PPP Poll 8/11/11

Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE August 11, 2011 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE

Colorado loves Hickenlooper, Bennet would rout Buck in re-do Raleigh, N.C. – Colorado’s freshman Senator Michael Bennet eked out a surprising less-than-two-point victory over Republican nominee Ken Buck last fall, but if voters headed to the polls now, they would send him back to Washington with a resounding 55-38 triumph. Key in Bennet’s surge is a reversal with independents, from Buck’s 53-37 edge to Bennet up 57-35 now. Bennet has left a good impression with voters as he settles into his previously appointed office. Just before the election, only 39% of voters approved of his work, and 47% disapproved. When PPP last polled the state in February, he was still at only a 42-40 approval margin. Now, it is 44-36. John Hickenlooper was elected governor in that same election by a much more comfortable 15-point margin, and with 54% approving and 24% disapproving of his performance, he is the third most popular current governor on which PPP has polled. Voters are closely divided on a referendum slightly raising the state income and sales tax rates in order to fund public education. 47% disapprove and 45% approve of these potential hikes. Republicans are more against it (73%) than Democrats for it (63%), but independents side 48-44 in its favor. Voters would seem more open to legalizing marijuana use, however. 51% think it should be legal, and 38% prefer it to remain illegal. Independents are for it, 55-31, and Republicans are more for it (31%) than Democrats against it (24%). Coloradans are split on same-sex marriage, with 45% believing it should be legal, and the same wanting to keep it illegal. Independents are for it, 54-33. Expanding the options to include civil unions, 71% of voters, including 57% of Republicans, 76% of independents, and 78% of Democrats, think gay couples should at least have the same legal rights as everyone else. PPP surveyed 510 Colorado voters from August 4th to 7th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 4.3%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.

August 4-7, 2011Survey of 510 Colorado votersAugust 4-7, 2011Survey of 510 Colorado voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Colorado Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Hickenlooper’s job performance?

54% Approve.................

24% Disapprove ............

22% Not sure ................

Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall's job performance?

45% Approve ..................

34% Disapprove..............

22% Not sure ..................

Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Michael Bennet's job performance?

44% Approve ..................

36% Disapprove..............

21% Not sure ..................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Buck?

25% Favorable........................................................

46% Unfavorable ....................................................

29% Not sure ..........................................................Q5 If you could do last fall’s election for US Senate

over again, would you vote for Democrat Michael Bennet or Republican Ken Buck?

55% Michael Bennet ...............................................

38% Ken Buck ........................................................

7% Not sure ..........................................................Q6 Do you think same-sex marriage should be

legal or illegal? 45% Legal ...............................................................

45% Illegal ..............................................................

10% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

40% Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry ..............................................................

31% Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry .......................................

27% There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship .......................................

2% Not sure ..........................................................Q8 If there was an election for Congress today,

would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?

45% Democratic candidate .....................................

40% Republican candidate .....................................

15% Undecided.......................................................Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of the Tea Party? 38% Favorable........................................................

49% Unfavorable ....................................................

13% Not sure ..........................................................Q10 Do you think prostitution should be legal or

illegal? 32% Legal ...............................................................

56% Illegal ..............................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................Q11 Do you think marijuana usage should be legal

or illegal? 51% Legal ...............................................................

38% Illegal ..............................................................

11% Not sure ..........................................................

August 4-7, 2011Survey of 510 Colorado votersAugust 4-7, 2011Survey of 510 Colorado voters





Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott McInnis?

14% Favorable........................................................

31% Unfavorable ....................................................

54% Not sure ..........................................................Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Tom Tancredo? 30% Favorable........................................................

43% Unfavorable ....................................................

26% Not sure ..........................................................Q14 Would you support or oppose raising the

income tax in Colorado from 4.63% to 5% and the sales tax from 2.9% to 3.0% in order to increase funding for public education?

45% Support ...........................................................

47% Oppose ...........................................................

7% Not sure ..........................................................Q15 Who did you vote for President in 2008?

41% John McCain...................................................

50% Barack Obama ................................................

8% Someone else/Don't remember ......................Q16 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

13% Very liberal ......................................................

22% Somewhat liberal ............................................

