Preben Mejer - Aarhus Universitet · Preben Mejer Bestfmd og IT Guru [email protected] . New Tech...
Transcript of Preben Mejer - Aarhus Universitet · Preben Mejer Bestfmd og IT Guru [email protected] . New Tech...
New Tech Impact
Innovation is user based innovation
Smart Computing
Sensorer, Real Time Reality Mining
Information, Personal Decision Engine
Præsentation, Anywhere Computing
Smart Computing The Future in High Resolution & Real-time
Email is no longer the king
En ting som vi stadig gør:
Vi printer som aldrig før – over 60.000 ton om året Det samlede danske forbrug af det hvide papir steg fra knap 50.000 ton i 1995 til at ligge på over 60.000 ton i dag - Når vi skal ud at købe en ny bil, tager vi ikke længere hen til bilhuset og henter et katalog, men printer det selv ud Map Danmark, Steen Murmann. But… shifting to paperless routines, IDC forecast 2009 printed pages go down to 1.47b pages, compared to 2008 1.5b, first time ever decline Printers become web centric On HP’s Photosmart printer you can go to Fandango, watch movie trailer, buy a ticket and print it out without a PC
HP web enabled ePrint
Send anything to print from a mobile device
Schedule printing, print your own newspaper scheduled
Printer has e-mail adress, print on any printer if you have adress
HP uses Google Cloud Print
HP 3D printer HP 3D DesignJet printer Stratasys additive fabrication system
Printer will retail (!) for 17.500 usd
What the Internet is doing to our brains …
New information as priority
• Multitaskers seem to search for new information instead rather
than accept a reward for putting older, more relevant information
to work
They seem more sensitive towards incoming information
The lower brain functions alert us to danger – a lion, overriding goals like building a hut
In the modern world the e-mail notification overrides the goal of writing a business plan or playing with the children Ill fra iht the cost of multitasking IHT, Stanford university
Video is eating the internet Global IP traffic will will be 4 times larger in 2013 compared to 2009
All forms of video, TV, VOD, internet P2P will be 91 pct of total traffic in 2013
Printed OLED display
Ink printing make cheap OLED displays
• DuPont, printing a 50inch display in 2 minutes
• OLED displays are made of 12-15 layers of materials,
when printing the materials blend and performance
suffer
• New ink is insoluble of adjacent layer
Also last 15 years, a major concern of OLED is lifetime Tech Review
Flexible Glass The performance of glass – with the flexibility of plastic
Water cannont seep through – a problem with plastic
Can be manufactured at highter temperature, gives better electronics performance
Corning is testing flexible glass Tech Review
Tap is the new click
Two kinds of interactive gestures – touchscreen (iPhone) og free-form (wii) (Dan Saffer)
Microsoft Kinect, up to 6 users, 3D infrared sensors
Perceptive Pixels, touch and pressure sensitive, up to 4 users at the same time
Peratech for mobiles - sensors edge of display sense pressure as screen bend sligthly
Interaction
Output - Haptics Feel what you are doing Haptic technology refers to technology which interfaces the user via the sense of touch by applying forces, vibrations and/or motions to the user
Robotic surgery: Surgeons using a robotic guidance system to perform partial knee-replacement surgery
Receive haptic feedback when they try to cut bone outside a predetermined area (top).
The area that needs to be cut is shown in green, with red marking the boundaries. Credit: MAKO Surgical Corp.
Most haptic research focus on feeling solid objects, mimicking fluids is a diffficult task, demanding enourmous computing power – University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, recreated the feel of dipping a brush in oil paint
• MIT Tech Review
LTE and beyond plus WiFi Direct
LTE is not (yet defined as) 4G
• Shannon’s law says amount of data is limited by signal to noise ratio of 20 dB, means 6bps pr Hz of bandwith.
• OFDM – orthogonal frequency division mulitiplexing - as air interface with wider channels, up to 20 MHz.
