Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive...

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Power Transmission and Distribution - Dr. Udo Niehage, Group President Capital Market Days 2007 June 21-22, Berlin

Transcript of Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive...

Page 1: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Power Transmission and Distribution -Dr. Udo Niehage, Group President

Capital Market Days 2007June 21-22, Berlin

Page 2: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 1 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information – that is, statements related to future, not past, events. These statements may be identified by words as “expects”, ”looks forward to”, “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,”“believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “will” or words of similar meaning. Such statements are based on our current expectations and certain assumptions, and are, therefore, subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors, many of which are beyond Siemens’ control, affect its operations, performance, business strategy and results and could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens worldwide to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For us, particular uncertainties arise, among others, from: changes in general economic and business conditions (including margin developments in major business areas); the challenges of integrating major acquisitions and implementing joint ventures and other significant portfolio measures; changes in currency exchange rates and interest rates; introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies; lack of acceptance of new products or services by customers targeted by Siemens worldwide; changes in business strategy; the outcome of pending investigations and legal proceedings; our analysis of the potential impact of such matters on our financial statements; as well as various other factors. More detailed information about our risk factors is contained in Siemens’ filings with the SEC, which are available on the Siemens website, www.siemens.com and on the SEC’s website, www.sec.gov. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement as expected, anticipated, intended, planned, believed sought, estimated or projected. Siemens does not intend or assume any obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.

Page 3: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 2 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Electrical energy is the backbone of our society

Page 4: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 3 June 2007 Capital Market Days

PTD delivered what was promisedKey Financials: Improvement 2006 vs. 2005

0 20062005 H1 2007

+84%Δ 2006 vs. 2005

trailing 4 quarters

PTD Profit

5.0%1)

6.0%1)

7.8%2)

1) Group profit margin USGAAP

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

2005 2007

PTD SalesPTD New Orders

+52%Δ 2006 vs. 2005

in € m

100

200

300

400

500

600

in € m

2006

+53%Δ 2006 vs. 2005

2) Group profit margin IFRS

Page 5: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 4 June 2007 Capital Market Days

PTD group profit 2006 vs. 2005: +84%New target margin until 2010: 7% - 10%

12 months trailing business volume

Strong volume growth continues in first half of FY 2007; all divisions exceeded previous year bookings

Significant ROCE improvement

Group profit margin improvement to 7.8% of sales in HY 2007

CCR affected by growth effects, finalization of negative VA Tech projects and restructuring

SalesNew Orders

SalesSalesNew OrdersNew Orders

SalesNew Orders

SalesSalesNew OrdersNew Orders

FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY20073

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007

Key Financials

FY06 H1 07Δ06 vs. 05 Δ07 vs. 061)

1) comparable period 2) values in € m

€ bn

3) cash conversion rate

(US GAAP) (IFRS)

---0.38---0.35CCR3)

+18%3,484+53%6,509Sales

+72%273+84%390Group profit2)

+11%29+6%28Employees

---31%---18%ROCE---7.8%6.0%as percentage of sales

+32%5,622+52%8,028New Orders2)

in thousands

Page 6: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 5 June 2007 Capital Market Days

PTD – Gaining significant market share

With double digit sales growth closing the gap to # 1

Market Share Development 1)

2005: Siemens data with anticipated full FY VATech T&D

16%17%

20%

2003

2005

2006

2003

2005

2006

10%14%

18%

2003

2005

2006

8%7%

9%

1) Comparable portfolio

Page 7: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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Leading market positions in nearly all businesses

Divisions

New Orders2006 vs. 2005

Energy Automation (EA)

Integrated control systems, protection and substation automation, telecontrolsystems, power quality

Transformers (T)

Power transformers up to 1,300 MVA and 765kV, distribution transformers with oil or cast-resin insulation

High voltage (H)

Components, switchgear and turnkey projects for power transmission > 52kV (AC and DC)

Medium voltage (M)

Components, switchgear and turnkey projects for power transmission ≤ 52kV (AC and DC)

Services (SE)

Network planning & consulting, asset maintenance and maintenance management for grids & networks, metering services

Market position #1#2#1 #2 #2

> 50 %>100 %> 50 % > 20 % > 40 %

Page 8: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 7 June 2007 Capital Market Days

T&D Market and New orders trendPTD grows faster than the market

FY 2005 FY 2010 FY 2005

€ 5.3 bn

20 %

21 %

37 %

18 %

4 %

€ 55 bn

PTD Target (New orders)T&D Market1)

FY 20103) Commonwealth of Independent States

Germany

€ 39 bn

+1 % p.a.

