PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012...

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PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting

Transcript of PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012...

Page 1: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING

Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting

Page 2: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Where I Come From

Page 3: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Kentucky Dairy Industry

85,000 dairy cows across 810 dairy farms

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Technological Marvels

• Tremendous technological progress in dairy farming (i.e. genetics, nutrition, reproduction, disease control, cow comfort)

• Modern dairy farms have been described as “technological marvels” (Philpot, 2003)

• The next “technological marvel” in the dairy industry may be in Precision Dairy Farming

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Changing Dairy Landscape

• Fewer, larger dairy operations

• Narrow profit margins

• Increased feed and labor costs

• Cows are managed by fewer skilled workers

Page 6: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Consumer Focus

• Continuous quality assurance

• “Natural” or “organic” foods

• Greenhouse gas reductions

• Zoonotic disease transmission

• Reducing the use of medical treatments

• Increased emphasis on animal well-being

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Information Era

• Unlimited on-farm data storage

• Faster computers allow for more sophisticated on-farm data mining

• Technologies adopted in larger industries have applications in smaller industries

Page 8: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Cow Challenges1. Finding cows in heat

2. Finding and treating lame cows

3. Finding and treating cows with mastitis

4. Catching sick cows in early lactation

5. Understanding nutritional status of cows

a. Feed intake

b. Body condition (fat or thin)

c. Rumen health (pH/rumination time)

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Fatness or

Thinness

MobilityHoof Health

MastitisRespiration

Rumination/pH

Temperature

Milk content

Heart rate

Animal position/location

Chewing activity

Lying/standing behavior

Methane emissions

Feed intake

Areas to Monitor a Dairy Cow

Manure and Urine

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Can technologies

provide us the answers

we’ve been looking for?

Page 11: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Precision Dairy Farming

• Using technologies to measure physiological, behavioral, and production indicators

• Supplement the observational activities of skilled herdspersons

• Focus on health and performance at the cow level

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Precision Dairy Farming• Make more timely and

informed decisions

• Minimize medication (namely antibiotics) through preventive health

• Optimize economic, social, and environmental farm performance

Page 13: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Precision Dairy Farming Benefits• Improved animal health and well-being

• Increased efficiency

• Reduced costs

• Improved product quality

• Minimized adverse environmental impacts

• Risk analysis and risk management

• More objective (less observer bias and influence)

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UK Herdsman Office

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Ideal PDF Technology

• Explains an underlying biological process

• Can be translated to a meaningful action

• Low-cost

• Flexible, robust, reliable

• Information readily available to farmer

• Farmer involved as a co-developer at all stages of development

• Commercial demonstrations

• Continuous improvement and feedback loops

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Mastitis Detection

• Exciting Precision Dairy Farming applications

• May increase likelihood of bacteriological cure

• May reduce duration of pain associated with mastitis (animal well-being)

• May reduce the likelihood of transmission of mastitis between cows

• May prevent the infection from becoming chronic

• Potential to separate abnormal milk automatically

Brandt et al., 2010; Hogeveen et al., 2011

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Mastitis Detection Challenges

• Meeting sensitivity (80%) and specificity (99%) goals (Rasmussen, 2004)

• Calibration across time

• Automatic diversion or alert?

• Recommended action when an alert occurs with no clinical signs

• Multivariate systems provide best results

• Costs (both fixed and variable)

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Electrical Conductivity

• Ion concentration of milk changes, increasing electrical conductivity

• Inexpensive and simple equipment

• Wide range of sensitivity and specificity reported

• Affected by sample time, milk viscosity, temperature, and sensor calibration

• Results improve with quarter level sensors

• Improved results with recent algorithms

• Most useful when combined with other metrics

Brandt et al., 2010; Hogeveen et al., 2011

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Milk Color

• Color variation (red, blue, and green) sensors in some automatic milking systems

• Reddish color indicates blood (Ordolff, 2003)

• Clinical mastitis may change color patterns for three colors (red, green and blue)

• Specificity may be limitedwww.lely.com

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Temperature

• Not all cases of mastitis result in a temperature response

• Best location to collect temperature?• Noise from other physiological impacts

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Thermography

• May be limited because not all cases of mastitis result in a temperature response

• Difficulties in collecting images

Hovinen et al., 2008; Schutz, 2009

Before Infection After Infection

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Automated CMT or WMT

• CellSense (New Zealand)

• Correlation with Fossomatic SCC 0.76 (Kamphuis et al., 2008)

• Using fuzzy logic, success rates (22 to 32%) and false alerts (1.2 to 2.1 per 1000 milkings), when combined with EC were reasonable (Kamphuis et al., 2008)

• Costs?

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< 200,000

200,000 — 400,000

400,000 — 800,000

800,000 — 2,000,000

> 2,000,000

SCC value

Works like a traffic light

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Mastiline

• Uses ATP luminescence as an indicator of the number of somatic cells

• Consists of 2 components

• In-line sampling and detection system, designed for easy connection to the milk hose below the milking claw

• Cassette containing the reagents for measuring cell counts

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Spectroscopy

• Visible, near-infrared, mid-infrared, or radio frequency

• Indirect identification through changes in milk composition

• AfiLab uses near infrared

–Fat, protein, lactose, SCC, and MUN

• May be more useful for detecting high SCC cows than quantifying actual SCC

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Biosensors and Chemical Sensors

• Biological components (enzymes, antibodies, or microorganism)

• Enzyme, L-Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), is released because of the immune response and changes in cellular membrane chemistry

• Chemical sensors: changes in chloride, potassium, and sodium ions, volatile metabolites resulting from mastitis, haptoglobin, and hemoglobin (Hogeveen, 2011)

Brandt et al., 2010; Hogeveen et al., 2011

Page 29: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Milk measurements• Progesterone