• WiFi Direct, embeds a soft access point into any device
• Total Telecom / Unwired Insight nov 2009
Bluetooth 4.0 rules (maybe) Short Range Wireless
Zigbee, Zensys, EnOcean
• Zigbee industrial standard, low cost, meshing
• Zensys, low volume, expensive chipset
• EnOcean, proprietary – Siemens
Bluetooth 3.0
• 2.4 GHz Alternate MAC/PHY arkitektur
• Bluetooth 3Mbps, Wifi 802.11 24 Mbps Bluetooth stack kan skifte mellem de to
Bluetooth 4.0 BLE (low energy)
• Range up to 100m, still low-energy
• Devices can switch between master and slave mode, enabling a meshing like structure
Bluetooth will come in single mode BLE chips and dual mode
Bluetooth in all mobiles guarantees success On August 11, 1942, U.S. Patent 2,292,387 was granted Hedy Lamarr for frequency hopping, invented to guide torpedoes
Bluetooth 4.0 rules (maybe) Short Range Wireless
Zigbee, Zensys, EnOcean
• Zigbee industrial standard, low cost, meshing
• Zensys, low volume, expensive chipset
• EnOcean, proprietary – Siemens
Bluetooth 3.0
• 2.4 GHz Alternate MAC/PHY arkitektur
• Bluetooth 3Mbps, Wifi 802.11 24 Mbps Bluetooth stack kan skifte mellem de to
Bluetooth 4.0 BLE (low energy)
• Range up to 100m, still low-energy
• Devices can switch between master and slave mode, enabling a meshing like structure
Bluetooth will come in single mode BLE chips and dual mode
Bluetooth in all mobiles guarantees success On August 11, 1942, U.S. Patent 2,292,387 was granted Hedy Lamarr for frequency hopping, invented to guide torpedoes
Software Defined and Cognitive
Mobile 2015 and beyond
Software-defined-radio and Cognitive Radio SDR is underlying technology for cognitive radio.
SDR radio can adapt but must be told to do so first.
A cognitive radio is smart enough to decide itself. It senses the spectrum and uses its understanding of the users habits and goals, and decides the best air interface and spectrum to use
Definitions, categories:
Software-defined-radio, where some of the physical layer functions are software defined. Five-tier radio classification scheme, tier 0 is rigid hardware radio, tier 4 is a fully flexible radio, with programmable radio frequency, able to capture a wide range of radio signals and programmable HW that can process the sampled signal.
Cognitive radio is split into two categories, self configuring/self optimizing networks and dynamic spectrum access TotalTelecom
Cloud Computing
Utility computing
Always available and scales automatically to adjust to demand
Typically either pay-per use or advertising based.
Web-based interface, enables full user-self-service (Forrester) Cloud products and services go from 46b usd in 2008 to 150.1b in 2013 (Gartner )
3 Form Factors, 3 key use themes - A Lot of Displays – like we use
40” – Family, home entertainment, communication
12” In depth, concentration
4” mobil, entertainment, communication, location based information The Fourth Screen
• Third screen is on your cell phone, fourth is massive outdoor signs
• BWeek
Multiple PC’s – New Form Factors
Consumers adopt multiple PC’s
• Growth coming from new form factors
Tablets will cannibalize netbooks
• Have same grab and go media consumption and web profile,
tablets will become the consumers other computer, more
portable in the home and outside
Desktop sales will slide
• Gaming and 3D will keep desktop alive, processing heavy user
needs, like processing HD and 3D video
Laptops will get a revival
• More stylish and thin, Macbook Air like, but still maintaining
processing edge over tablets
Forrester
Multiple PC’s – New Form Factors
Consumers adopt multiple PC’s, with growth coming from new form factors
Tablets will cannibalize netbooks, which have same grab and go media consumption and web profile, tablets will become the consumers other computer, more portable in the home and outside
Desktop sales will slide, but gaming and 3D will keep desktop alive, processing heavy user needs, like processing HD and 3D video
Laptops will constitute 42 pct of PC sales 2015, laptops will become more stylish and thin, Macbook Air like, but still maintaining processing edge over tablets
Forrester, the us consumer pc market in 2015
Future Devices OLPC XO3 ultratynd tablet i plastic
Lenovo bendable 250g 1w chg
Roll top PC
Prime computer 13-26”
Lean back, lean forward media – and computing, computer no longer undisputed King
300m TV’s, 2014
800m PC like devices, 2014
500m Smartphones, 2014
Techlogg.com, Juniper, Forrester, ABI Research
NFC - RSN
2013
• 300b transactions done by 445m users with mobile
• 11 pct of total mobile base is NFC enabled Visa make NFC services, collaborate with Nokia, Google Android • Alerts – receiving near real time notification of purchase activity • Offers and Locators – makes it possible to receive targeted offers,
based on previous purchases, showing nearby shops accepting Visa, services can be combined, and customer can opt out
NFC test in UK : 78 pct of users want NFC due to ease of use NFC kompatibel med plastickort standard – de to typer vil co-existere Kan ligge på SD kort eller SIM kort, formentlig enighed om SIM, og der skal laves protokol fra NFC til SIM , SIM udvides, - UICC super-SIM
Liquid Telepresence Fra dårlig lyd ude af sync og uklare billeder til HD, og perfekt stereo uden forsinkelse
Nykredit Case - Ca 40m sparet på 2 år
• 3000 møder x 4 personer x 4 timer = 48.000
sparede timer, 30mio kroner
• Flybilletter ca 10mio kr, Taxa ca 1mio
Innovation Lab Case
• Preben reducerer business travel med 30 pct
• Liquid Telepresence på tværs af ambient wall,
Telepresence systemer og personlige klienter
• Uformelt set up og INGEN guidelines fungerer
bedst
• I dag er Telepresence normen, det er ”underligt”
hvis du skal rejse for at mødes fysisk kollega
• Remote Meeting Room, breakfast sessions
3D Telepresence
Musion Eyeliner Cisco
Realfiction Denmark Peppers Ghost
HeadSPIN – one-to-many 3D Spinning mirror and high-speed projector, 3D with eye
contact
Printed RFID tags
Ink jet printing of carbon nano tubes etc, printing transistors
Est cost 3 cents, coming down to 1 cent Sunchon National University South Korea Tech Review
Unified sensor tracking
Sensors for Tracking Home Water Use
Electrical sensor plugs into outlet and monitor “noise” to recognise devices, where in the home the light is turned on, which switch, or appliance is in use
New sensor fit to water pipe, monitor leaks and pressure changes When you open a walve, the pressure on the system goes down, can identify which fixture you are using
Also, for elder care can monitor activity in the home University of Washington
1. Anything plugged into an electrical outlet--DVD players, TVs, lamps--
displays a unique signature when turned on or off. Even identical light bulbs
in different rooms produce impulses with distinct shapes.