+5 % p.a.

+7 % p.a.

+8 % p.a.

+10 % p.a.

Africa / NME2) /CIS3)

Asia-Pacific

Americas

Rest of Europe(w/o Germany) 22 %

21 %

36 %

16 %

5 %

1) adjusted to PTD portfolio 2) Near and Middle East

+16% p.a.

+7% p.a.

Page 9: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 8 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Source: IEA

Forecast transmission and distribution investment, 2003-30 (€ bn)

Transmission Distribution

Attractive market environment for PTD is foreseen worldwide in emerging as well as in mature markets

(US, Canada)

ImplicationsDifferentiated regional strategiesBalanced portfolio managementForecasting/trend & market scoutingOperational excellence/flexibilityGlobal footprint/resources management

ImplicationsDifferentiated regional strategiesBalanced portfolio managementForecasting/trend & market scoutingOperational excellence/flexibilityGlobal footprint/resources management

T&D Market: Investments in transmission networks are expected toaccount for more than € 1,300 bn over the next 25 years

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

China N. America Europe S. Asia E. Asia Africa S. America OtherDeveloped

OtherTransition

MiddleEast

Russia

Page 10: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 9 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Source: UBS

T&D investment in the US

Example USA

Average age of substations

Mature markets

Survey among 39 utilities in the US, 2006

US $ bn

Expected market volume 2007- 2027:US $ 200 bn / € ~160 bn

Average age is 30 years

Aging infrastructure drives demand for T&D investments in mature markets over the next years

Source: UBS

10.0

8.0

6.0

4.0

2.0

0

Page 11: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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New opportunities: Siemens PTD is a driver of SmartGrid technologies

European Technology Platform “SmartGrids”Vision and Strategy for Europe's Electricity Networks of the future

Source: European Technology Platform SmartGrids, Vision and Strategy for Europe’s Electricity Networks of the Future, V4.0, 24.2.2006

Virtual power plants

Load flow control

Demand sidemanagement

Blackout prevention

Reliability centeredasset management

Page 12: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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Well-balanced portfolio in “traditional” T&D market

New Orders/Sales

Divest: TrenchVA Tech

PTIMarqott a.o.

Elektrozavod

Profit margin: 6.1 % 6.0 % 7.8 % within new margin-corridor

Invest:

Formation & Leadership

Profit & Growth

Common T&D PortfoliocompletedPrepared to cope with newmarket challenges

CableMetering

Operation 2003

FY 2003

3.6 3.5

FY 2006

8.06.5

H1 2007

5.63.5

FY 2010

Growth above market

€ bn

Page 13: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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Continuous improvement of cost position by expansion of value add in low-cost-countries

Employees (thousands)

Sales ( in € m)

Manufacturing facilities€

As of September 30, 2006As of September 30, 2003

PTD World

27.5

6.527.5 5816.4 3.4 35

Americas

24%17% 20%

Europe(incl. Germany)

46%56%40%

Asia-Pacific30%24% 23%

Africa/NME1)/CIS2)

0%3% 17%

2) Commonwealth of Independent States1) Near and Middle East

Page 14: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 13 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Strengthening of our market position in RussiaJoint Venture Siemens AG / Elektrozavod OAO, Moscow

Strategic goalsRegional market entrance with a leading T&D equipment manufacturer in Russia(Siemens owns 51% of J.V. shares)Strong market share gainBuild up of engineering resources in RussiaEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia

Attractive Russian marketRussian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bnAttractive market growth of 8% p.a. due to:

