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PPIB, Ministry of Water and Power Government of Pakistan...BY Engr. Munawar Iqbal Director...
Transcript of PPIB, Ministry of Water and Power Government of Pakistan...BY Engr. Munawar Iqbal Director...
BY
Engr. Munawar Iqbal Director (Hydropower)
PPIB, Ministry of Water and Power,
Government of Pakistan
Kathmandu, Nepal
9-10 May 2016
C O N T E N T S
Overview of Power Mix
Hydropower Potential of Pakistan
Evolution of hydro model in Pakistan
Salient futures of Power Policy 2002 & 2015
Success Stories in Private Sector
Concluding Remarks
PAKISTAN POWER SECTOR -
POWER MIX
Power Mix is a blend of:
• Hydel
• Wind (50 MW)
• Oil
• Gas
• Nuclear
• Coal (150 MW)
PAKISTAN POWER SECTOR -
TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY
4
Total Installed Capacity 25,208 MW
MW %
Public Sector
Hydel 7,013 28
Thermal 5,458 22
Nuclear 787 3
Total 13,258 53
Private Sector
IPPs 9,528 42
K-E 2,422 10
Total 11,950 52
Public Sector Hydel, 7013, 27.8%
Public Sector
Thermal, 5458, 21.6%
Nuclear, 787, 3.1%
Private Sector, 11950, 47.4%
Wind 50 MW
PUBLIC SECTOR
• WAPDA • Provinces
PRIVATE SECTOR
• Private Power & Infrastructure Board (PPIB) • Alternate Energy Development Board (AEDB) • Provinces
RESPONSIBILITY
Capacity Enhanced
3,478 MW 4,888 MW
Opening date 1976
Impounds 9.7 MAF
Height 143.26 m
Construction 1968-1976
Tarbela Dam
Coordinates 33.142083°N 73.645015°E
Construction 1961-1967
Type of dam Embankment dam
Impounds Jhelum River
Height 147 m (482 ft)
Total capacity 7.390 MAF
Turbines 10 x 100 MW
Capacity 1,000 MW
Mangla Dam
S# Name of Project Province
Installed Capacity
(MW)
1 Tarbela KPK 3478
2 Warsak KPK 240
3 Jaban (Malakand-I) KPK 20
4 Dargai (Malakand-II) KPK 20
5 Kurram Garhi KPK 4
6 Mangla AJK 1000
7 Ghazi Barotha Punjab 1450
8 Chashma Punjab 184
9 Rasul Punjab 22
10 Shadiwal Punjab 14
11 Nandipur Punjab 14
12 Chichoki Punjab 13
13 Satpara Gilgit-Baltistan 16
14 Kar Gah Phase VI Gilgit-Baltistan 4
HYDROPOWER IN OPERATION By WAPDA
6479 MW
S# Name of Project Province
Installed Capacity
(MW)
KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA 1 Malakand-III KPK 81
2 12 Small HPP KPK 3.2
3 Reshun KPK 2.8
87 MW
GoAJ&K 1 Jagran AJ&K 30.4
2 Kathai AJ&K 3.2
3 5 Small HPPs AJ&K 3.1
4 Kundal Shahi AJ&K 2
38.7 MW
HYDROPOWER IN OPERATION
S# Name of Project Province
Installed Capacity
(MW)
GoGILGIL-BALTISTAN 1 Naltar Gilgit Baltistan 18
2 Gilgit Gilgit Baltistan 10.63
3 Skardu-I Gilgit Baltistan 6.96
4 Chilas-I Gilgit Baltistan 5.62
5 Hunza Gilgit Baltistan 5.13
6 Shyok Gilgit Baltistan 4.85
7 Astore Gilgit Baltistan 3.11
8 Kachura Phase II Gilgit Baltistan 3
9 Ghizar, Thak, Phander Gilgit Baltistan 6
10 Bordas Gilgit Baltistan 2
1 84 Small HPPs Gilgit Baltistan
47.7
HYDROPOWER IN OPERATION
S# Name of Project Province
Installed Capacity
(MW)
GoGILGIL-BALTISTAN 1 Naltar Gilgit Baltistan 18
2 Gilgit Gilgit Baltistan 10.63
3 Skardu-I Gilgit Baltistan 6.96
4 Chilas-I Gilgit Baltistan 5.62
5 Hunza Gilgit Baltistan 5.13
6 Shyok Gilgit Baltistan 4.85
7 Astore Gilgit Baltistan 3.11
8 Kachura Phase II Gilgit Baltistan 3
9 Ghizar Gilgit Baltistan 2
10 Thak Gilgit Baltistan 2
11 Phandar Gilgit Baltistan 2
12 Bordas Gilgit Baltistan 2
13
84 Small Hydropower Projects ( less than 2 MW each)
Gilgit Baltistan
47.7
HYDROPOWER IN OPERATION
113 MW ( off Grid)
Multan
B A L U C H I S T A N
Quetta
Loralai
Zhob
Dadhar
Kalat
Kharan
Uthal
Turbat
Khuzdar
Kohlo
Chagi
I ndu
s R
iver
Khairpur
Larkana
Nawabshah
Sanghar
HyderabadMirpur Khas
Jacobabad
Shikarpur
THAR PARKAR
KarachiThatha
Dadu
S I
N
D H
Mianwali
Sargodha
Sheikhupura
Lahore
Faisalabad
Khaniwal
Bahawalnagar
Vehari
Okara
Sahiwal
Dera Ghazi Khan
Chakwal
Jehlum R
iver
Chinab River
Ravi R
iver
Sut lej R
iver
Jhang
Bahawalpur
Rahimyar Khan
I ndus
Rive
r
G I L G I T B A L T I S T A N
Gilgit
Chilas
Kabul R.
