PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for...

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6/9/2014 1 Visualizing Levee Failures and Performance through 2D Techniques May 29, 2014 TFMA SPRING CONFERENCE OVERVIEW Project Background Developing the Model Simulations Types and Results Integration with EAP EMERGENCY ACTION PLAN EAP needed in case of a levee failure Modeling was used to support development of EAP Typical EAP may have as few as two flooding sources This case was not so clear cut in terms of flooding sources

Transcript of PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for...

Page 1: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

6/9/2014

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Visualizing Levee Failures and Performance through 2D Techniques

May 29, 2014TFMA SPRING CONFERENCE

OVERVIEW

• Project Background

• Developing the Model

• Simulations Types and Results

• Integration with EAP

EMERGENCY ACTION PLAN

• EAP needed in case of a levee failure

• Modeling was used to support development of EAP

• Typical EAP may have as few as two flooding sources

• This case was not so clear cut in terms of flooding sources

Page 2: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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PROJECT AREA

FLOODING SOURCES

ADDITIONAL LEVEES

Page 3: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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CONTROL STRUCTURES

INTERNAL DRAINAGE

REASONS FOR ADVANCED MODELING

• Complex system; multiple interactions

• Multiple Scenarios:– Historic events

– System response to various storms

– Pump station failure

– Levee breach

Page 4: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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ADVANTAGES OF ADVANCED MODEL

• Comprehensive model of the system– Only one assumed boundary condition

– Connectivity between all elements

– 2D flow paths through mesh

• Ease of understanding output– 2D animation replays

– Time-series data

– Results points

• Analyze multiple different scenarios– Historic Events

– Pump Station Failure

– Breach Analysis

WHY INFOWORKS ICM?

• Large 2D area (5,000 acres)

• Variable element area mesh

• Breach analysis capabilities

• GPU Processing (Simulations are faster)

MODEL DEVELOPMENT

• Hydrologic model developed from:– HEC-HMS Models

– USGS Stream Flows

• Hydraulic model developed from:– HEC2/HEC-RAS Models

– Plan Sets

– LIDAR

Page 5: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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PROBLEMS WITH EXISTING MODELS

• Assumed boundary conditions

• No connectivity

• No way to account for undefined flow paths

Diversion:Flows Assumed in Hydrologic Model

Not included in Hydraulic Model

CONVERTING TO ICM

1D COMPONENTS COMBINED

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2D COMPONENTS

• Road buffered from TNRIS Centerline– Roads as Mesh Zone

– Finer mesh triangles

• Roughness Zones determined from Aerial Photos

• Elevation data from LIDAR

1D/2D COMPONENTS COMBINED

CHALLENGES BUILDING/RUNNING THE MODEL

• Size of the study area– ±5,000 acres

• Mass balance (junctions, voids)

• Meshing Errors

• Initialization

• Operating Procedures

• Elevation datum

Page 7: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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Simulation Types and Results

DETERMINING EXTERIOR LEVEL OF PROTECTION

HISTORIC EVENTS

• Mother’s Day Flood 2012 (Internal)– 5-8 Inches of precipitation in area in 12 hours

– Calibrated rainfall

– Validated the model

• Christmas Flood 1991 (Brazos River)

Page 8: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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REGIONAL EVENT

• Not in design criteria, but good to understand

• System response to regional 100-year event including:– Tailwater elevations

– Gravity outfalls

– Pump operations

REGIONAL EVENT EXAMPLE

PUMP STATION FAILURE (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)

• Worst-Case Scenario

• No way to evacuate water

Page 9: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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PUMP STATION FAILURE (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)

LEVEE BREACH ANALYSIS

• Breaches modeled in two different ways, based on location– River Bank Elevation

• Control individual bank stations

– Variable Width Weir + 2D Outfall to mesh

• Control width of weir

• Controlled with Real-Time Control (RTC)– Breach geometry defined in FEMA document

– Breach timing defined by FNI

MODELED BREACH LOCATIONS

• Breach locations not indicative of potential failure

• Concept of “Representative Levee Reach”

Page 10: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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REPRESENTATIVE LEVEE REACH

BREACH LOCATION B03

• Largest inundation extents of the 6 locations

• Assumes other levees have been compromised

• Flows recirculated by standard pump operations

100-YEAR BREACH B03 (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)

Page 11: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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100-YEAR BREACH B03 (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)

“MAXIMUM FLOW BREACH” B03 (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)

Integration with EAP

Page 12: PowerPoint Presentation...6/9/2014 12 TIMESTEP MAP RECAP • Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP • Advanced modeling needed in this case • Value added by using the model

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TIMESTEP MAP

RECAP

• Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP

• Advanced modeling needed in this case

• Value added by using the model for other analyses

• Client now has a modeling framework that can be modified– CIP project planning

• Channel modification

• Levee improvements

• Pump improvements

– Add storm sewer lines

– Water quality modeling – sediment

– Evaluate benefit from stormwater BMPs

– Economic assessment

Questions??