2 and 3. Ventilation systems can be used to detect a person's location.
Opening or closing a door, or even stepping into a doorway, creates slight
variations in air pressure that can be detected by a sensor installed in an
HVAC control unit.
4. Gas lines that connect to water heaters and stoves can be outfitted with
sensors that record changes in pressure when each appliance is used.
5. People's locations and activities can be inferred from the lights they turn
on and the appliances and fixtures they use. This information could be used
to monitor elderly or infirm people without employing a complicated
collection of expensive motion sensors.
6. Even identical toilets in different parts of the house produce distinct
pressure signatures in the plumbing.
7. Just as a single sensor in an electrical outlet can distinguish various
electronic devices, one pressure sensor connected to a cutoff valve or an
exterior water bib can distinguish different water fixtures, such as showers,
sinks, and toilets.
Picowatt Processor
The worlds smallest processor takes up just one millimeter square with a power consumption that is so low that emerging thin-film batteries of the same size could power it for 10 years or more
It could be feasible to build the chip into a thick contact lens and use it to monitor pressure in the eye, which would be useful for glaucoma detection.
It could also be implanted under the skin to sense glucose levels in subcutaneous fluid. More broadly, this low-power approach to processor design could be used in environmental sensors that monitor pollution, or structural health sensors, for instance.
The processer uses only about 30 picowatts (a picowatt is one-millionth of one-millionth of a watt)
University of Michigan
Intelligent Plaster Trådløs upload af data via smartphone
Mål: en uge på et sæt batterier
Iltindhold, temperatur, hjerte, blodsukker, epilepsi mm
Algoritme på smartphone sorterer i data, så kun de relevante går videre
RTX, Systematic, Coloplast, Delta
Search What Is
Going on RIGHT NOW Trending topics
Tweetmeme, OneRiot, Topsy, Scoopler, Collecta
Often Twitter-based, analyzing and reacting if a burst of tweets cite a particular subject or an URL
This signals an event
A Google search points to same sites for days
This kind of search point to what is going on right now
Context aware
Living in a world of Continuous Computing
• Like wearing eyglasses – the rims are visible, but the wearer forgets he has them on – even though they make the world clearer
Sensitive to identity
• associaties location, preferences and chronology
Soon devices will recognise patterns in your life
Magitti
• Use combination of cues, time of day, persons location, past behaviour, text messages and calendar information to suggest concerts, shopping, pubs,, restaurants. Palo Alto Research Center
IFTF, Forrester, MIT
Præsentation
Augmented Reality Blanding af virkelighed og et virtuelt lag Information, kommunikation, reklame
Socially Augmented Reality TATAugmented ID – face recognition sw from Polar Rose – reveal contact info and profile stats
Same technology could be used for CEO’s connected to Facebook or Linkedin to associate a name with a face
2015 … Future drivers of corporate information
Complexity
• Generating insights from exabytes of data
• Handling of mainly unstructured information
• Overabundance of sources, information as a
commodity
Opennes
• Balancing openness and security
• Mastering radical transparency
• Suppporting open innovaton and collaborative value creation
Real time
• Enabling customer-centric real-time processes
• Real time communication supersedes e-mail
• Ad hoc collaboration
• Speeding up of thinking and decicion making processes
Real Time Reality Mining The emerging sensor web
From model based targeting to Real time reality mining of information shadow of people, goods and objects
From cookies to real world tracking. Merging together web and data of individuals life streams. From microblogging to geo positional / motional data
Where next: Path intelligence app, guiding in shopping center, based on cell phone data also used to optimize shop layout. Citysense app.
