Presentation andreas heinimann cde tabi 1 june 2012 food security
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Transcript of Presentation andreas heinimann cde tabi 1 june 2012 food security
Beyond anecdotal evidence of land acquisitions in Lao PDR
LIWG Food security WS1st June 2012
First results on: Dimension and Geography of LA in Lao PDR
Andreas Heinimann, Oliver Schoenweger, Michael Epprecht, Palikone Thalongsengchan
Mushrooming of land concessions & leases in the last decade
Nr.
of
land
con
cess
ions
& le
ases
CPL induced landscape transformation
Systematic national data
Dimension, contexts and pattern
Local case studies & evidence
processes
3’600 deals, whereof 2’640 concessions type, 1,350 with spatial reference
1.1 Mio ha concessions (without mining exploration)
Agri 140’000 ha & forestry: 300’000 ha
~15% of all villages have a least 1 concession
Information and knowledge sources:
Emerging patterns by sector
Source: CDE, MoNRE, GIZPreliminary results; do not cite
Products of agricultural concessions
Source: CDE, MoNRE, GIZPreliminary results; do not cite
N = 360, Area = 140’000 ha
Products of forestry concessions
Source: CDE, MoNRE, GIZPreliminary results; do not cite
N = 367, Area = 306’000 ha
Spatial patterns by Investor
Source: CDE, MoNRE, GIZPreliminary results; do not cite
Pattern by Investor: Focus on Agri & forestry sectors
Jatropha
Sugarcane
Source: CDE, MoNRE, GIZPreliminary results; do not cite
Contexts of concessions: e.g. Poverty
Source: CDE, MoNRE, GIZPreliminary results; do not cite
Av. National poverty rate
Contexts of concessions: Accessibility
Source: CDE, MoNRE, GIZPreliminary results; do not cite
Note:Caution is needed when interpreting, as 2002 land cover data is problematic (e.g. “unstocked forest” or “forest issue”)
Contexts of concessions: Land cover
Tendency of shifting upland crops to hinterland due to commercial crop pressure in well accessibly regions
K. Hurni , et al, in prep
Shifting cultivation dominated landscapes between 2001 - 2009
• This is first , one point in time, picture of dimension and context of land deals. (But 1. contract farming not included in this and 2. the distributed mandates among the sectors do not yet ensure consistent monitoring & sharing)
• Only very few products dominate the land rented out in the agriculture and forestry sector
• FDI deals are on average by factor 3 -5 time larger in terms of area granted than domestic ones, and by tendency in more remote regions
• Land deals are not mainly in the very marginal areas (in terms of poverty, accessibility and ethnicity), but still a considerable share of such regions is potentially affected
• Some indications that land deals are to a considerable share taking place in regions with rotational agricultural systems
• Some signs that, due to CPL pressure in better accessible regions, subsistence food production is shifted to more remote location (temporary symptom only ?)
Summary & some key messages
NOTE: Hydropower reservoirs are NOT concessions, hence not in this inventory