Chitral
Malakand
Mangora
Dir Madian
Kalam
Landi Kotal Mardan
Peshawar
Dera Ismail Khan
BannuMiramshah
Parachinar
K H Y B E R
P A K H T U N
K H W A
Saw
at R
.Pan
jkor
a R.
Kan
dhia
R.
MUZAFFARABAD
SakarduKhaplu
Sirinagar
Punch
ISLAMABAD
Kaghan
Rawalpindi
Mangla
Wolar Lake
Punch
Rive
r
Neelam
Rive
r
Jehlum River
J A M
M U
& K
H A
S H M
I R
Naran
ARABIAN SEA
Gawadar
I N
D
I
A
A F
G H
A N
I S
T A
N
I R A N
C H I N A
Frontier Undefined
I ndus River
Gilgit RiverM
astu
j Rive
r
Chi
t ral
Rive
r
P
U
N
J
A B
HYDROPOWER
Area of Focus
Gilgit-Baltistan
Coal Reserved
Hydropower Potential – River Wise
Indus
39717
MW Jhelum 5624 MW
Swat 1803 MW
Kunhar 1480 MW Punch
462 MW
others 9704 MW
Kandiah
1006
MW
LOCATION OF HPPs ON JEHLUM RIVER
Mangla PH
N
Garhi Habibullah
590 MW Mahl HPP
640 MW Azad Pattan
HPP
720 MW Karot HPP
500 MW Chakothi
Hattian HPP
PUNJAB
Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa
AJ&K
147 MW Patrind
HPP
Mah
l Riv
er
18 BACK
ATHMUQAM
Kundal Shahi
Dudhnial
Sharda
Nara
Kaghan
Halmat
Toabat
Janawai
Jagran
Panjgran TITHWAL
NEELUM RIVER
NEELUM VALLEY- MAJOR HYDEL SCHEMES
Legend
Dudhnial 800 MW Athmuqam 350 MW Ashkot 300 MW N-J 969 MW Total= 2419 MW
BACK
Gulpur
KOTLI
Gulpur HPP
Sehra HPP
PROJECTS ON POONCH RIVER IN AJK
SEHRA 130 MW KOTLI 100 MW GLPUR 100 MW RAJDHANI 132 MW Total= 462 MW
BACK
102 MW Batta Kundi
HPP
188 MW Naran HPP
870 MW Suki Kinari
HPP
300 MW Balakot HPP
Balkot
Naran
Kaghan
Paras
147 MW Patrind HPP
PROJECTS ON
KUNHAR RIVER IN KP
Bata Kundi 102 MW Naran 188 MW Suki Kinari 870 MW Balakot 300 MW Patrind 150 MW Total= 1610 MW
BACK
LOCATION MAP
RIVER INDUS
TRIBUTARIES
SPATGAH 496 MW
PALAS VALLEY 665MW
Dasu 4000 MW
Duber Khwar 130
MW
Khan Khwar 72
MW
Allai Khwar 121 MW
Diamer Basha
4500 MW
Tarbela 3478 MW
KAIGAH 548 MW Bunji
7100 MW
Yulbo 3000 MW
TANGUS 2100 MW
Warsak 243 MW
BACK
Kalam Asrit HPP
P=197 MW
H=210 m
Asrit Kedam HPP
P=215 MW
H=214 m
Madain HPP
P=157 MW
H=150 m
Gabral Kalam HPP
P=137 MW
H=205 m
PH PH
PH
PH
SWAT VALLEY HPPs
BACK
PROJECTS ON SWAT RIVER IN KPK
Demand-supply gap up to 6000 MW resulting
in load-shedding of up to 8-16 hours per day
Power Planners have projected a demand of
31757 MW by the year 2020
If 18477 MW is assumed as de-rated capacity,
country would need additional 13,300 MW
(net) by the year 2020, requiring an
investment of $15 billion
Scarcity of funds in government sector so
private sector is the next option
For private sector, govt. have issued policies
both federal and provincial levels
PAKISTAN POWER SECTOR –
CURRENT SCENARIO
EVOLUTION OF POWER MODELS IN PAKISTAN
PUBLIC SECTOR (WAPDA)
1958 1994 1995 1998 2002 2012 2015
Private Sector
PPP
Hydel Policy 1995
Power Policy 1994
Power Policy 1998
Power Policy 2002
Power Policy 2015
Renewable Policy 2006
KPK 2006, Punjab 2006
GENERAL FEATURES
• HPPs to be developed on BOOT Basis
• Concession Period allowed upto 30 years
• Tariff to be calculated on COST PLUS basis
• 100% foreign ownership allowed with minimum 20% equity contribution requirements
• Sponsors can divest equity after six (6) years of project commissioning
• Performance obligations of Power Purchaser and Provinces guaranteed by GOP
• Responsibility of power transmission facilities rests with the Power Purchaser