Reality mining - Mapping a city’s rhytm
Phone appiication showing San Francisco hot spots, and will show where “tribes” gather
Using cell phone and taxi GPS data a heat map shows hot spots in real time Will soon be able to show where people with similar behavioral patterns gather – students, tourists, business people
When visiting a city it would be shown through a personal preferences filter that would help find interesting places and restaurants, matching with recommendation sites like Yelp Data could help fine tune advertising and bill boards in time and location
Citysense
Experts as a service Toward an internet of competences
From hyperlinking documents to connecting people
Organizations will build up a network of experts offering a range of customer and business intelligence in realtime, a hybrid cloud of human and software agents, archived and rendered data.
Advanced profiling and matching means skill sourcing will replace crowdsourcing. A virtual army of experts 24/7. Profiling, presence management and a bidding engine in virtual marketplace is Xaas
Where next: Humangrid and Innocentive
The Personal decision engine
From information systems to reasoning environments
ROK – high Return on Knowledge is becoming essential in a complex world with abundant data
IM systems evolve into a personalized information hub that is self adapting to actual task
Current and relevant topics in team context, project, company and competitors will occur in visual decision space
PDE supports analytical and creative thinking processes individual and in group, ability to zoom in, travel back and forth in time with simulations
Successful solutions are automatically shared with colleagues
Attentional User Interfaces and Presence Forecasting
Future e-mail and phone services help prioritizing, waiting for right time to interrupt, or whispering when something urgent pops up
New field is attentional user interfaces
Also presence forecasting, estimating which device to put message out on
Bounded deferral holding messages in reserve until recipient is ready for cognitive break.
IBM is working om IMSavvy, allowing messages to tap genty at consciousness, the program sense if you are away or busy typing, in future gauging interrupability by using audio sensors.
Biz week
Optimerings- og
effektivitetslogik
• Centralisering og pushlogik
• Monolog og institutionel afgrænsning
• Hierarkisk styring og kontrol
• Værdiskabelse i transaktioner
• Ejerskab af ressourcer og viden
• Indfangelse og kodificering af viden
• Nulsumsspil som mindset
• Skalérbar effektivitet
Flow- og innovationslogik
• Decentralisering og pulllogik
• Dialog og fællesskabsorientering
• Netværksbaseret ledelse
• Værdiskabelse i relationer
• Deltagelse i innovations- og
vidensflows
• Skabelse af viden og fokus på tavs
viden
• Positive udfald som mindset
• Skalérbar læring
DEN NYE DAGSORDEN FOR ORGANISATIONER
Nomader 43 pct of US workers in 2016 = 26pct of adults
3 groups
• Full time, 5 pct of adults
• Regular, 1-4 days a week, 8 pct
• Ocassional, 13 pct
Companies digital footprint will be as important as physical
• Forget the office, team sites, online conferencing solutions, extranet collaboration and online meeting space
• Virtual meeting rooms will become as familiar as physical rooms. Forterra Systems and Qwaq provide service
• Corporate Culture has to work over the wire.
• Corporate facilities become like community centers
Nomadism changes buildings, cities and traffic
Frank Gehry’s new MIT building is a hybrid space
Big decrease in demand for traditional enclosed spaces, such as offices or classrooms
Huge rise in demand for semi-public spaces and on demand spaces and drop-in centres,
The shift is one of the biggest in architecture this century.
From specialised structures, offices, cafeterias etc, necessary because of landline phones, fax machines and filing cabinets.
Focus now is on light, air, trees and gardens
Buildings will have much more varied shapes. CAD design and new materials make non-repetitive forms cheaper to build.
The Economist
The Anywhere Enterprise Domicilets død? Multiperson activities
Work Design Collaborative, a think tank says nomadic work styles are becoming the norm for knowledge workers
Research shows they spend less than a third of their time in corporate offices, a third in home office, and a third in ”third places” like a cafe
Risk of cyber-nomads hollowing them out, with a cafe full of people talking in phones or working on laptops
• Economist
Fra R&D til C&D Collaborative Development Evighedsmaskinen
Kontinuert og holistisk innovation
Dem der vinder på den lange bane er dem hvis R&D døre er åbne, og som arbejder med brugerne, crowd sourcing og open innovation
Fremtidens innovation er kollaborativ
Der er kommet innovation i innovationen
Konklusion Smart Computing – I high resolution • Sensorer • Enheder, fra smartphone over tablets til tv’s • Liquid Telepresence
Data, viden, information, kommunikation • Real-time reality mining • Context aware • Augmented
Indretning • Skærme • Trådløst • Anywhere enterprise • Fleksibilitet
Fra R&D til C&D collaborative development