Grid modernization and enforcement to prevent future blackouts ensure steady market growthOngoing investments in the individual segment, e.g. Oil&Gas and Metallurgy

Page 15: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 14 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Activities

Process optimizationDevelopment ofStandard Design PlatformVolume Growth Program PTD T productivityproject

Activities

Process optimization

Implementation of3-shift-operation

Supplier development andtechnical support

BerlinVacuumInterrupters

JinanPowerTransformers

Optimization of processes and resourcesExamples: Vacuum Interrupters, Berlin & Power Transformers, Jinan

1) in production

Productivity improvement

Interrupters

Headcount

Square meters1)

Δ 05/07

+ 33 %

+ 6 %

+/- 0 %

200.000

111

7.800

Productivity improvement

MVA

Headcount

Square meters1)

Δ 05/07

+ 43 %

+ 18 %

+ 40 %

2005

12.427

414

8.600

17.740

488

12.000

2005

150.000

105

7.800

FC 2007

FC 2007

Page 16: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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Transmission of huge amount of energy via large distances

Utilization of renewable and distributed power generation

Power distribution for urban areas and mega cities

More flexible, efficient, reliable and secure grids

Increasing demand for energy

Climate change

Security of supply

Urbanization

Open markets

New solutions driven by worldwide challenges

Page 17: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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The pooling of different power plants to one virtual unit allowed SaarEnergie to trade at the European Energy Exchange (EEX).

Utilization of renewable and distributed power generation:“Virtual Power Plants” for the efficient operation of distributed energy resources

Page 18: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 17 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Supply ofsmall islands

Connection of offshore wind farmsto the power system

Supply ofoil rigs(future)

Substitution of overhead lines

Environmentally friendlydecentralized generationRemote power generation

Remote loads

Interconnections

HVDC PLUSThe cost effective smart HVDC-Solution for medium size application (< 1 GW)

Lower losses

No or small filterexpenditure

AdvantagesPTD solution: Staircaseconverter voltage waveform

Today: High frequency pulsewidth modulation (PWM)

Page 19: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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Transmission of energy over long distancesExample: Remote hydro power in China

HVDC with the world’s highest power capacity ever:5,000 MW across 1,400km

World’s first 800kV HVDC

Order signed:6/2007 from China Southern Power Grid

Contract value: > € 300 m

Enables use of hydro power from Yunnan in the Pearl River delta.

Enabled CO2 abatement:

32,900,000 t/a

Page 20: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 19 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Distributed power generation and long distance transmission offer new market potential

HVDC Plus:Cost efficient connection for medium sized applications(<1 GW)

Perfectly suited for connecting offshore wind farms, oilrigs and environmentally friendly decentralized generation

Transmitting high energy quantities efficiently into urbanareas/mega cities

HVDC – Remote hydro power in China:HVDC with the world's highest power capacity ever:5000MW across 1400kmWorld's first 800kV HVDCOrder signed: 06/2007 with China Southern Power Grid;Contract value > € 300 mEnables use of hydro power from Yunnan in the PearlRiver delta

Page 21: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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Solutions for congested areas / Megacities

Significant space savings up to 90%Highest reliabilitySealed from environmental influenceLow maintenance costs

Gas Insulated Devices

Example:Big power for big cities with the"whispering transformer" for ConEdison, New York, (420 MVA, 345 kV)with a noise level of only 57 dB(A), i.e.20dB(A) less compared to standarddesign.

Low Noise Power Transformers

Page 22: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 21 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Reduction of pollution and noise emissionExample: On-shore power supply for ships

SIPLINK for power supply of ships in harbors to avoid the need for running the ship diesels.