POLICY - Features
FISCAL & FINANCIAL INCENTIVES
• Tax Holiday
• 5% concessionary Customs Duty
• Tariff adjustable for changes in Benchmark Interest
Rates (LIBOR/KIBOR)
• Multi-Year, Long-term Tariff
• Attractive Return on Equity (ROE 17%)
• Two-part tariff structure of fixed 'Capacity' and variable
'Energy' components
• Conversion of Pak Rupee and remittance of Foreign
Exchange ensured by GOP
• Exchange rate variation for up to COD
POLICY - Features
RISK PROTECTING FEATURES
• Continuity of payments in case of Political Force Majeure
• Protection against Change in Law Risk
• Compensation Payment in case of project termination due
to GOP default
• Foreign component of fixed and variable O&M Cost to be
indexed with US CPI
• At COD, Capital Cost to be fixed in US dollars base
• Periodic adjustments in the Debt Service Component to
cover exchange rate variation
• Hydrological Risk covered by assuring Capacity
Payment upto 90%-95% of the Tariff
POLICY - Features
Disapproved
approved
Expression
of Interest
Reg. of
Investors
Proposal
submission
Issuance of LOI
Evaluation
Ranking
Registration
Cancelled
Feasibility
Study
Monitoring by
POE
LOI
Cancelled
Project Re-
advertised
Feasibility
Completed
Issuance of LOS
Tariff Petition
before
NEPRA
NEPRA Approval
of Tariff
not completed
Successfully
Completed
PROCESSING OF UNSOLICITED PROJECTS ON RAW SITES
Major Activities
under LOS
Environmental
Approval
CONTINUED………………..
EPC Contractor
through ICB
Land
Acquisition Arrange
Financing
Direct
Agreements
EPC Tariff
Approval
Project Agreements
WUA, PPA, IA(s)
Fin. Close
Construction
COD
IPPs
NEPRA
Gas/ Fuel Supplier
LOI/ LOS/ IA
GSA/ FSA
DIA
GoP
CPPAG
Tripartite LOS
CSA: Coal Supply Agreement GSA: Gas Supply Agreement PPA: Power Purchase Agreement IA: Implementation Agreement DIA: Direct Implementation Agreement
Provinces Lenders
IPP MODEL BEING EXECUTED BY PPIB
Financing
Transmission Licence
OGRA
Fuel Price
EPC/ O&M Contractors
EPC /O&M Contracts
NTDC
Pu
rchase
Lice
nce
SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector
84 MW New Bong Escape HPP • Project Company : Laraib Energy Limited • Main Sponsor : HUBCO, Pakistan • Lenders : ADB, IFC, IsDB, Proparco, HBL, NBP • Project Cost : 215 Million US$ • Capacity : 84 MW • Energy : 471 GWh/a • Firm Tariff (levelized) : 8.545 USc/kWh • Financial Closing : December 2009 • Commissioning : March 2013
SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector
150 MW Patrind HPP • Project Company : Star Hydropower Limited
• Main Sponsor : K-Water, Korea
• Lenders : ADB, IFC, IsDB, KEXIM
• Project Cost : 362.4 Million US$
• Capacity : 150 MW
• Energy : 641.3 GWh/a
• Firm Tariff (levelized) : 7.0498 USc/kWh
• Financial Closing : December 2012
• Commissioning : March 2017
Project Layout
WEIR
SANDTRAP
HEADRACE TUNNEL
ACCESS BRIDGE POWER HOUSE
SURGE TANK
MUZAFFARABAD
PATRIND VILLAGE
TARCHEELA VILLAGE
KUNHAR RIVER
JHELUM RIVER
① WEIR & SANDTRAP ② POWERHOUSE
①
②
Current Status of Works WEIR SITE
④ Weir Site Camp
(In Progress) ② DT Outlet Portal (Water Diversion, 09 Apr
2013)
② ①
④ ⑤
⑥
⑦
⑤ Stock Yard
(Completed)
⑦ Weir & Sandtrap Excavation
(In Progress)
