Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

18
Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015. Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis Asset Management using Predictive Analytics at KCP&L

Transcript of Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Page 1: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis

Asset Management using Predictive Analytics at KCP&L

Page 2: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Kansas City Power and Light

2

Key StatisticsCustomers 830,000 Mtr.Generation 6,100 MW

9 plant sites

26 generating units

10 peaking facilities

Dist. Subs 315 Dist. Circuits 1600

18,000 square miles of service area

Page 3: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Utilities Assets

• Poles

• Transformers

• Breakers

• Guy

• Lighting Structures

• Pad

• Pedestals

3

• Reclosers

• Regulators

• Sectionalizer

• Street Lights

• Switch

• Switch Gear

• Area Lights

Page 4: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

What is Asset Management

Asset management programs are defined as:

• Managing infrastructure capital assets to minimize the total cost of owning, operating, and

maintaining assets at acceptable levels of service

• It encompasses the entire organization and recognizes the interdependencies of

maintenance, operations, asset performance, personnel productivity, life cycle costs, and

capital planning.

4

Page 5: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Asset Management Program at KCP&L

• At the beginning of the year Asset Management team allocates CapEx and OpEx

budgets

• Based on third party surveys and inspections, ailing assets are identified

• Maintenance program is prioritized based on the condition of assets and their potential

impact on customer outage

• Budget is allocated and maintenance programs are defined for worst performing areas

• Throughout the year audits are conducted to analyze the actual spending in work

management system and the allocated budget

• At the end of the year, effectiveness of the maintenance program is evaluated against the

number of customer outages and their impact on outage cost

5

Page 6: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Defining High Impact Assets

• Reliability Indices

– CI – Customer Interruptions

– CAIDI – Customer Average Interruption Duration Index

– SAIDI – System Average Interruption Duration Index

– SAIFI – System Average Interruption Frequency Index

– CAIFI – Customer Average Interruption Frequency Index

– MAIFI – Momentary Average Interruption Frequency Index

• Asset Condition

– Location

– Age

– Vegetation

– Physical condition (diameter)

• Business Impact

– Number of Customers Impacted

– Type of Customer – Commercial vs. Residential

– Cascading Effect

6

Page 7: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Predictive Analytics

• Associated outage data with asset data and it’s downstream

• Associated asset data with customer data

• Associated storms data with asset data

• Start identifying causes for repeatable outages vs. one off outages

• Load Growth – increase in customers. Can the assets sustain growth

• Potential impacted customers (if the asset fails)

–Based on outage calls grouping of failures to determine the point of failure.

–Based on Age, current condition, current load and future load determine the life expectancy of the

asset.

• Based on current condition predict the life expectancy of the asset

• Based expected life of the asset device a replacement plan

–Budget

–Maintenance program allocation

7

Page 8: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Data Sources and Functional Subject Areas

8

Page 9: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Asset Management Analytics Solution

9

Scorecards

Geospatial Visualization

Mobile

Interactive Dashboards

Adhoc Analysis

Proactive Detection and Alerts

Asset Work Management

Program Portfolio

Asset Programs

Actual/Prediction Asset Performance

Fleet

Attributes

Conditions

Common

Enterprise

Information

Model

GTech

OMS

P3

Essbase

WMS

EMPAC

CIS

PI

Synergy

PSFT

Page 10: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Analytics Data Flow

10

Page 11: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Analytics Examples

11

Page 12: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Analytics Examples..

12

Page 13: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Analytics Examples..

13

Page 14: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Analytics Examples..

14

Page 15: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

73%

YEARS

47serving clients

OUR COMPANY

500dedicated

associates17

over

years

BESTPLACES

TO WORK2012

TECHNOLOGYEMPOWERED

BUSINESSSOLUTIONS

“right size provider”

“client for life”

IndiaPune

Bangalore

USAIL, PA, NJ,

GA, VA, MN,

FL

CanadaToronto

Ottawa GLOBAL

DELIVERYOUR SERVICES

87% 14prior tier 1

consultancies

avg. years

experience

fulltime

employees

OUR PEOPLE

25+

OTHER

PARTNERS

- onshore

- offshore

- nearshore

- blended

managed services

Advisory Applications Cloud Analytics Infrastructure

strategy

governance

process

ERP, HCM, CRM,

app. development,

mobile solutions

applications

infrastructureenterprise reporting,

predictive analytics,

big data

service management

enterprise infrastructure

end user computing

Business and Technology Empowered

Page 16: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

An Exciting Year For Emtec… And Or Clients!

Vertical Focus

• Strategy

• Enterprise

Solutioning

• Management

Consulting

• Line of Business

Expertise

Advisory Services Expansion

Services

GEO

Vertical

SMAC

Page 17: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

Emtec Services Align Well with each stakeholder community

ENTERPRISESUITE

SALES & MARKETING

360 degree view of the customer

Sales force automation

Customer Service

Marketing Automation

Customer and Product Data

Management

BI / Analytics

HCM

Workforce Planning

HR Analytics

Talent Management

Employee Self-Service

Performance Management

Total Compensation

CFO

FINANCE

Budget & Planning

Financial Close Mgmt

Procure to Pay

SEC Reporting

Financial Analytics

Cash Management

OPERATIONS

Forecasting

Operational Analytics

ERP

Project Costing

TECHNOLOGY

Advisory Services

Application Development &

Maintenance services

Business Intelligence & Big

Data

Cloud Strategy and

Implementation

Independent Verification &

Validation

Infrastructure Services

Managed Services

IT Service Management

Procurement Services

Business Strategy

Managed Services & Outsourcing

Advisory Services

Analytics

Governance

POWERThe

of Emtec

Page 18: Predictive Analytics, A Case Study on Operational Analysis - Emtec, Inc.

Emtec, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential. All rights reserved 2015.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME

Please visit us online at www.emtecinc.com

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME

Please visit us online at www.emtecinc.com