27% Moderate.........................................................

23% Somewhat conservative..................................

16% Very conservative ...........................................

Q17 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. 51% Woman ...........................................................

49% Man.................................................................Q18 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.

41% Democrat ........................................................

33% Republican......................................................

26% Independent/Other ..........................................Q19 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.

If other, press 3. 14% Hispanic ..........................................................

80% White ..............................................................

6% Other...............................................................Q20 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to

45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

10% 18 to 29...........................................................

25% 30 to 45...........................................................

43% 46 to 65...........................................................

21% Older than 65 ..................................................

August 4-7, 2011survey of 510 Colorado votersAugust 4-7, 2011survey of 510 Colorado voters





Crosstabs

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama

Someone else/Don'tremember

HickenlooperApproval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

54% 30% 78% 33%

24% 40% 12% 25%

22% 30% 11% 42%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 16% 72% 20%

34% 56% 13% 50%

22% 28% 15% 30%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Bennet Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 20% 66% 26%

36% 58% 16% 43%

21% 23% 18% 30%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Buck Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

25% 46% 5% 37%

46% 20% 70% 29%

29% 34% 24% 34%






Crosstabs

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Bennet/Buck Re-do

Michael Bennet

Ken Buck

Not sure

55% 16% 92% 29%

38% 76% 5% 47%

7% 8% 3% 24%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Same-SexLegal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

45% 16% 71% 33%

45% 73% 21% 49%

10% 11% 8% 18%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Gay Marriage/CivUnions/NoRecognition

Gay couples shouldbe allowed to legally

marry

Gay couples shouldbe allowed to formcivil unions but not

marry

There should be nolegal recognition of a

gay couple'srelationship

Not sure

40% 12% 67% 17%

31% 45% 20% 29%

27% 42% 11% 49%

2% 2% 2% 5%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Generic Cong. Ballot

Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Undecided

45% 6% 82% 16%

40% 82% 5% 41%

15% 11% 13% 43%






Crosstabs

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Tea PartyFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 75% 6% 49%

49% 11% 84% 22%

13% 14% 9% 29%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


ProstitutionLegal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

32% 29% 33% 41%

56% 62% 53% 48%

12% 9% 15% 11%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Pot Use Legal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

51% 32% 68% 47%

38% 58% 21% 47%

11% 11% 11% 6%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


McInnis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 25% 6% 19%

31% 19% 43% 20%

54% 56% 51% 61%






Crosstabs

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


TancredoFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

30% 56% 9% 33%

43% 21% 67% 16%

26% 23% 25% 51%

Base

2008 Vote

JohnMcCain

BarackObama


Tax Hike for Edu.Support

Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 19% 69% 31%

47% 75% 23% 58%

7% 6% 8% 11%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative


Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

54% 72% 78% 66% 33% 20%

24% 15% 13% 17% 35% 44%

22% 14% 9% 17% 32% 36%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 71% 72% 58% 15% 8%

34% 13% 14% 23% 56% 63%

22% 17% 14% 19% 29% 29%






Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Bennet Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 67% 62% 58% 15% 17%

36% 17% 20% 21% 58% 64%

21% 16% 18% 21% 28% 19%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Buck Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

25% 6% 10% 14% 38% 59%

46% 80% 66% 52% 24% 13%

29% 14% 24% 34% 38% 28%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Bennet/Buck Re-do

Michael Bennet

Ken Buck

Not sure

55% 93% 88% 71% 16% 9%

38% 4% 10% 18% 74% 85%

7% 3% 2% 10% 10% 6%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Legal

Illegal

Not sure

45% 83% 72% 53% 19% 5%

45% 15% 24% 33% 62% 92%

10% 1% 4% 15% 20% 3%






Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative



marry


marry



Not sure

40% 79% 72% 41% 13% 4%

31% 12% 16% 35% 47% 35%

27% 9% 12% 19% 36% 62%

2% - - 4% 5% -

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Undecided

45% 91% 82% 53% 5% 5%

40% 4% 8% 24% 76% 85%

15% 4% 9% 24% 19% 10%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 4% 10% 24% 68% 83%