Will reduce engine fuel consumptionWill cut SO2 emissionsWill reduce noise emissionsWill support environmental respon-sibilities of cities

Page 23: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 22 June 2007 Capital Market Days

SIPLINK for the improvement of the power supply of oil rigs

Unique Siemens solution:

Improvement of:

Power supply reliabilityEfficiency by turning off unneededdiesel generators

Page 24: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

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PortfolioFurther balance PTD's regional portfolioLeverage the potentials of the industry segment, e.g. in oil & gas industry

InnovationEnvironmental care and climate protection with eco-friendly products and solutionsNew products and solutions to cope with future challenges

ProfitabilityIncrease value added and purchasing in growth marketsAccomplish strong growth in the service businessFocus on processes and productivity improvements

PTD's priorities to achieve goals

PeopleExcellence Portfolio

CorporateResponsibility

OperationalExcellence

Develop talent globallyStrengthen leadership developmentAttain high performance cultureStrengthen expert careers

Execute SiemensManagement System(powered by top+)with focus on

InnovationCustomer FocusGlobal Competitiveness

Build on our strengths inEnergy & EnvironmentalCareAutomation & Control, Industrial & PublicInfrastructuresHealthcare

IPO of Siemens VDO

Achieve best-in-class in Corporate GovernanceComplianceClimate protectionCorporate Citizenship

PortfolioPeopleExcellence

OperationalExcellence

CorporateResponsibility

PerformanceOptimize capital efficiency with ROCE of >14–16%Attain cash conversion rate of "1–growth rate"Sustain 2x GDP growthAchieve new margin ranges

Page 25: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 24 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Key take aways

Extremely attractive market environment

PTD clearly outpacing market growth

Excellent performance, margins with further upside potential

Well-balanced portfolio for „traditional“ T&D market and leading innovations for new T&D opportunities

Clear focus on improving cash conversion and prudent capital spending

Our PTD Mission: Leading the T&D Industry

Page 26: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 25 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Reconciliations and definitions

”Group profit from Operations” is reconciled to ”Income before income taxes” of Operations under ”Reconciliation to financial statements” on the table ”Segment information.” See ”Financial Publications/Quarterly Reports, FY07 Q2, Financial Statements” at our Investor Relations website under www.siemens.com.

ROE (Return on equity) margin for SFS was calculated as SFS' income before income taxes divided by the allocated equity for SFS. Allocated equity for SFS for the financial year 2007 is € 1.041 billion.

The allocated equity for SFS is determined and influenced by the respective credit ratings of the rating agencies and by the expected size and quality of its portfolio of leasing and factoring assets and equity investments and is determined annually. This allocation is designed to cover the risks of the underlying business and is in line with common credit risk management standards in banking. The actual risk profile of the SFS portfolio is monitored and controlled monthly and is evaluated against the allocated equity.

Siemens ties a portion of its executive incentive compensation to achieving economic value added (EVA) targets. EVA measures the profitability of a business (using Group profit for the Operating Groups and income before income taxes for the Financing and Real estate businesses as a base) against the additional cost of capital used to run a business, (using Net capital employed for the Operating Groups and risk-adjusted equity for the Financing and Real estate businesses as a base). A positive EVA means that a business has earned more than its cost of capital, and is therefore defined as value-creating. A negative EVA means that a business is earning less than its cost of capital and is therefore defined as value-destroying. Other organizations that use EVA may define and calculate EVA differently.

To measure Siemens' achievement of the goal to grow twice the rate of global GDP we use GDP on real basis (i.e. excluding inflation and currency translation effects) with data provided by Global Insight Inc. and compare those growth rates with growth rates of our revenue (under IFRS). In accordance with IFRS, our revenue numbers are not adjusted by inflation and currency translation effects.

Page 27: Power Transmission and DistributionEstablish PTD as T&D solution provider in Russia Attractive Russian market Russian PTD market amounts to € 2.5 bn Attractive market growth of 8%

Page 26 June 2007 Capital Market Days

Siemens Investor Relations Team

Webpage: http://www.siemens.com/investorrelations

e-mail: [email protected]

Telephone: +49-89-636-32474

Fax: +49-89-636-32830

Marcus Desimoni +49-89-636-32445

Roland Bischofberger +49-89-636-36165

Florian Flossmann +49-89-636-34095

Irina Pchelova +49-89-636-33693

Christof Schwab +49-89-636-32677

Susanne Wölfinger +49-89-636-30639