Prediction of energy mix in power production bangladesh context 2030

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Prediction of Energy-mix in power production: Bangladesh Context 2030 INSTITUTE OF ENERGY University of Dhaka Mohammad Alimuzzaman [email protected]

Transcript of Prediction of energy mix in power production bangladesh context 2030

Page 1: Prediction of energy mix in power production bangladesh context 2030

Prediction of Energy-mix in power production: Bangladesh Context 2030

INSTITUTE OF ENERGYUniversity of Dhaka

Mohammad [email protected]

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Introduction

• Energy : Most important factors for better economic growth and people’s life in our country.

• Not equipped with sufficient energy resources in our land.

• Gradually rely on imported fuels.• Fossil energy: Increases Greenhouse Gas

emission, which accelerates global warming and causes climate change, and suffers our country by natural calamities.

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Energy Demand: Present Scenario

Bangladesh:• 161 million people ,• 147,570 square kilometers of land• GDP growth of 7%/year up to 2020• In the past decade, primary energy

consumption increased over 100%

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Energy Demand: Present Scenario

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Energy Demand: Present Scenario

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Trend of Consumption of Grid Electricity

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Estimated Breakdown of Grid Electricty

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Energy Demand: Present Scenario

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Energy Supply :Present Scenario

• Three-quarters of energy supply depends on natural gas.

• Gas supply will reach its peak in 2018 and gradually decrease thereafter.

• Coals and liquefied natural gas (LNG) for power generations from after 2021 and 2022

• Nuclear and hydro power awaits negotiation with partner countries, and seems not able to start operation before 2030.

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Trend of Source of Energy Supply

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Energy Balance in Bangladesh

Primary energy supply : 33,172 ktoe.• 55% is dependent on domestic natural gas.• 27% of biomass & waste in rural area• 15% of imported oil. Demand side: out of 24,445 ktoe Fina consumption,• Industrial sector uses 24% • Residential sector (excluding biomass & waste)

15%, as a secondary energy basis.

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Energy Balance in Bangladesh

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Present Electricity Generation Fuel Mix

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Electricity Supply Expansion Plan

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Electricity Supply Expansion Plan

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Electricity Supply Expansion Plan