49% 90% 81% 60% 17% 2%

13% 6% 8% 17% 15% 14%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Legal

Illegal

Not sure

32% 36% 38% 33% 32% 16%

56% 47% 47% 57% 52% 79%

12% 16% 14% 10% 16% 5%






Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Legal

Illegal

Not sure

51% 82% 68% 53% 35% 26%

38% 12% 18% 37% 55% 65%

11% 6% 15% 11% 10% 9%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 9% 8% 9% 23% 25%

31% 44% 44% 33% 18% 21%

54% 47% 48% 58% 60% 54%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

30% 10% 11% 20% 54% 57%

43% 73% 65% 49% 20% 16%

26% 16% 24% 31% 27% 27%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 82% 67% 55% 18% 8%

47% 12% 26% 38% 73% 84%

7% 6% 7% 7% 9% 8%






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman ManHickenlooperApproval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

54% 55% 53%

24% 21% 28%

22% 24% 19%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 48% 41%

34% 27% 41%

22% 25% 18%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Bennet Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 46% 41%

36% 30% 41%

21% 24% 18%

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Buck Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

25% 24% 25%

46% 40% 53%

29% 36% 22%






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman Man

Bennet/Buck Re-do

Michael Bennet

Ken Buck

Not sure

55% 56% 54%

38% 37% 39%

7% 7% 7%

Base

Gender

Woman ManSame-SexLegal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

45% 47% 44%

45% 45% 44%

10% 8% 12%

Base

Gender

Woman ManGay Marriage/CivUnions/NoRecognition


marry


marry



Not sure

40% 42% 37%

31% 29% 32%

27% 26% 28%

2% 2% 2%

Base

Gender

Woman Man


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Undecided

45% 47% 44%

40% 39% 40%

15% 14% 16%






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman ManTea PartyFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 35% 41%

49% 48% 50%

13% 17% 8%

Base

Gender

Woman ManProstitutionLegal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

32% 25% 38%

56% 63% 49%

12% 12% 12%

Base

Gender

Woman Man


Legal

Illegal

Not sure

51% 49% 54%

38% 39% 38%

11% 13% 8%

Base

Gender

Woman Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 13% 16%

31% 26% 37%

54% 61% 47%






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Woman ManTancredoFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

30% 29% 32%

43% 39% 48%

26% 32% 20%

Base

Gender

Woman ManTax Hike for Edu.Support

Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 45% 45%

47% 45% 50%

7% 10% 5%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/OtherHickenlooperApproval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

54% 73% 34% 49%

24% 11% 37% 29%

22% 16% 29% 22%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 68% 16% 43%

34% 15% 53% 39%

22% 17% 31% 18%






Crosstabs

Base

Party


Bennet Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 63% 23% 40%

36% 18% 56% 37%

21% 19% 21% 23%

Base

Party


Buck Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

25% 8% 48% 20%

46% 64% 22% 49%

29% 28% 30% 30%

Base

Party


Bennet/Buck Re-do

Michael Bennet

Ken Buck

Not sure

55% 85% 15% 57%

38% 10% 76% 35%

7% 5% 9% 8%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/OtherSame-SexLegal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

45% 64% 15% 54%

45% 29% 73% 33%

10% 7% 12% 13%






Crosstabs

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/OtherGay Marriage/CivUnions/NoRecognition


marry


marry



Not sure

40% 60% 13% 43%

31% 18% 44% 33%

27% 20% 40% 21%

2% 1% 3% 3%

Base

Party



Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Undecided

45% 87% 3% 34%

40% 5% 87% 33%

15% 8% 10% 32%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/OtherTea PartyFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 11% 74% 36%

49% 79% 10% 51%

13% 11% 16% 13%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/OtherProstitutionLegal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

32% 35% 27% 34%

56% 51% 67% 50%

12% 14% 6% 17%






Crosstabs

Base

Party



Legal

Illegal

Not sure

51% 65% 31% 55%

38% 24% 62% 31%

11% 12% 7% 14%

Base

Party



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 8% 27% 9%

31% 40% 20% 33%

54% 52% 53% 58%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/OtherTancredoFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

30% 11% 56% 28%

43% 64% 18% 43%

26% 25% 25% 29%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/OtherTax Hike for Edu.Support

Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 63% 21% 48%

47% 29% 73% 44%

7% 8% 6% 8%






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White OtherHickenlooperApproval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

54% 57% 54% 53%

24% 20% 26% 16%

22% 23% 21% 31%

Base

Race

Hispanic White Other

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 46% 43% 63%

34% 29% 36% 22%

22% 26% 21% 16%

Base

Race


Bennet Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 49% 42% 55%

36% 31% 38% 19%

21% 20% 21% 26%

Base

Race


Buck Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

25% 26% 26% 10%

46% 40% 47% 55%

29% 34% 28% 35%






Crosstabs

Base

Race


Bennet/Buck Re-do

Michael Bennet

Ken Buck

Not sure

55% 66% 52% 72%

38% 34% 41% 13%

7% - 7% 16%

Base

Race

Hispanic White OtherSame-SexLegal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

45% 40% 46% 50%

45% 51% 44% 41%

10% 9% 10% 9%

Base

Race

Hispanic White OtherGay Marriage/CivUnions/NoRecognition


marry


marry



Not sure

40% 37% 40% 44%

31% 14% 35% 19%

27% 43% 24% 31%

2% 6% 1% 6%

Base

Race



Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Undecided

45% 66% 40% 65%

40% 23% 44% 16%

15% 11% 15% 19%






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White OtherTea PartyFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 29% 42% 16%

49% 54% 47% 66%

13% 17% 12% 19%

Base

Race

Hispanic White OtherProstitutionLegal/Illegal

Legal

Illegal

Not sure

32% 29% 32% 38%

56% 57% 56% 56%

12% 14% 12% 6%

Base

Race



Legal

Illegal

Not sure

51% 49% 51% 63%

38% 37% 39% 31%

11% 14% 10% 6%

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 14% 14% 16%

31% 29% 32% 34%

54% 57% 54% 50%






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White OtherTancredoFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

30% 20% 33% 22%

43% 51% 42% 44%

26% 29% 25% 34%

Base

Race

Hispanic White OtherTax Hike for Edu.Support

Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 31% 47% 47%

47% 54% 46% 44%

7% 14% 6% 9%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

54% 58% 55% 54% 52%

24% 20% 30% 26% 17%

22% 22% 15% 20% 31%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Udall Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

45% 47% 48% 45% 38%

34% 29% 35% 34% 33%

22% 24% 17% 20% 29%






Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Bennet Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

44% 44% 44% 43% 45%

36% 21% 41% 37% 33%

21% 34% 15% 20% 23%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Buck Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

25% 14% 32% 25% 21%

46% 53% 43% 46% 47%

29% 33% 26% 29% 32%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Bennet/Buck Re-do

Michael Bennet

Ken Buck

Not sure

55% 79% 55% 52% 48%

38% 16% 39% 40% 43%

7% 5% 6% 7% 9%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Legal

Illegal

Not sure

45% 61% 52% 44% 31%

45% 30% 38% 46% 57%

10% 9% 9% 10% 12%






Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65



marry


marry



Not sure

40% 60% 46% 39% 24%

31% 16% 25% 32% 42%

27% 20% 24% 27% 34%

2% 4% 4% 2% -

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Undecided

45% 65% 46% 45% 37%

40% 16% 38% 41% 52%

15% 20% 16% 15% 11%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

38% 14% 37% 41% 46%

49% 71% 47% 49% 41%

13% 15% 15% 11% 13%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Legal

Illegal

Not sure

32% 32% 35% 32% 27%

56% 47% 57% 57% 57%

12% 21% 9% 10% 16%






Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Legal

Illegal

Not sure

51% 71% 52% 53% 36%

38% 14% 38% 36% 55%

11% 15% 9% 11% 9%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

14% 7% 15% 16% 14%

31% 22% 29% 34% 33%

54% 70% 56% 50% 54%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

30% 20% 28% 31% 37%

43% 35% 47% 44% 41%

26% 45% 25% 24% 22%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Support

Oppose

Not sure

45% 64% 47% 45% 35%

47% 25% 47% 50% 54%

7% 11% 7% 5% 11%

PPP Poll 8/11/11

Documents

Transcript of PPP Poll 8/11/11