue in 20yrs 3.921 784,151Investment amount 0.724 144,740



Greater actually generated Greater actually generated wattwatt--power compared to cpower compared to c--Si PV modulesSi PV modules

Comparison Data of Generated Watt - Power

p pp p

｢ NEDO Ritsumeikan demonstration module field testing 」Int. PVSEC-11, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan,1999Location : Kusatsu Shiga, JapanDirection : South, Angle 15.3°

Superior performance under highSuperior performance under high--temperaturetemperaturemakes real difference in actual generated wattmakes real difference in actual generated watt--powerpower

160 30Si

makes real difference in actual generated wattmakes real difference in actual generated watt powerpowerComparison of total generated watt-power per month

kWh]

(Temp: )

120

14025

c-SiPoly-SiKaneka a-Si

Temp(℃ )r per

1kW

p[k

80

100

15

20p( )

wat

t-pow

er

40

60

80

10

15

y ge

nera

ted

20

405

Tota

l mon

thl

01 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

0

T

1999 1998｢ NEDO Ritsumeikan demonstration module field testing 」

Int. PVSEC-11, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan,1999Location : Kusatsu Shiga, JapanDirection : South, Angle 15.3°

*Temperature data: Location=Ohtsu Shiga, Source=Japan Meteorological Agency

1999 1998

Superior performance under highSuperior performance under high--temperaturetemperature

100

120

= 1

00) 1) Smaller Temperature Coefficient.

60

80

100

f P

max

(25℃

=

Temp. coefficient(a) : a-Si = -0.26%/c-Si = -0.5%/

20

40

ative V

alu

e o

f

Effective performance of conversion efficiency = Conv.Effic. X { 1+ a x (module temp. - 25 ) }

0

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Module Temperature (℃）

Rel

c-Si

2) “Annealing Effect”Characteristic Only Amorphous Silicon has.

A h ili i i ffi i ba-Si Amorphous silicon regains its efficiency by temperature rising with its so-called “Annealing Effect.”

Actual Generated Output Power of PV System at Thailand

System Overview of SERT System

p y

System Overview of SERT System at Phitsanulok, Thailand

Hybird c-Si:2.88kW

a-Si:3.67kW p-Si:3.66kW

Actual Output Power of PV System at SERT Thailand

180

200

180

200a-Si

Actual Output Power of PV System at SERT, Thailand

140

160

180

wer

140

160

180a Si

p-Si

Hyb c-Si

IRR.

100

120

140

tput

Pow

Wh/kW

p)

100

120

140

kW

h/m

2

60

80

DC

Out

( kW

60

80

k

0

20

40

0

20

40

01 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Month in 2006

0

Anual Pow er G eneration:D C (kW h/kW )SHyb c-Si p-Si knanaka a-Si

1270 1208 1385※From Jan to Sep in 2006

Solar Irradiation1203kWh

Output power simulation of 10kWp PV system at Jakarta

Output power simulation of 10kWp PV system at Jakarta

1,000

1,200

25

30(kWh) (deg C)

600

800

,

15

20

400

600

10

15

0

200

0

5

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Irradiation(kWh/m2) 104 114 137 130 133 126 134 141 136 133 108 112

A-Si: AC power (kWh) 776 893 1,097 1,041 1,059 1,007 1,067 1,133 1,093 1,065 827 849

P-Si: AC power (kWh) 721 792 953 902 918 875 926 976 941 923 744 770

Air Temp (deg C) 27 27 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28Air Temp.(deg C) 27 27 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28

Annual output power by a-Si/10kWp system : 11,906kWh (+14% than p-Si)Annual output power by p-Si/10kWp system : 10,441kWh(Remarks)(1) These are just estimated figures for reference and are not guaranteed ones. (2) AC power of 10kWp system of a-Si PV module and p-Si PV module. (3) Installation point: Jakarta, Indonesia. (4) Installation angle, direction: 10degree, North. (5) Inverter efficiency: 92% (6) Annual irradiation is estimated as 1,507/kWh/m2.

Presentation for ESDM PV Workshop · 2013-07-30 · Presentation for ESDM PV Workshop July 15th,...

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