– Heat detection– Pregnancy detection

• LDH enzyme– Early mastitis detection

• BHBA– Indicator of subclinical ketosis

• Urea– Protein status

Page 30: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.
Page 31: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.
Page 32: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

4Sight-Fionn Technologies

• Northern Ireland

• Photosensitive optic beams across barns

• Software recognizes cows

• ID’s when cows cross beams

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Estrus Detection

• Efforts in the US have increased dramatically in the last 2 years

• Producer experiences are positive

• Changing the way we breed cows

• Only catches cows in heat

• Real economic impact

GEA Rescounter II

AFI Pedometer +

SCR HR Tag/AI24

DairyMaster MooMonitor/SelectDetect

LegendBouMatic HeatSeeker II

Page 34: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

SCR HR Tag

• Measures rumination time• Time between cud boluses• Monitor metabolic status

Page 35: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Rumen pH• Illness• Feeding/drinking

behavior• Acidosis

Page 36: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Vel’Phone Calving Detection

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CowManager Sensoor

• Temperature

• Activity

• Rumination

• Feeding Time

Page 38: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Alanya Animal Health

• Behavioral changes

• Temperature

• Lying/Standing Time

• Grazing Time

• Lameness

• Estrus Detection (multiple metrics)

• Locomotion Scoring

Page 39: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

• Rumination, Drinking, Eating Behavior

• Lying, Standing, Steps

RumiWatch

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• Greenfeed measures methane (CH4)

• Select for cows that are more environmentally friendly

• Monitor impacts of farm changes (rations) on greenhouse gas emissions

Page 41: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

StepMetrix

• Lameness detection

• BouMatic

Page 42: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Real Time Location Systems

• Using Real Time Location System (RTLS) to track location of cows (similar to GPS)

• Better understand distribution of animals within barns

• Information used to design better barns and modify existing barns

• Behavior monitoring-implications for estrus detection, time at feedbunk, social interactions

Black et al.

Page 43: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

GEA CowView

• Feeding time

• Waiting time

• Resting time

• Mounting

• Distance Covered

Page 44: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Monitor Parameter Measured

3-D acceleration/movement Behavior

Electromyogram Muscle activity

Skin potential Vegetative-nervous reaction

Skin resistance Vegetative-emotional reaction

Skin temperature/Environmental temperature

Thermoregulation

Page 45: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Economic Considerations• Need to do investment analysis

• Not one size fits all

• Economic benefits observed quickest for heat detection/reproduction

• If you don’t do anything with the information, it was useless

• Systems that measure multiple parameters make most sense

• Systems with low fixed costs work best for small farms

Page 46: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Purdue/Kentucky Investment Model

• Investment decisions for PDF technologies

• Flexible, partial-budget, farm-specific

• Simulates dairy for 10 years• Includes hundreds of random values

• Measures benefits from improvements in productivity, animal health, and reproduction

• Models both biology and economics

Page 47: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.
Page 48: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.
Page 49: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Net Present Value (NPV) Simulation Results

• Results from 1000 simulations• Positive NPV=“go” decision/make investment

86.60%

13.40%

Positive NPV

Negative NPV

Page 50: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Tornado Diagram for Deterministic Factors Affecting NPV

NPV establishes

what the value of future

earnings from a project is in

today's money.

Page 51: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

From Purdue to Poor Due

Did I get the wrong

PhD?

Page 52: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

From Purdue to Poor Due

Did I get the wrong

PhD?

Page 53: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Sociological Factors

• Labor savings and potential quality of life improvements affect investment decisions (Cantin, 2008)

• Insufficient market research

• Farmers overwhelmed by too many options (Banhazi and Black, 2009)

– Which technology should I adopt?

– End up adopting those that are interesting or where they have an expertise

– Not necessarily the most profitable ones

Page 54: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Australian Case Study

• R&D tends to focus on the device rather than the management system within which the device will be used

• “Return on investment is only achieved through subsequent improvement in the farming system and it is here that people are key”

• Not enough focus on farmer adaptation and learning

• Need more formal and informal user networks Eastwood, 2008

Page 55: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Why Have Adoption Rates

Been Slow?

Page 56: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #1. Not familiar with technologies that are available

(N =101, 55%)

Page 57: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #2. Undesirable cost to benefit ratio

(N =77, 42%)

Page 58: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #3. Too much information provided without knowing what to do

with it(N =66, 36%)

Page 59: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #4. Not enough time to spend on technology

(N =56, 30%)

Page 60: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #5. Lack of perceived economic value(N =55, 30%)

Page 61: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #6. Too Difficult or Complex to Use

(N =53, 29%)

Page 62: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #7. Poor technical support/training(N =52, 28%)

Page 63: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #8. Better alternatives/easier to accomplish

manually(N =43, 23%)

Page 64: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #9. Failure in fitting with farmer patterns of work

(N =40, 22%)

Page 65: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #10. Fear of technology/computer illiteracy

(N =39, 21%)

Page 66: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Reason #11. Not reliable or flexible enough

(N =33, 18%)

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Reason #99. Wrong College Degree

(N =289, 100%)

Page 68: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Future Vision• New era in dairy management

• Exciting technologies available and in development

• New ways of monitoring and improving animal health, well-being, and reproduction

• These analytic tools will be a source of competitive advantage

• Economics and people factors will determine adoption and success

Page 69: PRECISION DAIRY FARMING: POTENTIALS, PITFALLS, AND CRYSTAL BALL GAZING Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS 2012 OABP Fall Continuing Education Meeting.

Questions?

Jeffrey Bewley, PhD, PAS407 W.P. Garrigus BuildingLexington, KY 40546-0215

Office: 859-257-7543Cell: 859-699-2998Fax: [email protected]

www.bewleydairy.com