① DT Inlet Portal (Water Diversion, 09 Apr
2013)
⑥ Adit Tunnel for HRT
(145m Excavated)
WEIR SANDTRAP
BACK
SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector
Project Company : Mira Power Limited • Main Sponsor : KOSEP, Korea • Lenders : ADB, IFC, KEXIM • Project Cost : 317.17 Million US$ • Capacity : 102 MW • Energy : 475 GWh/a • Tariff (levelized) : 9.0241 USc/kWh • Financial Closing : October 2015 • Commissioning : October 2019
102 MW Gulpur HPP
SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector
870 MW Suki Kinari HPP
• Project Company : Suki Kinari Private Limited • Main Sponsor : Al-Jumaia, Saudi Arabia • Lenders : CEXIM, ICB China • Project Cost : 1956.22 Million US$ • Capacity : 870 MW • Energy : 3081 GWh/a • Firm Tariff (levelized) : 8.8145 USc/kWh • Financial Closing : June 2016 • Commissioning : June 2021
SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs -in Private Sector
1100 MW Kohala HPP • Project Company : Kohala Hydro Co. Pvt. Limited • Main Sponsor : CSAIL, CTGC China • Lenders : CEXIM, ICBC China, IFC • Project Cost : 2300 Million US$ • Capacity : 1100 MW • Energy : 5093 GWh/a • Feasibility Tariff (levelized) : 7.2365 USc/kWh • Financial Closing : December 2017 • Commissioning : December 2023-24
720 MW Karot HPP • Project Company : Karot Power Co. Pvt. Ltd • Main Sponsor : CSAIL, CTGC China • Lenders : CEXIM, ICBC, IFC, SRF • Project Cost : 1698.26 Million US$ • Capacity : 720 MW • Energy : 3174 GWh/a • Firm Tariff (levelized) : 7.6152 USc/kWh • Financial Closing : August 2016 • Commissioning : August 2021
SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs -in Private Sector
PPIB’s PORTFOLIO OF UPCOMING PRIVATE POWER PROJECTS (IPPs)
Description/ Year
Hydel Coal Gas Total
(MW)
No. of
Projects MW No. MW No. MW No.
2017 150 1 3,300 3 0 0 3,450 4
2018 0 0 2,640 2 1000 4 3,640 6
2019 232 2 1910 4 0 0 2,142 6
2020 1,360 2 0 0 0 0 1,360 2
2021 870 1 0 0 0 0 870 1
2022 2,033 5 0 0 120 1 2,153 6
2023 1,690 2 0 0 0 0 1,690 2
2024 1,088 4 0 0 0 0 1,088 4
2025 80 1 0 0 0 0 80 1
Grand Total 7,503 18 7,850 9 1120 5 16,473 32
54
How Hydropower is Renewable
The circulation of earth’s water as it circulates from
the land to the sky and back again is called the ‘hydrological cycle’ or ‘water cycle’.
P =ρ.g. η. QH
P = 8.5 x Q H (SI Units)
Head = H , Discharge = Q
Methematical Concept
Renewable NON-Renewable
CASA-1000 POWER SUPPLY PROJECT TO BE INAUGURATED ON MAY 12, 2016
The project, signed between Tajikistan and Pakistan, would be completed at a cost of $1.2 billion in two years
The Central Asia-South Asia (CASA) 1000 project to supply one thousand megawatts electricity from Tajikistan to Pakistan would formally be inaugurated in Dushanbe on Thursday.
The project, signed between Tajikistan and Pakistan, would be completed at a cost of 1.2 billion dollars in two years.
The project would help Pakistan get cheaper and clean energy to minimize its electricity shortages.
Afghanistan has already given a guarantee to ensure security of 750 km long transmission line.
According to Ambassador of Tajikistan to Pakistan, all arrangements including necessary financial resources have been made to undertake the project forthwith.